Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 February 2008 at 22:36:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.51     4.14    51.75    74.54    97.20    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.87     4.22    50.43    23.64    85.36    98.75    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.59     4.45    30.70     1.80    16.53    82.96    95.44    99.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.86     4.59    25.37     0.01     0.24     6.58    32.65    78.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.09     4.67    34.45     0.01     0.62     9.62    48.81    87.05     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.49     4.34    21.08     0.00     0.03     0.96    10.10    52.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.83     4.87     8.76     0.00     0.02     0.73     6.46    34.35     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.71     4.72    18.41     0.00     0.00     0.49     5.98    37.15     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.08     4.66     1.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     5.14     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.77     4.87     8.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     4.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.87     4.89    12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.72     4.06   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.59     4.20   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.69R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.55     4.37   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.85R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.36     4.21   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.68R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.37     4.21   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.08R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      33.96     4.61   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.35R    0.01  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.35     4.65   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.21R    0.01  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.81     4.45   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.86R    0.22  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.77     3.29   -61.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Charlton vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            33   59  +15      80.60     5.27    20.67    28.00    53.47    96.12    64.07P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +14      80.57     5.10    19.69    27.98    52.22    96.32    63.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     32   57   +1      75.80     5.32     0.53     6.82    17.89    79.36    28.08P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.70     5.39    36.66    32.71    58.54    96.58    71.30P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   52  +10      72.36     5.17    13.76     1.81     6.66    61.60    21.50P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          33   51  +10      72.39     5.26    15.30     1.81     7.01    62.78    21.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.10     5.42     4.33     0.24     1.01    22.94     5.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             32   47   +3      66.36     5.39     3.27     0.13     0.71    18.97     5.15P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      68.03     5.39    12.08     0.35     1.63    30.57     9.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   45   +5      65.46     5.35     6.82     0.12     0.59    15.70     4.61P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.11     5.44     3.39     0.02     0.22    10.87     2.75P    0.21R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.82     5.31    -5.43     0.01     0.04     4.73     1.08P    0.69R    0.03  
Norwich          33   42   -9      57.29     5.05   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P    5.21R    0.44  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.60     5.19   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   10.88R    1.11  
Blackpool        33   39   -1      56.33     5.14    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P    6.80R    0.58  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      57.93     5.32    -2.06     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.31P    4.31R    0.33  
QPR              32   39   -7      57.05     5.39    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.14P    7.04R    0.94  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.79     5.26   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   18.42R    3.06  
Leicester        33   37   +2      55.55     5.06     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    8.56R    1.14  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.14     5.52   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   24.09R    5.12  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.32     5.10   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.56R   16.56  
Colchester       32   32   -7      49.71     5.34    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.61R   12.19  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.13     5.65    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.89R    8.80  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -18      44.64     4.85   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.58R   49.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          31   67  +34      98.79     5.12    52.56    97.93    99.81   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.49     5.37    29.03     1.19    47.89    97.38    60.98P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   53  +23      79.85     5.41    32.07     0.53    29.00    93.43    49.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.84     5.78    19.12     0.34    16.76    84.91    30.42P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   51   +8      69.18     4.97     8.97     0.00     0.40    28.54     5.80P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.85     5.23    16.49     0.00     1.67    51.33    13.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   49   -4      64.56     4.92    -7.41     0.00     0.04     6.72     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         32   47   +3      67.22     5.28     4.59     0.00     0.23    18.10     2.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.57     5.00    36.08     0.01     3.65    68.46    26.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           31   43   +6      68.02     5.50    12.57     0.00     0.37    24.72     5.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          31   43   +5      64.58     5.43     6.94     0.00     0.07    10.29     1.99P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton      33   43   -1      59.17     4.95    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.13P    0.41R    0.00  
