Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 February 2008 at 22:36:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.54     4.10    51.80    74.90    97.41    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.86     4.22    50.40    23.26    85.61    98.74    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.55     4.44    30.65     1.82    16.07    82.84    95.39    99.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.79     4.61    25.24     0.00     0.17     6.40    32.68    78.02     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.11     4.66    34.52     0.02     0.69     9.85    49.20    87.28     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.44     4.33    20.98     0.00     0.03     0.98     9.97    52.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.84     4.85     8.78     0.00     0.02     0.79     6.45    34.51     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.71     4.67    18.34     0.00     0.01     0.50     5.78    37.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.04     4.72     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     5.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.83     4.87     8.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     4.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.86     4.88    12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.63     4.05   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.51R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.68     4.22   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.49R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.58     4.44   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.12R    0.01  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.43     4.23   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.09R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.38     4.21   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.89R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      34.03     4.62   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.81R    0.01  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.31     4.68   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.61R    0.03  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.75     4.42   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.50R    0.25  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.81     3.30   -61.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 February 2008, Bristol_City vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            33   59  +15      80.55     5.27    20.56    28.36    54.25    96.18    64.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +14      80.63     5.07    19.80    29.41    54.28    96.60    65.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     33   58   +1      75.23     5.09     0.25     5.16    14.93    77.83    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.53     5.38    36.34    32.20    57.94    96.41    70.62P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   52  +10      72.44     5.14    13.87     2.04     7.28    62.82    22.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          33   51  +10      72.35     5.25    15.20     2.04     7.32    63.04    21.88P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.13     5.42     4.37     0.24     1.06    23.62     6.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             32   47   +3      66.31     5.39     3.24     0.15     0.75    19.16     4.92P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      67.93     5.38    11.92     0.29     1.56    30.19     9.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   46   +5      65.37     5.07     7.19     0.05     0.33    14.29     4.22P    0.07R    0.01  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.25     5.42     3.61     0.05     0.25    11.56     2.90P    0.18R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.81     5.28    -5.45     0.00     0.04     4.74     1.02P    0.65R    0.04  
Norwich          33   42   -9      57.21     5.03   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    5.43R    0.41  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.60     5.17   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   10.81R    1.24  
Blackpool        33   39   -1      56.37     5.16    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.12P    6.90R    0.64  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      58.02     5.29    -1.96     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.28P    4.09R    0.32  
QPR              32   39   -7      57.07     5.39    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.11P    6.95R    0.84  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.73     5.19   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   18.71R    3.09  
Leicester        33   37   +2      55.59     5.06     3.22     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    8.55R    1.10  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.10     5.47   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   24.14R    5.21  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.36     5.12   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.10R   16.34  
Colchester       32   32   -7      49.72     5.30    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   42.67R   12.13  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.13     5.63    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   34.11R    8.89  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -18      44.64     4.83   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.55R   49.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          31   67  +34      98.85     5.10    52.70    98.00    99.81   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.43     5.41    28.93     1.12    47.48    97.30    60.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   53  +23      79.81     5.43    32.05     0.52    28.88    93.22    49.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.96     5.79    19.33     0.35    17.41    85.34    31.19P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   51   +8      69.19     4.98     8.96     0.00     0.44    28.87     5.89P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.69     5.23    16.26     0.00     1.50    50.38    12.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   49   -4      64.61     4.90    -7.36     0.00     0.05     6.80     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         32   47   +3      67.10     5.27     4.38     0.00     0.20    17.41     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.62     5.00    36.16     0.01     3.74    69.17    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           31   43   +6      67.88     5.53    12.40     0.00     0.32    24.26     5.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon          31   43   +5      64.67     5.48     7.08     0.00     0.05    10.95     2.14P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton      33   43   -1      59.21     4.96    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.12P    0.42R    0.00  
