Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 February 2008 at 22:37:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2008, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      86.93     3.94    49.86    58.89    94.80    99.69    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      85.00     3.95    53.94    38.66    89.98    99.30    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.69     4.45    30.84     2.42    14.44    79.95    94.63    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   50  +20      69.92     4.26    28.04     0.01     0.36    10.92    45.77    89.14     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.33     4.50    33.47     0.02     0.39     8.62    43.01    87.08     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15      65.42     4.01    20.81     0.00     0.02     0.98     9.58    58.26     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.14     4.50    17.44     0.00     0.00     0.31     4.64    35.67     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   44   +3      61.00     4.64     6.02     0.00     0.00     0.19     1.74    17.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   42   +2      58.54     4.41     4.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     6.64     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.36     4.59     9.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     5.87     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.96     4.88    13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.77     3.99   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.76R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.73     3.99   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.32R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.35     3.99   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.26R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.23     4.24   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.14     3.93   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.02R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      35.00     4.47   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.07R    0.00  
Reading         27   22  -24      34.35     4.41   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.12R    0.01  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.55     4.15   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.96R    0.14  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.93     3.00   -62.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            35   62  +14      79.89     4.78    18.17    30.85    55.25    96.27    64.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.15     4.84     1.66    12.91    29.50    86.97    38.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.24     4.86    18.14    27.27    49.34    94.42    60.52P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.36     5.13    34.15    23.86    46.61    92.98    62.00P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.41     4.84    16.25     1.82     6.18    55.27    20.90P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.30     4.94    10.76     1.04     4.13    43.57    13.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.15     4.97    14.51     1.29     4.89    52.52    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.26     5.18     6.27     0.68     2.60    34.47    10.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   50   +3      67.26     4.91     4.14     0.18     0.97    20.54     5.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.47     5.11    -2.15     0.05     0.32     9.45     2.41P    0.11R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      62.99     4.84     3.79     0.02     0.09     5.41     1.53P    0.17R    0.00  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.79     4.80   -11.73     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.14P    2.23R    0.11  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.57     5.18     2.14     0.02     0.10     5.45     1.33P    0.47R    0.02  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.59     4.90     1.05     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.18P    2.48R    0.11  
QPR              34   41   -7      55.98     4.84    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    8.03R    0.80  
Barnsley         34   41  -13      53.90     4.63   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   17.16R    1.80  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.66     5.05    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.20P    4.45R    0.28  
Coventry         33   39  -12      54.12     5.04   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.24R    2.97  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.86     4.66   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.42R    4.76  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.55     4.77     0.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.35R    2.25  
Preston          34   37   -7      51.18     4.66    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.57R    5.21  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      53.10     5.36    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   22.71R    4.34  
Colchester       33   32   -8      48.05     5.09   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   57.98R   20.19  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.24     4.52   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.64R   57.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Crewe vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.20     4.95    51.17    98.37    99.81   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   58  +15      81.00     5.26    20.98     0.62    28.44    94.97    42.31P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.27     5.13    32.70     0.52    35.47    96.41    54.84P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.25     5.11    28.15     0.48    31.50    96.32    48.32P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.24     4.92    20.53     0.01     2.91    69.42    19.60P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      68.98     4.72     9.18     0.00     0.19    24.66     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +6      69.24     5.06     8.21     0.00     0.34    27.87     4.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.48     4.63    -8.00     0.00     0.01     3.36     0.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      72.00     4.82    34.09     0.00     1.20    55.76    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.38     4.67    -1.48     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.27     5.42     5.83     0.00     0.10    11.00     2.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           33   44   +5      65.80     4.97    10.87     0.00     0.02    10.43     2.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          33   44   +2      62.57     4.99     3.31     0.00     0.00     3.53     0.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.42     4.98   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.02P    1.88R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.30     5.71     0.21     0.00     0.02     4.16     0.77P    0.20R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.42     4.41   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.29R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.56     5.02    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    1.32R    0.00  
Millwall         34   37  -14      49.91     4.57   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.23R    0.08  
Cheltenham       34   36  -19      47.10     4.32   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.33R    0.37  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.53     4.96   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.40R    0.31  
Crewe            34   35  -19      48.53     4.67   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.79R    0.37  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.73     4.46   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.29R    0.92  
Luton            33   25  -13      39.12     4.71   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.43R   13.04  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.62     4.28   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.77R   84.89  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      91.97     4.88    43.47    42.84    88.81    99.99    93.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   65  +30      89.50     4.96    40.49    23.86    76.32    99.91    84.83P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             33   64  +22      87.02     4.99    30.11    10.25    52.92    99.66    67.26P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.46     5.18    40.93    22.92    75.94    99.87    85.53P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57  +11      77.72     4.94    17.33     0.06     3.05    84.55    22.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.49     4.82    11.64     0.02     0.95    64.05    15.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.21     5.18     9.33     0.01     0.29    37.93     7.22P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      70.01     4.90    15.96     0.00     0.07    31.18     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      74.95     5.78    12.52     0.04     1.63    65.26    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   50   +0      66.62     5.07    -1.72     0.00     0.02    10.87     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.47     4.59   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            33   46   -7      61.18     4.98   -11.14     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             32   44   +3      62.77     5.42     2.21     0.00     0.00     4.43     0.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.73     5.17    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.16R    0.02  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.67     4.85   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.73R    0.28  
Lincoln_City         34   40   -9      53.64     4.72   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.50R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   34   39  -25      50.86     4.53   -32.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.98R    1.27  
Dag_&_Red            34   37  -15      49.07     4.52   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.71R    2.90  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.39     5.73   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.10R    0.65  
Bury                 33   33  -12      49.02     5.07   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.92R    3.75  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.78     4.89   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.92R    5.57  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.95     4.88   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.68R   11.45  
Mansfield            32   29  -12      46.90     5.33   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.59R    9.34  
Wrexham              31   25  -23      39.46     5.14   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.68R   64.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Histon vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.51     5.24    35.54    48.77    99.46    60.09P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             31   66  +27      95.59     5.28    43.03    44.57    99.25    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.84     5.09    32.59     4.01    88.46    29.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.51     5.34    33.35     0.60    57.94    15.49P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              32   58  +20      84.03     5.16    32.23     1.04    68.34    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.07     5.63    29.60     1.00    59.74    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.70     5.05    12.28     0.00     2.63     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.71     5.44    13.23     0.00     5.85     1.06P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              32   51   +7      72.48     5.31    10.75     0.00     3.97     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.27     5.81    12.13     0.01     8.29     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.22     5.46    -0.96     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.67     6.19    18.06     0.00     5.73     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.35     5.17    -1.94     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.40     5.40    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.77     5.75    -0.33     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.55     4.62    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.53     5.54     2.26     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.97     5.74    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham          33   28  -24      38.72     4.49   -37.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.40R    0.04  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      45.98     5.62   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87R    0.01  
Farsley_Celtic      31   25  -24      40.07     5.18   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.16R    0.09  
Stafford_Rangers    31   18  -30      31.72     5.02   -41.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.30R    6.43  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.27     4.66   -50.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.84R   13.72  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.74     4.43   -68.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.37R   79.71