Yeovil           33   41  -10      55.47     4.75   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.43R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   40   +1      59.82     5.24     2.03     0.00     0.00     1.58     0.30P    0.62R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.94     5.96     0.59     0.00     0.06     6.55     1.13P    0.24R    0.00  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.25     5.51   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.05P    3.81R    0.01  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.60     5.90     4.66     0.00     0.05     6.59     1.31P    0.25R    0.00  
Cheltenham       32   35  -18      47.54     4.72   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.50R    0.94  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.69     5.00   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.48R    0.92  
Millwall         31   33  -16      49.41     5.29   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   30.91R    0.94  
Bournemouth      33   32  -17      46.64     4.69   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.58R    1.39  
Gillingham       31   32  -19      47.76     5.24   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.94R    1.68  
Luton            31   24  -12      40.36     5.14   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.64R   15.06  
Port_Vale        33   22  -24      34.06     4.57   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.17R   79.05  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Bradford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      90.92     5.12    42.37    38.15    84.58    99.96    90.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             31   61  +22      88.65     5.48    33.24    21.66    68.17    99.70    77.67P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           31   59  +28      88.87     5.32    41.55    23.53    73.97    99.76    84.63P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   59  +25      87.29     5.39    37.12    16.09    61.13    99.56    73.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   54  +11      78.38     5.45    18.67     0.32     6.31    86.28    26.16P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   54   +9      72.57     5.04    10.21     0.02     0.62    50.00    11.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            32   50   +7      69.88     5.42     7.79     0.01     0.33    30.84     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             30   50   +7      76.68     6.04    14.15     0.22     4.64    75.08    19.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.17     5.37     2.04     0.00     0.14    24.50     4.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   48  +11      68.56     5.15    15.29     0.00     0.08    23.79     5.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            31   46   -5      64.38     5.56    -8.59     0.00     0.02     6.75     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              33   45   -6      58.96     4.80   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.54     5.40    -0.68     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.24P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         33   40   -8      54.50     4.93   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.72R    0.13  
Bradford             30   38   +0      58.61     5.88    -2.04     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.28P    0.26R    0.05  
Chester              32   37  -10      51.54     5.06   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.72R    1.07  
Accrington_Stanley   32   36  -24      49.66     4.99   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.52R    3.14  
Barnet               29   35   -8      55.57     6.02   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    1.82R    0.36  
Notts_County         32   33  -12      49.10     5.18   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.76R    3.24  
Bury                 31   32  -11      49.64     5.50   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.08R    3.31  
Macclesfield         33   31  -17      46.91     5.15   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.61R    8.31  
Dag_&_Red            32   31  -18      43.86     4.87   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.30R   21.66  
Mansfield            30   28  -10      49.38     5.96   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.72R    5.15  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.29     5.56   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.37R   53.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2008, Aldershot vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           32   71  +25      96.41     5.23    35.38    38.79    99.43    52.98P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.74     5.35    46.93    57.28    99.61    68.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       31   58  +19      86.26     5.38    30.65     1.92    80.29    23.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           31   57  +25      83.30     5.55    34.02     0.73    63.03    16.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      82.96     5.64    29.50     0.62    58.80    14.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              31   55  +19      83.74     5.30    33.86     0.64    66.48    17.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        31   51  +10      74.87     5.68    14.91     0.00    10.30     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           32   49   +8      69.79     5.29    10.87     0.00     1.44     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.51     5.86    12.48     0.01     9.47     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              30   47   +6      72.53     5.73    11.84     0.00     5.07     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.32     5.42    -0.93     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.80     6.10    18.19     0.01     5.60     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.22     5.17    -2.15     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.02     5.72    -3.05     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      29   40   -2      63.73     5.97    -0.96     0.00     0.20     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              33   40   -6      56.87     4.90    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.50     5.52     2.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             29   32   -3      53.12     6.02    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.63     5.89   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.01  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.64     4.56   -40.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.32R    0.06  
Farsley_Celtic      30   25  -23      40.39     5.36   -34.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.76R    0.05  
Stafford_Rangers    29   16  -30      30.40     5.31   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.92R    8.03  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.28     4.67   -53.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.26R   25.88  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.89     4.44   -68.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.07R   65.97