Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 February 2008 at 22:36:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.55     4.15    51.80    74.56    97.25    99.85    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.93     4.23    50.48    23.68    85.69    98.68    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.61     4.42    30.73     1.74    16.15    83.41    95.62    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.69     4.59    25.11     0.00     0.20     6.25    31.77    77.26     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.10     4.64    34.56     0.01     0.67     9.69    49.17    87.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.41     4.35    20.91     0.00     0.02     0.92     9.82    52.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.86     4.90     8.81     0.00     0.02     0.70     6.80    34.59     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.86     4.69    18.61     0.00     0.00     0.45     6.26    38.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.03     4.69     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     5.06     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.79     4.89     8.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     4.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.70     4.89    12.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.80     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.73     4.09   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.41R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.66     4.20   -28.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.49R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.51     4.42   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.18R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.47     4.25   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.93R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.26     4.16   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.63R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      34.10     4.62   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.22R    0.02  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.27     4.73   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.48R    0.04  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.83     4.44   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.64R    0.23  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.77     3.30   -61.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          32   58  +14      80.52     5.36    18.99    29.24    52.57    95.40    63.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     32   57   +1      75.82     5.33     0.58     6.99    18.68    79.38    28.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   56  +14      79.85     5.48    21.07    25.12    49.21    94.47    60.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.59     5.38    36.47    32.70    58.51    96.33    71.19P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         32   51  +10      73.00     5.44    14.17     3.33    10.15    65.06    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          32   48   +9      71.12     5.52    14.81     1.42     5.43    53.40    18.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      67.08     5.39     4.30     0.23     1.13    22.70     6.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      68.03     5.39    12.06     0.42     1.74    30.67    10.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             31   46   +3      67.55     5.70     4.47     0.39     1.66    26.54     7.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   45   +5      65.42     5.38     6.79     0.13     0.61    15.67     4.68P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.19     5.44     3.49     0.02     0.21    11.12     2.82P    0.25R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.70     5.30    -5.64     0.01     0.08     4.41     0.96P    0.72R    0.04  
Norwich          32   42   -5      59.24     5.28    -7.55     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.36P    2.49R    0.16  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.64     5.18   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   10.36R    1.23  
Blackpool        32   39   +0      57.33     5.40    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.26P    5.08R    0.47  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      57.86     5.29    -2.17     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.24P    4.21R    0.35  
QPR              32   39   -7      56.90     5.42    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.15P    7.19R    0.94  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.88     5.23   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   17.72R    2.99  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.15     5.50   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   24.03R    5.32  
Leicester        32   34   -2      53.01     5.23    -1.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   19.77R    3.93  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.50     5.10   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.18R   15.89  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.17     5.63    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.38R    8.90  
Colchester       31   31   -7      49.53     5.63   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.09R   14.65  
Scunthorpe       32   31  -17      45.27     5.02   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.35R   45.11  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          30   64  +32      97.81     5.39    51.59    96.81    99.58   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.38     5.37    28.83     1.93    49.43    97.67    61.89P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.96     5.80    19.26     0.62    18.58    86.77    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   50  +22      78.80     5.68    31.87     0.60    25.50    90.76    46.04P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.81     5.20    16.42     0.01     1.67    54.50    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         32   48   +6      68.00     5.22     7.57     0.00     0.35    24.60     4.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.56     5.01    36.00     0.03     4.06    71.60    27.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   46   -5      62.59     5.17    -8.98     0.00     0.02     4.36     0.60P    0.11R    0.00  
Southend         31   44   +2      66.44     5.55     5.05     0.00     0.22    17.88     2.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          30   43   +6      65.66     5.69     7.51     0.00     0.24    16.54     3.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           32   41   -7      56.77     4.98   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P    2.77R    0.00  
Oldham           30   40   +3      65.86     5.78     8.84     0.00     0.16    16.46     3.68P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.85     5.95     0.50     0.00     0.10     7.25     1.31P    0.37R    0.00  
