Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 January 2008 at 22:36:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2008, Chelsea vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         24   57  +37      88.26     4.54    55.43    60.82    94.26    99.74    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   57  +32      86.29     4.64    49.23    36.30    88.24    99.06    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   53  +21      78.53     4.96    31.15     2.84    16.59    82.92    94.72    99.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         24   43  +17      68.02     5.06    27.21     0.01     0.39     7.20    35.84    77.41     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.77     4.77    21.88     0.00     0.07     1.90    17.18    63.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   41   +6      61.16     5.27     7.74     0.00     0.00     0.45     4.20    23.69     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   40  +20      68.20     5.15    32.46     0.03     0.44     7.94    39.26    80.21     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   38   +1      57.68     5.07     1.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.93     8.21     0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth      24   37   +9      61.48     5.25    17.51     0.00     0.01     0.50     5.16    29.45     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   36   +8      59.53     5.39    12.80     0.00     0.01     0.23     2.87    17.83     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   28   +4      50.31     5.31     9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.63     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   27  -15      39.92     4.73   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.74R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -16      38.33     4.67   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.74R    0.00  
Sunderland      24   23  -18      36.46     4.80   -27.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.19R    0.01  
Bolton          24   22  -10      34.05     4.73   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.03R    0.03  
Reading         24   22  -20      37.99     5.17   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.59R    0.01  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      35.21     5.07   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.68R    0.08  
Wigan           24   20  -17      33.66     4.78   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.07R    0.12  
Fulham          24   16  -19      29.34     4.89   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.94R    0.91  
Derby           24    8  -39      14.68     3.70   -61.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   98.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Barnsley vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        29   51  +26      83.25     6.09    41.02    59.92    78.99    97.57    85.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     29   51   +2      74.91     6.10     3.06     7.52    21.81    71.11    30.92P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49   +9      74.80     6.11    12.51     8.66    23.52    72.09    34.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            29   47  +10      75.82     6.16    18.41    10.45    29.78    78.74    42.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         29   47   +9      73.79     6.27    14.21     6.73    19.38    67.53    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   44   +8      70.27     6.14    12.36     2.38     8.25    46.27    19.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          29   43   +4      67.85     6.21     6.22     0.93     3.77    30.34    10.17P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +2      66.47     6.12     2.07     0.60     2.31    22.34     6.76P    0.17R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    29   43   +1      65.79     6.12     0.84     0.46     1.85    19.20     5.98P    0.17R    0.01  
Ipswich          29   42   +8      69.00     6.24    13.54     1.23     5.55    39.16    14.91P    0.06R    0.00  
Hull             28   41   +2      66.26     6.44     2.94     0.62     2.50    22.69     7.27P    0.30R    0.01  
Plymouth         29   40   +5      66.18     6.15     9.24     0.45     2.01    22.96     7.85P    0.24R    0.01  
Barnsley         29   37   -6      57.13     6.05   -10.93     0.01     0.03     1.48     0.35P    8.02R    0.83  
Southampton      29   37   -9      56.00     5.94   -16.56     0.00     0.03     0.96     0.20P   10.81R    1.45  
Sheff_Utd        29   36   -2      58.83     6.09    -2.74     0.01     0.10     2.62     0.76P    4.71R    0.54  
Norwich          29   35   -7      55.40     6.04   -10.85     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.17P   13.30R    1.80  
Leicester        29   34   +1      57.55     6.04     1.69     0.00     0.06     1.72     0.53P    6.36R    0.79  
Blackpool        29   34   -1      56.01     6.06    -3.02     0.00     0.03     1.14     0.29P    9.80R    1.14  
QPR              29   33   -9      53.90     6.08   -12.82     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.10P   19.60R    3.55  
Coventry         28   32  -15      51.98     6.18   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   32.08R    8.05  
Sheff_Wed        28   31   -5      54.23     6.50    -6.91     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.21P   18.78R    3.79  
Preston          29   30   -8      49.42     5.90   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.28R   11.77  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -17      44.13     5.77   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.27R   47.11  
Colchester       28   26   -8      48.13     6.39   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   51.93R   19.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          27   57  +30      97.51     5.95    53.37    94.97    99.05    99.99    99.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        28   47  +13      77.05     6.28    21.18     0.62    15.83    79.32    30.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     27   46  +22      81.10     6.36    35.27     2.68    41.12    92.30    57.55P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          29   46  +11      72.46     5.84    15.80     0.11     3.61    53.02    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   45  +11      76.31     6.54    19.26     0.78    14.92    74.32    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   44  +25      78.30     5.64    42.20     0.77    22.11    87.70    47.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   44   -4      65.13     5.89    -7.33     0.00     0.24    10.93     1.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Tranmere         29   43   +4      66.19     5.90     4.19     0.00     0.37    15.34     2.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend         28   40   +2      67.14     6.41     5.98     0.03     0.73    21.08     3.94P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon          27   39   +4      67.17     6.48     7.49     0.01     0.94    22.75     4.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Northampton      29   38   -4      57.90     5.84    -9.13     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.15P    2.39R    0.01  
