Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 31 January 2008 at 22:36:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2008, Chelsea vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         24   57  +37      88.31     4.54    55.47    61.18    94.38    99.72    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   57  +32      86.32     4.67    49.26    35.91    88.31    99.01    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   53  +21      78.43     4.99    31.05     2.89    16.48    82.24    94.52    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   43  +17      68.02     5.08    27.14     0.00     0.32     7.40    35.46    76.93     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.75     4.82    21.85     0.00     0.06     1.99    17.38    62.39     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   41   +6      61.25     5.25     7.88     0.00     0.01     0.47     4.35    24.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   40  +20      68.25     5.16    32.54     0.02     0.44     8.29    39.54    80.36     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   38   +1      57.66     5.08     1.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.86     8.18     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37   +9      61.62     5.24    17.72     0.00     0.01     0.55     5.17    29.98     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   36   +8      59.53     5.45    12.82     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.86    18.04     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   28   +4      50.33     5.26     9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   27  -15      40.01     4.70   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.33R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -16      38.19     4.66   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.93R    0.00  
Sunderland      24   23  -18      36.45     4.83   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.21R    0.01  
Bolton          24   22  -10      34.01     4.73   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.10R    0.02  
Reading         24   22  -20      38.12     5.18   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.11R    0.02  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      35.18     5.08   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.60R    0.05  
Wigan           24   20  -17      33.61     4.76   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.40R    0.11  
Fulham          24   16  -19      29.29     4.92   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.32R    0.97  
Derby           24    8  -39      14.61     3.65   -61.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   98.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Barnsley vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        29   51  +26      83.33     6.07    41.09    60.11    78.86    97.65    84.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     29   51   +2      74.97     6.11     3.07     7.64    21.87    71.33    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49   +9      74.82     6.14    12.56     8.40    23.52    72.14    34.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +10      75.84     6.19    18.46    10.35    30.00    78.91    42.93P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +9      73.90     6.19    14.37     6.91    19.44    68.22    32.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   44   +8      70.12     6.16    12.18     2.14     7.81    45.24    18.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   43   +4      67.83     6.19     6.19     0.92     3.73    30.10    10.18P    0.12R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +2      66.52     6.13     2.21     0.59     2.32    22.53     6.75P    0.15R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +1      65.89     6.12     0.99     0.47     1.99    19.75     6.26P    0.20R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   42   +8      69.02     6.32    13.57     1.37     5.84    39.65    15.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Hull             28   41   +2      66.16     6.42     2.74     0.59     2.41    22.04     7.22P    0.31R    0.00  
Plymouth         29   40   +5      66.16     6.13     9.23     0.45     2.00    22.54     7.91P    0.21R    0.02  
Barnsley         29   37   -6      57.12     6.01   -10.92     0.01     0.04     1.45     0.34P    7.86R    0.81  
Southampton      29   37   -9      55.84     5.89   -16.83     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.16P   11.40R    1.49  
Sheff_Utd        29   36   -2      58.83     6.08    -2.69     0.01     0.07     2.57     0.68P    4.59R    0.50  
Norwich          29   35   -7      55.41     6.04   -10.84     0.01     0.02     0.71     0.16P   13.07R    1.73  
Leicester        29   34   +1      57.55     6.05     1.70     0.01     0.03     1.75     0.55P    6.32R    0.77  
Blackpool        29   34   -1      55.97     6.09    -3.04     0.00     0.02     1.07     0.30P   10.09R    1.28  
QPR              29   33   -9      53.90     6.17   -12.83     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.11P   20.14R    3.96  
Coventry         28   32  -15      52.02     6.22   -22.16     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.05P   31.99R    7.94  
Sheff_Wed        28   31   -5      54.32     6.48    -6.78     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.21P   17.90R    3.58  
Preston          29   30   -8      49.44     5.91   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.03P   43.79R   11.78  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -17      44.14     5.76   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.06R   46.52  
Colchester       28   26   -8      48.00     6.34   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   52.72R   19.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          27   57  +30      97.50     6.01    53.32    94.88    99.01    99.99    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        28   47  +13      77.06     6.35    21.19     0.61    16.09    78.98    30.49P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     27   46  +22      81.02     6.40    35.14     2.78    40.68    92.07    57.58P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          29   46  +11      72.42     5.87    15.76     0.11     3.71    52.66    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   45  +11      76.25     6.52    19.12     0.70    14.17    74.24    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   44  +25      78.37     5.64    42.27     0.87    23.01    88.02    48.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   44   -4      64.97     5.90    -7.60     0.00     0.26    10.72     1.52P    0.08R    0.00  
Tranmere         29   43   +4      66.32     5.95     4.39     0.01     0.41    16.00     3.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         28   40   +2      67.28     6.36     6.21     0.01     0.73    21.89     3.91P    0.05R    0.00  
Swindon          27   39   +4      67.10     6.49     7.42     0.01     0.87    22.32     4.79P    0.07R    0.00  
Northampton      29   38   -4      57.78     5.81    -9.34     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.14P    2.54R    0.01  
Yeovil           29   38   -4      59.16     5.80    -6.86     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.28P    1.59R    0.01  
