Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 February 2008 at 22:36:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.52     4.13    51.78    74.42    97.19    99.85    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.94     4.21    50.50    23.73    85.54    98.76    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.59     4.46    30.65     1.82    16.38    83.32    95.55    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.70     4.55    25.11     0.01     0.22     6.19    32.10    77.66     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.03     4.70    34.43     0.02     0.63     9.62    48.75    86.65     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.43     4.30    20.92     0.00     0.03     0.90     9.89    52.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.89     4.90     8.87     0.00     0.01     0.82     6.90    34.64     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.81     4.69    18.57     0.00     0.00     0.52     6.30    38.52     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.04     4.65     1.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     5.08     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.91     4.84     9.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     4.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.79     4.90    12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.80     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.65     4.04   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.40R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.60     4.21   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.59R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.57     4.42   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.88R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.47     4.27   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.40R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.39     4.21   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.66R    0.01  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      34.03     4.61   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.76R    0.02  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.30     4.67   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.09R    0.03  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.77     4.41   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.23R    0.22  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.70     3.29   -61.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Charlton vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            33   59  +15      80.49     5.26    20.49    27.84    53.12    95.98    63.68P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +14      80.56     5.10    19.66    28.56    52.45    96.23    63.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     32   57   +1      75.77     5.34     0.48     6.83    17.87    79.26    27.99P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.54     5.39    36.37    32.05    57.89    96.25    70.90P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         33   52  +10      72.43     5.19    13.90     1.95     7.24    61.68    21.74P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          33   51  +10      72.45     5.22    15.36     1.94     7.25    63.36    21.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.20     5.37     4.46     0.20     0.99    23.44     6.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             32   47   +3      66.44     5.38     3.43     0.17     0.80    19.27     5.31P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      67.90     5.41    11.91     0.31     1.53    29.85     9.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   45   +5      65.55     5.35     6.97     0.11     0.54    16.16     4.84P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.12     5.41     3.45     0.04     0.27    10.58     2.75P    0.17R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.78     5.29    -5.50     0.01     0.05     4.47     0.97P    0.69R    0.05  
Norwich          33   42   -9      57.28     5.06   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    5.30R    0.40  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.57     5.21   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P   11.21R    1.20  
Blackpool        33   39   -1      56.32     5.13    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    6.84R    0.66  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      58.00     5.33    -1.98     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.29P    4.16R    0.29  
QPR              32   39   -7      56.95     5.40    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P    7.24R    0.92  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.82     5.22   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   18.33R    3.18  
Leicester        33   37   +2      55.60     5.06     3.24     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.06P    8.52R    1.06  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.03     5.47   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   24.94R    5.22  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.38     5.09   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.83R   16.18  
Colchester       32   32   -7      49.70     5.34    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.81R   12.26  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.21     5.66    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.56R    8.94  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -18      44.70     4.86   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   49.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          31   67  +34      98.84     5.11    52.61    98.05    99.81   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.36     5.41    28.87     1.14    46.84    97.14    59.81P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     31   53  +23      79.95     5.44    32.19     0.50    29.85    93.70    50.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.88     5.73    19.20     0.29    16.88    85.42    30.35P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         33   51   +8      69.10     4.96     8.88     0.00     0.50    28.03     5.68P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.69     5.22    16.25     0.00     1.51    50.52    12.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   49   -4      64.45     4.90    -7.59     0.00     0.05     6.47     0.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         32   47   +3      67.09     5.28     4.37     0.00     0.22    17.66     2.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.69     4.97    36.28     0.01     3.79    69.47    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           31   43   +6      67.92     5.51    12.44     0.00     0.31    24.40     5.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon          31   43   +5      64.73     5.47     7.13     0.00     0.10    10.96     2.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton      33   43   -1      59.14     4.94    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.12P    0.41R    0.00  
Yeovil           33   41  -10      55.49     4.75   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    3.42R    0.00  
