Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 February 2008 at 22:36:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.73     4.35    51.23    53.12    94.16    99.72    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.84     4.34    53.66    44.88    92.33    99.60    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      77.98     4.73    30.81     1.98    12.90    82.95    95.72    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.61     4.79    26.94     0.00     0.15     5.92    35.55    82.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      68.98     4.95    34.04     0.02     0.46    10.62    50.81    88.83     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   41  +11      63.50     4.58    19.16     0.00     0.01     0.68     8.76    52.40     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.76     5.02     5.55     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.58    20.37     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.46     4.82     2.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.66     9.22     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.32     4.97    17.73     0.00     0.00     0.26     4.81    34.80     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.16     5.16    10.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.12    11.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      51.03     5.15    11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   28  -15      39.33     4.42   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.61R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   26  -16      38.37     4.39   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.54R    0.01  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.70     4.52   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.94R    0.00  
Wigan           25   23  -16      36.05     4.54   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.87R    0.03  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.65     4.67   -29.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.44R    0.04  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.54     4.81   -31.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.15R    0.06  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.40     4.81   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.33R    0.08  
Fulham          25   19  -18      32.27     4.74   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.14R    0.24  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.44     3.54   -59.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   99.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.17     5.82    40.68    64.55    83.96    98.82    88.80P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.26     5.87    16.87    13.65    36.63    86.24    49.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.48     5.84    -1.56     2.83    11.15    58.98    19.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      77.05     5.90    18.75    11.58    35.98    86.31    49.33P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +8      71.48     5.99    11.77     2.64     9.92    56.00    21.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.80     6.01    14.76     1.85     8.52    53.23    20.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   45   +8      69.11     5.90    11.18     1.18     5.07    41.26    15.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.47     6.14     4.73     0.90     3.92    35.39    11.38P    0.08R    0.01  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.83     5.99     5.78     0.33     1.97    26.89     8.05P    0.14R    0.01  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.84     5.92     2.49     0.22     1.36    20.67     5.75P    0.21R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.65     5.81    -3.22     0.10     0.56    11.20     2.94P    0.57R    0.02  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.09     5.92     7.19     0.15     0.80    14.42     4.70P    0.50R    0.05  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.14     5.74    -9.70     0.00     0.03     1.30     0.30P    7.82R    0.92  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.40     5.74   -15.30     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.18P   10.45R    1.43  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.96     5.87    -1.54     0.01     0.04     2.28     0.63P    5.87R    0.62  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.60     5.85    -2.57     0.01     0.03     2.50     0.68P    5.01R    0.58  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.36     5.64   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P   18.60R    2.91  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.59     5.91    -8.18     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.27P   10.24R    1.51  
Coventry         29   35  -11      55.16     6.02   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.10P   17.21R    3.40  
Leicester        30   34   +0      55.96     5.77     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.21P   10.53R    1.66  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.67     6.18    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P   27.39R    7.13  
Preston          30   30   -9      47.95     5.64   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   58.01R   21.74  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.45     5.52   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.57R   34.35  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.88     6.04   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.73R   23.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.45     5.80    53.52    97.24    99.59    99.99    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.23     6.01    24.99     0.92    30.69    88.68    44.86P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.35     6.27    20.83     1.05    25.78    84.55    38.28P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.79     6.16    30.33     0.61    25.17    83.78    43.34P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      71.02     5.66    14.61     0.02     2.37    43.56    11.86P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.33     5.75     8.41     0.02     1.45    31.04     7.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.74     5.61    -7.42     0.00     0.26     9.24     1.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.29     5.48    37.47     0.12    12.01    76.37    35.37P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      66.75     6.11     5.94     0.01     0.63    19.22     3.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      66.00     6.22     6.29     0.00     0.67    17.24     3.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.47     5.63    -7.65     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.19P    1.67R    0.01  
Brighton         27   38   +5      65.08     6.51     6.67     0.01     0.62    15.11     3.68P    0.16R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.50     5.44   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    3.31R    0.01  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.61     6.31    10.26     0.00     0.61    19.82     4.94P    0.09R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.44     5.92   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    9.46R    0.14  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.23     6.06     4.07     0.00     0.04     4.41     0.77P    0.71R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   34   +0      60.66     6.74    -0.97     0.00     0.10     5.00     1.05P    1.42R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.30     5.76   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   27.02R    1.16  
Cheltenham       28   31  -14      47.99     5.72   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.51R    2.23  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.62     5.91   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.40R    2.68  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.19     5.32   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.56R    6.70  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.31     5.35   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.74R    5.36  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.26     5.86   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.07R    5.67  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      35.02     5.20   -34.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   76.01  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.25     5.57    44.52    51.07    89.14    99.90    92.89P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.80     5.95    44.63    25.47    75.42    99.25    84.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      83.07     6.11    25.11     3.49    27.63    91.90    44.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.67     6.08    39.22    13.04    55.56    97.60    67.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.75     6.23    25.86     5.33    32.59    92.94    47.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.53     5.84    11.45     0.08     1.94    43.50    10.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      74.06     5.80    22.43     0.10     2.44    51.12    14.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.75     6.74    19.13     1.40    14.44    78.77    28.17P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.66     5.81     3.08     0.00     0.27    19.47     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            28   43   +4      68.65     6.43     5.09     0.01     0.51    17.84     3.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.70     5.56   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.09R    0.01  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.48     6.32   -13.24     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.78     6.33     0.55     0.00     0.01     3.30     0.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.46     5.77    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.17P    0.03R    0.01  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.50     5.98    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.09R    0.02  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.71     6.73   -10.70     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.16P    0.21R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.12     5.88   -29.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.56R    0.77  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.34     5.81   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.79R    2.65  
Macclesfield         29   28  -14      50.52     6.23   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.84R    1.27  
Lincoln_City         29   28  -15      45.13     5.80   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.56R    6.07  
Bury                 27   25  -12      45.37     6.41   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   19.29R    7.04  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      38.06     5.22   -38.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.65R   44.15  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      40.00     5.78   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.33R   29.42  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.15     6.52   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.51R    8.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.81     6.04    31.95    27.88    95.31    41.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.99     6.13    48.43    56.68    98.48    66.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.56     6.31    38.91     7.39    78.54    27.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.76     6.18    34.46     4.70    75.02    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.48     6.19    28.87     1.83    55.10    17.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.24     6.02    32.20     1.28    54.77    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.86     6.35    16.46     0.07    13.07     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.29     6.64    21.43     0.10    13.68     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.78     6.62    12.15     0.07     8.26     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      73.01     6.27    13.96     0.01     5.77     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.39     5.83     7.61     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.89     6.12    -1.82     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.44     5.87    -3.78     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.34     6.59     4.32     0.01     1.09     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.67     5.60    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.48     5.58    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.66     6.06     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.73     6.81    -6.40     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.36     6.45   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.10     5.33   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.90R    0.49  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.73     6.02   -38.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.86R    0.49  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.05     4.94   -53.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.71R   23.20  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.11     5.22   -64.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R   33.01  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.55     5.55   -51.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.26R   42.81