Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 January 2008 at 22:35:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2008, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.18     4.85    54.10    57.22    90.89    98.78    99.76    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.63     4.84    48.33    38.30    85.19    97.47    99.44    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.34     5.13    32.92     4.22    20.41    73.73    90.28    99.01     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.45     5.37    29.24     0.06     1.19    10.85    36.55    78.74     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.17     5.43    34.51     0.18     1.97    13.74    43.90    83.96     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +12      67.21     5.09    23.85     0.01     0.27     3.69    18.67    66.17     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.81     5.48     9.63     0.01     0.05     0.89     5.30    28.29     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.38     5.44    18.83     0.00     0.03     0.74     4.60    29.33     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.21     5.39     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.59     6.20     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.15     5.71    10.73     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.91     7.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.51     5.54     7.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.48     4.88   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.99R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.80     4.96   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.64R    0.01  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.02     5.28   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.91R    0.02  
Bolton          23   21  -10      35.02     5.07   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.86R    0.02  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.05     5.44   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.15     5.06   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.41R    0.05  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.27     5.05   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.19R    0.07  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.36     5.18   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.09R    0.95  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.92     3.80   -63.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.85  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.83     6.28    43.94    69.52    86.49    99.00    90.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.42     6.45    12.86     7.74    24.53    75.64    36.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.39     6.41     2.17     3.57    14.31    63.55    23.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.21     6.53    19.43    10.95    36.36    84.03    48.61P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      71.92     6.40    13.80     2.76    11.65    58.34    24.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.88     6.52    12.73     2.88    11.80    57.63    23.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.84     6.59    14.27     1.24     7.07    46.81    18.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      65.84     6.48     3.63     0.34     1.81    22.62     6.86P    0.40R    0.02  
Burnley          28   40   +0      64.83     6.41    -0.02     0.18     1.19    17.70     4.93P    0.55R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.88     6.31    -0.45     0.14     0.92    13.83     4.08P    0.69R    0.03  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.33     6.43     8.87     0.36     2.00    26.09     8.59P    0.25R    0.01  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.76     6.70     2.05     0.26     1.45    18.89     5.73P    0.79R    0.06  
Southampton      28   37   -8      58.07     6.21   -14.49     0.01     0.06     2.59     0.58P    6.58R    0.71  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.11     6.44    -2.88     0.02     0.14     4.21     1.11P    5.09R    0.66  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.40     6.38    -1.99     0.01     0.08     2.57     0.75P    7.50R    0.99  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.49     6.34   -12.05     0.01     0.03     1.21     0.26P   14.10R    2.32  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.39     6.36   -10.55     0.00     0.01     1.13     0.25P   14.38R    2.69  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.29     6.29   -12.69     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.10P   23.23R    4.99  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.28     6.53   -21.43     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.08P   25.81R    6.41  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.35     6.30    -0.07     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.37P   12.68R    2.20  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.61     6.71    -5.80     0.00     0.06     1.71     0.48P   14.15R    2.72  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.69     6.12   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   62.12R   26.05  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.56     6.02   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.86R   36.10  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.90     6.63   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   40.71R   14.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2008, Millwall vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          25   53  +26      94.49     6.74    46.42    78.80    92.06    99.84    94.17P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     26   45  +22      81.38     6.70    35.37     6.70    29.98    91.20    49.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         25   45  +14      80.96     6.99    25.29     5.95    26.86    88.51    40.34P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        26   44  +15      78.38     6.77    25.47     2.63    15.23    81.93    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.62     6.12    45.90     5.45    31.29    93.43    54.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   43   -2      66.55     6.47    -5.87     0.05     0.39    16.06     2.17P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      72.95     6.41    17.29     0.34     2.97    54.08    14.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.70     6.64     3.59     0.01     0.20    11.98     1.87P    0.27R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      62.86     6.40     1.14     0.00     0.04     6.74     1.12P    0.38R    0.00  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.87     6.27    -5.47     0.00     0.02     3.29     0.52P    0.87R    0.01  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.59     7.01     5.91     0.03     0.40    16.25     2.88P    0.32R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.90     6.97     4.65     0.02     0.29    13.67     2.73P    0.34R    0.01  
