Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 29 January 2008 at 22:36:14 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Arsenal vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Arsenal 24 57 +32 86.23 4.69 49.14 41.51 87.59 98.26 99.67 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 23 54 +35 87.15 4.82 54.03 54.41 90.82 98.96 99.82 99.99 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 23 50 +20 78.38 5.16 33.00 3.92 18.98 75.30 91.39 99.11 0.00 0.00
Everton 23 42 +17 69.38 5.34 29.24 0.05 1.02 10.69 38.20 79.68 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 24 41 +12 65.83 4.80 21.88 0.01 0.09 1.74 12.48 57.62 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 22 40 +21 69.98 5.44 34.21 0.11 1.43 13.18 45.06 83.87 0.00 0.00
Man_City 23 40 +6 63.02 5.50 9.94 0.00 0.04 0.90 6.31 31.70 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 24 38 +1 57.73 5.11 1.94 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.62 6.74 0.00 0.00
Portsmouth 23 37 +11 62.46 5.39 18.92 0.00 0.02 0.81 5.31 31.51 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 22 33 +7 57.36 5.72 11.03 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.11 9.32 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 23 27 +4 49.60 5.52 7.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.46 0.04R 0.00
Newcastle 24 27 -15 39.94 4.72 -27.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.39R 0.00
Middlesbrough 24 25 -16 38.39 4.67 -26.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.38R 0.00
Sunderland 24 23 -18 36.33 4.83 -27.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.97R 0.02
Bolton 24 22 -10 34.00 4.73 -21.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.04R 0.02
Reading 23 22 -19 38.23 5.29 -29.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.25R 0.01
Birmingham 24 20 -13 35.12 5.09 -19.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.33R 0.05
Wigan 24 20 -17 33.73 4.76 -26.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.33R 0.06
Fulham 24 16 -19 29.31 4.88 -28.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.27R 0.74
Derby 23 7 -39 13.92 3.77 -63.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 99.10
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Barnsley vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
West_Brom 29 51 +26 83.20 6.06 40.94 59.84 78.69 97.42 84.73P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_City 29 51 +2 74.83 6.13 2.91 7.54 21.68 70.51 30.80P 0.00 0.00
Watford 29 49 +9 75.00 6.13 12.78 9.09 24.39 72.96 35.77P 0.00 0.00
Stoke 29 47 +10 75.61 6.23 18.10 10.02 28.82 77.62 41.57P 0.00R 0.00
Charlton 29 47 +9 73.96 6.19 14.47 6.88 20.06 68.50 32.90P 0.00 0.00
Crystal_Palace 29 44 +8 70.27 6.15 12.38 2.33 8.20 46.51 18.93P 0.02R 0.00
Cardiff 29 43 +4 67.83 6.19 6.16 1.00 3.74 30.01 10.10P 0.09R 0.00
Burnley 29 43 +2 66.48 6.15 2.07 0.50 2.24 22.46 6.62P 0.18R 0.00
Wolverhampton 29 43 +1 65.78 6.18 0.82 0.41 1.87 19.47 6.10P 0.23R 0.01
Ipswich 29 42 +8 69.12 6.27 13.70 1.31 5.75 40.34 15.22P 0.06R 0.01
Hull 28 41 +2 66.04 6.45 2.62 0.57 2.25 21.71 6.91P 0.32R 0.02
Plymouth 29 40 +5 66.13 6.14 9.18 0.48 2.09 22.48 7.83P 0.25R 0.01
Barnsley 29 37 -6 57.10 6.03 -10.96 0.00 0.04 1.45 0.31P 8.02R 0.91
Southampton 29 37 -9 55.97 5.94 -16.61 0.00 0.02 0.92 0.18P 11.27R 1.42
Sheff_Utd 29 36 -2 58.84 6.06 -2.68 0.01 0.06 2.76 0.73P 4.60R 0.51
Norwich 29 35 -7 55.36 6.02 -10.91 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.16P 13.51R 1.98
Leicester 29 34 +1 57.52 6.04 1.67 0.01 0.04 1.80 0.53P 6.31R 0.85
