Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 25 January 2008 at 22:36:13 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2008, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.24     4.82    54.23    58.18    91.38    98.92    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.51     4.89    48.09    37.38    84.84    97.35    99.43    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.27     5.15    32.77     4.16    20.22    73.79    90.31    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.33     5.35    29.16     0.08     1.18    10.68    36.28    78.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.14     5.43    34.49     0.18     2.00    13.88    43.68    83.76     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +12      67.15     5.08    23.73     0.02     0.30     3.56    18.69    65.58     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.92     5.49     9.82     0.00     0.05     0.91     5.39    29.24     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.41     5.44    18.87     0.00     0.02     0.76     4.86    29.61     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.24     5.38     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61     6.38     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.15     5.75    10.77     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.96     8.06     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.49     5.50     7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.49     4.91   -26.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.64     4.96   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.51R    0.02  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.09     5.30   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.82R    0.02  
Bolton          23   21  -10      35.09     5.05   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.72R    0.01  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.15     5.45   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.32R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.15     5.05   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.27R    0.05  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.25     5.05   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.13R    0.09  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.34     5.16   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.24R    0.86  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.98     3.77   -63.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   98.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.97     6.28    44.17    70.01    86.61    99.02    90.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.38     6.42    12.77     7.45    24.28    75.25    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.41     6.39     2.18     3.57    14.54    63.61    23.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.13     6.47    19.38    10.50    35.81    83.81    48.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      71.99     6.37    13.92     2.85    11.57    58.56    24.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.83     6.48    12.67     2.85    11.67    57.38    23.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.75     6.59    14.10     1.29     7.01    45.93    17.48P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      66.01     6.49     3.89     0.34     2.04    23.32     7.24P    0.35R    0.03  
Burnley          28   40   +0      65.02     6.43     0.28     0.24     1.39    18.59     5.20P    0.51R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.86     6.36    -0.52     0.17     0.99    13.95     4.08P    0.74R    0.05  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.25     6.46     8.80     0.41     2.13    25.47     8.66P    0.29R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      65.00     6.76     2.40     0.28     1.55    19.70     5.88P    0.75R    0.06  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.91     6.19   -14.78     0.00     0.06     2.44     0.44P    6.61R    0.75  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.29     6.41    -2.68     0.02     0.12     4.32     1.20P    4.46R    0.64  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.42     6.36    -1.94     0.00     0.08     2.60     0.76P    7.02R    0.88  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.54     6.30   -12.01     0.00     0.03     1.20     0.28P   13.82R    2.42  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.28     6.37   -10.76     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.24P   14.49R    2.71  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.32     6.29   -12.57     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.12P   22.72R    4.63  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.17     6.51   -21.59     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.10P   26.23R    6.27  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.40     6.22     0.02     0.00     0.02     1.08     0.35P   12.06R    1.96  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.59     6.65    -5.79     0.00     0.03     1.56     0.41P   13.89R    2.68  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.75     6.11   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.59R   25.50  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.45     6.01   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.39R   36.17  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.55     6.64   -11.87     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   42.99R   15.18  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          26   56  +30      97.53     6.28    53.09    91.08    97.82    99.99    98.53P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     26   45  +22      81.58     6.68    35.61     4.00    34.95    92.86    54.12P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   45  +13      78.55     6.74    22.59     1.55    18.39    84.34    33.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Doncaster        27   44  +11      75.30     6.61    18.97     0.33     7.70    70.94    20.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.59     6.13    45.78     2.84    35.92    94.38    58.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   43   -4      64.78     6.15    -8.55     0.00     0.15    11.54     1.38P    0.14R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      72.77     6.40    17.01     0.17     3.51    56.97    15.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.44     6.65     3.16     0.00     0.19    13.14     2.13P    0.40R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      63.14     6.45     1.46     0.00     0.09     8.89     1.65P    0.42R    0.00  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.69     6.29    -5.75     0.00     0.05     3.83     0.70P    1.36R    0.01  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.75     7.08     6.18     0.01     0.50    19.42     3.92P    0.35R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.91     7.04     4.67     0.01     0.41    16.04     3.15P    0.44R    0.00  
