Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 March 2008 at 22:36:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Arsenal vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         28   65  +36      85.33     3.74    47.53    39.69    85.06    99.23    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         28   64  +43      85.92     3.71    55.92    54.28    89.17    99.62    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   58  +25      80.07     4.11    36.18     5.99    25.16    90.14    98.26    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   50  +20      69.97     4.30    28.10     0.01     0.28     5.73    42.84    88.83     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     28   48  +15      66.10     3.82    22.56     0.00     0.00     0.37    10.36    65.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.59     4.54    33.82     0.02     0.31     4.75    43.46    88.25     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       28   45   +3      60.02     4.10     5.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48     9.66     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   45   +3      59.73     4.38     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55     9.72     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.33     4.50    17.65     0.00     0.00     0.14     4.11    36.12     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        27   40   +4      55.18     4.34     4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   32   +4      49.70     4.57     8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   28   29  -17      37.84     3.57   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.61R    0.00  
Newcastle       28   28  -23      36.44     3.70   -33.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.38R    0.00  
Wigan           28   27  -16      35.62     3.78   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.26R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   27  -20      36.38     3.94   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.89R    0.00  
Birmingham      28   26  -10      37.47     4.21   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.74R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.34     3.95   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.56R    0.00  
Reading         28   25  -23      36.41     4.14   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.33R    0.00  
Fulham          28   19  -23      28.86     3.96   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.22R    0.12  
Derby           28   10  -44      14.01     2.67   -61.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Barnsley vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Bristol_City     35   64   +3      78.92     4.57     2.81    17.67    38.19    94.40    47.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            35   62  +14      79.95     4.76    18.27    27.59    51.53    96.17    62.32P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   61  +14      78.85     4.60    18.14    20.94    41.98    94.60    54.96P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   58  +28      79.97     4.86    37.15    30.87    55.92    96.87    70.07P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         35   55  +10      72.39     4.64    13.43     1.74     6.11    60.88    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   52   +9      70.49     4.68    14.09     0.47     2.46    46.72    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         35   52   +9      69.88     4.63    13.12     0.40     2.04    40.66    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   51   +3      66.86     4.65     4.07     0.05     0.34    17.07     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   50   +3      67.94     4.93     5.33     0.17     0.83    24.39     6.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   -1      66.45     4.87    -0.64     0.08     0.46    15.58     3.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   35   49   +4      64.82     4.56     5.03     0.02     0.12     8.49     2.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        35   45   +2      60.42     4.65     2.34     0.00     0.01     1.40     0.36P    0.61R    0.03  
Norwich          35   45   -9      57.23     4.46   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    3.12R    0.14  
Cardiff          34   44   +0      60.68     4.93     0.36     0.00     0.01     2.18     0.53P    0.64R    0.04  
Barnsley         35   42  -13      53.34     4.36   -18.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.57R    1.81  
QPR              34   41   -7      55.97     4.86    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    7.29R    0.84  
Leicester        35   40   +1      55.76     4.52     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.75R    0.70  
Sheff_Utd        34   40   -4      55.88     4.76    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    6.43R    0.62  
Southampton      35   40  -13      51.73     4.41   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.60R    4.77  
Coventry         34   39  -13      52.82     4.78   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.27R    4.07  
Preston          35   37   -8      49.63     4.36   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.20R    9.23  
Sheff_Wed        33   36   -6      52.68     5.08    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   21.82R    4.67  
Scunthorpe       35   35  -17      46.00     4.30   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.75R   39.45  
Colchester       34   32   -9      46.28     4.79   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.94R   33.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Bournemouth vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          33   73  +36     100.10     4.69    50.91    98.76    99.86   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        33   59  +20      83.11     4.88    29.52     0.54    40.84    98.42    55.92P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   58  +15      81.16     5.22    21.18     0.36    24.30    94.94    38.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.22     5.12    32.71     0.34    30.09    96.08    50.16P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          34   55  +15      75.63     4.67    21.15     0.01     3.17    77.28    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         35   52   +7      67.66     4.45     8.24     0.00     0.03    13.69     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.57     4.80     7.84     0.00     0.11    19.78     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   50  +24      73.62     4.55    35.03     0.00     1.49    67.54    23.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   50   -5      63.56     4.43    -7.35     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           34   47   +8      67.68     4.73    14.24     0.00     0.04    15.60     3.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      35   47   +0      60.26     4.40    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         32   46   +6      64.37     5.17     5.07     0.00     0.04     6.43     1.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   44   +2      64.21     5.42     1.66     0.00     0.02     5.75     1.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          34   44   +1      61.25     4.75     2.40     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield     33   43  -14      55.71     4.74   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    2.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           35   42  -13      53.25     4.11   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.20R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   40   -2      55.71     4.64    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.15R    0.00  