Yeovil           29   38   -4      59.14     5.81    -6.91     0.00     0.02     1.62     0.26P    1.63R    0.01  
Oldham           27   37   +4      67.61     6.52    10.75     0.01     0.74    24.34     6.21P    0.09R    0.00  
Brighton         26   35   +2      63.32     6.66     3.46     0.01     0.23     9.83     2.07P    0.53R    0.01  
Huddersfield     27   34  -15      51.27     5.97   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   23.50R    0.81  
Hartlepool       28   33   -3      58.93     6.30    -1.06     0.00     0.03     2.02     0.33P    2.53R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   25   31   -1      59.81     6.96    -0.73     0.00     0.06     4.10     0.77P    2.70R    0.05  
Gillingham       28   31  -14      51.40     6.00   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   22.08R    1.06  
Millwall         27   30  -10      50.39     6.27   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   27.35R    1.75  
Cheltenham       27   30  -14      47.69     5.96   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.16R    3.19  
Crewe            29   30  -16      46.31     5.54   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.99R    5.28  
Bournemouth      29   26  -19      42.17     5.45   -32.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.53R   16.33  
Luton            28   24   -4      47.53     6.12    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.64R    3.23  
Port_Vale        29   21  -20      35.77     5.38   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   68.23  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2008, Hereford vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   29   58  +25      91.68     5.89    40.41    31.14    81.34    99.74    87.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           27   53  +29      93.62     5.97    50.39    50.73    89.32    99.85    93.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   53  +16      84.97     6.34    27.00     5.81    38.71    95.34    53.62P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         27   49  +21      84.62     6.32    36.63     6.49    39.64    95.45    56.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             27   49  +14      81.29     6.54    23.61     2.50    20.31    87.35    36.14P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         29   47  +16      75.13     6.09    23.58     0.21     3.98    61.09    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             26   47  +11      82.13     7.06    22.74     3.07    25.11    87.40    39.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   47   +7      72.07     6.05     9.74     0.04     1.12    35.85     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   44   +1      67.58     6.12     1.36     0.00     0.16    13.88     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            27   40   +3      67.27     6.64     4.40     0.01     0.28    14.76     2.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   38   +0      61.70     6.05     0.43     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby              29   38   -6      57.30     5.82   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.05P    0.08R    0.01  
Chester              28   36   -4      58.10     6.15    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P    0.14R    0.01  
Brentford            27   36   -9      57.99     6.54   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.16P    0.18R    0.02  
Bradford             27   35   +1      59.78     6.60    -1.17     0.00     0.01     2.15     0.43P    0.07R    0.01  
Barnet               25   35   -4      60.20     6.94    -9.67     0.00     0.02     2.29     0.39P    0.09R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   28   33  -18      52.80     6.19   -26.52     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    1.76R    0.31  
Notts_County         28   28  -12      47.49     6.05   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.61R    2.08  
Macclesfield         28   28  -13      52.42     6.57   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.65R    0.58  
Bury                 26   25   -8      47.01     6.62   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   11.08R    3.21  
Lincoln_City         28   25  -16      42.61     5.98   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.74R   10.43  
Dag_&_Red            28   25  -21      39.07     5.43   -38.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.86R   27.00  
Mansfield            26   22  -10      46.84     6.71   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.32R    4.15  
Wrexham              27   20  -23      36.10     5.73   -37.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.42R   52.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Aldershot vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           29   64  +21      93.81     6.02    31.92    25.70    95.99    40.03P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.72     6.13    47.94    50.77    98.44    62.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      90.94     6.54    46.18    16.97    90.18    40.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       28   54  +21      86.74     6.26    34.40     4.38    76.83    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       28   51  +17      83.26     6.22    28.55     1.46    56.50    16.65P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              27   47  +13      80.00     6.36    25.16     0.43    34.47     7.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        27   46  +10      76.04     6.67    16.14     0.14    16.03     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.23     6.65    21.41     0.10    14.57     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.89     6.55    12.34     0.03     8.76     1.85P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.62     6.23    13.34     0.01     5.46     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           29   42   +5      66.87     6.07     7.75     0.00     0.78     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.92     6.16    -1.73     0.00     0.48     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.52     6.59     4.58     0.00     1.28     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       28   40   +1      63.20     6.13    -1.65     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          30   37   -5      57.69     5.59    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              29   35   -4      57.15     5.89    -4.95     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   29   34   +1      58.64     6.06     3.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.44     6.79    -6.84     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.20     6.45   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Altrincham          28   22  -25      37.10     5.57   -44.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.78R    0.65  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.80     6.04   -38.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.83R    0.43  
Northwich           28   14  -34      26.60     5.12   -55.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.35R   26.52  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.21     5.26   -64.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.17R   31.74  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.76     5.60   -51.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.51R   40.66