Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 January 2008 at 22:35:55 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Aston_Villa vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.29     4.82    54.33    58.08    91.32    98.96    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.63     4.85    48.30    37.63    85.18    97.64    99.53    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.39     5.13    33.06     4.07    20.48    75.40    91.49    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.38     5.35    29.18     0.07     1.15    10.62    38.34    79.92     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.96     4.83    22.24     0.00     0.11     1.86    12.89    59.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.07     5.41    34.32     0.15     1.70    13.80    45.42    84.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.87     5.50     9.73     0.00     0.04     0.91     6.01    30.93     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   38   +1      57.77     5.09     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.60     6.75     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.34     5.37    18.72     0.00     0.02     0.70     4.98    30.71     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.06     5.71    10.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.92     8.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.56     5.53     7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.47     4.85   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.97R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.75     4.95   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.96R    0.02  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.08     5.30   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.80R    0.01  
Bolton          23   21  -10      34.99     5.07   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.92R    0.02  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.04     5.45   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.81R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.07     5.04   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.77R    0.03  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.35     5.07   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.59R    0.09  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.33     5.16   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.14R    0.84  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.83     3.77   -63.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 January 2008, Leicester vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.95     6.26    44.11    69.41    86.65    99.01    90.62P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     29   51   +2      74.97     6.15     3.13     4.96    18.98    72.47    28.95P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.36     6.40    12.74     7.20    23.64    74.93    35.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.44     6.48    19.83    11.05    36.66    84.53    49.42P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      72.06     6.53    12.99     3.05    12.01    57.66    24.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   44   +8      70.18     6.16    12.22     1.46     6.70    46.91    18.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +2      66.61     6.20     2.24     0.39     1.96    24.05     7.14P    0.17R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.96     6.55    14.42     1.27     6.90    46.52    17.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      65.90     6.46     3.72     0.36     1.75    22.39     6.84P    0.34R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      64.00     6.40    -0.31     0.17     0.97    14.28     4.34P    0.62R    0.03  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.15     6.46     8.64     0.37     1.97    24.50     8.03P    0.29R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.85     6.74     2.19     0.29     1.52    18.78     5.70P    0.82R    0.05  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.93     6.21   -14.76     0.01     0.08     2.51     0.54P    6.42R    0.71  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      58.99     6.36    -3.06     0.01     0.10     3.55     0.90P    4.71R    0.52  
Leicester        29   34   +1      57.71     6.02     1.84     0.00     0.03     1.90     0.58P    5.57R    0.59  
Blackpool        29   34   -1      55.92     6.08    -3.14     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.34P    9.57R    1.15  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.66     6.39   -11.80     0.00     0.02     1.22     0.29P   13.42R    1.92  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.18     6.33   -10.88     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.18P   14.52R    2.41  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.13     6.27   -12.87     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.13P   23.04R    4.15  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.16     6.49   -21.67     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.12P   25.37R    5.84  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.59     6.68    -5.77     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.37P   13.48R    2.41  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.68     6.08   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.35R   22.93  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -17      44.06     5.79   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.92R   44.21  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.74     6.68   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   41.31R   13.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Luton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          26   56  +30      97.82     6.25    53.41    92.42    98.30   100.00    98.80P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     26   45  +22      81.38     6.70    35.31     3.70    36.14    92.31    54.36P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   45  +13      78.55     6.75    22.56     1.50    19.85    83.66    34.02P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          28   45  +11      73.62     6.13    16.89     0.20     4.40    61.34    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   44  +26      80.52     5.90    44.64     1.80    30.13    92.80    54.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        27   44  +11      75.59     6.59    19.41     0.34     9.25    71.65    22.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   43   -4      64.73     6.12    -8.59     0.00     0.17    11.06     1.49P    0.15R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   40   +2      64.78     6.27     2.44     0.01     0.16    12.12     2.29P    0.13R    0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.44     6.62     3.14     0.00     0.25    12.48     2.12P    0.48R    0.00  
Yeovil           28   37   -4      59.46     6.06    -6.77     0.00     0.01     2.31     0.38P    1.81R    0.02  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.86     7.09     6.33     0.01     0.58    19.39     4.02P    0.39R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.91     7.04     4.71     0.01     0.42    15.62     3.19P    0.46R    0.00  
Northampton      28   35   -5      56.05     6.04   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.08P    6.15R    0.09  
