Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 January 2008 at 22:42:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Aston_Villa vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.25     4.80    54.29    58.04    91.43    98.95    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.60     4.85    48.17    37.51    85.11    97.61    99.49    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.34     5.14    32.95     4.21    20.31    74.74    91.07    99.09     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.40     5.38    29.22     0.06     1.09    10.89    38.37    79.39     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.93     4.85    22.21     0.01     0.10     1.93    12.79    58.42     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.11     5.41    34.42     0.17     1.86    13.98    45.42    84.34     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.92     5.49     9.79     0.00     0.06     1.02     6.07    31.13     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   38   +1      57.71     5.10     1.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.54     6.59     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.43     5.42    18.89     0.00     0.03     0.74     5.32    31.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.28     5.76    10.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.08     9.03     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.50     5.48     7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.41     4.83   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.65     4.96   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.33R    0.02  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.10     5.30   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.01  
Bolton          23   21  -10      35.07     5.08   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.53R    0.03  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.04     5.46   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.73R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.10     5.06   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.11R    0.04  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.21     5.05   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.53R    0.08  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.31     5.18   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.23R    0.83  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.90     3.77   -63.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Bristol_City vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      86.01     6.24    44.26    69.57    86.34    98.95    90.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     29   51   +2      74.81     6.14     2.88     4.53    17.75    70.70    27.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.51     6.45    13.03     7.41    23.99    74.76    36.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.21     6.49    19.51    10.32    34.41    83.17    47.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      72.03     6.37    13.98     2.60    11.15    57.37    24.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.95     6.49    12.84     2.85    11.31    56.38    23.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +2      66.59     6.20     2.22     0.33     1.95    23.55     6.79P    0.13R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.93     6.59    14.38     1.32     6.85    45.42    17.27P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      66.06     6.50     3.96     0.38     1.97    22.30     6.95P    0.30R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.74     6.31    -0.65     0.10     0.80    12.72     3.77P    0.63R    0.03  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.14     6.42     8.60     0.29     1.85    23.64     7.67P    0.30R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.84     6.74     2.10     0.29     1.38    18.21     5.36P    0.74R    0.05  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.98     6.17   -14.65     0.01     0.05     2.21     0.45P    6.09R    0.66  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.30     6.40    -2.68     0.01     0.10     4.02     1.04P    4.25R    0.44  
Blackpool        29   34   -1      55.90     6.11    -3.16     0.01     0.02     1.15     0.30P    9.46R    1.05  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.46     6.35   -12.14     0.00     0.02     1.12     0.21P   13.55R    2.08  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.53     6.37   -10.38     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.26P   12.93R    2.10  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.15     6.33   -12.87     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.13P   22.54R    4.23  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.09     6.49   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P   25.19R    5.65  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.56     6.23     0.22     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.29P   10.83R    1.76  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.56     6.66    -5.80     0.00     0.03     1.33     0.36P   13.25R    2.33  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.63     6.10   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   60.71R   23.17  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -17      44.03     5.75   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.52R   43.66  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.74     6.62   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   40.49R   12.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Luton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          26   56  +30      97.65     6.29    53.24    91.77    98.05    99.98    98.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     26   45  +22      81.35     6.74    35.25     3.97    35.69    92.02    53.95P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   45  +13      78.72     6.74    22.83     1.66    20.14    84.09    34.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          28   45  +11      73.64     6.19    16.95     0.20     4.59    61.35    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   44  +26      80.66     5.89    44.87     2.00    30.80    93.15    55.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        27   44  +11      75.41     6.59    19.16     0.36     8.73    70.70    22.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   43   -4      64.66     6.14    -8.71     0.01     0.19    10.85     1.39P    0.12R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   40   +2      64.80     6.21     2.45     0.00     0.14    12.09     2.21P    0.18R    0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.53     6.65     3.25     0.01     0.24    12.77     2.09P    0.38R    0.00  
Yeovil           28   37   -4      59.54     6.05    -6.68     0.00     0.02     2.27     0.37P    1.72R    0.01  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.97     7.08     6.53     0.01     0.66    19.52     3.99P    0.35R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      65.01     7.02     4.83     0.01     0.42    15.51     3.24P    0.43R    0.00  