Hartlepool       32   40   +1      59.82     5.21     2.08     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.20P    0.57R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.93     5.95     0.64     0.00     0.06     6.42     1.11P    0.24R    0.00  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.42     5.53   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.05P    3.79R    0.01  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.62     5.92     4.71     0.00     0.07     6.88     1.50P    0.24R    0.00  
Cheltenham       32   35  -18      47.59     4.71   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.00R    0.83  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.72     4.98   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.71R    0.86  
Millwall         31   33  -16      49.23     5.28   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.23R    0.97  
Bournemouth      33   32  -17      46.68     4.67   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.41R    1.34  
Gillingham       31   32  -19      47.86     5.25   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.25R    1.59  
Luton            31   24  -12      40.39     5.17   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.46R   14.86  
Port_Vale        33   22  -24      34.00     4.59   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   79.54  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Bradford vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      91.04     5.11    42.54    38.89    85.20    99.95    90.60P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             31   61  +22      88.59     5.52    33.14    21.14    68.08    99.69    77.50P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           31   59  +28      88.89     5.36    41.56    23.60    73.75    99.78    84.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         31   59  +25      87.29     5.41    37.15    15.80    60.83    99.55    73.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   54  +11      78.33     5.47    18.59     0.27     6.24    86.09    26.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   54   +9      72.61     5.05    10.24     0.01     0.62    50.43    11.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            32   50   +7      69.86     5.47     7.74     0.01     0.33    30.66     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             30   50   +7      76.71     6.00    14.19     0.28     4.75    75.41    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.13     5.37     2.00     0.00     0.13    24.36     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         33   48  +11      68.52     5.18    15.18     0.00     0.05    23.71     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            31   46   -5      64.36     5.51    -8.60     0.00     0.02     6.71     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              33   45   -6      58.96     4.81   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.61     5.38    -0.57     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.20P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         33   40   -8      54.63     4.96   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.88R    0.13  
Bradford             30   38   +0      58.58     5.86    -2.06     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.28P    0.28R    0.04  
Chester              32   37  -10      51.50     5.05   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.72R    1.03  
Accrington_Stanley   32   36  -24      49.71     5.06   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.62R    3.45  
Barnet               29   35   -8      55.44     6.01   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    1.77R    0.33  
Notts_County         32   33  -12      49.15     5.17   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.32R    3.14  
Bury                 31   32  -11      49.39     5.46   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.13R    3.70  
Macclesfield         33   31  -17      46.98     5.09   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.96R    8.11  
Dag_&_Red            32   31  -18      43.92     4.86   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.26R   21.45  
Mansfield            30   28  -10      49.45     5.99   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.57R    5.07  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.29     5.57   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.38R   53.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2008, Farsley_Celtic vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           31   68  +23      94.61     5.50    33.03    30.16    98.17    45.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             30   65  +27      97.72     5.39    46.91    62.90    99.60    71.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       31   58  +19      86.27     5.37    30.64     2.38    79.05    23.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           30   57  +27      85.23     5.82    36.89     2.81    73.06    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       31   57  +21      83.11     5.63    29.75     0.84    58.09    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              31   55  +19      83.58     5.27    33.55     0.87    63.44    16.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        31   51  +10      74.83     5.67    14.84     0.03     9.17     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           32   49   +8      69.91     5.28    11.06     0.00     1.51     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    30   49   +7      74.31     5.84    12.21     0.00     8.02     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              30   47   +6      72.31     5.71    11.48     0.00     4.26     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
York                31   46   +2      65.23     5.42    -1.04     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.85     6.08    18.26     0.01     5.22     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          32   43   -1      61.11     5.15    -2.31     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      60.99     5.69    -3.11     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      29   40   -2      63.61     5.99    -1.10     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              33   40   -6      56.96     4.87    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   31   38   +2      58.69     5.55     2.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             29   32   -3      53.27     6.03    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.47     5.90   -18.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Altrincham          32   27  -24      37.52     4.54   -41.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.30R    0.06  
Farsley_Celtic      30   25  -23      40.52     5.36   -34.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.56R    0.08  
Stafford_Rangers    29   16  -30      30.48     5.36   -44.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.17R    7.92  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.28     4.68   -53.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   26.00  
Droylsden           31   13  -47      22.86     4.44   -68.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   65.94