Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 February 2008 at 22:39:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 February 2008, Man_City vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      86.92     3.95    49.82    58.86    94.91    99.66    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      84.98     3.97    53.89    38.82    90.10    99.28    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.55     4.44    30.68     2.29    14.11    79.22    94.28    99.62     0.00     0.00  
Everton         27   50  +20      69.90     4.30    28.02     0.01     0.40    11.22    45.33    88.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.34     4.52    33.47     0.01     0.45     8.89    43.61    87.28     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15      65.45     4.01    20.83     0.00     0.01     1.12     9.67    57.87     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.19     4.46    17.52     0.00     0.00     0.43     4.78    36.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        27   44   +3      61.04     4.63     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.15     1.69    17.20     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   42   +2      58.56     4.38     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     6.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.39     4.58     9.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39     5.78     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.87     4.92    13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.79     3.97   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.79     4.00   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.02R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.37     3.98   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.16R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.22     4.22   -26.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.19     3.95   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.08R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      34.94     4.48   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.86R    0.00  
Reading         27   22  -24      34.34     4.39   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.12R    0.00  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.57     4.16   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.80R    0.13  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.92     3.00   -62.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Blackpool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            34   62  +16      82.00     5.00    21.34    43.87    68.60    98.34    75.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.20     4.79     1.73    10.37    26.63    87.56    36.46P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.23     4.85    18.15    22.38    45.44    94.52    57.50P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.39     5.18    34.16    19.74    43.40    92.95    59.88P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.45     4.88    16.30     1.36     5.42    55.53    20.29P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.49     4.92    11.02     0.74     3.45    45.24    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.19     4.95    14.60     0.89     3.97    53.08    17.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.40     5.12     6.49     0.51     2.26    35.03     9.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          33   47   +1      65.77     5.16     2.34     0.09     0.42    14.53     3.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.46     5.10    -2.14     0.03     0.24     9.52     2.28P    0.11R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      63.02     4.81     3.84     0.01     0.07     5.17     1.43P    0.13R    0.00  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.72     4.76   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.09P    1.89R    0.05  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.58     5.16     2.16     0.01     0.09     5.52     1.35P    0.37R    0.01  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.64     4.90     1.08     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.18P    2.16R    0.09  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.68     5.01    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.15P    3.73R    0.23  
QPR              33   40   -7      56.30     5.14    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.09P    7.55R    0.82  
Barnsley         33   40  -13      54.46     4.97   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   14.09R    1.51  
Coventry         32   39  -10      55.33     5.29   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   12.14R    1.61  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.83     4.69   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.14R    4.04  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.62     4.79     0.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   14.48R    1.88  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      52.90     5.36    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   21.50R    3.95  
Preston          33   34   -9      48.72     4.87   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.31R   12.56  
Colchester       33   32   -8      47.86     5.10   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.94R   19.18  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.13     4.53   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.42R   54.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.21     4.95    51.18    98.46    99.83   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.26     5.11    32.76     0.60    37.94    96.40    56.59P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.21     5.13    28.12     0.45    33.60    96.12    50.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         31   55  +14      79.66     5.48    20.41     0.48    22.74    91.19    36.42P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.36     4.92    20.76     0.01     3.45    70.02    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      68.88     4.69     9.05     0.00     0.22    23.77     4.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +6      69.28     5.08     8.31     0.00     0.47    27.82     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.43     4.67    -8.08     0.00     0.00     3.30     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      72.00     4.89    34.13     0.00     1.48    55.11    19.19P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.24     4.69    -1.71     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.24P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.31     5.42     5.88     0.00     0.15    10.90     2.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           32   43   +5      66.64     5.25    11.50     0.00     0.09    14.86     3.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          32   43   +2      62.34     5.23     2.59     0.00     0.01     3.92     0.77P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.48     4.94   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    2.11R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.53     5.66     0.55     0.00     0.02     4.59     0.83P    0.19R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.36     4.38   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.90R    0.01  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.47     4.95    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    1.43R    0.00  
Millwall         33   36  -14      50.05     4.85   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.13R    0.17  
Cheltenham       34   36  -19      47.08     4.33   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.03R    0.39  
Crewe            33   35  -18      49.65     4.92   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.52R    0.32  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.48     4.98   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.18R    0.37  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.65     4.43   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.71R    1.12  
Luton            32   24  -13      39.80     5.03   -18.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.85R   11.84  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.66     4.26   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   85.78  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      92.00     4.89    43.50    39.37    86.26    99.98    91.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             32   64  +23      89.79     5.23    33.46    22.10    70.14    99.85    79.31P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.58     5.15    41.20    21.39    72.27    99.88    83.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         32   62  +28      88.40     5.17    39.33    16.81    62.83    99.81    75.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   57  +12      79.69     5.21    19.21     0.28     6.17    90.21    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.41     4.80    11.53     0.02     0.72    62.36    13.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.20     5.16     9.27     0.00     0.22    36.45     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      70.00     4.90    15.93     0.00     0.06    29.62     6.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      74.95     5.80    12.53     0.03     1.32    64.40    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   50   +0      66.76     5.11    -1.52     0.00     0.01    10.96     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.35     4.55   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            32   46   -6      63.18     5.29    -9.21     0.00     0.00     3.35     0.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             31   41   +2      60.43     5.65     0.24     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.70     5.17    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    0.10R    0.01  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.57     4.85   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.29R    0.23  
Lincoln_City         34   40   -9      53.68     4.70   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.02R    0.15  
Accrington_Stanley   33   36  -26      48.64     4.76   -34.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.20R    4.49  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.40     5.74   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.40R    0.59  
Dag_&_Red            33   34  -16      46.40     4.66   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.44R    9.37  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.82     4.93   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.72R    5.26  
Bury                 32   32  -12      49.32     5.37   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.02R    3.91  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.92     4.90   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.02R   11.55  
Mansfield            31   28  -12      47.29     5.65   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.22R    9.17  
Wrexham              30   25  -21      40.29     5.33   -29.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.52R   55.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.46     5.26    35.47    39.44    99.40    53.42P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.65     5.35    46.78    55.85    99.64    66.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.87     5.10    32.62     2.97    88.20    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.67     5.37    33.63     0.45    57.95    15.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              32   58  +20      84.10     5.10    32.47     0.60    67.92    16.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.07     5.61    29.66     0.68    58.56    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.65     5.05    12.27     0.00     2.39     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.63     5.50    13.08     0.00     5.66     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              31   50   +7      74.11     5.49    12.70     0.01     6.93     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.35     5.78    12.27     0.00     8.13     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.18     5.44    -1.11     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.59     6.08    17.88     0.01     4.88     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.22     5.16    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.37     5.39    -4.55     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.89     5.74    -0.18     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.58     4.66    -9.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.59     5.52     2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.91     5.71    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      46.13     5.63   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.00  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.68     4.57   -40.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.38R    0.11  
Farsley_Celtic      31   25  -24      40.12     5.22   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.95R    0.12  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.27     4.64   -50.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.78R   13.23  
Stafford_Rangers    30   17  -30      30.60     5.08   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.53R    8.91  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.78     4.46   -68.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.10R   77.61