Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 February 2008 at 22:36:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.54     4.14    51.76    74.35    97.18    99.87    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.99     4.19    50.59    23.89    86.26    98.82    99.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.50     4.45    30.57     1.74    15.62    82.59    95.46    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.80     4.57    25.26     0.00     0.22     6.50    32.57    78.09     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.11     4.68    34.57     0.02     0.69    10.04    49.08    87.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.40     4.31    20.92     0.00     0.02     0.96     9.65    52.33     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.83     4.87     8.75     0.00     0.00     0.72     6.72    34.33     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.76     4.70    18.45     0.00     0.00     0.47     5.97    37.88     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      56.99     4.70     1.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.32     5.19     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.82     4.86     8.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.38     4.72     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.91     4.88    13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.71     4.06   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.39R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.65     4.23   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.53     4.40   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.20R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.45     4.22   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.23R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.45     4.20   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.51R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      33.99     4.62   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.84R    0.01  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.19     4.71   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.01R    0.03  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.89     4.43   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R    0.18  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.69     3.25   -61.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 February 2008, Stoke vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Stoke            33   59  +15      80.56     5.27    20.60    27.46    53.01    96.21    63.80P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   58  +14      80.62     5.36    19.15    28.76    52.34    95.64    63.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     32   57   +1      75.80     5.31     0.55     6.49    17.54    79.30    27.60P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.65     5.38    36.58    31.96    57.83    96.33    70.88P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         32   51  +10      72.99     5.41    14.12     2.94     9.41    65.03    24.53P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          32   48   +9      71.14     5.49    14.84     1.33     5.03    53.46    17.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.07     5.41     4.27     0.21     0.96    22.90     5.97P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      67.98     5.43    12.02     0.33     1.64    30.43     9.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             31   46   +3      67.32     5.68     4.16     0.35     1.39    24.62     6.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   45   +5      65.50     5.33     6.88     0.12     0.53    15.90     4.61P    0.07R    0.01  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.22     5.43     3.56     0.04     0.25    11.19     2.85P    0.24R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.67     5.26    -5.66     0.00     0.05     4.28     0.91P    0.65R    0.03  
Norwich          32   42   -5      59.14     5.27    -7.66     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.30P    2.68R    0.16  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.69     5.21   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   10.23R    1.14  
Blackpool        32   39   +0      57.23     5.38    -1.59     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.23P    5.24R    0.52  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      57.99     5.33    -1.99     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.27P    4.05R    0.35  
QPR              32   39   -7      56.92     5.36    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    6.81R    0.82  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.87     5.22   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   17.60R    2.79  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.04     5.49   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   24.07R    5.23  
Leicester        32   34   -2      52.94     5.30    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   20.05R    4.01  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.45     5.12   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.15R   15.50  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.33     5.61    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   31.60R    8.13  
Colchester       31   31   -7      49.64     5.57   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.17R   13.36  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -18      44.77     4.85   -23.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.32R   47.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          30   64  +32      97.81     5.36    51.54    97.00    99.56   100.00    99.69P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.29     5.39    28.69     1.70    48.81    97.45    61.55P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.90     5.79    19.22     0.59    18.43    86.81    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   50  +22      78.90     5.67    32.03     0.66    25.99    91.20    46.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.79     5.21    16.37     0.00     1.74    54.49    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         32   48   +6      68.02     5.18     7.62     0.00     0.34    24.66     4.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.57     5.00    35.97     0.03     4.30    71.61    27.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   46   -5      62.54     5.17    -9.05     0.00     0.02     4.36     0.55P    0.12R    0.00  
Southend         31   44   +2      66.29     5.57     4.82     0.00     0.19    16.98     2.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          30   43   +6      65.36     5.70     7.08     0.00     0.24    15.29     2.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           32   41   -7      56.80     4.96   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    2.71R    0.00  
Oldham           30   40   +3      66.16     5.80     9.21     0.00     0.22    17.97     4.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.89     5.97     0.56     0.00     0.06     7.48     1.36P    0.35R    0.00  
