Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 February 2008 at 22:36:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Birmingham vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         25   60  +34      87.67     4.38    51.15    52.60    93.85    99.64    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +37      86.87     4.32    53.69    45.34    92.57    99.57    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   54  +21      77.99     4.70    30.83     2.04    12.82    81.63    94.75    99.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   44  +17      67.68     4.79    27.02     0.00     0.20     6.14    32.48    79.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   43  +23      69.08     4.91    34.23     0.02     0.49    10.39    47.40    87.56     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.88     4.81    22.05     0.00     0.06     2.20    17.86    67.77     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        25   41   +4      59.80     5.03     5.63     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.15    17.48     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   39   +1      57.50     4.84     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50     7.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      25   38   +9      61.34     5.00    17.76     0.00     0.00     0.22     3.99    30.23     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   36   +7      57.09     5.15    10.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.92     9.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   29   +4      51.07     5.13    11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.01R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   27  -15      40.21     4.73   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.59R    0.00  
Bolton          25   25   -8      36.66     4.54   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.96R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -16      38.33     4.66   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.40R    0.01  
Wigan           25   23  -16      35.87     4.50   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.55R    0.03  
Sunderland      25   23  -21      35.69     4.64   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.31R    0.03  
Reading         25   22  -22      35.48     4.80   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.29R    0.07  
Birmingham      25   21  -13      33.45     4.80   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.89R    0.08  
Fulham          24   16  -19      29.49     4.91   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.02R    1.13  
Derby           25    9  -39      15.57     3.60   -59.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Blackpool vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        30   54  +27      84.28     5.80    40.92    65.85    84.44    98.89    89.07P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +12      77.03     5.86    16.55    12.77    35.32    85.44    47.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     30   51   -1      72.66     5.82    -1.30     2.77    11.59    59.87    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            30   50  +11      76.98     5.94    18.66    11.32    35.93    85.94    49.22P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         30   47   +8      71.61     5.92    11.98     2.51     9.70    57.23    22.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   45   +9      70.89     6.03    14.95     1.97     9.01    53.20    21.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   45   +8      69.04     5.89    11.05     1.11     5.11    40.92    15.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             29   44   +3      68.43     6.16     4.69     0.90     3.97    34.74    11.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          30   43   +3      66.91     5.95     5.89     0.37     2.05    26.88     8.10P    0.13R    0.01  
Burnley          30   43   +1      65.87     5.91     2.48     0.21     1.45    20.61     5.88P    0.18R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    30   43   -2      63.59     5.82    -3.29     0.10     0.59    11.32     3.02P    0.55R    0.04  
Plymouth         30   40   +4      64.20     5.86     7.37     0.10     0.68    14.59     4.61P    0.50R    0.03  
Norwich          30   38   -6      57.08     5.75    -9.81     0.00     0.02     1.25     0.28P    8.35R    1.03  
Southampton      30   38   -9      56.26     5.72   -15.51     0.01     0.03     1.01     0.20P   10.87R    1.48  
Blackpool        30   37   +0      57.75     5.87    -1.90     0.00     0.03     2.17     0.61P    6.11R    0.69  
Sheff_Utd        30   37   -2      58.70     5.81    -2.42     0.01     0.04     2.54     0.62P    4.77R    0.64  
Barnsley         30   37  -10      54.51     5.64   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P   17.38R    2.83  
QPR              30   36   -6      56.57     5.92    -8.21     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.27P   10.40R    1.57  
Coventry         29   35  -11      55.02     6.02   -16.19     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.13P   17.84R    3.69  
Leicester        30   34   +0      56.01     5.80     0.35     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.29P   10.62R    1.71  
Sheff_Wed        29   31   -6      52.57     6.12    -8.32     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   27.51R    6.86  
Preston          30   30   -9      48.11     5.62   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   56.92R   20.55  
Scunthorpe       30   30  -16      46.54     5.56   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.76R   33.91  
Colchester       29   27   -8      47.70     6.06   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.95R   24.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Bournemouth vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          28   60  +31      98.60     5.74    53.79    97.53    99.61   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        29   50  +16      79.29     5.97    25.06     0.73    30.44    88.85    44.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         28   48  +12      78.53     6.24    21.10     0.94    26.46    85.37    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     28   46  +20      77.88     6.15    30.52     0.58    25.41    84.01    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          30   46  +10      71.10     5.65    14.74     0.03     2.44    44.10    11.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         30   46   +6      69.38     5.75     8.50     0.01     1.33    31.35     7.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   45   -4      64.65     5.61    -7.53     0.00     0.18     9.17     1.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds            30   44  +23      75.36     5.47    37.63     0.15    11.83    76.89    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         29   41   +2      66.90     6.12     6.13     0.01     0.60    19.40     3.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Swindon          28   40   +4      65.91     6.19     6.18     0.00     0.53    16.63     3.60P    0.06R    0.00  
Northampton      30   39   -4      58.55     5.63    -7.56     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.19P    1.48R    0.00  