Oldham           26   34   +2      65.16     6.76     7.70     0.01     0.19    13.40     3.02P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.20     6.53     0.74     0.00     0.01     3.40     0.50P    1.78R    0.02  
Northampton      27   32   -7      53.82     6.35   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P   11.04R    0.45  
Gillingham       26   31  -11      53.37     6.42   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   14.16R    0.64  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      49.74     6.29   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   31.28R    2.48  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.82     7.25     0.23     0.01     0.07     5.50     1.08P    2.10R    0.05  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.71     6.04   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.04R    6.50  
Millwall         26   27  -11      48.08     6.53   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   39.47R    4.83  
Cheltenham       25   27  -14      46.99     6.49   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   47.65R    6.21  
Luton            26   23   -3      49.29     6.71    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   30.42R    2.97  
Bournemouth      27   23  -20      40.89     5.94   -35.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.67R   29.50  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.36     6.07   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.85R   46.32  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Bury vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.69     6.20    45.11    43.89    91.26    99.90    94.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.68     6.87    29.57     4.63    41.62    94.53    56.36P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   49  +28      95.38     6.28    54.44    45.32    91.65    99.84    95.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.15     6.77    27.05     3.31    32.21    92.31    48.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.51     6.71    33.74     2.17    25.60    89.70    44.13P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   46  +17      77.54     6.65    25.82     0.35     8.13    70.79    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.75     6.62    11.04     0.05     1.72    39.54    10.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.31     6.53     4.29     0.01     0.59    24.69     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.90     7.72    13.04     0.29     6.75    57.54    16.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.37     7.01     3.84     0.00     0.37    15.73     3.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.42     6.53     3.97     0.00     0.05     6.75     1.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      61.94     6.66    -1.91     0.00     0.02     3.79     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.06     6.78   -14.66     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.23P    0.10R    0.01  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.76     6.29   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    0.27R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      53.09     6.29   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.15R    0.16  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.04     7.13   -13.09     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.23P    0.38R    0.05  
Bradford             25   31   -1      58.39     7.08    -3.29     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.35P    0.14R    0.02  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      47.63     6.59   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.33R    1.61  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      49.95     6.77   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.79R    1.07  
Bury                 25   25   -7      48.93     6.93   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    5.26R    1.17  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.43     6.52   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.42R    9.48  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.81     5.94   -38.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.03R   28.15  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.95     6.99   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   16.28R    5.50  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.67     5.96   -40.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.83R   52.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 24 January 2008, Farsley_Celtic vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.19     6.54    35.73    34.69    96.43    47.19P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           27   56  +32      90.99     6.50    46.34    16.44    89.89    39.45P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.29     6.44    47.45    38.49    96.82    52.25P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.51     6.75    35.99     6.27    77.67    24.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       26   48  +17      85.38     6.64    32.51     3.44    67.47    21.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.50     6.92    16.14     0.16    17.11     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      76.10     6.92    22.12     0.16    17.01     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.63     6.52    13.66     0.04     7.40     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              25   43  +12      77.57     6.96    22.19     0.29    22.10     4.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.66     6.83    10.43     0.01     5.20     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      65.91     6.37     1.39     0.00     0.65     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      67.85     6.82     4.50     0.00     1.68     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.67     6.32     2.66     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.17     6.41    -5.86     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          28   36   -4      58.79     6.09    -6.49     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.15     6.07    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      58.22     6.54     3.04     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.75     7.07    -5.36     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      50.06     6.62   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.44     5.72   -45.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.32R    0.50  
Farsley_Celtic      27   21  -24      39.09     6.07   -38.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.14R    0.33  
Northwich           27   13  -34      26.00     5.28   -56.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.04R   26.76  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.44     5.90   -46.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.44R   24.51  
Droylsden           27   10  -42      23.78     5.45   -67.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.70R   47.90