Northampton      28   35   -5      55.92     6.14   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.09P    6.50R    0.11  
Oldham           26   34   +2      64.90     6.81     7.30     0.00     0.25    14.64     3.44P    0.36R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.09     6.51     0.54     0.00     0.02     3.69     0.55P    2.12R    0.04  
Gillingham       27   31  -12      52.67     6.26   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   18.49R    0.72  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      49.96     6.36   -29.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   33.81R    2.31  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.67     7.32    -0.02     0.00     0.08     6.27     1.21P    2.78R    0.09  
Cheltenham       26   30  -13      49.88     6.38   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   33.40R    1.92  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.43     6.09   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.48R    6.61  
Millwall         26   27  -11      48.01     6.50   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.83R    4.48  
Bournemouth      28   26  -18      43.58     5.75   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   72.65R   12.68  
Luton            27   24   -3      49.67     6.43    -3.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   30.99R    2.14  
Port_Vale        28   20  -20      35.88     5.63   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.39R   68.89  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Chester vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   28   57  +25      93.19     6.04    42.26    37.73    85.16    99.68    89.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   53  +18      87.30     6.53    30.53    10.48    51.37    96.82    64.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           26   50  +28      93.28     6.15    51.88    42.09    86.67    99.71    92.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.04     6.72    26.85     4.91    31.77    91.48    46.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   47   +8      74.80     6.30    12.73     0.12     2.82    49.87    13.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.13     6.72    33.05     3.20    24.27    87.57    41.78P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         28   46  +16      75.94     6.38    24.39     0.27     4.81    60.63    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             25   44   +7      79.10     7.39    16.53     1.17    12.40    72.25    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            28   43   +1      69.05     6.27     2.96     0.00     0.25    16.99     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.44     6.99     3.99     0.02     0.41    14.67     3.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   38   +2      63.71     6.32     3.50     0.00     0.04     4.53     1.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              27   36   +0      60.82     6.44    -2.44     0.00     0.01     2.06     0.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              28   35   -7      55.62     6.00   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.22R    0.03  
Brentford            26   35   -9      58.88     6.79   -14.87     0.00     0.01     1.35     0.22P    0.13R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.83     6.30   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.27R    0.15  
Bradford             26   32   -1      57.21     6.79    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.18P    0.20R    0.02  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.32     7.22   -12.65     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.15P    0.36R    0.03  
Notts_County         27   27  -12      47.89     6.37   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.15R    1.20  
Macclesfield         27   27  -13      51.71     6.74   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.64R    0.48  
Bury                 25   25   -7      48.83     6.98   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.64R    1.21  
Lincoln_City         27   25  -15      44.19     6.27   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.99R    4.51  
Dag_&_Red            27   22  -22      36.19     5.58   -41.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.57R   38.46  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.46     6.93   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.63R    6.09  
Wrexham              26   19  -23      35.09     5.81   -39.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.18R   47.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           28   61  +20      92.69     6.28    31.68    24.59    93.93    38.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      90.93     6.56    46.16    20.29    91.02    42.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.28     6.41    47.38    45.46    97.28    57.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       27   51  +20      85.52     6.47    33.92     4.13    71.47    21.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       27   51  +18      85.66     6.47    31.17     4.83    71.39    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        27   46  +10      76.00     6.62    15.99     0.13    16.14     3.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.29     6.67    21.51     0.14    15.12     3.51P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.86     6.56    12.27     0.06     9.33     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              26   44  +12      77.45     6.59    22.64     0.30    22.75     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.71     6.50    13.82     0.06     8.75     1.88P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           29   42   +5      66.90     6.04     7.75     0.00     0.87     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      65.09     6.14    -1.47     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.45     6.53     4.47     0.01     1.28     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       28   40   +1      63.12     6.11    -1.77     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          29   37   -4      58.47     5.85    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              29   35   -4      56.92     5.82    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   28   34   +2      59.65     6.27     3.76     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.69     6.86    -6.42     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.45     6.44   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Altrincham          28   22  -25      37.26     5.59   -44.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.84R    0.56  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.75     6.00   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.56R    0.49  
Northwich           28   14  -34      26.56     5.07   -55.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.09R   26.38  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.25     5.27   -64.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.23R   31.25  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.64     5.60   -51.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.88R   41.32