Blackpool 29 34 -1 55.97 6.05 -3.02 0.00 0.02 1.01 0.28P 10.05R 1.30
QPR 29 33 -9 53.89 6.14 -12.80 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.08P 19.77R 3.79
Coventry 28 32 -15 52.03 6.23 -22.18 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 32.16R 7.97
Sheff_Wed 28 31 -5 54.29 6.43 -6.79 0.00 0.01 0.71 0.19P 18.12R 3.59
Preston 29 30 -8 49.51 5.89 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 43.81R 11.73
Scunthorpe 29 27 -17 44.23 5.75 -26.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.83R 46.42
Colchester 28 26 -8 48.11 6.37 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 52.39R 19.48
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Swansea 27 57 +30 97.60 6.02 53.51 94.78 99.01 99.99 99.30P 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 28 47 +13 76.97 6.30 21.05 0.58 15.69 78.91 29.76P 0.00 0.00
Nottm_Forest 27 46 +22 81.01 6.43 35.14 2.85 40.68 91.97 57.20P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 29 46 +11 72.49 5.90 15.85 0.08 3.87 53.47 15.31P 0.00 0.00
Carlisle 27 45 +11 76.40 6.52 19.31 0.82 14.95 75.15 27.89P 0.00 0.00
Leeds 29 44 +25 78.30 5.66 42.16 0.83 22.44 87.76 47.52P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 29 44 -4 65.06 5.94 -7.49 0.00 0.26 10.97 1.67P 0.09R 0.00
Tranmere 29 43 +4 66.22 5.92 4.26 0.00 0.38 15.80 3.13P 0.03R 0.00
Southend 28 40 +2 67.05 6.42 5.85 0.01 0.72 21.00 3.87P 0.09R 0.00
Swindon 27 39 +4 66.91 6.48 7.11 0.01 0.86 21.56 4.55P 0.06R 0.00
Northampton 29 38 -4 57.86 5.80 -9.15 0.00 0.01 1.07 0.17P 2.50R 0.01
Yeovil 29 38 -4 59.11 5.81 -6.96 0.00 0.02 1.54 0.25P 1.62R 0.00
Oldham 27 37 +4 67.55 6.49 10.69 0.02 0.80 24.23 6.10P 0.09R 0.00
Brighton 26 35 +2 63.26 6.65 3.36 0.00 0.25 9.90 2.07P 0.60R 0.00
Huddersfield 27 34 -15 51.40 6.06 -28.35 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 23.38R 0.84
Hartlepool 28 33 -3 58.77 6.29 -1.36 0.00 0.01 2.02 0.29P 2.84R 0.06
Bristol_Rovers 25 31 -1 59.97 6.94 -0.47 0.00 0.06 4.38 0.87P 2.48R 0.04
Gillingham 28 31 -14 51.40 5.98 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 22.31R 1.13
Millwall 27 30 -10 50.34 6.30 -19.27 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 28.21R 1.70
Cheltenham 27 30 -14 47.83 5.92 -25.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 44.20R 3.09
Crewe 29 30 -16 46.37 5.57 -26.58 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 54.16R 5.41
Bournemouth 29 26 -19 42.20 5.50 -32.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.34R 17.09
Luton 28 24 -4 47.56 6.19 -6.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.69R 3.51
Port_Vale 29 21 -20 35.96 5.41 -33.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.31R 67.10
Adjustments:
Leeds -15
Luton -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Bradford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons 29 58 +25 91.76 5.82 40.49 30.28 79.91 99.71 86.68P 0.00 0.00
Darlington 27 53 +29 93.64 5.96 50.47 49.31 88.11 99.84 92.89P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 28 53 +16 84.95 6.34 27.00 5.47 35.50 95.09 51.32P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 27 49 +21 84.59 6.38 36.59 6.27 36.95 95.13 53.45P 0.00 0.00
Hereford 26 49 +15 83.95 6.74 26.65 5.57 31.70 92.87 46.74P 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 29 47 +16 75.10 6.12 23.57 0.15 3.33 60.77 17.34P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 26 47 +11 82.20 7.02 22.84 2.91 23.30 87.69 37.51P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 29 47 +7 71.70 6.06 9.22 0.03 0.82 32.70 7.39P 0.00 0.00
Morecambe 29 44 +1 67.73 6.07 1.50 0.00 0.12 13.69 2.32P 0.00 0.00
