Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 4 February 2008 at 22:36:12 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 25 60 +34 87.73 4.35 51.23 53.12 94.16 99.72 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 58 +37 86.84 4.34 53.66 44.88 92.33 99.60 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 54 +21 77.98 4.73 30.81 1.98 12.90 82.95 95.72 99.77 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 44 +17 67.61 4.79 26.94 0.00 0.15 5.92 35.55 82.03 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 43 +23 68.98 4.95 34.04 0.02 0.46 10.62 50.81 88.83 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 25 41 +11 63.50 4.58 19.16 0.00 0.01 0.68 8.76 52.40 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 41 +4 59.76 5.02 5.55 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.58 20.37 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 25 39 +1 57.46 4.82 2.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.66 9.22 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 25 38 +9 61.32 4.97 17.73 0.00 0.00 0.26 4.81 34.80 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 24 36 +7 57.16 5.16 10.33 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.12 11.43 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 29 +4 51.03 5.15 11.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.15 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 25 28 -15 39.33 4.42 -27.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.61R 0.00 Middlesbrough 25 26 -16 38.37 4.39 -25.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.54R 0.01 Bolton 25 25 -8 36.70 4.52 -17.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.94R 0.00 Wigan 25 23 -16 36.05 4.54 -24.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.87R 0.03 Sunderland 25 23 -21 35.65 4.67 -29.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.44R 0.04 Reading 25 22 -22 35.54 4.81 -31.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.15R 0.06 Birmingham 25 21 -13 33.40 4.81 -21.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.33R 0.08 Fulham 25 19 -18 32.27 4.74 -25.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.14R 0.24 Derby 25 9 -39 15.44 3.54 -59.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.97R 99.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 30 54 +27 84.17 5.82 40.68 64.55 83.96 98.82 88.80P 0.00 0.00 Watford 30 52 +12 77.26 5.87 16.87 13.65 36.63 86.24 49.04P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 30 51 -1 72.48 5.84 -1.56 2.83 11.15 58.98 19.41P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 50 +11 77.05 5.90 18.75 11.58 35.98 86.31 49.33P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 30 47 +8 71.48 5.99 11.77 2.64 9.92 56.00 21.99P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 30 45 +9 70.80 6.01 14.76 1.85 8.52 53.23 20.84P 0.01R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 45 +8 69.11 5.90 11.18 1.18 5.07 41.26 15.24P 0.03R 0.00 Hull 29 44 +3 68.47 6.14 4.73 0.90 3.92 35.39 11.38P 0.08R 0.01 Cardiff 30 43 +3 66.83 5.99 5.78 0.33 1.97 26.89 8.05P 0.14R 0.01 Burnley 30 43 +1 65.84 5.92 2.49 0.22 1.36 20.67 5.75P 0.21R 0.01 Wolverhampton 30 43 -2 63.65 5.81 -3.22 0.10 0.56 11.20 2.94P 0.57R 0.02 Plymouth 30 40 +4 64.09 5.92 7.19 0.15 0.80 14.42 4.70P 0.50R 0.05 Norwich 30 38 -6 57.14 5.74 -9.70 0.00 0.03 1.30 0.30P 7.82R 0.92 Southampton 30 38 -9 56.40 5.74 -15.30 0.00 0.01 1.06 0.18P 10.45R 1.43 Blackpool 30 37 +0 57.96 5.87 -1.54 0.01 0.04 2.28 0.63P 5.87R 0.62 Sheff_Utd 30 37 -2 58.60 5.85 -2.57 0.01 0.03 2.50 0.68P 5.01R 0.58 Barnsley 30 37 -10 54.36 5.64 -17.17 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.08P 18.60R 2.91 QPR 30 36 -6 56.59 5.91 -8.18 0.00 0.01 1.21 0.27P 10.24R 1.51 Coventry 29 35 -11 55.16 6.02 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.10P 17.21R 3.40 Leicester 30 34 +0 55.96 5.77 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.21P 10.53R 1.66 Sheff_Wed 29 31 -6 52.67 6.18 -8.19 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.07P 27.39R 7.13 Preston 30 30 -9 47.95 5.64 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 58.01R 21.74 Scunthorpe 30 30 -16 46.45 5.52 -24.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.57R 34.35 Colchester 29 27 -8 47.88 6.04 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 56.73R 23.65League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swansea 28 60 +31 98.45 5.80 53.52 97.24 99.59 99.99 99.70P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 29 50 +16 79.23 6.01 24.99 0.92 30.69 88.68 44.86P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 28 48 +12 78.35 6.27 20.83 1.05 25.78 84.55 38.28P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 28 46 +20 77.79 6.16 30.33 0.61 25.17 83.78 43.34P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 30 46 +10 71.02 5.66 14.61 0.02 2.37 43.56 11.86P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 30 46 +6 69.33 5.75 8.41 0.02 1.45 31.04 7.13P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 45 -4 64.74 5.61 -7.42 0.00 0.26 9.24 1.38P 0.04R 0.00 Leeds 30 44 +23 75.29 5.48 37.47 0.12 12.01 76.37 35.37P 0.00 0.00 Southend 29 41 +2 66.75 6.11 5.94 0.01 0.63 19.22 3.56P 0.05R 0.00 Swindon 28 40 +4 66.00 6.22 6.29 0.00 0.67 17.24 3.76P 0.08R 0.00 Northampton 30 39 -4 58.47 5.63 -7.65 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.19P 1.67R 0.01 Brighton 27 38 +5 65.08 6.51 6.67 0.01 0.62 15.11 3.68P 0.16R 0.00 Yeovil 30 38 -6 56.50 5.44 -10.74 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.07P 3.31R 0.01 Oldham 28 37 +3 66.61 6.31 10.26 0.00 0.61 19.82 4.94P 0.09R 0.00 Huddersfield 28 37 -13 54.44 5.92 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.05P 9.46R 0.14 Hartlepool 29 36 +1 61.23 6.06 4.07 0.00 0.04 4.41 0.77P 0.71R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 26 34 +0 60.66 6.74 -0.97 0.00 0.10 5.00 1.05P 1.42R 0.00 Gillingham 29 32 -14 50.30 5.76 -22.