Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 February 2008 at 22:36:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.55     4.11    51.81    74.36    97.42    99.86    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.96     4.21    50.53    23.94    86.00    98.81    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.48     4.45    30.55     1.68    15.70    82.44    95.36    99.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.76     4.60    25.23     0.00     0.18     6.67    32.11    77.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.13     4.68    34.57     0.01     0.65    10.03    49.42    87.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.45     4.33    20.96     0.00     0.03     0.93     9.80    52.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.91     4.85     8.88     0.00     0.01     0.73     6.77    35.03     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.70     4.73    18.39     0.00     0.01     0.50     6.02    37.51     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.02     4.65     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31     4.97     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.86     4.85     9.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     4.61     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.83     4.88    12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.84     4.10   -24.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.22R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.64     4.23   -28.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.57R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.55     4.44   -27.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.04R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.33     4.21   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.78R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.41     4.18   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.40R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      33.93     4.62   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.21R    0.02  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.25     4.68   -30.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.89R    0.03  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.79     4.39   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.90R    0.24  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.75     3.29   -61.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Blackpool vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          32   58  +14      80.54     5.37    18.99    28.87    52.50    95.42    62.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     32   57   +1      75.82     5.31     0.57     6.87    18.30    79.46    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   56  +14      79.96     5.48    21.23    25.07    49.72    94.52    61.11P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        32   55  +26      80.74     5.35    36.74    33.54    59.37    96.73    71.95P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         32   51  +10      73.08     5.42    14.29     3.27    10.14    65.82    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          32   48   +9      70.93     5.49    14.53     1.31     4.86    51.94    17.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          32   47   +3      66.97     5.42     4.14     0.17     0.97    22.81     5.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   46   +8      67.96     5.40    11.99     0.38     1.73    30.31     9.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             31   46   +3      67.53     5.69     4.44     0.37     1.56    26.34     7.57P    0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   45   +5      65.42     5.33     6.78     0.08     0.52    15.39     4.41P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          32   44   +2      64.21     5.42     3.53     0.05     0.22    11.39     2.96P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    32   44   -4      61.81     5.28    -5.45     0.01     0.08     4.61     0.96P    0.67R    0.04  
Norwich          32   42   -5      59.26     5.34    -7.54     0.00     0.02     1.76     0.43P    2.57R    0.19  
Barnsley         32   40  -12      55.76     5.21   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   10.02R    1.20  
Blackpool        32   39   +0      57.28     5.41    -1.51     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.26P    5.22R    0.52  
Sheff_Utd        32   39   -2      58.03     5.34    -1.94     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.26P    4.06R    0.40  
QPR              32   39   -7      56.86     5.38    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.15P    7.14R    0.85  
Southampton      32   38  -11      53.87     5.24   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   17.63R    2.90  
Coventry         31   36  -12      53.12     5.53   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   24.05R    5.31  
Leicester        32   34   -2      52.91     5.25    -2.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   20.11R    4.03  
Preston          32   33   -9      48.37     5.11   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.88R   16.71  
Sheff_Wed        31   32   -7      51.04     5.63    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.82R    9.53  
Colchester       31   31   -7      49.55     5.56   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.56R   14.07  
Scunthorpe       32   31  -17      45.32     5.02   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R   44.24  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          30   64  +32      97.94     5.31    51.75    97.01    99.63   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        31   56  +20      82.32     5.38    28.78     1.74    49.14    97.50    61.51P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   52  +13      77.89     5.74    19.21     0.56    18.37    86.99    32.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     30   50  +22      78.80     5.67    31.87     0.65    25.58    91.12    46.12P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          32   49  +11      71.88     5.21    16.50     0.01     1.77    55.02    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         32   48   +6      67.96     5.25     7.54     0.00     0.38    24.38     4.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   46  +23      73.56     5.01    36.03     0.02     4.26    71.38    27.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   46   -5      62.49     5.16    -9.11     0.00     0.02     4.33     0.55P    0.08R    0.00  
Southend         31   44   +2      66.43     5.55     5.06     0.01     0.26    17.83     2.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          30   43   +6      65.62     5.67     7.46     0.00     0.22    16.29     3.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           32   41   -7      56.77     4.97   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    2.85R    0.00  
Oldham           30   40   +3      65.95     5.75     8.96     0.00     0.21    16.57     3.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   40   +1      62.87     5.99     0.49     0.00     0.07     7.23     1.29P    0.36R    0.00  