Oldham           26   34   +2      64.88     6.79     7.27     0.01     0.24    14.54     3.29P    0.41R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.06     6.55     0.45     0.00     0.02     3.83     0.57P    2.24R    0.05  
Gillingham       27   31  -12      52.44     6.26   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   19.77R    0.90  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      50.15     6.34   -29.05     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   33.28R    2.28  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.30     7.28    -0.53     0.00     0.07     5.73     1.15P    3.02R    0.05  
Cheltenham       26   30  -13      49.98     6.36   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   33.02R    2.02  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.64     6.10   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.63R    6.60  
Millwall         26   27  -11      48.18     6.48   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   43.04R    4.44  
Bournemouth      28   26  -18      43.58     5.78   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.02R   12.90  
Luton            27   24   -3      49.63     6.49    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   31.94R    2.41  
Port_Vale        28   20  -20      36.02     5.69   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.05R   68.23  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Chester vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   28   57  +25      93.20     6.02    42.27    38.18    85.15    99.69    90.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   53  +18      87.21     6.55    30.40    10.16    51.02    96.48    63.73P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           26   50  +28      93.18     6.14    51.73    41.53    86.21    99.69    91.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.14     6.74    27.01     5.15    32.43    91.61    47.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   47   +8      74.84     6.26    12.76     0.15     2.78    50.61    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.39     6.70    33.54     3.49    24.97    88.60    43.09P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         28   46  +16      75.58     6.35    23.76     0.24     4.37    58.65    17.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             25   44   +7      79.01     7.40    16.36     1.08    12.34    72.00    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            28   43   +1      69.13     6.34     3.09     0.01     0.29    18.07     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.31     6.94     3.79     0.01     0.38    14.38     2.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   38   +2      63.76     6.32     3.54     0.00     0.03     4.67     0.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester              27   36   +0      60.76     6.44    -2.52     0.00     0.01     2.11     0.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              28   35   -7      55.76     6.07   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.26R    0.02  
Brentford            26   35   -9      58.92     6.80   -14.85     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.18P    0.11R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.93     6.28   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.17R    0.17  
Bradford             26   32   -1      57.14     6.83    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.16P    0.25R    0.03  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.24     7.13   -12.73     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.19P    0.32R    0.03  
Notts_County         27   27  -12      47.94     6.35   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    5.97R    1.17  
Macclesfield         27   27  -13      51.62     6.70   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.69R    0.50  
Bury                 25   25   -7      48.73     6.92   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.69R    1.29  
Lincoln_City         27   25  -15      44.17     6.29   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.21R    4.76  
Dag_&_Red            27   22  -22      36.08     5.55   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.67R   39.49  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.70     7.04   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.37R    6.03  
Wrexham              26   19  -23      35.22     5.82   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.26R   46.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 January 2008, Torquay vs Histon; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           28   61  +20      92.66     6.26    31.64    21.44    94.14    35.98P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             27   58  +24      96.73     6.09    47.92    52.38    98.63    63.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      91.14     6.55    46.56    18.74    91.36    42.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       27   51  +20      85.47     6.51    33.92     3.43    71.41    20.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       27   51  +18      85.47     6.48    30.91     3.52    70.79    21.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        27   46  +10      76.12     6.60    16.20     0.11    16.68     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.39     6.63    21.61     0.10    15.54     3.66P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.76     6.59    12.12     0.05     9.19     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              26   44  +12      77.50     6.67    22.71     0.23    23.40     5.23P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              28   44   +7      72.62     6.28    13.34     0.01     5.95     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           29   42   +5      66.82     6.08     7.64     0.00     0.98     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      64.88     6.18    -1.86     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.33     6.56     4.30     0.00     1.26     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       28   40   +1      63.38     6.12    -1.40     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          29   37   -4      58.54     5.88    -6.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              29   35   -4      57.00     5.86    -5.13     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   28   34   +2      59.66     6.28     3.79     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.46     6.82    -6.82     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.06     6.44   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Altrincham          28   22  -25      37.17     5.60   -44.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.54R    0.66  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.84     5.98   -38.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.41R    0.40  
Northwich           28   14  -34      26.69     5.14   -55.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.57R   26.51  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.35     5.25   -63.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.16R   31.31  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.72     5.56   -51.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.90R   41.11