Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 February 2008 at 22:36:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 February 2008, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      87.00     3.95    49.92    59.26    95.10    99.76    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      85.00     3.93    53.92    38.46    90.37    99.48    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.62     4.46    30.75     2.26    13.93    82.33    95.18    99.64     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.36     4.53    33.51     0.02     0.43     9.58    49.22    86.59     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.82     4.57    25.28     0.00     0.16     6.42    30.94    75.44     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     27   47  +15      65.55     4.00    21.00     0.00     0.01     1.15    11.84    58.37     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.16     4.48    17.44     0.00     0.00     0.42     5.48    35.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.93     4.87     8.86     0.00     0.00     0.80     6.41    31.12     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       27   42   +2      58.58     4.41     4.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51     6.69     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.36     4.62     9.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.46     5.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.85     4.88    13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.74     3.93   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.80     4.00   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.06R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.37     3.99   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.84R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.16     4.24   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.69R    0.00  
Bolton          27   25  -12      34.09     3.93   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.32R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      34.91     4.45   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.46R    0.00  
Reading         27   22  -24      34.20     4.37   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.09R    0.01  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.61     4.18   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.98R    0.14  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.96     3.01   -62.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Blackpool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            34   62  +16      82.10     4.99    21.45    44.77    69.54    98.39    76.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.18     4.83     1.73    10.63    26.56    87.38    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.15     4.90    18.00    22.16    44.98    94.38    56.82P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.27     5.16    33.92    18.67    42.54    92.63    58.98P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.40     4.87    16.27     1.37     5.43    55.29    20.48P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.53     4.97    11.09     0.83     3.62    45.78    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.14     4.97    14.50     0.88     4.24    52.80    17.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.34     5.17     6.38     0.53     2.29    35.20    10.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          33   47   +1      65.75     5.18     2.31     0.10     0.46    14.64     3.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.45     5.09    -2.17     0.04     0.18     9.59     2.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      62.97     4.84     3.75     0.01     0.09     5.20     1.43P    0.15R    0.01  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.77     4.78   -11.73     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.14P    2.00R    0.09  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.61     5.18     2.21     0.00     0.06     5.78     1.47P    0.34R    0.01  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.53     4.91     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.19P    2.30R    0.11  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.75     5.05    -1.81     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.16P    3.64R    0.21  
QPR              33   40   -7      56.28     5.12    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    7.58R    0.80  
Barnsley         33   40  -13      54.48     4.95   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   14.10R    1.57  
Coventry         32   39  -10      55.34     5.29   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   12.27R    1.70  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.96     4.70   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   27.30R    4.03  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.57     4.78     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.65R    2.10  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      52.92     5.37    -7.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   21.82R    4.16  
Preston          33   34   -9      48.70     4.89   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.17R   13.16  
Colchester       33   32   -8      47.87     5.06   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.95R   19.20  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.31     4.56   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.61R   52.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.01     4.94    50.93    98.37    99.83   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.23     5.13    32.69     0.65    38.02    96.27    56.50P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.14     5.14    28.00     0.52    33.34    95.99    49.90P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         31   55  +14      79.65     5.49    20.41     0.45    23.33    91.22    37.34P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.08     4.91    20.31     0.00     3.10    68.16    19.13P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      69.10     4.72     9.32     0.00     0.25    25.30     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +6      69.28     5.07     8.33     0.00     0.42    28.02     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.50     4.66    -7.99     0.00     0.01     3.39     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      72.02     4.81    34.16     0.00     1.43    55.41    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.35     4.70    -1.56     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.23P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.38     5.39     6.00     0.00     0.13    10.87     2.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           32   43   +5      66.59     5.28    11.44     0.00     0.10    14.96     3.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          32   43   +2      62.41     5.21     2.67     0.00     0.01     3.93     0.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.40     4.98   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    2.25R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.49     5.69     0.46     0.00     0.01     4.34     0.80P    0.24R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.51     4.43   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.63R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.55     4.94    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    1.32R    0.00  
Millwall         33   36  -14      50.02     4.83   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.57R    0.14  
Cheltenham       34   36  -19      47.03     4.29   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.53R    0.41  
Crewe            33   35  -18      49.69     4.89   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.11R    0.29  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.53     4.98   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   31.88R    0.33  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.66     4.44   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.73R    0.97  
Luton            32   24  -13      39.87     5.01   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.78R   10.92  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.54     4.25   -36.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   86.93  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      92.07     4.86    43.65    40.69    86.50    99.99    91.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             32   64  +23      89.73     5.17    33.34    21.32    69.47    99.85    78.83P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.40     5.17    40.93    20.44    71.16    99.83    82.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         32   62  +28      88.54     5.14    39.55    17.27    64.11    99.78    76.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   57  +12      79.75     5.21    19.31     0.23     6.45    90.41    26.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.43     4.77    11.50     0.02     0.67    62.67    13.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.21     5.17     9.32     0.00     0.24    36.49     6.64P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      69.95     4.89    15.92     0.00     0.05    29.27     6.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      74.94     5.79    12.57     0.04     1.32    64.27    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   50   +0      66.73     5.10    -1.55     0.00     0.01    10.82     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.34     4.55   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            32   46   -6      63.14     5.32    -9.31     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             31   41   +2      60.57     5.64     0.43     0.00     0.00     2.34     0.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.73     5.17    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.11R    0.01  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.66     4.84   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.20R    0.19  
Lincoln_City         34   40   -9      53.54     4.69   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.07R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   33   36  -26      48.71     4.77   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.72R    4.37  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.52     5.79   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.32R    0.56  
Dag_&_Red            33   34  -16      46.35     4.68   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.65R    9.48  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.74     4.94   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.21R    5.29  
Bury                 32   32  -12      49.26     5.37   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.45R    4.01  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.91     4.88   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.79R   11.43  
Mansfield            31   28  -12      47.31     5.63   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.72R    9.19  
Wrexham              30   25  -21      40.24     5.31   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.71R   55.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.49     5.26    35.52    39.18    99.45    52.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.79     5.39    47.01    56.40    99.62    67.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.84     5.05    32.55     2.83    88.34    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.50     5.35    33.33     0.35    56.61    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              32   58  +20      84.12     5.10    32.52     0.65    68.14    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.09     5.60    29.67     0.58    59.05    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.66     5.04    12.25     0.00     2.37     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.71     5.45    13.20     0.00     5.70     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              31   50   +7      73.94     5.49    12.45     0.00     6.58     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.27     5.82    12.14     0.00     8.06     1.61P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.28     5.51    -0.98     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.86     6.17    18.32     0.01     5.73     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.28     5.20    -2.03     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.43     5.37    -4.40     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.81     5.76    -0.22     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.47     4.62    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.48     5.51     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.91     5.75    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      46.10     5.63   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.33R    0.00  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.62     4.55   -40.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.65R    0.10  
Farsley_Celtic      31   25  -24      40.07     5.21   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.82R    0.14  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.21     4.68   -50.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.73R   13.67  
Stafford_Rangers    30   17  -30      30.64     5.08   -43.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.31R    9.07  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.85     4.44   -68.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R   77.02