Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 February 2008 at 22:38:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2008, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      86.92     3.94    49.83    58.21    94.84    99.69    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      85.05     3.94    53.98    39.35    90.11    99.39    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.71     4.48    30.91     2.41    14.29    79.88    94.37    99.65     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   50  +20      69.91     4.27    28.06     0.00     0.31    10.86    45.56    88.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.31     4.50    33.43     0.03     0.43     8.46    43.13    87.18     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15      65.39     4.00    20.70     0.00     0.02     1.04     9.57    57.58     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.29     4.46    17.64     0.00     0.00     0.48     5.11    36.89     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   44   +3      61.01     4.58     5.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.63    16.65     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   42   +2      58.63     4.38     4.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     6.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.34     4.61     9.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39     5.85     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.83     4.90    12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.78     3.98   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.74     4.00   -32.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.07R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.31     3.98   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.53R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.28     4.25   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.10R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.20     3.93   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.35R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      34.96     4.48   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.71R    0.00  
Reading         27   22  -24      34.34     4.39   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.10R    0.01  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.51     4.12   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.38R    0.15  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.88     2.99   -62.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            35   62  +14      79.94     4.76    18.24    30.77    55.44    96.29    65.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.21     4.82     1.73    13.24    29.68    87.63    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.27     4.85    18.22    27.29    49.56    94.42    60.54P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.31     5.16    34.02    23.60    46.04    92.78    61.48P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.41     4.86    16.27     1.85     6.25    54.92    20.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.45     4.90    10.98     1.07     4.08    44.35    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.11     4.95    14.50     1.20     4.76    51.95    17.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.29     5.14     6.31     0.68     2.76    34.42    10.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          34   50   +3      67.23     4.94     4.10     0.19     0.93    20.56     5.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.45     5.11    -2.16     0.06     0.27     9.43     2.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      62.93     4.80     3.70     0.03     0.10     5.01     1.37P    0.16R    0.01  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.87     4.75   -11.56     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.13P    2.13R    0.09  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.63     5.18     2.22     0.01     0.11     5.74     1.46P    0.37R    0.02  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.54     4.91     1.00     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.18P    2.56R    0.12  
QPR              34   41   -7      56.05     4.88    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    7.72R    0.78  
Barnsley         34   41  -13      53.70     4.64   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.19R    1.81  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.77     5.05    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.17P    4.12R    0.26  
Coventry         33   39  -12      54.09     5.05   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   17.98R    2.84  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.88     4.69   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.31R    4.43  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.64     4.80     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.10R    2.24  
Preston          34   37   -7      51.14     4.65    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.58R    4.98  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      53.12     5.37    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   22.33R    4.20  
Colchester       33   32   -8      47.94     5.07   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.66R   19.97  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.11     4.52   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   58.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Crewe vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.17     4.90    51.12    98.40    99.79   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   58  +15      81.12     5.22    21.15     0.61    29.20    95.23    43.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.23     5.12    32.69     0.53    35.39    96.37    54.64P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.14     5.12    28.03     0.45    30.80    96.05    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.22     4.89    20.53     0.00     2.73    69.43    19.32P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      69.07     4.72     9.31     0.00     0.25    25.13     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +6      69.25     5.05     8.28     0.00     0.38    27.66     4.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.41     4.70    -8.10     0.00     0.01     3.40     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      71.98     4.81    34.09     0.00     1.27    55.06    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.28     4.66    -1.62     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.39     5.41     6.02     0.00     0.12    11.02     2.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           33   44   +5      65.83     4.99    10.95     0.00     0.04    10.62     2.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          33   44   +2      62.51     5.02     3.26     0.00     0.00     3.64     0.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.38     4.93   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    1.94R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.38     5.68     0.31     0.00     0.02     4.26     0.77P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.43     4.42   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.41R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.58     4.98    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    1.31R    0.00  
Millwall         34   37  -14      49.95     4.58   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.04R    0.10  
Cheltenham       34   36  -19      47.16     4.32   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.63R    0.35  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.47     4.96   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.80R    0.29  
Crewe            34   35  -19      48.50     4.65   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.63R    0.41  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.72     4.39   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.41R    0.84  
Luton            33   25  -13      39.01     4.70   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   13.48  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.63     4.29   -36.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   84.53  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      91.94     4.89    43.36    42.97    88.33    99.97    92.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         33   65  +30      89.40     4.94    40.36    23.42    75.82    99.93    84.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             33   64  +22      87.05     5.01    30.19    10.37    53.45    99.64    67.73P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.52     5.17    41.08    23.11    76.29    99.87    85.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   57  +11      77.68     4.98    17.31     0.08     3.00    84.19    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.45     4.79    11.57     0.01     0.96    63.79    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.21     5.15     9.33     0.00     0.33    37.81     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      69.98     4.87    15.89     0.00     0.09    30.77     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      75.01     5.79    12.61     0.03     1.71    65.57    14.66P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   50   +0      66.82     5.09    -1.46     0.00     0.02    11.59     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.33     4.55   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            33   46   -7      61.11     4.95   -11.25     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             32   44   +3      62.87     5.41     2.38     0.00     0.00     4.71     0.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.75     5.18    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    0.19R    0.03  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.62     4.82   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.76R    0.27  
Lincoln_City         34   40   -9      53.74     4.76   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.29R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   34   39  -25      50.78     4.53   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.21R    1.45  
Dag_&_Red            34   37  -15      49.10     4.53   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.54R    2.87  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.34     5.78   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    3.23R    0.70  
Bury                 33   33  -12      49.01     5.05   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   13.81R    3.65  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.81     4.89   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.72R    5.46  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.92     4.87   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.92R   11.37  
Mansfield            32   29  -12      46.94     5.34   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.52R    9.38  
Wrexham              31   25  -23      39.49     5.10   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.77R   64.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 February 2008, Histon vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.45     5.26    35.44    48.45    99.38    59.82P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             31   66  +27      95.53     5.31    43.03    44.51    99.16    57.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.89     5.09    32.68     4.40    88.52    29.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.61     5.38    33.51     0.67    58.32    15.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              32   58  +20      84.12     5.12    32.41     0.99    68.68    16.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.14     5.62    29.66     0.95    59.98    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.69     5.05    12.29     0.00     2.65     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.65     5.44    13.13     0.00     5.71     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              32   51   +7      72.33     5.28    10.51     0.00     3.50     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.30     5.87    12.17     0.01     8.43     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.23     5.44    -0.94     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.63     6.13    17.95     0.00     5.27     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.25     5.19    -2.04     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.37     5.40    -4.50     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.63     5.76    -0.49     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.54     4.65    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.69     5.55     2.48     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.98     5.74    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Altrincham          33   28  -24      38.75     4.48   -37.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.39R    0.06  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      45.98     5.61   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.72R    0.00  
Farsley_Celtic      31   25  -24      40.03     5.21   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.06R    0.16  
Stafford_Rangers    31   18  -30      31.82     5.03   -41.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.44R    6.39  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.18     4.65   -50.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.04R   14.15  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.83     4.48   -68.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.30R   79.24