Northampton      32   40   -5      57.42     5.15    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    2.19R    0.01  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.26     5.51   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.05P    5.27R    0.03  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.52     5.93     4.51     0.00     0.10     7.49     1.48P    0.35R    0.00  
Hartlepool       31   39   +1      60.55     5.52     2.57     0.00     0.00     2.86     0.48P    0.83R    0.00  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.70     5.03   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.10R    1.57  
Cheltenham       31   34  -18      47.69     4.98   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   50.60R    1.68  
Millwall         30   33  -14      50.25     5.52   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.46R    1.19  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.47     5.53   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.62R    1.57  
Bournemouth      32   32  -16      47.19     4.92   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.72R    2.11  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.27     5.50   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.83R   12.50  
Port_Vale        32   22  -22      34.90     4.85   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.73R   79.34  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 February 2008, Chesterfield vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      91.16     5.10    42.71    33.77    85.05    99.94    90.58P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           30   59  +29      91.89     5.50    44.95    41.97    86.95    99.89    92.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             30   58  +20      86.89     5.75    31.00    11.95    56.09    99.05    68.35P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         30   56  +24      86.35     5.66    37.30    11.35    54.26    99.05    69.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   54  +12      80.39     5.65    20.63     0.81    12.62    90.89    33.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   51   +8      70.37     5.31     8.41     0.00     0.30    32.51     7.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            31   50   +8      72.23     5.68    10.36     0.02     0.97    46.77     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.13     5.37     1.94     0.00     0.13    23.51     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         32   48  +13      69.98     5.41    17.32     0.01     0.26    32.98     8.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             29   47   +6      75.16     6.30    13.31     0.12     3.36    65.18    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              32   45   -3      61.65     5.13    -6.68     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford            30   43   -7      62.15     5.78   -11.54     0.00     0.01     3.57     0.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.74     5.36    -0.35     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.20P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             29   38   +1      59.97     6.12    -1.07     0.00     0.00     2.86     0.54P    0.09R    0.02  
Chester              31   37   -9      53.09     5.32   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.69R    0.28  
Lincoln_City         32   37  -10      52.52     5.22   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.77R    0.31  
Accrington_Stanley   31   36  -22      51.26     5.33   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.81R    1.20  
Barnet               28   35   -7      56.09     6.18   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.90R    0.15  
Macclesfield         32   31  -15      48.92     5.42   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    9.91R    2.91  
Notts_County         31   30  -13      47.16     5.45   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.34R    4.87  
Bury                 30   29  -12      47.04     5.71   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.26R    5.98  
Dag_&_Red            31   28  -21      40.78     4.92   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.95R   36.45  
Mansfield            29   25  -11      46.08     6.04   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.80R    9.96  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.74     5.63   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.43R   37.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 14 February 2008, Crawley_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           31   68  +23      94.53     5.55    32.94    35.49    97.90    48.81P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             29   62  +25      96.34     5.61    45.21    55.39    98.88    66.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           30   57  +27      84.98     5.85    36.42     3.32    70.36    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       30   57  +23      85.21     5.88    32.95     2.93    70.19    20.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       30   55  +18      84.85     5.62    29.94     2.10    68.83    21.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              30   52  +17      81.90     5.56    31.44     0.56    49.30    12.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        30   51  +11      77.94     5.84    18.89     0.13    21.80     4.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    29   49   +9      75.79     6.07    14.29     0.07    13.10     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.42     5.55     7.69     0.00     0.66     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
York                30   46   +4      66.79     5.68     1.46     0.00     0.66     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.85     6.09    18.34     0.01     5.11     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.47     6.04     9.14     0.00     2.65     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.02     5.67    -2.94     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.62     6.28     1.78     0.00     0.51     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.42     5.42    -1.90     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              32   40   -3      59.34     5.13    -2.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.68     5.78     2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             28   32   -2      54.15     6.25    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.76     5.90   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Altrincham          31   27  -23      38.35     4.77   -41.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.05R    0.05  
Farsley_Celtic      29   22  -26      37.26     5.39   -40.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.98R    0.47  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.33     4.69   -53.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.41R   24.85  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      27.06     5.38   -49.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.14R   21.65  
Droylsden           30   13  -46      23.75     4.70   -68.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.13R   52.98