Northampton      28   35   -5      55.98     6.10   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.10P    6.02R    0.10  
Oldham           26   34   +2      65.04     6.82     7.54     0.00     0.22    15.94     3.71P    0.38R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.15     6.51     0.65     0.00     0.02     4.08     0.66P    2.06R    0.05  
Gillingham       26   31  -11      53.19     6.44   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P   16.73R    0.79  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      50.06     6.36   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   32.95R    2.48  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.61     7.26    -0.12     0.00     0.08     6.26     1.23P    2.66R    0.05  
Cheltenham       26   30  -13      50.09     6.41   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   31.75R    2.19  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.54     6.04   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   54.05R    6.98  
Millwall         26   27  -11      48.13     6.50   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   42.51R    5.00  
Luton            26   23   -3      49.34     6.72    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   33.12R    3.22  
Bournemouth      27   23  -20      40.89     5.96   -35.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.74R   30.64  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.26     6.04   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.90R   48.51  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Bury vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.82     6.24    45.28    45.10    91.62    99.89    94.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.65     6.76    29.51     4.49    41.64    94.80    56.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   49  +28      95.35     6.26    54.42    44.67    91.76    99.86    95.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.07     6.75    26.91     3.15    32.45    92.24    47.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.32     6.71    33.40     1.93    25.22    89.47    43.44P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   46  +17      77.58     6.67    25.85     0.34     8.34    71.30    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.56     6.60    10.81     0.03     1.64    39.37    10.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.08     6.57     3.92     0.01     0.58    24.54     4.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.78     7.60    12.85     0.27     6.37    57.61    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.21     6.95     3.58     0.01     0.26    15.29     3.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.24     6.52     3.75     0.00     0.05     6.50     1.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      61.95     6.68    -1.94     0.00     0.03     3.84     0.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.06     6.81   -14.61     0.00     0.01     1.60     0.24P    0.11R    0.02  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.78     6.24   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.27R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      53.01     6.30   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.25R    0.19  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.09     7.21   -13.04     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.22P    0.35R    0.04  
Bradford             25   31   -1      58.70     7.09    -2.84     0.00     0.01     1.97     0.43P    0.19R    0.02  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      47.73     6.58   -20.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.27R    1.66  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.23     6.75   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.36R    0.92  
Bury                 25   25   -7      49.11     6.96   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.27R    1.19  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.38     6.47   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.89R    9.59  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.96     5.88   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.50R   27.09  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.99     6.98   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.27R    5.58  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.63     5.99   -40.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.25R   53.68  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 24 January 2008, Farsley_Celtic vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.25     6.50    35.84    34.51    96.46    46.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      91.12     6.50    46.54    16.58    90.46    39.86P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.43     6.38    47.75    38.80    97.10    52.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.49     6.69    35.92     5.94    77.55    24.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       26   48  +17      85.50     6.67    32.73     3.52    67.97    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.63     6.88    16.37     0.15    17.30     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      75.93     6.89    21.82     0.18    15.91     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.74     6.50    13.85     0.03     7.50     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              25   43  +12      77.59     6.92    22.18     0.27    21.94     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.63     6.84    10.36     0.01     5.10     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      65.94     6.43     1.49     0.00     0.62     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      67.89     6.76     4.55     0.00     1.49     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.84     6.27     2.95     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.15     6.39    -5.95     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          28   36   -4      58.80     6.08    -6.42     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.10     6.11    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      58.04     6.55     2.82     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.91     7.09    -5.07     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      50.06     6.64   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.30     5.69   -45.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.04R    0.46  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      38.97     6.05   -38.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.27R    0.31  
Northwich           27   13  -34      26.05     5.25   -56.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.69R   26.10  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.29     5.88   -46.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.67R   24.48  
Droylsden           27   10  -42      23.59     5.37   -67.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.98R   48.66