Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 February 2008 at 22:37:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2008, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      86.91     3.97    49.80    58.76    94.92    99.65    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      84.93     3.96    53.81    38.74    89.97    99.23    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.66     4.45    30.81     2.48    14.23    79.34    94.27    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   50  +20      69.97     4.25    28.15     0.00     0.37    11.04    45.12    89.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.43     4.52    33.66     0.02     0.49     9.11    44.17    87.48     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15      65.36     4.02    20.64     0.00     0.02     0.97     9.24    57.43     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.15     4.49    17.48     0.00     0.00     0.44     4.67    35.55     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   44   +3      61.03     4.61     6.04     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.81    17.15     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   42   +2      58.69     4.38     4.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43     6.94     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.38     4.61     9.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39     5.78     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.83     4.90    13.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.79     3.96   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.70     4.01   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.64R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.34     3.96   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.26R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.25     4.26   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.51R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.25     3.95   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.87R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      34.89     4.45   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.89R    0.00  
Reading         27   22  -24      34.36     4.41   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.05R    0.01  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.54     4.12   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.15R    0.14  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.88     3.00   -62.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            35   62  +14      79.96     4.72    18.28    31.44    55.85    96.52    65.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.18     4.82     1.72    13.07    29.66    87.19    39.14P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.19     4.86    18.08    26.91    49.34    94.54    60.17P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.24     5.13    33.93    23.23    45.48    92.68    61.32P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.43     4.92    16.29     1.97     6.56    54.95    21.07P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.44     4.90    10.96     1.02     4.07    44.35    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.10     4.94    14.46     1.34     4.88    51.81    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.32     5.15     6.38     0.69     2.64    34.73    10.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          34   50   +3      67.27     4.93     4.16     0.25     1.00    20.66     5.36P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.49     5.11    -2.14     0.05     0.31     9.32     2.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      62.94     4.86     3.69     0.02     0.10     5.13     1.41P    0.20R    0.00  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.87     4.78   -11.61     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.15P    2.14R    0.11  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.56     5.18     2.16     0.02     0.11     5.54     1.47P    0.42R    0.02  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.58     4.91     1.03     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.21P    2.59R    0.13  
QPR              34   41   -7      55.95     4.89    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    8.42R    0.81  
Barnsley         34   41  -13      53.87     4.65   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.53R    1.73  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.69     5.04    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.16P    4.48R    0.32  
Coventry         33   39  -12      54.03     5.01   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.51R    2.91  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.81     4.69   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.72R    4.86  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.65     4.76     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   15.67R    2.24  
Preston          34   37   -7      51.24     4.67    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.86R    4.86  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      53.07     5.40    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   22.93R    4.57  
Colchester       33   32   -8      48.02     5.06   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.96R   19.85  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.18     4.52   -24.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.46R   57.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Crewe vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.17     4.92    51.11    98.33    99.80   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   58  +15      81.01     5.23    20.99     0.66    28.76    95.22    42.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.17     5.13    32.60     0.57    35.26    96.21    54.31P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.15     5.14    28.05     0.43    31.19    95.94    48.24P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.25     4.95    20.52     0.01     2.94    68.96    19.57P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      69.15     4.72     9.39     0.00     0.23    25.74     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +6      69.28     5.06     8.28     0.00     0.42    27.96     4.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.50     4.67    -7.97     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      71.94     4.86    33.97     0.00     1.24    54.39    18.69P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.39     4.67    -1.46     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.39     5.42     6.06     0.00     0.12    11.13     2.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           33   44   +5      65.79     5.06    10.89     0.00     0.02    10.87     2.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          33   44   +2      62.56     5.02     3.33     0.00     0.01     3.60     0.58P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.32     4.96   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    2.11R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.38     5.71     0.36     0.00     0.03     4.42     0.84P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.49     4.41   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.24R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.51     4.98    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    1.32R    0.00  
Millwall         34   37  -14      49.93     4.57   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.85R    0.10  
Cheltenham       34   36  -19      47.05     4.31   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.70R    0.38  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.63     4.96   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.28R    0.27  
Crewe            34   35  -19      48.40     4.62   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.23R    0.44  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.65     4.42   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.74R    0.90  
Luton            33   25  -13      39.14     4.71   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.48R   12.65  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.58     4.29   -36.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   85.26  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      91.96     4.87    43.41    43.23    88.43    99.97    92.82P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   65  +30      89.45     4.94    40.43    23.67    75.98    99.92    84.59P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             33   64  +22      87.14     5.04    30.28    10.77    54.09    99.68    68.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.36     5.15    40.84    22.17    75.22    99.86    85.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57  +11      77.82     4.97    17.48     0.08     3.20    84.84    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.50     4.82    11.64     0.02     0.97    64.09    14.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.20     5.18     9.33     0.00     0.34    37.64     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      69.95     4.89    15.86     0.00     0.06    30.45     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      75.01     5.79    12.60     0.05     1.68    65.71    14.50P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   50   +0      66.63     5.05    -1.71     0.00     0.02    10.82     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.34     4.57   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            33   46   -7      61.13     4.99   -11.21     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             32   44   +3      62.89     5.42     2.37     0.00     0.00     4.66     0.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.73     5.15    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    0.16R    0.02  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.60     4.80   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.74R    0.26  
Lincoln_City         34   40   -9      53.77     4.70   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.29R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   34   39  -25      50.86     4.54   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.10R    1.36  
Dag_&_Red            34   37  -15      49.07     4.50   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.48R    2.85  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.40     5.76   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    3.03R    0.66  
Bury                 33   33  -12      49.00     5.04   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.69R    3.64  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.75     4.89   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.09R    5.64  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.84     4.89   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.47R   11.44  
Mansfield            32   29  -12      47.03     5.37   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.88R    9.00  
Wrexham              31   25  -23      39.42     5.11   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.04R   64.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Histon vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.49     5.28    35.48    48.46    99.42    59.88P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             31   66  +27      95.53     5.30    42.99    44.35    99.23    57.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.96     5.09    32.75     4.53    88.77    29.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.59     5.37    33.49     0.69    58.39    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              32   58  +20      83.96     5.15    32.12     1.00    68.08    16.27P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.01     5.61    29.44     0.95    59.30    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.67     5.07    12.25     0.00     2.54     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.74     5.47    13.23     0.00     6.16     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              32   51   +7      72.51     5.30    10.77     0.00     3.87     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.22     5.83    12.02     0.00     8.28     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.22     5.49    -0.93     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.76     6.15    18.18     0.01     5.60     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.17     5.17    -2.15     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.39     5.40    -4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.83     5.76    -0.23     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.56     4.69    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.69     5.55     2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.92     5.76    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Altrincham          33   28  -24      38.73     4.47   -37.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.06R    0.05  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      46.02     5.62   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      31   25  -24      40.02     5.20   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.78R    0.13  
Stafford_Rangers    31   18  -30      31.71     5.01   -41.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.15R    6.22  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.26     4.66   -50.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.95R   13.63  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.73     4.44   -68.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.37R   79.97