Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 February 2008 at 22:36:19 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2008, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         26   63  +36      88.54     4.10    51.81    74.61    97.22    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.99     4.18    50.61    23.63    86.15    98.78    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.56     4.47    30.64     1.74    15.73    82.75    95.33    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.80     4.58    25.27     0.00     0.21     6.69    32.64    78.20     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.13     4.66    34.56     0.03     0.66     9.64    49.17    87.20     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.41     4.33    20.85     0.00     0.03     0.96     9.73    52.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.89     4.89     8.86     0.00     0.00     0.78     6.76    35.11     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.73     4.68    18.39     0.00     0.01     0.48     5.89    37.70     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   39   -1      57.00     4.63     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     4.79     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.81     4.84     8.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31     4.47     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.83     4.89    12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.78     4.06   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.19R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.69     4.21   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.37R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.45     4.36   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.16R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.41     4.23   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.38R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.35     4.19   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.04R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      34.00     4.61   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.87R    0.02  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.28     4.65   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.80R    0.02  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.78     4.40   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.19R    0.23  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.74     3.28   -61.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Barnsley vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          31   55  +13      79.18     5.62    18.33    21.99    45.43    93.08    57.56P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   54  +26      81.94     5.57    38.21    44.96    69.95    97.82    79.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     31   54   +0      74.16     5.58    -0.52     4.73    13.92    71.76    23.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   53  +13      79.17     5.67    21.67    21.39    47.10    93.60    59.42P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         31   50  +10      73.66     5.73    14.63     4.90    14.10    71.79    29.70P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          31   45   +8      68.79     5.75    12.73     0.67     3.07    40.42    13.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   45   +6      67.38     5.59     8.59     0.42     1.84    29.63     9.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             30   45   +3      67.62     5.91     4.07     0.53     2.12    30.61     8.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          31   44   +1      64.76     5.58     1.35     0.09     0.51    15.12     3.80P    0.22R    0.01  
Plymouth         31   43   +5      66.26     5.67     8.88     0.21     1.14    23.53     7.41P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff          31   43   +2      64.75     5.72     3.72     0.08     0.59    16.12     4.35P    0.40R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    31   43   -4      61.73     5.55    -6.15     0.02     0.10     5.99     1.35P    1.25R    0.07  
Norwich          31   41   -5      59.60     5.59    -7.54     0.01     0.04     2.75     0.61P    3.26R    0.29  
Barnsley         31   40   -9      57.26     5.49   -13.98     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.22P    7.75R    0.81  
QPR              31   39   -5      58.80     5.67    -6.38     0.00     0.04     2.33     0.55P    4.77R    0.54  
Blackpool        31   38   +0      57.94     5.65    -1.10     0.00     0.02     1.91     0.52P    5.57R    0.62  
Sheff_Utd        31   38   -2      57.52     5.52    -3.45     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.29P    6.47R    0.66  
Southampton      31   38  -10      54.54     5.43   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   17.62R    2.93  
Coventry         30   35  -12      53.56     5.78   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   25.17R    5.92  
Leicester        31   34   -1      54.04     5.49    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   17.88R    3.42  
Preston          31   33   -8      49.72     5.39   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.84R   14.00  
Sheff_Wed        30   31   -7      51.26     5.89    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   35.89R   10.68  
Scunthorpe       31   31  -16      46.73     5.28   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.34R   35.23  
Colchester       30   28   -8      48.11     5.93   -11.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   56.34R   24.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          29   61  +31      96.71     5.63    51.44    95.80    99.22   100.00    99.45P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        30   53  +18      80.70     5.70    26.81     1.83    38.91    93.61    52.71P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     29   49  +22      78.81     5.95    31.41     1.20    29.07    88.11    47.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   49  +12      77.38     6.01    19.93     0.94    19.16    81.93    32.68P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          31   49  +12      72.67     5.39    16.70     0.07     3.52    56.35    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         31   47   +6      68.11     5.44     7.19     0.02     0.61    22.98     4.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   46   -4      65.05     5.48    -6.44     0.00     0.17     9.59     1.26P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds            31   45  +23      74.26     5.26    36.45     0.11     7.39    71.56    30.22P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         30   44   +3      68.38     5.83     6.92     0.01     0.87    25.96     4.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           29   40   +4      67.77     6.00    10.57     0.01     0.68    23.95     5.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          29   40   +3      63.88     5.92     4.26     0.00     0.21     9.61     1.95P    0.14R    0.00  
Northampton      31   40   -4      58.84     5.44    -6.55     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.17P    1.24R    0.01  
Huddersfield     29   40  -12      56.78     5.68   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.06P    3.98R    0.02  
