Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 February 2008 at 22:36:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.56     4.13    51.84    75.13    97.25    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.88     4.17    50.41    23.14    85.75    98.87    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.57     4.46    30.68     1.71    16.19    83.06    95.57    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.76     4.57    25.21     0.00     0.21     6.37    32.64    77.63     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.01     4.67    34.37     0.01     0.57     9.52    48.23    86.75     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.43     4.33    20.97     0.00     0.02     0.93     9.85    52.11     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.98     4.89     9.03     0.00     0.01     0.83     7.14    35.54     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.80     4.69    18.56     0.00     0.00     0.52     6.02    37.89     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.03     4.64     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     4.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.85     4.87     9.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.38     4.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.85     4.88    12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.74     4.08   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.38R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.61     4.22   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.58R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.57     4.38   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.37     4.22   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.39R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.37     4.18   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.77R    0.01  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      33.98     4.61   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.09R    0.02  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.28     4.69   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.06R    0.03  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.80     4.41   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.03R    0.22  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.71     3.29   -61.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2008, Southampton vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            33   59  +15      80.43     5.29    20.36    27.60    52.97    95.53    63.25P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +14      80.56     5.08    19.68    28.75    53.50    96.00    64.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     33   58   +1      75.34     5.07     0.39     5.48    15.62    77.10    25.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.60     5.40    36.47    33.08    58.34    96.11    70.67P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   52  +10      72.33     5.14    13.77     1.94     6.88    59.91    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          33   51  +10      72.46     5.25    15.36     1.97     7.34    61.82    21.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         33   49  +10      69.87     5.13    14.36     0.71     2.96    42.33    14.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.11     5.40     4.37     0.21     1.02    22.15     5.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             32   47   +3      66.41     5.35     3.38     0.14     0.76    18.18     4.86P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   46   +5      65.29     5.10     7.07     0.06     0.31    13.09     3.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.16     5.42     3.42     0.05     0.24    10.42     2.79P    0.20R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.80     5.29    -5.43     0.01     0.06     4.30     0.91P    0.62R    0.03  
Norwich          33   42   -9      57.21     5.05   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.11P    5.04R    0.33  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.66     5.18   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P   10.00R    1.12  
Blackpool        33   39   -1      56.35     5.13    -1.80     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.11P    6.28R    0.54  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      57.96     5.32    -2.02     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.26P    4.07R    0.33  
QPR              32   39   -7      57.04     5.44    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.11P    6.71R    0.84  
Southampton      33   38  -13      52.22     4.95   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    25.99R    4.89  
Leicester        33   37   +2      55.73     5.06     3.40     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    7.61R    0.96  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.16     5.51   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   23.42R    4.92  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.31     5.08   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.06R   15.71  
Colchester       32   32   -7      49.69     5.36    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.64R   12.07  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.08     5.63    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   33.02R    8.74  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -18      44.58     4.84   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R   49.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2008, Brighton vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          31   67  +34      98.86     5.11    52.66    98.11    99.81   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.32     5.36    28.85     1.01    46.07    97.26    59.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   53  +23      79.89     5.42    32.16     0.48    29.76    93.27    50.32P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      78.02     5.76    19.37     0.38    17.86    85.71    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   51   +8      69.22     4.98     9.01     0.00     0.44    28.46     5.82P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.73     5.19    16.33     0.01     1.52    50.27    12.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   49   -4      64.53     4.90    -7.47     0.00     0.04     6.57     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         32   47   +3      67.05     5.30     4.31     0.00     0.18    17.19     2.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.68     4.97    36.22     0.01     3.81    69.33    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           31   43   +6      67.98     5.47    12.55     0.00     0.31    24.25     5.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          31   43   +5      64.66     5.46     7.05     0.00     0.08    10.45     2.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton      33   43   -1      59.15     4.97    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.09P    0.34R    0.00  