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 27.02R 1.16 Cheltenham 28 31 -14 47.99 5.72 -24.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.51R 2.23 Millwall 28 30 -13 48.62 5.91 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.40R 2.68 Crewe 30 30 -19 45.19 5.32 -29.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.56R 6.70 Bournemouth 30 29 -17 45.31 5.35 -28.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.74R 5.36 Luton 29 24 -8 45.26 5.86 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.07R 5.67 Port_Vale 30 21 -21 35.02 5.20 -34.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.72R 76.01 Adjustments: Leeds -15 Luton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Milton_Keynes_Dons 30 61 +29 93.25 5.57 44.52 51.07 89.14 99.90 92.89P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 28 53 +27 89.80 5.95 44.63 25.47 75.42 99.25 84.78P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 29 53 +15 83.07 6.11 25.11 3.49 27.63 91.90 44.48P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 52 +23 86.67 6.08 39.22 13.04 55.56 97.60 67.99P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 28 52 +15 83.75 6.23 25.86 5.33 32.59 92.94 47.80P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 50 +9 73.53 5.84 11.45 0.08 1.94 43.50 10.82P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 30 48 +16 74.06 5.80 22.43 0.10 2.44 51.12 14.68P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 47 +9 79.75 6.74 19.13 1.40 14.44 78.77 28.17P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 30 47 +2 69.66 5.81 3.08 0.00 0.27 19.47 3.50P 0.00 0.00 Stockport 28 43 +4 68.65 6.43 5.09 0.01 0.51 17.84 3.59P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 39 -6 56.70 5.56 -12.07 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.09R 0.01 Brentford 28 39 -8 60.48 6.32 -13.24 0.00 0.01 1.69 0.24P 0.04R 0.00 Bradford 28 38 +2 61.78 6.33 0.55 0.00 0.01 3.30 0.60P 0.01R 0.00 Shrewsbury 30 38 -1 59.46 5.77 -1.92 0.00 0.00 0.83 0.17P 0.03R 0.01 Chester 29 37 -4 58.50 5.98 -7.25 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.10P 0.09R 0.02 Barnet 26 35 -5 58.71 6.73 -10.70 0.00 0.01 1.09 0.16P 0.21R 0.03 Accrington_Stanley 29 33 -20 51.12 5.88 -29.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.56R 0.77 Notts_County 29 29 -12 47.34 5.81 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.79R 2.65 Macclesfield 29 28 -14 50.52 6.23 -15.57 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 4.84R 1.27 Lincoln_City 29 28 -15 45.13 5.80 -25.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.56R 6.07 Bury 27 25 -12 45.37 6.41 -21.12 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.29R 7.04 Dag_&_Red 29 25 -22 38.06 5.22 -38.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.65R 44.15 Wrexham 28 23 -21 40.00 5.78 -32.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.33R 29.42 Mansfield 27 22 -11 45.15 6.52 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.51R 8.57Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Aldershot 29 64 +21 93.81 6.04 31.95 27.88 95.31 41.62P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 27 58 +24 96.99 6.13 48.43 56.68 98.48 66.95P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 28 56 +28 87.56 6.31 38.91 7.39 78.54 27.39P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 54 +21 86.76 6.18 34.46 4.70 75.02 23.13P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 51 +17 83.48 6.19 28.87 1.83 55.10 17.06P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 28 50 +17 83.24 6.02 32.20 1.28 54.77 14.44P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 47 +10 75.86 6.35 16.46 0.07 13.07 2.54P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 45 +15 75.29 6.64 21.43 0.10 13.68 3.30P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 27 45 +8 73.78 6.62 12.15 0.07 8.26 1.91P 0.00 0.00 Histon 28 44 +7 73.01 6.27 13.96 0.01 5.77 1.26P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 30 43 +5 66.39 5.83 7.61 0.00 0.47 0.09P 0.00 0.00 York 28 42 +2 64.89 6.12 -1.82 0.00 0.37 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 41 +1 61.44 5.87 -3.78 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Grays_Athletic 27 40 +2 67.34 6.59 4.32 0.01 1.09 0.26P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 37 -5 57.67 5.60 -6.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 30 36 -4 56.48 5.58 -5.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 29 34 +1 58.66 6.06 3.42 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 26 30 -2 54.73 6.81 -6.40 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.02R 0.00 Weymouth 27 26 -12 49.36 6.45 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.00 Altrincham 29 23 -25 37.10 5.33 -44.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.90R 0.49 Farsley_Celtic 27 21 -24 38.73 6.02 -38.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.86R 0.49 Northwich 29 15 -34 27.05 4.94 -53.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.71R 23.20 Droylsden 28 13 -41 26.11 5.22 -64.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.87R 33.01 Stafford_Rangers 27 10 -32 24.55 5.55 -51.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.26R 42.81