Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 February 2008 at 22:38:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2008, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      86.93     3.95    49.81    58.72    94.90    99.67    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      84.99     3.95    53.95    38.88    90.01    99.27    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.64     4.43    30.80     2.37    14.29    79.69    94.30    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   50  +20      69.94     4.25    28.12     0.02     0.32    10.98    45.54    89.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.37     4.51    33.57     0.02     0.47     8.87    43.40    87.05     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15      65.45     4.00    20.86     0.00     0.02     0.96     9.85    58.24     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.18     4.45    17.49     0.00     0.00     0.38     4.53    35.86     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   44   +3      61.03     4.63     6.03     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.71    17.06     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   42   +2      58.64     4.38     4.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     6.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.25     4.58     9.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37     5.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.92     4.88    13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.72     3.97   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.75     4.01   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.32R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.37     3.97   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.94R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.24     4.24   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.28R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.23     3.94   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.26R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      34.86     4.45   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.22R    0.00  
Reading         27   22  -24      34.33     4.40   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.13R    0.01  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.54     4.13   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.14R    0.19  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.93     3.01   -62.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            35   62  +14      79.97     4.72    18.30    31.27    56.09    96.60    65.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.16     4.83     1.68    12.94    29.26    87.23    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.19     4.86    18.07    26.83    49.21    94.30    60.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.32     5.11    34.01    23.94    46.67    92.99    62.09P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.37     4.87    16.22     1.83     6.06    54.64    20.79P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.37     4.90    10.84     0.99     3.88    44.35    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.14     4.96    14.50     1.24     4.85    52.48    17.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.27     5.12     6.32     0.66     2.64    34.57    10.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          34   50   +3      67.20     4.89     4.05     0.22     0.90    20.34     5.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.30     5.09    -2.37     0.05     0.28     8.86     2.04P    0.10R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      63.03     4.81     3.82     0.00     0.06     5.26     1.45P    0.17R    0.00  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.89     4.80   -11.54     0.01     0.01     0.83     0.18P    2.19R    0.07  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.61     5.22     2.21     0.01     0.09     5.73     1.52P    0.45R    0.02  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.50     4.91     0.93     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.19P    2.70R    0.15  
QPR              34   41   -7      56.06     4.87    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    7.92R    0.85  
Barnsley         34   41  -13      53.86     4.65   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   17.46R    1.78  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.68     5.01    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.15P    4.24R    0.26  
Coventry         33   39  -12      54.03     5.03   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   18.72R    2.88  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.89     4.69   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.47R    4.75  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.60     4.78     0.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   16.36R    2.37  
Preston          34   37   -7      51.18     4.63    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.08R    5.08  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      53.08     5.36    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   22.81R    4.53  
Colchester       33   32   -8      48.03     5.05   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.07R   19.93  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.24     4.54   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.25R   57.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.13     4.92    51.07    98.30    99.82   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   58  +15      81.15     5.27    21.22     0.69    29.47    95.56    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.19     5.14    32.62     0.57    34.78    96.46    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.25     5.14    28.17     0.44    31.22    96.25    48.23P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.23     4.90    20.50     0.00     2.86    70.54    19.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      69.03     4.73     9.24     0.00     0.25    25.67     5.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         34   51   +6      68.49     4.79     7.69     0.00     0.20    23.02     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.37     4.69    -8.15     0.00     0.01     3.50     0.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      71.93     4.86    33.98     0.00     1.24    56.05    18.92P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.43     4.71    -1.44     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.33     5.42     5.96     0.00     0.09    11.38     2.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           33   44   +5      65.70     5.03    10.70     0.00     0.03    10.91     2.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          33   44   +2      62.58     4.99     3.39     0.00     0.01     3.66     0.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.43     4.97   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02P    1.90R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.50     5.70     0.50     0.00     0.02     4.62     0.85P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.42     4.41   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.56     4.96    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P    1.31R    0.00  
Millwall         34   37  -14      50.00     4.54   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.28R    0.07  
Cheltenham       35   37  -19      47.10     4.02   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.99R    0.27  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.43     4.93   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.06R    0.30  
Crewe            34   35  -19      48.54     4.61   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.21R    0.36  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.69     4.46   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.82R    0.89  
Luton            33   25  -13      38.99     4.66   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.09R   13.31  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.60     4.28   -36.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   84.79  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      91.99     4.90    43.48    43.25    88.60    99.98    93.08P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   65  +30      89.42     4.95    40.39    23.24    75.89    99.95    84.24P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             33   64  +22      87.04     5.01    30.14    10.22    53.08    99.68    67.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.53     5.16    41.05    23.16    76.61    99.88    86.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57  +11      77.70     4.98    17.32     0.05     2.91    84.53    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.39     4.79    11.49     0.02     0.82    63.46    14.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.18     5.15     9.28     0.01     0.32    37.67     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      69.88     4.92    15.76     0.00     0.06    30.57     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      75.02     5.79    12.64     0.05     1.68    65.60    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   50   +0      66.80     5.09    -1.48     0.00     0.02    11.77     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.39     4.57   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            33   46   -7      61.13     5.01   -11.20     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             32   44   +3      62.89     5.40     2.43     0.00     0.00     4.60     0.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.68     5.19    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.19R    0.02  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.60     4.83   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.67R    0.26  
Lincoln_City         34   40   -9      53.84     4.72   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.35R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   34   39  -25      50.84     4.55   -32.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.26R    1.34  
Dag_&_Red            34   37  -15      49.13     4.56   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.37R    2.90  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.35     5.79   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    3.19R    0.68  
Bury                 33   33  -12      48.97     5.06   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.06R    3.77  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.74     4.92   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.94R    5.47  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.92     4.90   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.86R   11.54  
Mansfield            32   29  -12      46.89     5.33   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.53R    9.58  
Wrexham              31   25  -23      39.54     5.11   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.55R   64.26  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Histon vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.51     5.29    35.54    48.93    99.49    60.25P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             31   66  +27      95.56     5.27    43.06    44.19    99.17    57.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.96     5.08    32.74     4.30    88.80    29.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.62     5.38    33.57     0.72    58.37    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              32   58  +20      84.06     5.13    32.28     0.93    68.36    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.12     5.61    29.65     0.92    59.77    15.05P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.65     5.03    12.18     0.00     2.40     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.68     5.47    13.17     0.00     5.98     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              32   51   +7      72.53     5.33    10.79     0.00     4.00     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.27     5.83    12.16     0.00     8.12     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.36     5.46    -0.74     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.59     6.14    17.93     0.00     5.21     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.23     5.18    -2.08     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.42     5.44    -4.42     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.79     5.75    -0.34     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.48     4.65    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.59     5.55     2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.82     5.71    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham          33   28  -24      38.76     4.49   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.85R    0.05  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      46.04     5.58   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      31   25  -24      40.07     5.15   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.00R    0.13  
Stafford_Rangers    31   18  -30      31.62     4.99   -41.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.88R    6.65  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.13     4.62   -50.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.30R   14.51  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.86     4.46   -68.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.34R   78.66