Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 February 2008 at 22:36:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 February 2008, Chelsea vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.83     4.34    51.39    70.48    95.93    99.76    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         26   58  +36      83.87     4.21    50.36    27.00    85.63    98.71    99.86    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         26   55  +21      77.63     4.45    30.77     2.50    17.52    83.22    95.48    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.78     4.61    25.24     0.00     0.21     6.64    32.35    77.38     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   44  +23      69.03     4.68    34.41     0.03     0.65     9.43    48.52    86.47     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.43     4.31    20.93     0.00     0.03     0.93     9.87    51.43     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        26   44   +5      62.96     4.84     8.94     0.00     0.02     0.81     6.87    35.08     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.83     4.69    18.60     0.00     0.00     0.49     6.21    37.98     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.58     4.82     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.53     6.66     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.86     4.89     9.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     4.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.74     4.90    12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.72     4.07   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.30R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.64     4.24   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.65R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.52     4.41   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.04R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.44     4.20   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.03R    0.01  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.34     4.22   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.32R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      33.99     4.60   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.74R    0.01  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.25     4.69   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.20R    0.03  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.82     4.43   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.70R    0.23  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.74     3.29   -61.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Barnsley vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          31   55  +13      79.14     5.63    18.27    21.57    44.99    93.05    57.25P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   54  +26      82.00     5.57    38.33    45.62    70.59    97.82    79.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     31   54   +0      74.12     5.59    -0.58     4.53    13.84    71.15    23.56P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   53  +13      79.15     5.66    21.57    21.39    46.57    93.42    59.26P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         31   50  +10      73.66     5.69    14.62     4.75    14.24    71.62    29.63P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          31   45   +8      68.77     5.79    12.73     0.66     3.06    40.36    12.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   45   +6      67.44     5.65     8.69     0.49     1.99    30.20     9.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             30   45   +3      67.78     5.92     4.27     0.53     2.31    31.30     9.10P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          31   44   +1      64.76     5.64     1.36     0.09     0.51    15.39     3.84P    0.24R    0.01  
Plymouth         31   43   +5      66.15     5.66     8.71     0.25     1.16    22.81     6.98P    0.19R    0.00  
Cardiff          31   43   +2      64.69     5.70     3.64     0.08     0.49    15.97     4.02P    0.35R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    31   43   -4      61.79     5.57    -6.05     0.01     0.12     6.20     1.43P    1.24R    0.09  
Norwich          31   41   -5      59.65     5.60    -7.49     0.01     0.05     2.91     0.68P    3.21R    0.23  
Barnsley         31   40   -9      57.05     5.47   -14.33     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.21P    8.10R    0.94  
QPR              31   39   -5      58.73     5.63    -6.49     0.01     0.03     2.17     0.51P    4.89R    0.57  
Blackpool        31   38   +0      58.07     5.68    -0.94     0.01     0.03     2.00     0.56P    5.47R    0.60  
Sheff_Utd        31   38   -2      57.48     5.56    -3.51     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.37P    6.63R    0.78  
Southampton      31   38  -10      54.57     5.44   -17.19     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P   17.37R    3.00  
Coventry         30   35  -12      53.49     5.81   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   25.49R    6.24  
Leicester        31   34   -1      54.05     5.52    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   17.81R    3.54  
Preston          31   33   -8      49.71     5.40   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.28R   14.23  
Sheff_Wed        30   31   -7      51.30     5.88    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   35.81R   10.66  
Scunthorpe       31   31  -16      46.85     5.37   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.32R   34.91  
Colchester       30   28   -8      48.12     5.83   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.44R   24.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          29   61  +31      96.75     5.59    51.45    95.86    99.27   100.00    99.50P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        30   53  +18      80.81     5.72    26.96     1.90    39.35    93.73    53.21P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     29   49  +22      78.85     5.93    31.46     1.18    29.13    88.48    47.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   49  +12      77.33     6.02    19.82     0.86    18.60    81.77    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          31   49  +12      72.64     5.41    16.65     0.06     3.51    55.93    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         31   47   +6      68.24     5.48     7.34     0.00     0.64    24.03     5.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   46   -4      65.14     5.44    -6.24     0.00     0.17     9.65     1.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            31   45  +23      74.34     5.26    36.61     0.12     7.60    71.98    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         30   44   +3      68.29     5.83     6.80     0.01     0.77    25.65     4.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham           29   40   +4      67.65     6.02    10.43     0.01     0.61    23.23     5.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          29   40   +3      63.82     5.89     4.11     0.00     0.12     9.30     1.75P    0.14R    0.00  
Northampton      31   40   -4      58.75     5.44    -6.69     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.19P    1.25R    0.00  
Huddersfield     29   40  -12      56.75     5.66   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.08P    3.98R    0.02  