Oldham           27   37   +4      67.61     6.47    10.79     0.02     0.74    24.22     6.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         26   35   +2      63.27     6.67     3.36     0.00     0.22     9.91     1.94P    0.53R    0.01  
Huddersfield     27   34  -15      51.24     6.04   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   23.94R    0.83  
Hartlepool       28   33   -3      58.69     6.29    -1.44     0.00     0.01     1.73     0.27P    2.77R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   25   31   -1      60.00     6.97    -0.43     0.00     0.08     4.49     0.92P    2.36R    0.04  
Gillingham       28   31  -14      51.30     5.97   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   22.68R    1.17  
Millwall         27   30  -10      50.40     6.27   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.30R    1.70  
Cheltenham       27   30  -14      47.83     5.94   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.94R    3.25  
Crewe            29   30  -16      46.30     5.53   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.21R    5.39  
Bournemouth      29   26  -19      42.15     5.50   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.65R   17.35  
Luton            28   24   -4      47.56     6.15    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.79R    3.30  
Port_Vale        29   21  -20      35.98     5.38   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.37R   66.90  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2008, Hereford vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   29   58  +25      91.65     5.82    40.31    30.56    81.76    99.67    87.72P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           27   53  +29      93.61     6.01    50.33    51.25    89.39    99.84    93.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   53  +16      84.91     6.33    26.94     5.74    38.48    95.14    53.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   49  +21      84.56     6.38    36.53     6.54    39.92    95.19    55.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             27   49  +14      81.24     6.51    23.60     2.48    20.34    87.09    36.12P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         29   47  +16      75.26     6.12    23.81     0.23     4.14    62.12    18.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             26   47  +11      82.00     7.05    22.48     3.16    24.46    87.11    38.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   47   +7      71.89     6.05     9.50     0.03     0.98    34.84     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   44   +1      67.62     6.13     1.34     0.00     0.14    13.78     2.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            27   40   +3      67.39     6.65     4.60     0.00     0.34    15.28     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   38   +0      61.67     6.02     0.36     0.00     0.01     2.49     0.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby              29   38   -6      57.32     5.83   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.09R    0.01  
Chester              28   36   -4      58.18     6.11    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.13P    0.14R    0.01  
Brentford            27   36   -9      58.24     6.56   -15.10     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.17P    0.16R    0.02  
Bradford             27   35   +1      59.87     6.63    -1.00     0.00     0.02     2.34     0.47P    0.08R    0.01  
Barnet               25   35   -4      60.24     7.03    -9.63     0.00     0.03     2.57     0.45P    0.10R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   28   33  -18      52.74     6.18   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.77R    0.32  
Notts_County         28   28  -12      47.47     6.03   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    8.52R    2.09  
Macclesfield         28   28  -13      52.29     6.54   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.82R    0.59  
Bury                 26   25   -8      47.00     6.64   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   10.86R    3.20  
Lincoln_City         28   25  -16      42.57     6.01   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.20R   10.77  
Dag_&_Red            28   25  -21      39.06     5.47   -38.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.81R   27.62  
Mansfield            26   22  -10      46.81     6.80   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    4.23  
Wrexham              27   20  -23      36.18     5.72   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.85R   51.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 31 January 2008, Altrincham vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.75     6.05    31.82    25.41    95.70    39.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.86     6.12    48.25    51.47    98.51    62.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      90.91     6.54    46.15    16.81    90.20    40.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.64     6.24    34.26     4.16    76.01    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.40     6.20    28.76     1.45    57.29    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              27   47  +13      80.03     6.42    25.20     0.43    34.66     7.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        27   46  +10      76.18     6.58    16.34     0.11    15.92     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.17     6.68    21.29     0.10    14.51     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.68     6.56    12.03     0.04     8.63     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.95     6.27    13.86     0.01     5.99     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           29   42   +5      66.82     6.09     7.68     0.00     0.76     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.99     6.17    -1.62     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.46     6.54     4.46     0.00     1.25     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       28   40   +1      63.15     6.08    -1.72     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.48     5.60    -6.70     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              30   36   -4      56.53     5.62    -5.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.59     6.04     3.28     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.49     6.80    -6.76     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.12     6.43   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Altrincham          29   23  -25      37.22     5.37   -43.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.41R    0.50  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.89     6.05   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.30R    0.41  
Northwich           28   14  -34      26.51     5.09   -55.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.18R   27.29  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.22     5.19   -64.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.82R   31.15  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.73     5.55   -51.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R   40.65