Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 1 February 2008 at 22:36:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2008, Chelsea vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         24   57  +37      88.26     4.54    55.37    61.07    94.18    99.73    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   57  +32      86.21     4.65    49.10    35.89    88.00    99.08    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   53  +21      78.53     4.98    31.20     3.02    17.01    83.08    94.74    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   43  +17      68.00     5.06    27.16     0.00     0.32     6.94    35.99    77.16     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.83     4.80    22.03     0.00     0.06     2.06    17.61    63.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   41   +6      61.16     5.26     7.74     0.00     0.01     0.45     4.24    23.54     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   40  +20      68.17     5.19    32.35     0.01     0.40     7.85    38.91    79.75     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   38   +1      57.77     5.08     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.91     8.73     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37   +9      61.53     5.22    17.55     0.00     0.00     0.51     5.01    29.59     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   36   +8      59.54     5.38    12.82     0.00     0.01     0.26     2.75    17.75     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   28   +4      50.38     5.32     9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.68     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   27  -15      39.99     4.69   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.29R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -16      38.29     4.63   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.35R    0.00  
Sunderland      24   23  -18      36.42     4.81   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.50R    0.03  
Bolton          24   22  -10      34.03     4.72   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.40R    0.02  
Reading         24   22  -20      38.08     5.19   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.21R    0.03  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      35.08     5.10   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.43R    0.04  
Wigan           24   20  -17      33.59     4.76   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.68R    0.08  
Fulham          24   16  -19      29.43     4.96   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.16R    0.91  
Derby           24    8  -39      14.60     3.65   -61.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   98.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Barnsley vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        29   51  +26      83.29     6.04    41.03    59.67    78.79    97.67    84.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     29   51   +2      74.91     6.15     3.02     7.67    21.92    70.64    31.23P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49   +9      74.86     6.14    12.61     8.72    23.69    72.24    34.89P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +10      75.87     6.20    18.53    10.61    29.84    78.83    42.74P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +9      73.89     6.24    14.35     6.73    19.10    67.69    31.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   44   +8      70.36     6.20    12.49     2.41     8.44    46.69    19.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   43   +4      67.81     6.22     6.16     0.86     3.66    30.14     9.92P    0.08R    0.01  
Burnley          29   43   +2      66.41     6.17     1.95     0.52     2.19    22.36     6.65P    0.18R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +1      65.55     6.09     0.52     0.38     1.70    17.88     5.53P    0.20R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   42   +8      69.19     6.30    13.83     1.45     6.12    40.29    15.67P    0.06R    0.00  
Hull             28   41   +2      66.11     6.47     2.72     0.55     2.32    21.83     6.97P    0.31R    0.01  
Plymouth         29   40   +5      66.32     6.16     9.48     0.42     2.03    23.69     7.97P    0.21R    0.02  
Barnsley         29   37   -6      57.11     6.04   -10.92     0.00     0.03     1.49     0.35P    8.12R    0.83  
Southampton      29   37   -9      55.89     5.90   -16.78     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.14P   11.24R    1.48  
Sheff_Utd        29   36   -2      58.82     6.11    -2.75     0.01     0.07     2.73     0.70P    4.71R    0.53  
Norwich          29   35   -7      55.43     6.00   -10.81     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.19P   13.10R    1.70  
Leicester        29   34   +1      57.49     6.06     1.60     0.00     0.03     1.72     0.52P    6.48R    0.80  
Blackpool        29   34   -1      55.90     6.09    -3.13     0.00     0.02     1.12     0.34P   10.12R    1.30  
QPR              29   33   -9      53.95     6.10   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P   19.26R    3.66  
Coventry         28   32  -15      52.06     6.24   -22.17     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   31.79R    8.02  
Sheff_Wed        28   31   -5      54.27     6.47    -6.85     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.20P   18.33R    3.57  
Preston          29   30   -8      49.42     5.97   -13.09     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   44.36R   11.96  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -17      44.12     5.75   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.39R   46.94  
Colchester       28   26   -8      48.11     6.35   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.03R   19.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          27   57  +30      97.50     5.98    53.33    95.01    99.03   100.00    99.32P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        28   47  +13      77.01     6.30    21.09     0.63    15.98    78.83    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     27   46  +22      80.78     6.39    34.84     2.56    39.68    91.51    56.48P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          29   46  +11      72.66     5.87    16.08     0.10     4.14    54.62    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   45  +11      76.45     6.52    19.44     0.83    15.30    75.25    27.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   44  +25      78.24     5.63    42.05     0.82    22.39    87.51    46.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   44   -4      65.04     5.90    -7.47     0.00     0.28    10.84     1.57P    0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere         29   43   +4      66.15     5.91     4.16     0.00     0.40    15.38     3.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend         28   40   +2      67.19     6.35     6.06     0.01     0.73    21.22     3.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Swindon          27   39   +4      67.21     6.52     7.56     0.01     1.02    22.96     5.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Northampton      29   38   -4      57.87     5.82    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.14P    2.54R    0.02  