Yeovil           33   41  -10      55.50     4.75   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   40   +1      59.83     5.22     2.06     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.22P    0.54R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.85     5.95     0.52     0.00     0.05     6.53     1.24P    0.25R    0.00  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.27     5.50   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.04P    3.93R    0.01  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.60     5.94     4.62     0.00     0.06     6.90     1.28P    0.22R    0.00  
Cheltenham       32   35  -18      47.56     4.69   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.30R    0.82  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.85     4.99   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   34.64R    0.84  
Millwall         31   33  -16      49.32     5.27   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   31.30R    1.05  
Bournemouth      33   32  -17      46.59     4.70   -23.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.20R    1.42  
Gillingham       31   32  -19      47.82     5.19   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.45R    1.52  
Luton            31   24  -12      40.28     5.09   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.25R   14.95  
Port_Vale        33   22  -24      34.07     4.57   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.14R   79.40  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Bradford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      91.07     5.11    42.61    39.27    85.22    99.98    90.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             31   61  +22      88.54     5.51    33.04    20.91    67.58    99.74    77.19P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           31   59  +28      88.92     5.34    41.58    23.61    74.37    99.76    84.70P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   59  +25      87.27     5.40    37.15    15.72    60.81    99.57    74.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   54  +11      78.37     5.44    18.64     0.25     6.34    86.17    26.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   54   +9      72.60     5.07    10.24     0.01     0.69    50.16    11.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            32   50   +7      69.95     5.43     7.87     0.01     0.29    31.31     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             30   50   +7      76.54     6.04    13.93     0.21     4.47    74.42    18.48P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.09     5.40     1.90     0.00     0.12    24.22     4.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   48  +11      68.62     5.18    15.38     0.00     0.09    24.38     5.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            31   46   -5      64.26     5.55    -8.78     0.00     0.01     6.61     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              33   45   -6      58.94     4.82   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.52     5.39    -0.67     0.00     0.00     1.19     0.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         33   40   -8      54.67     4.98   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.83R    0.10  
Bradford             30   38   +0      58.69     5.84    -1.90     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.33P    0.27R    0.03  
Chester              32   37  -10      51.46     5.07   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.11R    1.13  
Accrington_Stanley   32   36  -24      49.70     5.02   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.61R    3.12  
Barnet               29   35   -8      55.51     6.00   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    1.82R    0.34  
Notts_County         32   33  -12      49.23     5.20   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.16R    3.00  
Bury                 31   32  -11      49.57     5.46   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.42R    3.34  
Macclesfield         33   31  -17      47.00     5.15   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.02R    8.14  
Dag_&_Red            32   31  -18      43.93     4.92   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.04R   21.53  
Mansfield            30   28  -10      49.31     5.90   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.78R    5.08  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.19     5.59   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.81R   54.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2008, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.47     5.25    35.51    39.42    99.43    53.42P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.73     5.36    46.96    56.58    99.61    67.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       31   58  +19      86.30     5.36    30.68     1.95    80.36    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           31   57  +25      83.49     5.55    34.33     0.75    64.58    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      82.98     5.63    29.51     0.62    59.24    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              31   55  +19      83.68     5.29    33.68     0.66    66.10    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        31   51  +10      74.81     5.67    14.77     0.01     9.70     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           32   49   +8      69.92     5.31    11.03     0.00     1.54     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.28     5.79    12.13     0.01     8.30     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              30   47   +6      72.58     5.73    11.87     0.00     5.03     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.24     5.49    -0.97     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.69     6.14    18.03     0.01     5.60     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.22     5.16    -2.09     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.00     5.71    -3.07     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      29   40   -2      63.74     6.01    -0.94     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              33   40   -6      56.89     4.92    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.49     5.51     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             29   32   -3      53.14     6.04    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.62     5.91   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.00  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.59     4.55   -40.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.52R    0.06  
Farsley_Celtic      30   25  -23      40.46     5.35   -34.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.82R    0.06  
Stafford_Rangers    29   16  -30      30.47     5.33   -44.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.74R    7.84  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.33     4.71   -53.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.16R   25.76  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.84     4.46   -68.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   66.28