Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 February 2008 at 22:36:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2008, Fulham vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.80     4.33    51.37    53.10    94.24    99.67    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.89     4.32    53.73    44.93    92.62    99.62    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      77.97     4.75    30.78     1.94    12.52    82.83    95.57    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.61     4.77    26.92     0.00     0.12     6.14    35.05    82.06     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      69.00     4.91    34.09     0.03     0.49    10.55    51.49    89.16     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   41  +11      63.49     4.55    19.14     0.00     0.01     0.59     8.63    51.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.75     5.06     5.57     0.00     0.00     0.22     2.70    20.38     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.39     4.81     1.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.62     8.90     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.38     5.00    17.83     0.00     0.00     0.28     4.79    35.42     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.19     5.15    10.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.17    11.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      50.99     5.14    11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.03     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   28  -15      39.32     4.40   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.60R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   26  -16      38.29     4.38   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.97R    0.00  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.68     4.56   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.38R    0.00  
Wigan           25   23  -16      36.04     4.54   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.75R    0.03  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.67     4.65   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.97R    0.03  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.62     4.86   -31.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.92R    0.06  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.37     4.78   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.21R    0.06  
Fulham          25   19  -18      32.25     4.75   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.21R    0.29  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.41     3.56   -59.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   99.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.19     5.80    40.74    65.41    84.19    98.82    88.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.00     5.87    16.44    12.70    35.37    85.40    47.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.61     5.85    -1.35     2.98    11.63    59.92    20.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      76.88     5.98    18.52    11.27    35.42    85.52    48.65P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +8      71.67     5.99    12.08     2.82    10.55    57.38    22.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.77     6.02    14.76     1.90     8.71    52.89    20.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   45   +8      69.13     5.82    11.20     1.12     4.89    41.28    15.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.49     6.20     4.78     1.01     4.35    35.69    11.84P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.86     5.93     5.82     0.33     2.02    26.55     8.08P    0.13R    0.01  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.83     5.87     2.46     0.21     1.40    20.61     5.81P    0.25R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.56     5.76    -3.32     0.11     0.55    11.02     2.89P    0.57R    0.03  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.22     5.87     7.41     0.11     0.74    14.79     4.58P    0.60R    0.03  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.11     5.71    -9.74     0.00     0.02     1.17     0.28P    8.07R    0.99  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.36     5.73   -15.36     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.19P   10.37R    1.43  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.86     5.83    -1.72     0.00     0.05     2.17     0.59P    5.83R    0.69  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.59     5.86    -2.61     0.01     0.06     2.41     0.57P    5.13R    0.66  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.47     5.68   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P   18.10R    2.95  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.72     5.93    -8.03     0.00     0.03     1.22     0.29P   10.00R    1.60  
Coventry         29   35  -11      55.03     5.98   -16.17     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.15P   17.79R    3.54  
Leicester        30   34   +0      55.87     5.73     0.12     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.21P   10.86R    1.76  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.55     6.18    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.10P   27.90R    7.38  
Preston          30   30   -9      48.20     5.61   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.15R   20.29  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.53     5.49   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.34R   33.90  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.76     6.05   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   57.79R   24.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.53     5.72    53.67    97.35    99.60   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.33     5.99    25.17     0.92    30.84    89.22    45.29P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.41     6.28    20.91     1.00    26.15    84.55    38.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.77     6.19    30.40     0.55    24.57    83.71    42.82P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      71.17     5.70    14.82     0.03     2.62    44.49    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.32     5.77     8.37     0.01     1.40    30.89     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.75     5.69    -7.44     0.00     0.23     9.48     1.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.34     5.51    37.58     0.13    11.99    76.37    35.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      66.94     6.10     6.23     0.01     0.68    19.75     3.71P    0.05R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      65.90     6.23     6.14     0.00     0.64    16.74     3.70P    0.08R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.55     5.69    -7.58     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.19P    1.51R    0.02  
Brighton         27   38   +5      65.07     6.48     6.63     0.01     0.55    14.69     3.40P    0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.34     5.48   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    3.61R    0.01  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.66     6.25    10.35     0.00     0.61    19.50     4.97P    0.10R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.53     5.94   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P    9.06R    0.12  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.11     6.00     3.83     0.00     0.02     3.99     0.78P    0.73R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   34   +0      60.53     6.69    -1.20     0.00     0.10     4.51     0.89P    1.49R    0.00  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.28     5.70   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   26.51R    1.18  
Cheltenham       28   31  -14      47.93     5.72   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.49R    2.36  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.58     5.97   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.67R    2.59  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.11     5.28   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.83R    6.83  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.41     5.37   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.15R    5.26  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.07     5.86   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.66R    5.89  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      35.03     5.18   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.83R   75.73  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.18     5.55    44.47    50.83    89.04    99.90    92.61P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.86     5.95    44.74    25.93    75.85    99.24    84.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      83.07     6.09    25.11     3.39    27.51    91.97    44.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.66     6.07    39.19    12.88    55.42    97.66    67.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.61     6.24    25.65     5.30    32.08    92.80    47.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.50     5.82    11.44     0.08     1.77    43.00    10.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      74.08     5.81    22.47     0.10     2.57    50.98    14.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.86     6.72    19.29     1.47    14.90    79.35    28.65P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.72     5.83     3.16     0.01     0.30    19.71     3.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            28   43   +4      68.68     6.48     5.15     0.01     0.53    17.92     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.69     5.54   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    0.09R    0.01  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.53     6.29   -13.16     0.00     0.00     1.61     0.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.76     6.37     0.56     0.00     0.02     3.24     0.65P    0.02R    0.01  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.32     5.79    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.15P    0.06R    0.01  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.64     5.95    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.10R    0.02  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.45     6.75   -11.18     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.19P    0.25R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.11     5.95   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.71R    0.87  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.35     5.87   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.92R    2.75  
Macclesfield         29   28  -14      50.63     6.25   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.61R    1.26  
Lincoln_City         29   28  -15      45.09     5.78   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.62R    6.08  
Bury                 27   25  -12      45.35     6.41   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   19.36R    7.17  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      38.05     5.17   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.29R   44.56  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      40.07     5.76   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.01R   28.79  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.27     6.51   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.92R    8.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.83     6.07    31.97    28.47    95.41    42.25P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.90     6.06    48.25    56.10    98.56    66.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.60     6.32    38.97     7.49    78.78    27.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.59     6.27    34.24     4.79    73.99    22.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.36     6.23    28.73     1.62    54.55    16.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.33     6.08    32.37     1.28    55.54    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      75.94     6.34    16.56     0.09    13.49     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.24     6.71    21.37     0.11    13.81     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.85     6.59    12.26     0.05     8.36     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.91     6.26    13.83     0.00     5.51     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.35     5.75     7.52     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.95     6.17    -1.73     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.63     5.87    -3.49     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.39     6.57     4.40     0.00     1.18     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.77     5.63    -6.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.47     5.57    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.61     6.06     3.33     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.55     6.80    -6.68     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.27     6.47   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.26     5.35   -43.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.65R    0.53  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.67     6.01   -38.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.32R    0.51  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.18     4.94   -53.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.47R   22.25  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.05     5.26   -64.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.97R   33.53  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.60     5.59   -51.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.16R   43.18