Yeovil           29   38   -4      59.12     5.81    -6.94     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.26P    1.55R    0.01  
Oldham           27   37   +4      67.35     6.48    10.45     0.01     0.72    23.11     5.76P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         26   35   +2      63.31     6.65     3.41     0.01     0.25     9.82     2.02P    0.55R    0.00  
Huddersfield     27   34  -15      51.27     6.05   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   24.30R    0.87  
Hartlepool       28   33   -3      58.84     6.26    -1.21     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.33P    2.53R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   25   31   -1      59.86     6.96    -0.66     0.00     0.06     4.21     0.83P    2.55R    0.05  
Gillingham       28   31  -14      51.38     5.99   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   22.54R    1.08  
Millwall         27   30  -10      50.54     6.25   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   26.74R    1.67  
Cheltenham       27   30  -14      47.86     5.96   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   43.99R    3.21  
Crewe            29   30  -16      46.43     5.57   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.84R    4.94  
Bournemouth      29   26  -19      42.18     5.47   -32.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.59R   16.65  
Luton            28   24   -4      47.44     6.13    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.40R    3.40  
Port_Vale        29   21  -20      35.84     5.40   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.56R   68.06  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2008, Hereford vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   29   58  +25      91.65     5.86    40.40    30.70    81.63    99.71    87.78P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           27   53  +29      93.74     5.97    50.62    51.25    89.92    99.82    94.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   53  +16      85.03     6.31    27.14     5.72    39.20    95.45    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   49  +21      84.52     6.39    36.39     6.49    39.28    94.99    55.06P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             27   49  +14      81.38     6.52    23.77     2.54    20.53    87.59    36.77P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         29   47  +16      75.21     6.13    23.73     0.19     4.10    62.01    18.76P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             26   47  +11      81.85     7.06    22.29     3.07    23.84    86.66    37.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   47   +7      71.90     6.01     9.50     0.03     1.05    34.83     8.10P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   44   +1      67.62     6.04     1.35     0.00     0.13    13.64     2.46P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            27   40   +3      67.38     6.73     4.54     0.01     0.29    15.53     3.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   38   +0      61.67     6.04     0.37     0.00     0.00     2.66     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby              29   38   -6      57.37     5.77   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.08R    0.01  
Chester              28   36   -4      58.04     6.16    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.15R    0.02  
Brentford            27   36   -9      57.81     6.47   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.13P    0.19R    0.02  
Bradford             27   35   +1      59.91     6.61    -0.96     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.47P    0.09R    0.01  
Barnet               25   35   -4      60.12     6.97    -9.83     0.00     0.02     2.38     0.43P    0.12R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   28   33  -18      53.02     6.18   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.64R    0.28  
Notts_County         28   28  -12      47.45     6.03   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.38R    1.96  
Macclesfield         28   28  -13      52.35     6.56   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.64R    0.60  
Bury                 26   25   -8      47.08     6.68   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   10.93R    3.08  
Lincoln_City         28   25  -16      42.54     6.04   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.31R   10.88  
Dag_&_Red            28   25  -21      39.06     5.44   -38.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.91R   27.05  
Mansfield            26   22  -10      47.00     6.80   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.12R    4.14  
Wrexham              27   20  -23      36.10     5.79   -37.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.44R   51.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 31 January 2008, Altrincham vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.83     6.04    31.94    26.16    95.84    40.31P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.59     6.18    47.74    50.53    98.30    61.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      90.97     6.55    46.25    17.32    90.50    41.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.53     6.23    34.08     3.95    75.77    22.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.33     6.18    28.66     1.38    57.10    16.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              27   47  +13      79.87     6.36    24.90     0.39    33.90     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        27   46  +10      76.02     6.65    16.06     0.12    15.84     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.29     6.71    21.52     0.11    15.32     3.65P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.72     6.58    12.08     0.03     8.69     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.77     6.28    13.58     0.01     5.93     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           29   42   +5      66.92     6.10     7.84     0.00     0.90     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      65.08     6.16    -1.47     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.52     6.54     4.52     0.00     1.27     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       28   40   +1      63.20     6.10    -1.67     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.60     5.63    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.36     5.61    -5.60     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.82     6.06     3.63     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.47     6.86    -6.80     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.44     6.44   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.31     5.42   -43.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.27R    0.45  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.74     6.00   -38.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    0.44  
Northwich           28   14  -34      26.62     5.12   -55.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.99R   25.83  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.22     5.25   -64.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.35R   31.60  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.53     5.56   -51.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.39R   41.68