Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 January 2008 at 22:35:59 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Aston_Villa vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.18     4.81    54.16    57.51    91.08    98.93    99.81    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.60     4.89    48.23    37.93    84.52    97.51    99.47    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.42     5.19    33.06     4.33    21.14    75.13    91.20    99.11     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.37     5.36    29.19     0.06     1.20    10.83    38.21    79.77     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   41  +12      65.83     4.83    21.91     0.00     0.12     1.75    12.44    58.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.11     5.45    34.46     0.16     1.85    13.94    46.00    84.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.94     5.48     9.81     0.00     0.05     0.99     6.07    31.44     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   38   +1      57.79     5.12     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.64     6.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.30     5.44    18.68     0.00     0.04     0.76     5.11    31.17     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.09     5.73    10.66     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.02     8.71     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.55     5.50     7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.06R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.46     4.88   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.07R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.72     4.94   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.93R    0.01  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.11     5.27   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.49R    0.01  
Bolton          23   21  -10      35.00     5.09   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.08R    0.03  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.01     5.49   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.32R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.14     5.10   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.56R    0.04  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.33     5.06   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.69R    0.08  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.40     5.20   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.82R    0.83  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.86     3.78   -63.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Bristol_City vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.96     6.27    44.19    69.42    86.16    98.92    90.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     29   51   +2      74.96     6.10     3.12     4.83    18.53    71.69    28.30P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.25     6.40    12.59     6.76    22.50    73.34    34.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.25     6.47    19.56    10.51    35.12    83.40    47.69P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      71.97     6.45    13.88     2.83    11.25    57.00    24.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.95     6.52    12.82     2.86    11.39    56.43    23.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          29   43   +2      66.53     6.16     2.10     0.36     1.80    22.68     6.68P    0.12R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.83     6.59    14.25     1.26     6.66    44.93    17.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      66.07     6.46     3.99     0.34     1.89    22.30     6.72P    0.30R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      64.00     6.41    -0.32     0.14     0.88    13.99     4.23P    0.61R    0.05  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.28     6.43     8.82     0.37     1.95    24.26     8.12P    0.26R    0.01  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.93     6.77     2.31     0.30     1.54    18.44     5.76P    0.77R    0.04  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.98     6.26   -14.68     0.01     0.07     2.33     0.46P    6.25R    0.74  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.17     6.42    -2.82     0.01     0.13     3.77     1.00P    4.43R    0.46  
Blackpool        29   34   -1      55.98     6.09    -3.07     0.00     0.02     1.12     0.26P    9.13R    1.18  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.60     6.34   -11.90     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.23P   13.02R    1.90  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.25     6.35   -10.80     0.00     0.02     0.98     0.24P   13.75R    2.32  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.06     6.24   -13.02     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.05P   22.88R    4.41  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.28     6.49   -21.45     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.10P   24.34R    5.39  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.42     6.27     0.02     0.00     0.03     0.99     0.31P   11.59R    1.83  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.47     6.64    -5.92     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.35P   13.48R    2.28  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.74     6.11   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.03R   22.54  
Scunthorpe       29   27  -17      44.10     5.74   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.24R   43.68  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.70     6.62   -11.63     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   40.75R   13.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Luton vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          26   56  +30      97.59     6.28    53.12    91.60    98.02    99.98    98.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     26   45  +22      81.48     6.73    35.47     4.27    36.58    92.52    54.93P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   45  +13      78.69     6.77    22.76     1.66    20.11    84.00    34.69P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          28   45  +11      73.56     6.15    16.81     0.18     4.30    61.03    16.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   44  +26      80.60     5.90    44.77     1.89    30.51    93.01    54.68P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        27   44  +11      75.48     6.59    19.29     0.36     8.55    71.27    21.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   43   -4      64.74     6.14    -8.56     0.01     0.18    11.15     1.38P    0.13R    0.00  
Tranmere         28   40   +2      64.79     6.21     2.49     0.00     0.18    12.08     2.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.55     6.66     3.29     0.00     0.27    13.23     2.24P    0.43R    0.01  
Yeovil           28   37   -4      59.52     6.02    -6.68     0.00     0.02     2.14     0.34P    1.88R    0.02  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.74     7.03     6.18     0.01     0.54    18.48     3.60P    0.33R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      65.04     7.03     4.87     0.02     0.46    16.00     3.32P    0.51R    0.00  
Northampton      28   35   -5      56.01     6.08   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.10P    6.27R    0.07  