Brighton         28   38   +4      62.99     6.23     4.56     0.00     0.13     8.42     1.66P    0.31R    0.00  
Yeovil           31   38   -8      54.98     5.20   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    6.11R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   28   37   +0      60.96     6.19    -0.96     0.00     0.06     3.94     0.77P    0.92R    0.00  
Hartlepool       30   36   +0      59.83     5.78     3.09     0.00     0.01     2.09     0.39P    1.35R    0.01  
Cheltenham       30   34  -15      48.99     5.23   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.42R    1.08  
Bournemouth      31   32  -14      48.45     5.18   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   38.99R    1.45  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.64     5.55   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.11R    1.48  
Crewe            31   31  -19      45.98     5.20   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.32R    5.24  
Millwall         29   30  -15      48.08     5.78   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   43.19R    3.13  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.24     5.48   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R   13.22  
Port_Vale        31   22  -21      35.37     5.03   -32.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.93R   74.35  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Bradford vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   31   62  +29      92.57     5.29    44.11    46.16    89.51    99.97    93.41P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           29   56  +28      91.03     5.68    44.98    34.55    83.69    99.84    90.40P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             29   55  +18      84.99     6.08    28.41     7.90    42.50    97.42    57.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   54  +15      83.28     5.86    25.94     3.08    29.91    95.92    48.53P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   53  +23      84.76     5.92    36.46     7.75    44.41    97.79    61.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   50   +8      71.06     5.54     8.94     0.01     0.61    38.27     8.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         31   48  +14      71.35     5.60    18.32     0.01     0.96    43.58    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             28   47   +8      77.20     6.56    16.25     0.52     7.92    76.05    21.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            30   47   +5      68.99     5.91     4.68     0.01     0.38    25.68     4.39P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            31   47   +1      67.41     5.61     0.80     0.00     0.10    16.48     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              31   42   -4      59.85     5.37    -7.95     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            29   40   -8      60.08     6.05   -13.19     0.00     0.01     2.26     0.36P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   39   -1      59.07     5.50    -1.90     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.19P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford             29   38   +1      59.87     6.09    -1.28     0.00     0.00     2.74     0.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Chester              30   37   -5      56.34     5.65    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.41R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   30   36  -19      53.63     5.68   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.76R    0.22  
Barnet               27   35   -6      57.64     6.50   -11.05     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.20P    0.52R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         31   34  -13      50.15     5.42   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.01R    0.75  
Macclesfield         31   31  -14      50.56     5.70   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.24R    1.04  
Notts_County         30   30  -12      47.66     5.59   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.27R    2.28  
Bury                 29   28  -12      46.75     5.91   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.34R    4.01  
Mansfield            28   25  -10      47.78     6.37   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.51R    4.52  
Dag_&_Red            30   25  -25      37.07     4.92   -40.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.79R   60.42  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.55     5.58   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.99R   26.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 February 2008, Forest_Green vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           30   67  +23      94.91     5.78    33.07    31.84    97.42    45.60P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             28   61  +25      97.65     5.87    47.32    59.16    99.08    69.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           29   56  +27      85.95     6.09    37.52     4.01    73.54    23.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       29   54  +20      84.57     6.01    32.26     1.78    65.26    17.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       29   54  +18      85.07     5.92    29.87     2.23    68.17    20.96P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              29   51  +17      82.89     5.80    32.19     0.81    54.90    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        29   50  +11      77.61     6.10    17.60     0.11    20.25     3.92P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    28   46   +8      73.43     6.34    12.22     0.02     7.11     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.48     5.58     7.79     0.00     0.64     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        28   45  +14      74.01     6.40    20.51     0.03    10.08     2.45P    0.00     0.00  
York                29   45   +4      67.00     5.91     1.15     0.00     0.75     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.40     6.04     9.02     0.00     2.31     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.02     5.69    -2.96     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.48     6.24     1.61     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.49     5.39    -1.81     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              31   39   -3      58.93     5.41    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.69     5.77     2.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             27   31   -2      54.81     6.60    -5.80     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            28   26  -13      47.21     6.11   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55R    0.00  
Altrincham          30   26  -23      39.14     5.13   -40.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.82R    0.07  
Farsley_Celtic      28   21  -26      37.93     5.79   -39.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.68R    0.53  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.27     4.68   -53.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.65R   26.24  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      27.09     5.37   -49.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.60R   22.55  
Droylsden           29   13  -43      24.15     4.83   -67.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   50.61