Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 February 2008 at 22:36:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Birmingham vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         27   64  +36      87.05     3.93    50.03    59.48    95.20    99.78    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         27   61  +40      85.02     3.94    53.86    38.23    90.06    99.38    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.65     4.45    30.81     2.28    14.12    82.70    95.36    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   47  +24      69.34     4.52    33.49     0.02     0.45     9.54    50.16    88.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.78     4.61    25.21     0.00     0.15     6.42    31.77    77.26     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.28     4.34    20.57     0.00     0.01     0.86     9.03    49.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      27   44  +11      63.31     4.47    17.72     0.00     0.00     0.50     6.53    40.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.78     4.90     8.68     0.00     0.00     0.79     6.38    32.83     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   40   +8      57.37     4.61     9.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.56     6.81     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      56.94     4.69     1.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     4.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.78     4.88    12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   29  -16      39.66     3.94   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Newcastle       27   28  -22      37.88     4.02   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.22R    0.00  
Wigan           27   26  -16      35.31     3.99   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.59R    0.00  
Sunderland      27   26  -20      37.15     4.23   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.05R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.33     4.24   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.88R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   23  -13      34.97     4.47   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.78R    0.00  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.28     4.69   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.42R    0.01  
Fulham          27   19  -20      29.63     4.14   -27.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.81R    0.15  
Derby           27    9  -44      13.97     3.04   -62.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Blackpool vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            34   62  +16      82.05     4.99    21.37    44.45    69.19    98.39    76.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     34   61   +2      77.22     4.83     1.75    10.65    26.57    87.72    36.50P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   60  +14      79.18     4.87    18.05    21.92    45.37    94.37    57.36P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   55  +25      78.34     5.20    34.06    19.33    42.97    92.69    59.62P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         34   52  +12      71.42     4.86    16.29     1.28     5.25    55.71    20.26P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         34   52   +8      70.49     4.91    11.03     0.79     3.43    45.20    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   51   +9      71.23     4.96    14.65     0.94     4.08    53.20    17.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   50   +4      69.30     5.13     6.34     0.49     2.28    34.87     9.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          33   47   +1      65.74     5.16     2.31     0.10     0.48    14.33     3.43P    0.05R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   -2      64.50     5.08    -2.11     0.02     0.21     9.60     2.26P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   46   +3      63.09     4.83     3.91     0.01     0.06     5.35     1.46P    0.13R    0.00  
Norwich          34   45   -8      58.85     4.75   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P    1.77R    0.06  
Cardiff          33   44   +1      62.59     5.19     2.18     0.01     0.10     5.63     1.47P    0.40R    0.02  
Blackpool        34   42   +1      58.61     4.86     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.21P    2.06R    0.10  
Sheff_Utd        33   40   -2      57.78     5.03    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.14P    3.57R    0.22  
QPR              33   40   -7      56.27     5.16    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    7.62R    0.81  
Barnsley         33   40  -13      54.49     4.96   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   13.91R    1.44  
Coventry         32   39  -10      55.33     5.30   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   12.10R    1.60  
Southampton      34   39  -13      51.76     4.66   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.05R    4.09  
Leicester        34   37   +0      53.69     4.77     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   13.95R    1.85  
Sheff_Wed        32   35   -6      52.97     5.37    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   21.55R    4.00  
Preston          33   34   -9      48.60     4.86   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   52.12R   13.15  
Colchester       33   32   -8      47.76     5.07   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.54R   19.34  
Scunthorpe       34   32  -18      44.16     4.54   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.12R   53.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          32   70  +35      99.25     4.91    51.29    98.49    99.86   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     32   56  +24      81.29     5.10    32.79     0.54    38.32    96.41    57.10P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        32   56  +19      81.09     5.17    27.95     0.49    32.77    95.78    49.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         31   55  +14      79.67     5.50    20.44     0.46    23.25    91.39    36.95P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          33   52  +14      74.23     4.90    20.55     0.01     3.39    69.00    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         34   52   +8      69.02     4.74     9.22     0.00     0.30    24.90     5.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         33   50   +6      69.25     5.10     8.25     0.00     0.42    27.84     4.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   49   -5      63.52     4.65    -7.92     0.00     0.01     3.41     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            33   47  +23      72.00     4.81    34.12     0.00     1.46    55.33    19.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   46   +0      61.30     4.68    -1.60     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         31   45   +6      65.30     5.44     5.86     0.00     0.11    10.92     2.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           32   43   +5      66.69     5.26    11.57     0.00     0.08    14.87     3.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          32   43   +2      62.36     5.24     2.60     0.00     0.02     3.91     0.74P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     32   43  -13      56.45     4.97   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.01P    1.99R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   41   +1      62.35     5.69     0.27     0.00     0.03     4.16     0.66P    0.24R    0.00  