Huddersfield     31   43  -12      57.68     5.22   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.06P    1.19R    0.00  
Brighton         30   42   +5      63.54     5.66     4.64     0.00     0.06     7.81     1.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Yeovil           33   41  -10      55.51     4.73   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.99R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   40   +1      59.76     5.22     1.94     0.00     0.00     1.45     0.24P    0.52R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.93     5.94     0.60     0.00     0.06     6.37     1.12P    0.20R    0.00  
Cheltenham       33   35  -19      46.83     4.52   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.76R    0.98  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.80     5.03   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   32.99R    0.96  
Millwall         32   33  -17      48.04     5.04   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.79R    1.40  
Bournemouth      33   32  -17      46.66     4.68   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.55R    1.27  
Gillingham       31   32  -19      47.72     5.21   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.46R    1.62  
Luton            31   24  -12      40.44     5.15   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.00R   14.86  
Port_Vale        33   22  -24      34.09     4.56   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   78.91  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Bradford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      90.97     5.13    42.45    38.69    85.04    99.96    90.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             31   61  +22      88.63     5.51    33.17    21.36    68.54    99.76    77.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           31   59  +28      88.76     5.35    41.37    23.18    73.05    99.75    83.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   59  +25      87.27     5.43    37.12    16.17    61.10    99.52    73.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   54  +11      78.46     5.44    18.78     0.29     6.39    86.72    26.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   54   +9      72.55     5.03    10.19     0.01     0.63    49.57    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            32   50   +7      69.91     5.45     7.85     0.01     0.28    30.88     5.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             30   50   +7      76.71     6.04    14.21     0.29     4.72    75.15    19.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.26     5.40     2.15     0.00     0.15    25.04     4.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   48  +11      68.58     5.16    15.30     0.00     0.08    23.95     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            31   46   -5      64.10     5.54    -8.97     0.00     0.02     6.18     0.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby              33   45   -6      58.91     4.84   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.54     5.39    -0.67     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.24P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         33   40   -8      54.68     4.96   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.84R    0.13  
Bradford             30   38   +0      58.64     5.86    -1.98     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.34P    0.23R    0.03  
Chester              32   37  -10      51.41     5.06   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.94R    1.06  
Accrington_Stanley   32   36  -24      49.71     5.03   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    3.24  
Barnet               29   35   -8      55.61     5.97   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    1.66R    0.37  
Notts_County         32   33  -12      49.14     5.22   -16.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    3.28  
Bury                 31   32  -11      49.54     5.47   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.51R    3.57  
Macclesfield         33   31  -17      47.06     5.12   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.67R    7.85  
Dag_&_Red            32   31  -18      43.88     4.91   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.36R   21.83  
Mansfield            30   28  -10      49.33     5.95   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.17R    5.43  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.31     5.55   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.27R   53.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2008, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.33     5.24    35.29    38.77    99.41    52.58P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.76     5.40    46.97    57.19    99.61    68.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       31   58  +19      86.25     5.41    30.62     1.92    79.66    23.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           31   57  +25      83.42     5.55    34.17     0.79    63.47    17.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.07     5.64    29.67     0.64    59.25    14.89P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              31   55  +19      83.80     5.26    33.95     0.66    67.04    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        31   51  +10      74.84     5.65    14.85     0.01     9.84     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           32   49   +8      69.97     5.30    11.15     0.00     1.64     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.40     5.80    12.32     0.01     8.97     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              30   47   +6      72.52     5.73    11.79     0.00     4.90     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.12     5.42    -1.21     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.85     6.10    18.30     0.01     5.75     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.18     5.19    -2.19     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.02     5.67    -3.05     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      29   40   -2      63.59     5.98    -1.14     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              33   40   -6      56.95     4.89    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.50     5.52     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             29   32   -3      53.15     6.03    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.65     5.91   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.57     4.56   -40.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.95R    0.06  
Farsley_Celtic      30   25  -23      40.41     5.29   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.64R    0.07  
Stafford_Rangers    29   16  -30      30.51     5.31   -44.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.61R    7.72  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.36     4.71   -53.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.99R   25.21  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.79     4.42   -68.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R   66.94