Northampton      32   40   -5      57.30     5.13    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    2.22R    0.02  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.30     5.54   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    5.32R    0.04  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.53     5.93     4.49     0.00     0.08     7.45     1.42P    0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       31   39   +1      60.51     5.48     2.53     0.00     0.01     2.83     0.50P    0.80R    0.00  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.75     5.08   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.67R    1.57  
Cheltenham       31   34  -18      47.63     4.97   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.68R    1.77  
Millwall         30   33  -14      50.31     5.55   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.85R    1.21  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.35     5.51   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.62R    1.64  
Bournemouth      32   32  -16      47.25     4.89   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.95R    2.02  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.17     5.45   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.40R   13.07  
Port_Vale        32   22  -22      34.96     4.83   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R   78.66  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 February 2008, Chesterfield vs Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      91.04     5.10    42.48    33.28    85.26    99.95    90.71P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           30   59  +29      91.85     5.50    44.84    42.41    87.24    99.93    92.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             30   58  +20      86.81     5.79    30.92    12.26    55.67    99.05    68.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         30   56  +24      86.23     5.70    37.18    11.18    54.35    99.00    69.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   54  +12      80.22     5.67    20.41     0.69    12.29    90.31    32.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   51   +8      70.36     5.31     8.37     0.00     0.41    32.67     7.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            31   50   +8      72.16     5.67    10.26     0.03     1.05    46.30     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.22     5.41     2.11     0.00     0.14    24.35     4.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         32   48  +13      70.05     5.41    17.44     0.00     0.32    33.61     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             29   47   +6      75.04     6.36    13.09     0.14     3.25    64.51    15.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              32   45   -3      61.65     5.14    -6.72     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            30   43   -7      62.20     5.81   -11.40     0.00     0.02     3.82     0.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.76     5.38    -0.33     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford             29   38   +1      60.00     6.09    -1.03     0.00     0.00     2.75     0.53P    0.08R    0.01  
Chester              31   37   -9      53.20     5.34   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.60R    0.31  
Lincoln_City         32   37  -10      52.59     5.20   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.79R    0.30  
Accrington_Stanley   31   36  -22      51.31     5.32   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.66R    1.05  
Barnet               28   35   -7      56.05     6.22   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    1.01R    0.21  
Macclesfield         32   31  -15      48.96     5.48   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.00R    3.02  
Notts_County         31   30  -13      47.27     5.47   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   14.93R    4.74  
Bury                 30   29  -12      47.06     5.68   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.26R    5.81  
Dag_&_Red            31   28  -21      40.79     4.97   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.15R   36.45  
Mansfield            29   25  -11      46.16     6.04   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.82R    9.71  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.63     5.63   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.63R   38.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 February 2008, Stevenage vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           31   68  +23      94.39     5.59    32.76    34.96    97.82    48.12P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             29   62  +25      96.22     5.68    45.01    55.49    98.86    66.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           30   57  +27      85.04     5.85    36.54     3.54    70.89    22.40P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       30   57  +23      85.05     5.84    32.69     2.99    70.04    20.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       30   55  +18      84.74     5.63    29.78     2.12    68.19    20.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              30   52  +17      81.84     5.52    31.33     0.69    49.38    12.35P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        30   51  +11      77.99     5.80    18.97     0.12    22.17     4.47P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    28   46   +8      73.40     6.30    12.18     0.04     7.61     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.54     5.59     7.89     0.00     0.68     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
York                30   46   +4      66.70     5.69     1.28     0.00     0.67     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        28   45  +14      73.95     6.37    20.43     0.05    10.57     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.54     6.04     9.25     0.01     2.64     0.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.08     5.67    -2.91     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.50     6.20     1.62     0.00     0.45     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.44     5.41    -1.83     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              32   40   -3      59.36     5.18    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.77     5.74     2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             28   32   -2      54.26     6.28    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.79     5.93   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Altrincham          31   27  -23      38.32     4.73   -41.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.34R    0.04  
Farsley_Celtic      29   22  -26      37.34     5.40   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.86R    0.43  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.29     4.69   -53.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   24.98  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      27.21     5.38   -49.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.54R   21.07  
Droylsden           30   13  -46      23.70     4.64   -68.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.33R   53.47