Yeovil           34   41  -13      53.43     4.38   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.70R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   40   +0      57.54     4.94    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    1.33R    0.00  
Millwall         33   36  -14      50.02     4.84   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.46R    0.14  
Cheltenham       34   36  -19      47.15     4.31   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.41R    0.42  
Crewe            33   35  -18      49.58     4.93   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.08R    0.32  
Gillingham       32   35  -18      49.50     4.98   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.16R    0.32  
Bournemouth      34   33  -17      45.65     4.42   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.84R    1.01  
Luton            32   24  -13      39.72     5.02   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.88R   12.13  
Port_Vale        34   22  -27      32.64     4.27   -36.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.78R   85.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   33   66  +31      92.04     4.86    43.62    40.10    86.54    99.97    91.75P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             32   64  +23      89.84     5.18    33.55    21.89    70.44    99.89    79.50P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           32   62  +29      89.45     5.14    41.03    20.58    71.42    99.84    82.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         32   62  +28      88.61     5.12    39.66    17.22    64.90    99.82    77.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57  +10      74.37     4.76    11.44     0.01     0.61    60.73    13.41P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   54  +11      78.47     5.43    18.75     0.16     4.42    84.75    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            33   53   +9      71.06     5.16     9.05     0.00     0.24    34.38     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         34   51  +12      70.02     4.85    16.00     0.00     0.04    28.99     6.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             31   50   +6      74.98     5.78    12.65     0.04     1.32    63.36    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.17     5.37     2.02     0.00     0.06    22.04     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              34   46   -6      58.27     4.55   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            32   46   -6      63.16     5.28    -9.24     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             31   41   +2      60.61     5.62     0.54     0.00     0.00     2.23     0.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   40   -2      58.72     5.13    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.09R    0.00  
Chester              33   40   -8      53.61     4.77   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.91R    0.17  
Lincoln_City         33   40   -8      54.42     4.91   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.62R    0.08  
Accrington_Stanley   33   36  -26      48.59     4.74   -35.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.14R    3.80  
Barnet               30   35  -10      54.45     5.78   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.87R    0.39  
Notts_County         33   33  -14      47.78     4.95   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.23R    4.34  
Bury                 32   32  -12      49.18     5.34   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.59R    3.39  
Dag_&_Red            32   31  -18      43.88     4.89   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.57R   20.07  
Macclesfield         34   31  -20      45.96     4.90   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.08R   10.02  
Mansfield            31   28  -12      47.22     5.63   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.91R    8.26  
Wrexham              30   25  -21      40.43     5.33   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.95R   49.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 February 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.41     5.21    35.33    38.96    99.51    52.74P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.73     5.41    46.95    56.47    99.62    67.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       32   61  +21      87.82     5.08    32.51     2.93    88.35    27.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           32   58  +25      82.48     5.35    33.33     0.38    57.10    15.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      82.96     5.58    29.47     0.65    58.63    14.34P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              31   55  +19      83.69     5.28    33.73     0.59    66.02    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           33   52   +9      71.68     5.06    12.28     0.00     2.65     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        32   51   +8      73.73     5.45    13.23     0.00     6.03     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              31   50   +7      74.22     5.48    12.90     0.00     7.56     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.38     5.79    12.34     0.00     8.63     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.24     5.41    -1.02     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.79     6.10    18.16     0.00     5.56     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.35     5.20    -1.93     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       31   41   -1      59.51     5.39    -4.30     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      30   41   -2      63.71     5.72    -0.39     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              34   40   -7      54.48     4.64    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.58     5.48     2.35     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             30   33   -3      51.76     5.77    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            30   27  -14      46.11     5.66   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.01  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.61     4.55   -40.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    0.10  
Farsley_Celtic      30   25  -23      40.40     5.28   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.15  
Northwich           31   18  -34      29.24     4.62   -50.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.02R   13.33  
Stafford_Rangers    30   17  -30      30.58     5.09   -43.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.68R    9.24  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.85     4.45   -68.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   77.17