Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 February 2008 at 22:36:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Aston_Villa vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.66     4.36    51.08    50.72    93.63    99.66    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      87.12     4.30    54.16    47.20    92.96    99.66    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      78.13     4.70    31.08     2.06    12.82    83.31    95.65    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   47  +18      67.86     4.60    25.35     0.00     0.10     5.76    34.60    81.64     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   44  +14      64.35     4.29    20.70     0.00     0.00     0.64    10.01    56.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      69.05     4.95    34.08     0.02     0.50    10.30    50.04    88.21     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      26   41  +10      62.74     4.71    18.43     0.00     0.00     0.43     6.41    41.94     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.60     5.04     5.32     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.27    17.23     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.51     4.83     2.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68     7.99     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   37   +7      55.76     4.86     8.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     5.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   32   +7      51.97     4.90    13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.06     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   26   29  -15      39.84     4.09   -25.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.37R    0.00  
Newcastle       26   28  -18      38.62     4.21   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.75R    0.00  
Sunderland      26   26  -19      37.64     4.41   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.60R    0.00  
Bolton          26   25   -9      35.41     4.21   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.55R    0.00  
Wigan           26   23  -18      34.35     4.18   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.08R    0.02  
Birmingham      26   22  -13      34.11     4.61   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.22R    0.01  
Reading         26   22  -23      35.35     4.70   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.90R    0.02  
Fulham          26   19  -19      30.78     4.42   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.54R    0.20  
Derby           26    9  -42      14.73     3.30   -61.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.74  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Barnsley vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Watford          31   55  +13      79.11     5.61    18.27    21.99    45.26    93.09    57.47P    0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        31   54  +26      81.87     5.60    38.09    45.10    69.94    97.80    79.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     31   54   +0      74.02     5.62    -0.71     4.74    13.84    70.53    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   53  +13      79.06     5.69    21.50    21.14    46.48    93.19    58.93P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         31   50  +10      73.58     5.72    14.50     4.71    14.17    71.09    29.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          31   45   +8      68.78     5.80    12.74     0.68     3.26    40.25    13.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   45   +6      67.49     5.64     8.76     0.50     2.10    30.38     9.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Hull             30   45   +3      67.72     5.96     4.17     0.61     2.38    31.31     9.37P    0.10R    0.01  
Burnley          31   44   +1      64.66     5.68     1.21     0.10     0.57    15.29     3.97P    0.29R    0.01  
Plymouth         31   43   +5      66.21     5.68     8.81     0.28     1.15    23.34     7.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Cardiff          31   43   +2      64.80     5.78     3.80     0.12     0.61    16.81     4.29P    0.35R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    31   43   -4      61.77     5.55    -6.10     0.01     0.11     6.17     1.33P    1.21R    0.08  
Norwich          31   41   -5      59.68     5.59    -7.41     0.01     0.05     3.04     0.71P    3.17R    0.25  
Barnsley         31   40   -9      57.10     5.47   -14.25     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.22P    8.02R    0.92  
QPR              31   39   -5      58.74     5.65    -6.46     0.00     0.04     2.15     0.45P    4.84R    0.54  
Blackpool        31   38   +0      57.99     5.64    -1.07     0.00     0.03     1.86     0.49P    5.49R    0.59  
Sheff_Utd        31   38   -2      57.59     5.61    -3.37     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.40P    6.50R    0.80  
Southampton      31   38  -10      54.63     5.46   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   17.43R    3.01  
Coventry         30   35  -12      53.58     5.79   -17.30     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   25.07R    5.89  
Leicester        31   34   -1      54.11     5.50    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   17.54R    3.48  
Preston          31   33   -8      49.75     5.41   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    47.23R   14.07  
Sheff_Wed        30   31   -7      51.32     5.90    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   35.87R   10.92  
Scunthorpe       31   31  -16      46.75     5.29   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.60R   35.38  
Colchester       30   28   -8      48.19     5.83   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   56.06R   24.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Cheltenham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          29   61  +31      96.81     5.60    51.61    95.97    99.25    99.99    99.45P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        30   53  +18      80.84     5.69    26.97     1.74    39.47    93.80    53.26P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     29   49  +22      78.81     5.91    31.43     1.20    28.67    88.28    47.45P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   49  +12      77.32     6.02    19.84     0.84    19.01    81.50    32.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          31   49  +12      72.71     5.47    16.75     0.08     3.47    56.43    15.92P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         31   47   +6      68.14     5.45     7.22     0.00     0.56    23.32     4.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   46   -4      65.06     5.46    -6.41     0.00     0.15     9.42     1.35P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds            31   45  +23      74.28     5.26    36.52     0.14     7.41    71.23    29.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         30   44   +3      68.43     5.86     7.02     0.02     0.87    26.11     4.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           29   40   +4      67.87     6.00    10.75     0.01     0.75    24.44     5.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon          29   40   +3      63.64     5.94     3.84     0.00     0.19     9.07     1.84P    0.16R    0.00  
Northampton      31   40   -4      58.75     5.43    -6.68     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.16P    1.26R    0.00  