Stockport 27 40 +3 67.31 6.65 4.42 0.01 0.22 14.51 2.82P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 29 38 +0 61.61 6.03 0.29 0.00 0.01 2.31 0.44P 0.02R 0.00
Grimsby 29 38 -6 57.23 5.79 -11.87 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.06P 0.11R 0.01
Chester 28 36 -4 58.19 6.17 -8.60 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.14P 0.13R 0.01
Brentford 27 36 -9 57.90 6.47 -15.66 0.00 0.01 0.91 0.14P 0.16R 0.01
Bradford 27 35 +1 59.93 6.64 -0.90 0.00 0.01 2.26 0.48P 0.06R 0.01
Accrington_Stanley 28 33 -18 53.06 6.19 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 1.62R 0.28
Barnet 24 32 -5 56.86 7.14 -13.36 0.00 0.01 1.07 0.22P 0.56R 0.08
Notts_County 28 28 -12 47.49 6.06 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 8.57R 2.07
Macclesfield 28 28 -13 52.42 6.59 -13.82 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 2.77R 0.58
Bury 26 25 -8 47.13 6.65 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 10.76R 3.05
Lincoln_City 28 25 -16 42.66 6.00 -27.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.19R 10.67
Dag_&_Red 28 25 -21 38.95 5.39 -38.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.66R 27.63
Mansfield 26 22 -10 47.06 6.73 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.70R 3.92
Wrexham 27 20 -23 36.13 5.70 -37.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.69R 51.69
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2008, Aldershot vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Aldershot 29 64 +21 93.74 6.09 31.80 25.97 95.70 40.17P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 27 58 +24 96.70 6.15 47.87 50.60 98.42 62.45P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 27 56 +32 90.99 6.51 46.25 17.15 90.47 41.16P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 28 54 +21 86.68 6.21 34.27 4.30 76.59 22.44P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 28 51 +17 83.19 6.16 28.48 1.34 56.02 15.91P 0.00 0.00
Exeter 27 47 +13 79.89 6.36 25.02 0.42 34.03 7.64P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 27 46 +10 76.11 6.62 16.24 0.10 16.01 2.88P 0.00 0.00
Crawley_Town 27 45 +15 75.53 6.61 21.88 0.08 15.57 3.68P 0.00 0.00
Ebbsfleet_United 27 45 +8 73.85 6.53 12.26 0.03 8.98 2.03P 0.00 0.00
Histon 28 44 +7 72.59 6.30 13.31 0.00 5.69 1.15P 0.00 0.00
Salisbury 29 42 +5 66.81 6.07 7.62 0.00 0.78 0.13P 0.00 0.00
York 28 42 +2 65.05 6.15 -1.50 0.00 0.42 0.09P 0.00 0.00
Grays_Athletic 27 40 +2 67.37 6.55 4.33 0.00 1.16 0.25P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 28 40 +1 63.21 6.14 -1.64 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 30 37 -5 57.57 5.56 -6.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Woking 29 35 -4 57.10 5.88 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00
Rushden_&_D'monds 29 34 +1 58.66 6.04 3.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Halifax 26 30 -2 54.36 6.77 -6.97 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.02R 0.00
Weymouth 27 26 -12 49.25 6.42 -17.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.00
Altrincham 28 22 -25 37.30 5.58 -44.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.84R 0.53
Farsley_Celtic 27 21 -24 38.78 6.01 -38.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.91R 0.45
Northwich 28 14 -34 26.55 5.09 -55.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.15R 26.85
Droylsden 28 13 -41 26.27 5.27 -64.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.12R 31.39
Stafford_Rangers 27 10 -32 24.76 5.60 -51.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.57R 40.78