Brighton         28   38   +4      63.01     6.21     4.60     0.00     0.18     8.38     1.77P    0.31R    0.00  
Yeovil           31   38   -8      55.03     5.23   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.11R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   28   37   +0      60.94     6.18    -0.94     0.00     0.04     3.76     0.72P    1.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool       30   36   +0      59.85     5.79     3.07     0.00     0.01     2.14     0.41P    1.27R    0.01  
Cheltenham       30   34  -15      49.03     5.26   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.32R    1.07  
Bournemouth      31   32  -14      48.44     5.21   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.17R    1.40  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.66     5.55   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.01R    1.44  
Crewe            31   31  -19      45.94     5.20   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.74R    5.23  
Millwall         29   30  -15      48.18     5.77   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.21R    3.08  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.23     5.48   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.24R   12.87  
Port_Vale        31   22  -21      35.29     5.00   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.13R   74.84  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Bradford vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   31   62  +29      92.47     5.31    43.95    46.50    89.35    99.95    93.17P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           29   56  +28      90.81     5.72    44.70    33.83    82.54    99.82    89.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             29   55  +18      84.90     6.05    28.27     7.64    42.51    97.34    56.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   54  +15      83.30     5.89    25.95     3.28    30.22    95.81    49.05P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   53  +23      84.89     5.89    36.67     8.19    45.31    97.86    62.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   50   +8      71.21     5.54     9.11     0.01     0.74    38.55     8.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         31   48  +14      71.45     5.62    18.50     0.02     1.06    44.05    10.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             28   47   +8      77.14     6.54    16.15     0.52     7.79    75.50    21.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            30   47   +5      68.99     5.93     4.70     0.01     0.41    25.38     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            31   47   +1      67.59     5.58     1.06     0.00     0.06    17.14     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              31   42   -4      59.81     5.35    -8.04     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            29   40   -8      60.09     6.04   -13.16     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.26P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   39   -1      58.91     5.51    -2.15     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.16P    0.06R    0.00  
Bradford             29   38   +1      59.79     6.08    -1.38     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.44P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester              30   37   -5      56.38     5.62    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    0.36R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   30   36  -19      53.62     5.71   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.88R    0.31  
Barnet               27   35   -6      57.81     6.42   -10.82     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.20P    0.40R    0.04  
Lincoln_City         31   34  -13      50.16     5.40   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.79R    0.72  
Macclesfield         31   31  -14      50.64     5.70   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.10R    1.03  
Notts_County         30   30  -12      47.60     5.60   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.02R    2.54  
Bury                 29   28  -12      46.75     5.93   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.76R    4.09  
Mansfield            28   25  -10      47.68     6.34   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.67R    4.38  
Dag_&_Red            30   25  -25      37.15     4.96   -40.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.10R   59.80  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.59     5.65   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.72R   27.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 February 2008, Forest_Green vs Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           30   67  +23      95.01     5.80    33.26    32.31    97.61    46.13P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             28   61  +25      97.59     5.87    47.15    58.59    99.08    68.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           29   56  +27      85.99     6.12    37.52     4.11    73.67    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       29   54  +20      84.58     6.03    32.27     1.90    65.07    18.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       29   54  +18      85.06     5.90    29.80     2.17    68.21    20.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              29   51  +17      82.86     5.75    32.19     0.77    54.58    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        29   50  +11      77.76     6.07    17.93     0.11    20.95     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    28   46   +8      73.35     6.29    12.10     0.02     6.85     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.44     5.53     7.77     0.00     0.56     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        28   45  +14      73.90     6.34    20.38     0.02     9.55     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
York                29   45   +4      66.96     5.94     1.05     0.00     0.75     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.47     6.10     9.09     0.00     2.57     0.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.01     5.68    -3.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.61     6.27     1.76     0.00     0.52     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.52     5.42    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              31   39   -3      58.96     5.34    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.76     5.75     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             27   31   -2      54.67     6.55    -6.02     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            28   26  -13      47.22     6.10   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58R    0.00  
Altrincham          30   26  -23      39.16     5.09   -40.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.79R    0.07  
Farsley_Celtic      28   21  -26      37.79     5.75   -40.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.68R    0.58  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.33     4.67   -53.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.57R   26.20  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      26.96     5.36   -49.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.81R   23.58  
Droylsden           29   13  -43      24.25     4.83   -67.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.56R   49.58