Millwall         35   37  -15      48.37     4.26   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.90R    0.03  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      46.91     4.00   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.98R    0.11  
Bournemouth      35   36  -15      47.46     4.13   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.81R    0.07  
Gillingham       33   36  -18      48.85     4.64   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.52R    0.13  
Crewe            35   36  -19      48.81     4.44   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.16R    0.12  
Luton            34   25  -14      37.89     4.44   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.01R   11.28  
Port_Vale        35   22  -30      31.26     3.98   -39.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   88.26  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Barnet vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   34   69  +32      92.65     4.63    42.78    44.63    92.86   100.00    95.57P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         34   68  +31      90.13     4.74    39.80    24.28    83.77    99.98    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           33   65  +31      90.62     4.90    42.41    27.47    85.92    99.95    91.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             34   64  +21      84.86     4.73    27.78     3.60    35.03    99.49    55.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   57  +10      75.25     4.72    14.65     0.01     0.76    73.61    17.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   57   +9      72.48     4.51     9.77     0.00     0.25    50.04    11.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            34   56  +10      73.55     4.93    11.55     0.01     0.68    60.15    12.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         35   54  +13      71.89     4.62    17.33     0.00     0.17    50.07    12.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             32   50   +5      73.28     5.52    11.04     0.00     0.57    57.00    12.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            34   50   -4      64.44     4.78    -7.06     0.00     0.00     5.45     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              35   49   -2      61.06     4.39    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            34   46   -9      60.47     4.84   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             33   44   +1      60.31     5.09    -1.44     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   43   -8      55.85     4.51   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.28R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   35   42  -24      53.36     4.35   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.97R    0.23  
Shrewsbury           34   40   -5      56.60     4.92    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.52R    0.07  
Chester              34   40   -9      53.09     4.64   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.15R    0.30  
Dag_&_Red            35   40  -13      51.68     4.31   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.04R    0.60  
Barnet               31   38   -7      57.18     5.58    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.92R    0.13  
Notts_County         34   34  -14      47.44     4.63   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.00R    5.44  
Bury                 34   33  -13      48.49     4.85   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.83R    4.11  
Macclesfield         35   32  -20      45.32     4.62   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.63R   13.18  
Mansfield            33   30  -12      46.17     5.10   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.57R   10.09  
Wrexham              32   26  -23      39.46     4.85   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.06R   65.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2008, Aldershot vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           33   74  +26      97.70     5.02    35.81    64.98    99.78    72.78P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             32   66  +25      93.13     5.11    39.07    26.22    98.27    43.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       33   64  +23      89.23     4.80    34.23     6.57    94.05    33.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           33   61  +27      84.22     5.10    35.59     0.90    72.69    20.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              33   61  +21      84.60     4.95    31.25     1.13    73.98    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       32   57  +19      80.25     5.41    25.34     0.21    38.66     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           34   55  +11      71.99     4.85    11.88     0.00     2.49     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              33   54   +9      74.96     5.05    14.16     0.00     7.91     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        33   52   +8      72.93     5.25    12.62     0.00     4.14     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    31   50   +7      72.80     5.60    10.46     0.00     4.81     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
York                32   46   +0      64.51     5.30    -1.85     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        30   45  +11      70.19     5.91    15.94     0.00     2.74     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      31   44   +0      66.72     5.53     3.47     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          33   44   -1      61.52     4.95    -1.08     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   32   41   +3      60.01     5.21     3.06     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       32   41   -2      58.71     5.18    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              35   40   -8      53.32     4.41   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             31   36   -2      53.38     5.45    -7.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      32   28  -22      42.20     5.00   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.69R    0.02  
Altrincham          34   28  -25      38.63     4.38   -35.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.06R    0.02  
Weymouth            31   27  -15      44.53     5.37   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.03R    0.00  
Northwich           32   19  -34      29.85     4.47   -49.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.67R    9.27  
Stafford_Rangers    32   18  -32      29.76     4.64   -44.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.88R    9.50  
Droylsden           32   13  -49      22.30     4.30   -68.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   81.20