Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 February 2008 at 22:36:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.73     4.34    51.24    53.19    94.04    99.66    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.81     4.32    53.58    44.74    92.23    99.66    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      78.04     4.74    30.91     2.05    13.09    83.09    95.71    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.66     4.75    27.05     0.00     0.15     5.86    35.62    82.21     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      68.99     4.95    34.06     0.01     0.48    10.52    51.11    88.78     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   41  +11      63.53     4.53    19.28     0.00     0.01     0.63     8.50    52.47     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.76     5.04     5.55     0.00     0.00     0.19     2.64    20.33     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.44     4.87     2.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.70     9.17     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.33     4.99    17.77     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.68    34.70     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.26     5.12    10.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.07    11.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      51.01     5.11    11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   28  -15      39.28     4.41   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.84R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   26  -16      38.39     4.41   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.61R    0.00  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.60     4.48   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.05R    0.00  
Wigan           25   23  -16      36.04     4.58   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.53R    0.02  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.57     4.66   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.49R    0.03  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.51     4.81   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.24R    0.06  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.43     4.81   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.64R    0.06  
Fulham          25   19  -18      32.18     4.73   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.59R    0.29  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.52     3.59   -59.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.20     5.86    40.78    65.59    83.96    98.77    88.67P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.09     5.88    16.62    13.19    36.24    85.58    48.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.53     5.80    -1.46     2.84    11.27    59.03    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      76.90     5.93    18.52    10.94    35.43    85.69    48.78P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +8      71.53     5.95    11.84     2.57     9.76    56.33    21.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.86     5.98    14.85     1.85     8.81    53.47    20.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   45   +8      69.20     5.86    11.32     1.14     5.39    41.55    15.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.63     6.18     4.99     1.09     4.36    36.28    12.01P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.74     5.99     5.67     0.33     1.96    25.88     7.80P    0.17R    0.01  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.82     5.93     2.44     0.20     1.38    20.82     6.01P    0.24R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.72     5.79    -3.11     0.12     0.55    11.49     2.97P    0.50R    0.04  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.22     5.89     7.38     0.12     0.72    14.64     4.59P    0.54R    0.03  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.09     5.74    -9.78     0.00     0.03     1.28     0.32P    8.28R    1.01  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.32     5.74   -15.43     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.18P   10.65R    1.41  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.93     5.85    -1.60     0.00     0.06     2.25     0.63P    5.59R    0.64  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.70     5.84    -2.43     0.00     0.05     2.60     0.68P    4.92R    0.53  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.43     5.66   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   17.90R    3.00  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.47     5.92    -8.39     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.24P   10.65R    1.74  
Coventry         29   35  -11      55.08     6.05   -16.11     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.12P   17.80R    3.51  
Leicester        30   34   +0      56.01     5.78     0.32     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.25P   10.38R    1.71  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.66     6.18    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   27.18R    6.83  
Preston          30   30   -9      48.12     5.67   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.75R   20.50  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.51     5.56   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.79R   33.86  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.63     6.06   -13.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   58.50R   25.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.47     5.79    53.60    97.44    99.57   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.24     6.01    25.02     0.81    30.72    88.61    45.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.28     6.29    20.71     0.94    25.59    83.89    37.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.77     6.19    30.33     0.57    24.89    83.38    42.97P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      70.96     5.66    14.53     0.04     2.27    42.79    11.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.36     5.75     8.46     0.03     1.37    30.97     7.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.71     5.67    -7.47     0.00     0.22     9.19     1.36P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.50     5.51    37.82     0.16    12.70    77.03    35.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      67.12     6.17     6.50     0.01     0.74    20.79     4.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      65.95     6.21     6.20     0.00     0.65    16.89     3.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.49     5.62    -7.66     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.17P    1.45R    0.01  
Brighton         27   38   +5      65.05     6.42     6.57     0.00     0.55    14.54     3.29P    0.12R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.26     5.44   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    3.33R    0.01  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.58     6.29    10.29     0.00     0.49    19.32     4.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   37   +2      62.30     6.45     1.05     0.00     0.17     6.84     1.53P    0.52R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.47     5.94   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    8.82R    0.15  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.21     5.98     4.03     0.00     0.04     3.90     0.74P    0.69R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.38     5.73   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   24.94R    1.02  
Cheltenham       29   31  -16      46.57     5.42   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.70R    3.20  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.43     5.88   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.15R    2.65  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.08     5.32   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.94R    6.73  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.44     5.35   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.33R    5.15  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.40     5.88   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.28R    5.40  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      34.97     5.22   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.53R   75.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.06     5.60    44.22    50.74    88.53    99.83    92.34P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.72     5.96    44.53    25.70    74.87    99.14    84.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      83.12     6.05    25.18     3.58    27.68    91.69    44.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.67     6.02    39.20    12.81    55.57    97.49    68.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.68     6.30    25.72     5.44    32.83    92.21    47.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.62     5.77    11.62     0.09     1.83    42.82    10.56P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      74.21     5.82    22.65     0.10     2.78    50.80    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.82     6.77    19.25     1.52    14.88    78.23    28.72P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.71     5.84     3.14     0.00     0.31    18.77     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            29   46   +5      70.02     6.17     5.72     0.02     0.68    22.03     4.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.72     5.54   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    0.11R    0.01  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.44     6.33   -13.32     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.70     6.34     0.45     0.00     0.01     2.94     0.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.44     5.77    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.54     5.94    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P    0.10R    0.01  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.71     6.67   -10.76     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.20P    0.23R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.15     5.92   -29.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.65R    0.87  
Lincoln_City         30   31  -14      47.31     5.57   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.19R    2.27  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.25     5.83   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.16R    2.93  
Macclesfield         30   28  -15      48.47     5.97   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.06R    2.42  
Bury                 28   25  -13      44.25     6.09   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.97R    8.93  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      38.02     5.16   -38.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.67R   45.21  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      40.11     5.80   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.52R   28.73  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.22     6.49   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.24R    8.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.81     6.02    31.92    27.69    95.47    41.68P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      97.00     6.11    48.49    56.67    98.43    66.94P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.56     6.36    38.95     7.61    78.62    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.75     6.27    34.43     4.76    74.81    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.37     6.21    28.70     1.69    54.48    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.31     6.05    32.28     1.33    55.39    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.92     6.34    16.51     0.07    13.42     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.32     6.61    21.53     0.11    13.66     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.70     6.60    12.07     0.05     8.00     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.87     6.33    13.76     0.01     5.64     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.39     5.77     7.56     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.99     6.20    -1.63     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.59     5.89    -3.57     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.32     6.57     4.30     0.00     1.18     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.74     5.66    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.41     5.60    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.64     6.08     3.37     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.55     6.79    -6.67     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.32     6.46   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.01  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.15     5.36   -44.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.07R    0.49  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.76     6.06   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.06R    0.50  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.11     4.93   -53.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.71R   22.79  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.19     5.25   -64.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.45R   32.65  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.51     5.53   -51.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.33R   43.56