Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 February 2008 at 22:36:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.76     4.34    51.29    53.06    94.08    99.66    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.86     4.31    53.71    44.92    92.61    99.69    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      78.04     4.72    30.90     2.00    12.76    83.15    95.88    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.62     4.75    26.97     0.01     0.16     5.90    34.88    82.50     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      69.03     4.89    34.12     0.01     0.39    10.40    51.72    89.50     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   41  +11      63.36     4.55    18.93     0.00     0.00     0.61     8.22    51.05     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.61     5.06     5.34     0.00     0.00     0.21     2.57    19.71     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.40     4.82     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66     8.94     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.34     4.99    17.76     0.00     0.00     0.28     4.83    35.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.41     5.13    10.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.26    12.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      50.84     5.13    10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   28  -15      39.27     4.41   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.11R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   26  -16      38.39     4.41   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.62R    0.01  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.61     4.54   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.55R    0.01  
Wigan           25   23  -16      36.16     4.55   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.02R    0.03  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.69     4.66   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.87R    0.03  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.60     4.83   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.01R    0.06  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.46     4.79   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.53R    0.09  
Fulham          25   19  -18      32.16     4.70   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.30R    0.29  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.46     3.57   -59.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   99.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.17     5.82    40.69    65.22    84.01    98.87    88.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.09     5.87    16.61    13.17    35.89    85.69    48.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.68     5.82    -1.27     3.03    11.56    60.33    20.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      76.87     5.96    18.50    11.20    35.39    85.37    48.63P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +8      71.54     5.97    11.89     2.64    10.06    56.51    22.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.79     6.07    14.77     1.95     8.84    52.94    20.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   45   +8      69.16     5.89    11.26     1.10     5.19    41.36    15.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.44     6.23     4.69     0.94     4.15    35.03    11.36P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.79     5.99     5.74     0.35     2.01    26.42     7.86P    0.18R    0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.85     5.93     2.46     0.20     1.45    21.08     5.93P    0.23R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.61     5.76    -3.28     0.08     0.50    10.98     2.73P    0.52R    0.03  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.21     5.92     7.35     0.11     0.80    15.00     4.73P    0.51R    0.03  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.02     5.76    -9.88     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.27P    8.38R    1.07  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.33     5.74   -15.45     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.20P   10.82R    1.44  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.92     5.88    -1.62     0.00     0.05     2.21     0.62P    5.82R    0.67  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.66     5.83    -2.49     0.00     0.04     2.47     0.65P    4.94R    0.63  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.42     5.65   -17.10     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.09P   18.31R    2.92  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.69     5.92    -8.06     0.00     0.02     1.26     0.29P   10.04R    1.54  
Coventry         29   35  -11      54.91     6.10   -16.35     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.14P   18.55R    3.91  
Leicester        30   34   +0      56.03     5.78     0.38     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.26P   10.44R    1.65  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.80     6.12    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   26.30R    6.39  
Preston          30   30   -9      48.14     5.67   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   56.83R   20.51  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.46     5.51   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.52R   34.58  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.81     6.03   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.47R   24.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bristol_Rovers vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.49     5.73    53.55    97.44    99.62   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.25     6.00    25.02     0.83    30.33    88.76    44.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.47     6.31    21.02     1.02    26.60    84.55    38.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.78     6.20    30.35     0.54    24.89    83.44    43.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      71.04     5.63    14.63     0.03     2.25    43.68    11.83P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.35     5.79     8.46     0.02     1.39    30.82     7.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.72     5.60    -7.45     0.00     0.18     9.03     1.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.34     5.49    37.56     0.11    12.04    76.31    35.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      66.99     6.12     6.32     0.01     0.68    20.14     3.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      65.91     6.24     6.20     0.00     0.68    16.75     3.75P    0.05R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.40     5.62    -7.77     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.19P    1.44R    0.02  
Brighton         27   38   +5      65.03     6.43     6.61     0.01     0.53    14.33     3.34P    0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.38     5.44   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    3.21R    0.02  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.62     6.26    10.25     0.00     0.57    19.36     5.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   37   +2      62.36     6.41     1.15     0.00     0.17     6.83     1.42P    0.49R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.31     5.91   -24.40     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.05P    9.17R    0.13  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.18     5.98     3.98     0.00     0.03     4.11     0.73P    0.68R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.20     5.69   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    25.64R    1.19  
Cheltenham       29   31  -16      46.60     5.42   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.81R    3.40  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.48     5.92   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.12R    2.68  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.17     5.32   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.20R    6.96  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.43     5.34   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.19R    5.41  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.36     5.89   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.32R    5.53  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      35.14     5.25   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.41R   74.66  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2008, Bury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.07     5.57    44.29    50.33    88.66    99.85    92.56P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.91     5.93    44.83    26.51    76.42    99.19    85.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      82.97     6.08    24.94     3.63    26.95    91.39    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.52     6.02    38.93    12.38    54.41    97.55    67.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.63     6.28    25.67     5.31    32.47    92.53    47.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.52     5.84    11.49     0.06     1.88    42.60    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      74.04     5.85    22.39     0.09     2.71    49.87    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.99     6.74    19.48     1.66    15.44    79.33    29.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.63     5.83     3.04     0.00     0.32    18.73     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            29   46   +5      69.98     6.13     5.68     0.02     0.69    21.70     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.77     5.51   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.07R    0.01  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.47     6.30   -13.24     0.00     0.01     1.57     0.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.85     6.35     0.64     0.00     0.03     3.04     0.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.60     5.82    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.16P    0.04R    0.01  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.54     6.00    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.10P    0.13R    0.01  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.61     6.68   -10.91     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.24P    0.22R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.11     5.96   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.63R    0.87  
Lincoln_City         30   31  -14      47.49     5.56   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.86R    2.26  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.16     5.84   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.67R    2.92  
Macclesfield         30   28  -15      48.48     5.93   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.78R    2.23  
Bury                 28   25  -13      44.27     6.15   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.83R    9.16  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      38.12     5.13   -37.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.30R   44.19  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      40.04     5.76   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.66R   29.43  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.21     6.57   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.76R    8.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.86     6.03    32.00    27.86    95.41    41.67P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.97     6.13    48.44    56.59    98.42    66.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.67     6.30    39.07     7.52    79.04    27.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.79     6.24    34.51     4.79    74.88    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.43     6.18    28.79     1.64    54.67    16.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.34     6.02    32.43     1.36    55.35    14.56P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.92     6.39    16.51     0.09    13.51     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.21     6.64    21.36     0.10    13.44     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.77     6.60    12.13     0.05     7.98     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.92     6.28    13.81     0.01     5.32     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.36     5.78     7.55     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.93     6.17    -1.72     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.44     5.85    -3.75     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.44     6.57     4.47     0.00     1.15     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.74     5.59    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.33     5.56    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.57     6.07     3.22     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.53     6.84    -6.74     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.22     6.46   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.01  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.24     5.35   -43.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.43R    0.52  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.80     6.01   -38.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.81R    0.45  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.05     4.93   -53.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.12R   23.48  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.14     5.21   -64.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.96R   33.01  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.63     5.55   -51.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.27R   42.53