Huddersfield     29   40  -12      56.73     5.68   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.10P    4.15R    0.02  
Brighton         28   38   +4      63.01     6.22     4.57     0.00     0.16     8.43     1.70P    0.33R    0.00  
Yeovil           31   38   -8      55.04     5.22   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    5.82R    0.03  
Bristol_Rovers   28   37   +0      60.93     6.21    -0.95     0.00     0.04     3.96     0.77P    0.97R    0.00  
Hartlepool       30   36   +0      59.84     5.74     3.08     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.38P    1.26R    0.01  
Cheltenham       30   34  -15      49.08     5.29   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.71R    1.08  
Bournemouth      31   32  -14      48.41     5.17   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.80R    1.57  
Gillingham       30   32  -15      49.68     5.56   -22.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.71R    1.43  
Crewe            31   31  -19      45.87     5.17   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.90R    5.55  
Millwall         29   30  -15      47.99     5.80   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   43.94R    3.27  
Luton            30   24  -11      42.26     5.51   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.93R   13.08  
Port_Vale        31   22  -21      35.43     5.00   -32.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.01R   73.96  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Bradford vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   31   62  +29      92.52     5.29    43.99    46.25    89.23    99.97    93.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           29   56  +28      90.92     5.71    44.84    34.20    82.75    99.82    89.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             29   55  +18      84.91     6.10    28.25     7.63    42.71    97.23    57.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   54  +15      83.27     5.89    25.89     3.25    29.93    95.93    48.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         29   53  +23      85.03     5.88    36.87     8.15    45.88    98.11    62.68P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   50   +8      71.18     5.54     9.09     0.01     0.70    38.50     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         31   48  +14      71.37     5.61    18.37     0.02     0.90    43.50    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             28   47   +8      77.01     6.51    15.96     0.49     7.44    75.30    21.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            30   47   +5      69.04     5.92     4.78     0.01     0.36    25.75     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            31   47   +1      67.56     5.59     0.98     0.00     0.08    16.99     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              31   42   -4      59.70     5.38    -8.21     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            29   40   -8      60.08     6.06   -13.21     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.29P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           31   39   -1      58.96     5.56    -2.08     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.20P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             29   38   +1      59.80     6.08    -1.33     0.00     0.01     2.72     0.50P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester              30   37   -5      56.31     5.68    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P    0.42R    0.05  
Accrington_Stanley   30   36  -19      53.59     5.70   -26.70     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.84R    0.31  
Barnet               27   35   -6      57.72     6.52   -10.95     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.19P    0.55R    0.05  
Lincoln_City         31   34  -13      50.13     5.43   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.07R    0.81  
Macclesfield         31   31  -14      50.64     5.71   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.22R    1.04  
Notts_County         30   30  -12      47.54     5.62   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.16R    2.46  
Bury                 29   28  -12      46.76     5.86   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.54R    4.17  
Mansfield            28   25  -10      47.80     6.31   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.44R    4.36  
Dag_&_Red            30   25  -25      37.24     4.95   -40.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.12R   59.43  
Wrexham              29   24  -21      40.63     5.61   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.40R   27.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           30   67  +23      95.02     5.81    33.25    31.60    97.54    45.74P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             28   61  +25      97.71     5.92    47.45    59.23    99.04    69.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           29   56  +27      85.98     6.15    37.50     3.90    73.79    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       29   54  +20      84.71     6.01    32.47     1.99    65.59    18.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       29   54  +18      85.07     5.93    29.88     2.23    67.99    20.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              29   51  +17      82.93     5.81    32.22     0.85    54.85    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.95     6.32    16.58     0.08    14.40     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    28   46   +8      73.50     6.34    12.28     0.01     7.34     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           31   46   +6      67.46     5.53     7.77     0.00     0.60     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.40     6.62    21.59     0.11    15.10     3.73P    0.00     0.00  
York                29   45   +4      66.95     5.98     0.97     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              29   44   +4      70.34     6.06     8.91     0.00     2.37     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       30   41   +0      61.05     5.65    -2.94     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      28   40   +0      65.55     6.30     1.66     0.00     0.52     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          31   40   -2      60.41     5.42    -1.94     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              31   39   -3      58.99     5.34    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   30   35   +1      57.66     5.81     2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             27   31   -2      54.68     6.60    -6.03     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            28   26  -13      47.31     6.14   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.57R    0.00  
Altrincham          30   26  -23      39.10     5.10   -40.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71R    0.05  
Farsley_Celtic      28   21  -26      37.77     5.75   -40.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    0.52  
Northwich           30   15  -35      26.40     4.72   -53.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.17R   25.69  
Stafford_Rangers    28   13  -31      27.00     5.35   -49.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   22.92  
Droylsden           29   13  -43      24.11     4.80   -67.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.64R   50.82