Oldham           26   34   +2      64.75     6.78     7.10     0.00     0.20    14.11     3.20P    0.41R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.04     6.56     0.46     0.00     0.01     3.72     0.61P    2.23R    0.03  
Gillingham       27   31  -12      52.60     6.25   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   18.84R    0.90  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      50.09     6.40   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   33.42R    2.36  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.48     7.32    -0.31     0.00     0.07     6.12     1.09P    3.06R    0.05  
Cheltenham       26   30  -13      50.01     6.38   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   32.95R    1.90  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.59     6.09   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.55R    6.42  
Millwall         26   27  -11      48.15     6.53   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   43.47R    4.64  
Bournemouth      28   26  -18      43.62     5.80   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.45R   12.83  
Luton            27   24   -3      49.42     6.52    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   32.72R    2.43  
Port_Vale        28   20  -20      35.99     5.63   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.21R   68.33  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Chester vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   28   57  +25      93.20     6.00    42.24    37.82    85.30    99.74    90.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            27   53  +18      87.21     6.56    30.38    10.11    50.57    96.65    63.64P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           26   50  +28      93.29     6.20    51.92    42.11    86.10    99.68    91.75P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.26     6.72    27.21     5.13    32.92    92.02    48.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              28   47   +8      74.81     6.25    12.74     0.11     2.69    50.12    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.46     6.65    33.65     3.29    25.44    88.92    43.32P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         28   46  +16      75.72     6.37    23.97     0.27     4.51    59.29    18.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             25   44   +7      78.91     7.37    16.20     1.14    11.77    71.75    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            28   43   +1      69.10     6.29     3.06     0.01     0.29    17.47     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.33     6.94     3.81     0.01     0.36    14.36     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   38   +2      63.57     6.31     3.32     0.00     0.03     4.32     0.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester              27   36   +0      60.76     6.44    -2.54     0.00     0.01     2.07     0.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              28   35   -7      55.69     6.07   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.21R    0.01  
Brentford            26   35   -9      58.95     6.79   -14.77     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.14P    0.10R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.96     6.30   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.21R    0.13  
Bradford             26   32   -1      57.28     6.80    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.19P    0.19R    0.02  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.12     7.19   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.20P    0.34R    0.03  
Notts_County         27   27  -12      47.97     6.32   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.89R    1.11  
Macclesfield         27   27  -13      51.62     6.68   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    2.52R    0.46  
Bury                 25   25   -7      48.75     7.00   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.81R    1.42  
Lincoln_City         27   25  -15      44.06     6.28   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.39R    4.60  
Dag_&_Red            27   22  -22      36.03     5.52   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.09R   39.28  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.88     6.98   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   16.36R    5.54  
Wrexham              26   19  -23      35.11     5.80   -39.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.86R   47.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           28   61  +20      92.77     6.27    31.84    24.40    94.13    38.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      91.11     6.52    46.53    20.29    91.23    43.08P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.49     6.40    47.72    46.28    97.48    58.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       27   51  +20      85.62     6.47    34.12     4.25    72.13    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       27   51  +18      85.40     6.51    30.84     4.10    69.88    21.97P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        27   46  +10      76.01     6.65    16.05     0.15    16.28     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        27   45  +15      75.37     6.65    21.59     0.15    15.35     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    27   45   +8      73.74     6.49    12.07     0.04     8.91     1.82P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              26   44  +12      77.38     6.71    22.50     0.28    23.03     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.71     6.51    13.79     0.06     8.76     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           29   42   +5      66.83     6.09     7.60     0.00     0.82     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
York                28   42   +2      65.04     6.13    -1.54     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      27   40   +2      67.41     6.53     4.39     0.00     1.26     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       28   40   +1      63.29     6.13    -1.56     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          29   37   -4      58.40     5.82    -6.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              29   35   -4      57.14     5.87    -4.97     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   28   34   +2      59.66     6.33     3.80     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             26   30   -2      54.52     6.83    -6.76     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            27   26  -12      49.25     6.43   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39R    0.01  
Altrincham          28   22  -25      37.24     5.63   -44.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    0.64  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.81     6.01   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.47  
Northwich           28   14  -34      26.56     5.10   -55.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.05R   26.59  
Droylsden           28   13  -41      26.21     5.28   -64.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.99R   31.57  
Stafford_Rangers    27   10  -32      24.67     5.53   -51.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.01R   40.72