Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 February 2008 at 22:36:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.76     4.35    51.36    53.14    94.02    99.69    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.88     4.30    53.72    44.83    92.22    99.65    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      78.14     4.72    31.05     2.01    13.15    83.20    95.83    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.61     4.80    26.95     0.00     0.10     6.01    35.43    81.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      69.01     4.96    34.10     0.02     0.50    10.38    51.35    89.02     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   41  +11      63.44     4.54    19.08     0.00     0.01     0.53     8.34    51.63     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.65     5.01     5.42     0.00     0.00     0.19     2.48    19.71     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.37     4.85     1.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70     9.17     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.46     4.96    17.92     0.00     0.00     0.28     4.70    36.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.26     5.11    10.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.21    11.57     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      50.86     5.14    10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   28  -15      39.31     4.40   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.69R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   26  -16      38.25     4.37   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.95R    0.01  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.69     4.51   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.06R    0.00  
Wigan           25   23  -16      36.01     4.55   -24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.81R    0.02  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.76     4.69   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.71R    0.05  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.63     4.85   -31.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.62R    0.04  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.43     4.82   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.75R    0.04  
Fulham          25   19  -18      32.13     4.71   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.40R    0.27  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.48     3.56   -59.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.57  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.22     5.81    40.82    64.92    84.26    98.93    89.05P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.15     5.89    16.69    13.49    36.64    85.80    48.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.37     5.84    -1.69     2.81    10.67    58.16    18.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      76.99     5.94    18.71    11.62    35.81    85.95    49.30P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +8      71.47     5.97    11.77     2.45     9.59    55.90    21.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.88     6.00    14.88     1.78     8.67    53.92    21.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   45   +8      69.22     5.87    11.37     1.12     5.47    41.93    16.13P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.48     6.22     4.78     1.00     4.14    35.38    11.47P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.74     5.93     5.65     0.37     1.87    26.30     7.76P    0.12R    0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.72     5.93     2.27     0.22     1.39    20.48     5.71P    0.24R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.64     5.81    -3.25     0.08     0.53    11.53     2.83P    0.52R    0.03  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.34     5.88     7.55     0.12     0.79    15.39     4.81P    0.44R    0.04  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.07     5.77    -9.83     0.00     0.02     1.24     0.28P    8.35R    0.99  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.30     5.68   -15.41     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.17P   10.70R    1.44  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.92     5.80    -1.60     0.00     0.04     2.17     0.58P    5.55R    0.59  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.70     5.86    -2.44     0.01     0.05     2.51     0.65P    4.96R    0.57  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.50     5.64   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P   18.15R    2.99  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.63     5.89    -8.19     0.00     0.02     1.17     0.24P   10.07R    1.38  
Coventry         29   35  -11      55.05     6.08   -16.15     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.13P   18.04R    3.66  
Leicester        30   34   +0      55.92     5.75     0.21     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.23P   10.67R    1.81  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.67     6.19    -8.21     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.10P   27.23R    7.06  
Preston          30   30   -9      48.05     5.64   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.47R   21.17  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.57     5.51   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   69.66R   33.54  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.77     6.06   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.73R   24.71  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.31     5.76    53.24    97.19    99.59   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.24     5.99    25.00     0.94    30.09    88.54    44.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.44     6.28    20.99     0.99    26.10    84.39    38.20P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.92     6.14    30.57     0.65    25.35    84.07    43.81P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      71.18     5.62    14.86     0.02     2.31    44.17    11.87P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.43     5.74     8.56     0.02     1.40    31.25     7.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.73     5.66    -7.43     0.00     0.24     9.20     1.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.44     5.50    37.72     0.18    12.35    76.46    35.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      66.91     6.16     6.16     0.00     0.63    19.53     3.64P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      65.76     6.25     5.94     0.00     0.64    15.88     3.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.50     5.64    -7.69     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.18P    1.42R    0.00  
Brighton         27   38   +5      65.09     6.43     6.70     0.01     0.60    14.39     3.36P    0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.33     5.43   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    3.09R    0.02  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.70     6.21    10.37     0.00     0.50    19.32     4.75P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   37   +2      62.31     6.44     1.10     0.00     0.16     6.79     1.37P    0.52R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.29     5.90   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    8.96R    0.11  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.21     6.06     4.04     0.00     0.02     4.24     0.81P    0.77R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.22     5.69   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   25.85R    1.14  
Cheltenham       29   31  -16      46.59     5.42   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.40R    3.25  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.55     5.88   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.91R    2.61  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.08     5.31   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.10R    7.05  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.40     5.35   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.17R    5.48  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.23     5.87   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.11R    5.80  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      35.14     5.24   -33.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.32R   74.53  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.14     5.55    44.36    50.52    88.97    99.90    92.67P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.84     5.94    44.74    26.02    75.72    99.20    84.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      83.13     6.06    25.19     3.65    27.69    91.81    44.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.69     6.04    39.24    12.86    55.29    97.49    67.82P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.72     6.27    25.79     5.33    32.36    92.57    47.55P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.55     5.79    11.50     0.08     1.81    42.55    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      74.02     5.84    22.35     0.12     2.61    49.76    14.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.64     6.81    18.95     1.41    14.57    77.54    27.96P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.77     5.85     3.24     0.00     0.31    19.40     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            29   46   +5      70.04     6.16     5.71     0.01     0.62    22.40     4.45P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.82     5.50   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.07R    0.01  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.56     6.35   -13.17     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.84     6.38     0.69     0.00     0.01     3.17     0.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.43     5.78    -1.94     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.14P    0.04R    0.01  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.60     5.99    -7.11     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P    0.10R    0.02  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.37     6.71   -11.23     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.16P    0.19R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.19     5.90   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.58R    0.79  
Lincoln_City         30   31  -14      47.38     5.55   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.77R    2.29  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.33     5.84   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.98R    2.80  
Macclesfield         30   28  -15      48.53     5.93   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.74R    2.32  
Bury                 28   25  -13      44.30     6.12   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.61R    8.70  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      38.01     5.18   -38.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.77R   44.73  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      39.89     5.73   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.70R   29.83  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.18     6.51   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    8.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.91     6.02    32.04    28.30    95.56    42.52P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      97.00     6.11    48.45    56.36    98.45    66.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.53     6.31    38.91     7.46    78.77    27.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.65     6.23    34.30     4.73    74.19    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.39     6.16    28.73     1.54    54.39    16.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.20     6.04    32.14     1.37    54.70    14.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.99     6.35    16.64     0.08    13.71     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.43     6.65    21.69     0.11    14.25     3.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.89     6.59    12.32     0.04     8.44     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.94     6.26    13.84     0.01     5.55     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.47     5.77     7.72     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.89     6.13    -1.78     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.54     5.83    -3.62     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.52     6.56     4.55     0.00     1.20     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.48     5.58    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.53     5.66    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.47     6.04     3.09     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.43     6.83    -6.85     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.41     6.44   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.19     5.36   -43.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.13R    0.48  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.70     6.02   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.05R    0.54  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.11     4.91   -53.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.94R   22.68  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.04     5.21   -64.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   33.60  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.58     5.53   -51.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.35R   42.70