Northampton      32   40   -5      57.34     5.17    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.07P    2.32R    0.01  
Huddersfield     30   40  -13      56.26     5.53   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.04P    5.38R    0.03  
Brighton         29   39   +4      62.41     5.89     4.38     0.00     0.08     7.09     1.46P    0.30R    0.00  
Hartlepool       31   39   +1      60.55     5.52     2.60     0.00     0.01     2.87     0.51P    0.86R    0.00  
Crewe            32   34  -18      48.73     5.05   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.92R    1.50  
Cheltenham       31   34  -18      47.76     5.00   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.01R    1.62  
Millwall         30   33  -14      50.35     5.53   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.65R    1.06  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.47     5.52   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   35.73R    1.48  
Bournemouth      32   32  -16      47.08     4.93   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.24R    1.98  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.21     5.48   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.26R   12.73  
Port_Vale        32   22  -22      34.84     4.81   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.91R   79.60  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   32   63  +29      91.18     5.10    42.71    35.18    87.17    99.93    91.91P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           30   59  +29      91.93     5.47    45.00    43.59    88.60    99.91    93.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             30   58  +20      86.75     5.80    30.77    12.25    58.61    98.81    70.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   54  +12      80.27     5.68    20.51     0.82    14.12    89.86    33.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   53  +23      84.63     5.94    36.15     7.97    45.03    97.35    62.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   51   +8      70.34     5.32     8.38     0.00     0.39    31.12     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            31   50   +8      72.23     5.71    10.34     0.02     1.20    45.39     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            32   50   +2      69.07     5.35     1.87     0.00     0.18    22.00     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         31   48  +14      71.42     5.58    18.38     0.01     0.95    42.03    10.82P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             29   47   +6      75.07     6.34    13.16     0.16     3.75    63.66    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              32   45   -3      61.59     5.15    -6.83     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            30   43   -7      62.11     5.80   -11.52     0.00     0.01     3.63     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   40   -1      59.67     5.39    -0.51     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.22P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             29   38   +1      60.06     6.12    -0.96     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.56P    0.09R    0.01  
Chester              31   37   -9      53.14     5.33   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.68R    0.31  
Lincoln_City         32   37  -10      52.69     5.20   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.61R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   31   36  -22      51.32     5.32   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    4.49R    1.06  
Barnet               28   35   -7      56.10     6.16   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.93R    0.17  
Macclesfield         32   31  -15      48.92     5.39   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.70R    2.87  
Notts_County         31   30  -13      47.24     5.47   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.30R    4.73  
Bury                 30   29  -12      47.16     5.76   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   17.08R    6.04  
Dag_&_Red            31   28  -21      40.76     4.95   -33.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.32R   36.65  
Mansfield            29   25  -11      46.16     6.06   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.82R    9.66  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.66     5.59   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.90R   38.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2008, Aldershot vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           31   68  +23      94.59     5.53    33.01    34.76    97.98    48.42P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             29   62  +25      96.33     5.68    45.17    54.62    98.86    65.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       30   57  +23      85.15     5.86    32.84     2.85    69.78    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           29   56  +27      85.89     6.13    37.51     4.98    73.89    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       30   55  +18      84.85     5.59    29.95     2.04    68.52    21.21P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              30   52  +17      81.80     5.53    31.18     0.53    47.90    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        29   50  +11      77.81     6.07    18.01     0.14    21.47     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    28   46   +8      73.26     6.29    11.96     0.03     7.06     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.43     5.54     7.69     0.00     0.61     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
York                30   46   +4      66.66     5.66     1.13     0.00     0.58     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        28   45  +14      73.93     6.36    20.40     0.04    10.11     2.47P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.46     6.09     9.14     0.00     2.60     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      60.97     5.67    -2.99     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.70     6.25     1.89     0.00     0.60     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.54     5.41    -1.73     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              32   40   -3      59.48     5.15    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.73     5.80     2.56     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             28   32   -2      54.15     6.25    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Weymouth            29   27  -13      47.68     5.87   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Altrincham          31   27  -23      38.44     4.80   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.12R    0.04  
Farsley_Celtic      29   22  -26      37.40     5.46   -39.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.46R    0.50  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.25     4.64   -53.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.69R   24.76  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      27.08     5.39   -49.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.33R   21.68  
Droylsden           30   13  -46      23.74     4.69   -68.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.07R   53.02