Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 February 2008 at 22:37:24 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.70     4.34    51.19    52.56    94.08    99.66    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.89     4.33    53.71    45.36    92.70    99.66    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      77.99     4.71    30.85     2.06    12.57    82.69    95.56    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.77     4.76    27.23     0.00     0.16     6.22    36.30    82.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      68.99     4.92    34.04     0.02     0.48    10.62    50.95    89.18     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   41  +11      63.47     4.53    19.15     0.00     0.01     0.59     8.35    51.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.72     5.07     5.51     0.00     0.00     0.21     2.64    20.35     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.35     4.81     1.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61     8.75     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.29     5.00    17.72     0.00     0.00     0.27     4.53    34.67     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.16     5.17    10.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.08    11.32     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      51.00     5.12    11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.01     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   28  -15      39.32     4.42   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.78R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   26  -16      38.33     4.39   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.53R    0.00  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.71     4.52   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.08R    0.00  
Wigan           25   23  -16      36.05     4.53   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.74R    0.03  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.69     4.70   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.26R    0.05  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.55     4.84   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.86R    0.08  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.41     4.78   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    0.07  
Fulham          25   19  -18      32.21     4.71   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.72R    0.24  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.47     3.54   -59.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 February 2008, Charlton vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.25     5.79    40.85    64.86    83.83    98.89    88.77P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.11     5.86    16.66    12.98    35.15    85.76    47.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.53     5.85    -1.52     2.85    11.07    59.11    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      77.04     5.93    18.78    11.26    35.57    86.10    48.96P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         31   50  +10      73.58     5.70    14.46     4.14    15.21    70.35    29.94P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.78     6.06    14.73     1.83     8.49    52.68    20.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   45   +6      67.42     5.62     8.68     0.41     2.29    29.32     9.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.55     6.20     4.88     0.93     4.01    35.66    11.65P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.74     5.93     5.66     0.29     1.75    25.72     7.51P    0.14R    0.01  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.74     5.93     2.35     0.23     1.27    20.26     5.69P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.66     5.81    -3.21     0.08     0.51    11.20     2.79P    0.52R    0.02  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.13     5.92     7.24     0.11     0.66    14.35     4.52P    0.63R    0.05  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.04     5.76    -9.84     0.00     0.02     1.29     0.31P    8.44R    1.08  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.25     5.72   -15.58     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.16P   10.86R    1.45  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.96     5.85    -1.53     0.00     0.05     2.30     0.60P    5.82R    0.63  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.75     5.82    -2.36     0.01     0.05     2.60     0.68P    4.66R    0.54  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.50     5.64   -17.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.10P   17.77R    2.83  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.53     5.91    -8.32     0.00     0.02     1.07     0.25P   10.70R    1.74  
Coventry         29   35  -11      54.96     6.06   -16.32     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.13P   18.46R    3.74  
Leicester        30   34   +0      55.91     5.78     0.17     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.26P   10.75R    1.74  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.70     6.19    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.10P   27.10R    7.13  
Preston          30   30   -9      48.07     5.69   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   57.20R   21.01  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.61     5.55   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   69.27R   33.52  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.82     6.09   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   57.32R   24.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.34     5.80    53.37    97.20    99.58   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.27     5.99    25.03     0.81    30.74    88.47    44.88P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.42     6.31    20.94     1.07    26.27    84.40    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.67     6.25    30.23     0.66    24.51    82.73    42.39P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      71.04     5.63    14.66     0.03     2.31    43.32    11.84P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.33     5.78     8.43     0.02     1.39    30.98     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.65     5.65    -7.56     0.00     0.23     9.04     1.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.45     5.52    37.78     0.17    12.31    76.51    35.58P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      67.08     6.14     6.42     0.01     0.71    20.62     3.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      65.87     6.18     6.12     0.00     0.58    16.22     3.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.43     5.66    -7.75     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.19P    1.40R    0.01  
Brighton         27   38   +5      65.20     6.45     6.84     0.01     0.55    14.89     3.46P    0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.41     5.50   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    3.25R    0.02  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.78     6.29    10.50     0.00     0.61    20.16     5.19P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   37   +2      62.34     6.48     1.13     0.00     0.18     6.79     1.47P    0.54R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.39     5.92   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    9.15R    0.13  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.06     6.05     3.78     0.00     0.03     3.99     0.75P    0.77R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.22     5.73   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.16R    1.09  
Cheltenham       29   31  -16      46.67     5.46   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.05R    3.24  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.44     5.94   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.17R    2.75  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.23     5.31   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.07R    6.38  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.45     5.38   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.67R    5.10  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.29     5.86   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.80R    5.59  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      35.00     5.19   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.60R   75.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.07     5.56    44.19    50.46    88.78    99.87    92.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.71     5.95    44.49    25.61    74.93    99.16    84.46P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      83.17     6.07    25.26     3.80    28.18    91.75    45.39P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.65     6.08    39.18    12.96    55.25    97.35    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.69     6.28    25.76     5.56    32.69    92.53    47.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.58     5.80    11.56     0.06     1.77    42.55    10.52P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      73.97     5.85    22.27     0.14     2.52    49.20    14.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.72     6.77    19.12     1.37    14.82    77.96    28.23P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.81     5.88     3.31     0.00     0.33    19.83     3.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            29   46   +5      70.14     6.19     5.92     0.03     0.68    22.82     4.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.81     5.52   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.08R    0.01  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.36     6.33   -13.51     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.20P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.79     6.33     0.61     0.00     0.02     3.08     0.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.43     5.79    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.12P    0.05R    0.01  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.46     5.95    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P    0.12R    0.01  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.51     6.69   -11.01     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.19P    0.24R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.16     5.85   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.50R    0.82  
Lincoln_City         30   31  -14      47.30     5.54   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.32R    2.36  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.47     5.82   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.56R    2.58  
Macclesfield         30   28  -15      48.49     5.94   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.94R    2.29  
Bury                 28   25  -13      44.22     6.13   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.45R    9.22  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      38.07     5.15   -37.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.96R   45.29  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      40.12     5.79   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.44R   28.92  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.30     6.52   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.29R    8.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.80     6.02    31.93    27.83    95.47    41.73P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.97     6.12    48.40    56.28    98.38    66.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.55     6.38    38.90     7.74    78.56    27.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.69     6.25    34.35     4.77    74.24    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.44     6.13    28.84     1.66    54.62    16.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.38     6.00    32.42     1.44    55.55    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.91     6.36    16.49     0.08    13.39     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.44     6.66    21.68     0.12    14.20     3.49P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.81     6.59    12.20     0.04     8.17     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.88     6.29    13.74     0.01     5.49     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.32     5.76     7.45     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.97     6.15    -1.64     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.48     5.89    -3.72     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.36     6.61     4.37     0.00     1.19     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.61     5.60    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.46     5.63    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.58     6.04     3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.65     6.78    -6.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.38     6.45   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.11     5.33   -44.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.83R    0.54  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.68     5.96   -38.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.99R    0.49  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.17     4.94   -53.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.64R   22.51  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.07     5.24   -64.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.98R   33.37  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.57     5.57   -51.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.19R   43.09