Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 February 2008 at 22:36:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.52     4.14    51.78    74.00    97.20    99.85    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.92     4.19    50.51    24.09    85.88    98.77    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.55     4.46    30.67     1.86    16.08    82.59    95.41    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.71     4.60    25.10     0.01     0.19     6.52    32.02    77.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.08     4.70    34.50     0.03     0.60    10.01    49.16    86.66     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.47     4.31    21.02     0.00     0.03     0.90     9.90    52.61     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.99     4.85     9.01     0.00     0.01     0.89     6.93    35.56     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.74     4.69    18.43     0.00     0.00     0.43     6.04    37.54     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.03     4.64     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.33     4.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.93     4.85     9.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36     4.70     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.87     4.85    12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.70     4.05   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.66     4.20   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.42R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.48     4.39   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.09R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.43     4.24   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.89R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.34     4.20   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.85R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      33.96     4.63   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.15R    0.01  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.24     4.70   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.48R    0.01  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.81     4.40   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.68R    0.23  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.70     3.27   -61.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          32   58  +14      80.54     5.36    18.98    29.38    53.00    95.50    63.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     32   57   +1      75.73     5.33     0.44     6.90    18.37    79.11    28.40P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   56  +14      79.87     5.47    21.09    24.87    49.14    94.51    60.74P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.62     5.35    36.52    32.93    58.89    96.51    71.54P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         32   51  +10      72.96     5.43    14.11     3.27     9.92    65.30    24.94P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          32   48   +9      71.04     5.52    14.70     1.47     5.34    53.30    18.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.02     5.41     4.25     0.22     1.07    22.92     6.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      67.91     5.39    11.92     0.39     1.71    29.83     9.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             31   46   +3      67.45     5.68     4.32     0.43     1.62    25.72     7.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   45   +5      65.53     5.35     6.93     0.10     0.55    16.13     4.56P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.25     5.43     3.57     0.04     0.29    11.32     2.84P    0.20R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.83     5.28    -5.42     0.01     0.07     4.74     1.10P    0.64R    0.03  
Norwich          32   42   -5      59.36     5.30    -7.39     0.00     0.01     1.78     0.38P    2.47R    0.14  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.66     5.20   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   10.31R    1.13  
Blackpool        32   39   +0      57.27     5.39    -1.48     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.24P    5.29R    0.53  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      58.04     5.34    -1.91     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.31P    4.06R    0.38  
QPR              32   39   -7      56.85     5.39    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.12P    7.28R    0.97  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.92     5.25   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   17.51R    2.86  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.22     5.48   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   23.38R    4.99  
Leicester        32   34   -2      52.90     5.23    -2.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.86R    4.05  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.42     5.04   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.04R   16.17  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.03     5.61    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.95R    9.26  
Colchester       31   31   -7      49.61     5.61   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.25R   14.09  
Scunthorpe       32   31  -17      45.22     5.04   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.60R   45.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          30   64  +32      97.93     5.32    51.79    96.96    99.59   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.54     5.38    29.04     1.84    50.73    97.76    63.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.76     5.77    19.00     0.54    17.70    86.40    31.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   50  +22      78.89     5.61    32.02     0.63    25.04    91.45    46.19P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.84     5.20    16.45     0.01     1.62    54.87    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         32   48   +6      67.93     5.24     7.46     0.00     0.37    23.96     4.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.50     5.02    35.88     0.02     4.15    71.31    27.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   46   -5      62.49     5.15    -9.17     0.00     0.03     4.08     0.50P    0.12R    0.00  
Southend         31   44   +2      66.47     5.57     5.09     0.00     0.20    17.88     2.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          30   43   +6      65.55     5.68     7.33     0.00     0.21    16.14     3.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           32   41   -7      56.78     4.96   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    2.82R    0.00  
Oldham           30   40   +3      65.93     5.81     8.91     0.00     0.21    16.90     3.67P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.94     5.98     0.58     0.00     0.07     7.57     1.37P    0.39R    0.00  
Northampton      32   40   -5      57.32     5.14    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P    2.24R    0.00  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.24     5.47   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.06P    5.07R    0.02  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.47     5.92     4.44     0.00     0.09     7.41     1.52P    0.35R    0.00  