Brighton         27   38   +5      64.95     6.49     6.49     0.01     0.49    14.44     3.47P    0.18R    0.00  
Yeovil           30   38   -6      56.34     5.44   -11.01     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    3.45R    0.03  
Oldham           28   37   +3      66.67     6.21    10.37     0.00     0.53    19.41     4.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield     28   37  -13      54.50     5.96   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.03P    9.10R    0.14  
Hartlepool       29   36   +1      61.13     5.99     3.87     0.00     0.03     3.96     0.77P    0.74R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   34   +0      60.47     6.71    -1.30     0.00     0.09     4.45     0.87P    1.58R    0.01  
Gillingham       29   32  -14      50.23     5.70   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.82R    1.30  
Cheltenham       28   31  -14      47.84     5.77   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.66R    2.56  
Millwall         28   30  -13      48.50     5.94   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.92R    2.75  
Crewe            30   30  -19      45.13     5.32   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.00R    7.02  
Bournemouth      30   29  -17      45.45     5.37   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.78R    5.52  
Luton            29   24   -8      45.15     5.81   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.66R    5.99  
Port_Vale        30   21  -21      35.18     5.23   -33.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.41R   74.67  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Accrington_Stanley vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   30   61  +29      93.25     5.57    44.55    51.25    89.13    99.89    92.98P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           28   53  +27      89.81     5.93    44.61    25.41    75.41    99.26    84.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   53  +15      83.18     6.06    25.30     3.48    27.92    92.22    44.87P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         28   52  +23      86.77     6.04    39.43    13.15    55.90    97.80    68.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             28   52  +15      83.58     6.24    25.63     5.07    31.52    92.76    46.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   50   +9      73.64     5.83    11.64     0.07     1.85    43.96    11.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         30   48  +16      74.03     5.84    22.37     0.10     2.48    50.65    14.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             27   47   +9      79.85     6.71    19.30     1.45    15.05    79.52    28.94P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            30   47   +2      69.64     5.84     3.04     0.00     0.33    19.47     3.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            28   43   +4      68.49     6.40     4.84     0.02     0.39    17.12     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby              30   39   -6      56.64     5.54   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.10R    0.02  
Brentford            28   39   -8      60.51     6.25   -13.21     0.00     0.01     1.58     0.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Bradford             28   38   +2      61.89     6.32     0.71     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           30   38   -1      59.52     5.78    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Chester              29   37   -4      58.46     5.92    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    0.10R    0.02  
Barnet               26   35   -5      58.53     6.68   -10.97     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.17P    0.22R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   29   33  -20      51.07     5.85   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.43R    0.76  
Notts_County         29   29  -12      47.24     5.84   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   10.00R    2.74  
Macclesfield         29   28  -14      50.70     6.22   -15.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.42R    1.18  
Lincoln_City         29   28  -15      45.12     5.80   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.51R    6.03  
Bury                 27   25  -12      45.43     6.40   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.71R    6.88  
Dag_&_Red            29   25  -22      37.95     5.16   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.87R   45.14  
Wrexham              28   23  -21      39.98     5.72   -32.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.50R   28.91  
Mansfield            27   22  -11      45.18     6.53   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   20.03R    8.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2008, Exeter vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.85     6.04    32.00    27.80    95.32    41.84P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      97.00     6.14    48.54    56.68    98.41    67.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           28   56  +28      87.60     6.28    39.00     7.55    79.01    27.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.65     6.22    34.29     4.57    74.04    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.43     6.22    28.83     1.75    54.66    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              28   50  +17      83.40     6.01    32.49     1.42    55.86    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        28   47  +10      76.00     6.35    16.69     0.07    13.61     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.27     6.65    21.43     0.12    13.54     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.80     6.57    12.19     0.04     8.25     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.88     6.22    13.73     0.01     5.29     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           30   43   +5      66.33     5.76     7.54     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.90     6.16    -1.77     0.00     0.40     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       29   41   +1      61.57     5.83    -3.55     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.59     6.55     4.64     0.00     1.20     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.76     5.61    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.57     5.57    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.52     6.04     3.16     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.39     6.80    -6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.21     6.46   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.01  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.11     5.35   -44.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.71R    0.52  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.82     6.00   -38.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.76R    0.43  
Northwich           29   15  -34      27.09     4.94   -53.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.73R   23.03  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      25.97     5.20   -64.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.30R   33.92  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.65     5.57   -51.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.12R   42.09