Hartlepool       31   39   +1      60.54     5.52     2.56     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.46P    0.87R    0.00  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.72     5.01   -24.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.81R    1.47  
Cheltenham       31   34  -18      47.67     4.96   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.79R    1.61  
Millwall         30   33  -14      50.32     5.55   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.04R    1.06  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.45     5.50   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.81R    1.44  
Bournemouth      32   32  -16      47.21     4.91   -24.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.32R    1.89  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.20     5.46   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.36R   12.60  
Port_Vale        32   22  -22      34.85     4.80   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.89R   79.91  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 February 2008, Chesterfield vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      91.04     5.08    42.54    33.19    85.43    99.93    90.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           30   59  +29      91.84     5.49    44.89    42.65    87.15    99.91    92.60P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             30   58  +20      86.73     5.78    30.76    11.88    54.91    98.98    67.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         30   56  +24      86.31     5.66    37.28    11.40    54.85    98.99    69.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   54  +12      80.16     5.65    20.31     0.70    12.37    90.11    32.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   51   +8      70.33     5.34     8.34     0.00     0.38    32.54     7.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            31   50   +8      72.13     5.69    10.18     0.03     1.01    46.23     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.16     5.35     2.00     0.00     0.14    23.41     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         32   48  +13      70.08     5.42    17.46     0.00     0.37    33.84     8.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             29   47   +6      75.18     6.33    13.33     0.14     3.36    65.49    16.10P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              32   45   -3      61.64     5.15    -6.71     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            30   43   -7      62.23     5.80   -11.34     0.00     0.01     3.77     0.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.62     5.37    -0.56     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.19P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             29   38   +1      60.17     6.14    -0.79     0.00     0.00     3.09     0.67P    0.08R    0.01  
Chester              31   37   -9      53.21     5.33   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.71R    0.30  
Lincoln_City         32   37  -10      52.64     5.21   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.73R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   31   36  -22      51.35     5.35   -31.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.53R    1.11  
Barnet               28   35   -7      56.01     6.24   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.09P    0.98R    0.19  
Macclesfield         32   31  -15      48.94     5.46   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.81R    2.99  
Notts_County         31   30  -13      47.16     5.42   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.45R    4.70  
Bury                 30   29  -12      47.01     5.69   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.51R    5.96  
Dag_&_Red            31   28  -21      40.82     4.99   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.88R   36.01  
Mansfield            29   25  -11      46.21     6.05   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.41R    9.64  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.63     5.67   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.84R   38.80  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 14 February 2008, Crawley_Town vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           31   68  +23      94.69     5.52    33.21    35.78    97.95    49.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             29   62  +25      96.34     5.67    45.16    55.16    98.72    65.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           30   57  +27      85.07     5.82    36.63     3.31    70.99    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       30   57  +23      85.13     5.85    32.87     2.79    70.27    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       30   55  +18      84.99     5.62    30.18     2.17    69.99    22.09P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              30   52  +17      81.88     5.54    31.39     0.60    48.98    12.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        30   51  +11      77.88     5.82    18.83     0.11    21.28     4.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    29   49   +9      75.65     6.03    14.10     0.06    12.28     2.76P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.49     5.57     7.79     0.00     0.66     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
York                30   46   +4      66.81     5.69     1.41     0.00     0.61     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        29   45  +13      71.73     6.10    18.12     0.02     5.00     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.44     6.10     9.05     0.00     2.74     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      60.95     5.65    -3.10     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.69     6.27     1.89     0.00     0.51     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.39     5.38    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              32   40   -3      59.34     5.15    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.59     5.83     2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             28   32   -2      54.07     6.22    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.66     5.93   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Altrincham          31   27  -23      38.40     4.80   -40.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.26R    0.04  
Farsley_Celtic      29   22  -26      37.53     5.46   -39.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.12R    0.36  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.28     4.71   -53.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   24.63  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      27.05     5.40   -49.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.40R   21.69  
Droylsden           30   13  -46      23.71     4.67   -68.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.26R   53.28