Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 January 2008 at 22:39:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2008, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.33     4.81    54.37    58.46    91.53    98.81    99.78    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.60     4.84    48.24    37.19    85.17    97.43    99.46    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.31     5.13    32.84     4.04    19.95    73.79    90.24    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.36     5.35    29.18     0.09     1.14    10.33    36.13    78.53     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.27     5.43    34.67     0.20     1.89    14.42    44.83    84.21     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +12      67.07     5.10    23.53     0.02     0.27     3.56    18.25    65.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.84     5.49     9.68     0.00     0.03     0.85     5.28    28.94     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.29     5.44    18.69     0.00     0.01     0.69     4.57    29.03     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.28     5.35     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.59     6.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.12     5.70    10.67     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.87     7.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.51     5.53     7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.45     4.84   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.91R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.66     4.98   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.41R    0.01  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.05     5.31   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.94R    0.02  
Bolton          23   21  -10      35.07     5.10   -20.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.67R    0.02  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.06     5.42   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.60R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.18     5.09   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.15R    0.04  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.29     5.07   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.17R    0.09  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.39     5.16   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.13R    0.86  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.93     3.78   -63.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.93     6.30    44.14    70.21    86.70    98.93    90.61P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.40     6.43    12.85     7.20    24.31    75.46    36.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.34     6.37     2.08     3.47    13.92    63.14    23.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.40     6.43    19.79    10.82    36.72    85.16    49.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      72.02     6.34    13.93     2.77    11.75    59.06    25.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.85     6.56    12.69     2.95    11.68    57.26    23.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.76     6.54    14.15     1.14     6.84    46.39    17.56P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      65.87     6.46     3.73     0.31     1.82    22.34     6.61P    0.36R    0.02  
Burnley          28   40   +0      64.98     6.42     0.19     0.24     1.35    18.18     5.07P    0.55R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.81     6.31    -0.55     0.15     0.92    13.53     3.92P    0.65R    0.04  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.33     6.41     8.89     0.42     2.14    25.96     8.79P    0.26R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.81     6.75     2.12     0.26     1.48    19.02     5.64P    0.79R    0.06  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.91     6.24   -14.77     0.01     0.06     2.53     0.48P    6.82R    0.79  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.33     6.42    -2.57     0.01     0.12     4.28     1.08P    4.62R    0.60  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.31     6.33    -2.13     0.01     0.07     2.49     0.68P    7.25R    1.00  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.54     6.33   -12.00     0.00     0.02     1.20     0.25P   13.87R    2.25  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.50     6.38   -10.46     0.01     0.03     1.13     0.27P   13.77R    2.52  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.10     6.31   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.10P   23.96R    5.10  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.30     6.46   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P   25.30R    6.09  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.63     6.30     0.34     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.39P   11.50R    1.94  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.41     6.68    -6.08     0.01     0.03     1.55     0.46P   14.51R    2.70  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.63     6.11   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   62.11R   25.71  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.39     5.97   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.91R   36.55  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.73     6.69   -11.58     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   41.69R   14.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2008, Millwall vs Nottm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          25   53  +26      94.15     6.80    45.88    77.74    91.37    99.78    93.50P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     26   45  +22      81.22     6.72    35.11     6.63    29.61    90.68    48.27P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   45  +14      81.13     7.00    25.49     6.73    27.98    88.78    41.55P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        26   44  +15      78.43     6.77    25.55     3.03    15.69    82.15    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.42     6.14    45.58     5.33    30.43    92.91    53.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   43   -2      66.61     6.45    -5.77     0.03     0.42    16.28     2.30P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      73.17     6.43    17.66     0.42     3.33    55.52    15.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.75     6.64     3.64     0.02     0.20    11.91     1.91P    0.30R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      63.06     6.44     1.40     0.00     0.05     7.20     1.20P    0.41R    0.00  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.85     6.24    -5.43     0.00     0.01     3.13     0.47P    0.94R    0.00  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.48     7.08     5.74     0.02     0.39    15.92     2.91P    0.35R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.81     6.98     4.54     0.03     0.29    13.42     2.56P    0.42R    0.01  
Oldham           26   34   +2      65.00     6.72     7.46     0.01     0.15    12.71     2.87P    0.24R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.27     6.51     0.82     0.00     0.01     3.23     0.51P    1.65R    0.04  
Northampton      27   32   -7      53.90     6.33   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P   10.58R    0.33  
Gillingham       26   31  -11      53.41     6.48   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   14.18R    0.68  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      49.93     6.37   -29.47     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.47R    2.47  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.78     7.29     0.20     0.00     0.05     5.56     1.02P    2.20R    0.07  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.66     6.12   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.72R    6.71  
Millwall         26   27  -11      48.05     6.49   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    39.72R    4.76  
Cheltenham       25   27  -14      46.90     6.48   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    48.15R    6.31  
Luton            26   23   -3      49.36     6.73    -4.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   30.29R    2.89  
Bournemouth      27   23  -20      40.87     5.94   -35.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.42R   30.01  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.41     6.06   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.90R   45.71  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Bury vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.83     6.21    45.41    44.71    91.65    99.87    94.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.62     6.84    29.49     4.52    41.36    94.75    56.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   49  +28      95.41     6.25    54.48    44.65    91.89    99.88    95.40P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.11     6.80    26.94     3.33    32.15    92.23    47.80P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.58     6.69    33.84     2.10    26.12    90.08    44.68P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   46  +17      77.59     6.65    25.87     0.35     8.26    71.43    24.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.53     6.53    10.72     0.03     1.53    38.64     9.43P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.23     6.56     4.16     0.01     0.54    25.08     4.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.66     7.58    12.66     0.28     6.05    57.15    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.35     6.88     3.85     0.01     0.34    15.36     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.24     6.60     3.70     0.00     0.07     6.75     1.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      61.89     6.65    -2.01     0.00     0.04     3.67     0.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.24     6.84   -14.32     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.28P    0.11R    0.00  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.70     6.30   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.28R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.90     6.29   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.22R    0.16  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.16     7.16   -12.86     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.20P    0.37R    0.05  
Bradford             25   31   -1      58.49     7.09    -3.13     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.37P    0.20R    0.03  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      47.84     6.59   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.81R    1.51  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.18     6.78   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.45R    0.94  
Bury                 25   25   -7      48.92     6.95   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.42R    1.25  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.36     6.53   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.64R    9.60  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.83     5.93   -38.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.91R   27.61  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      45.02     7.02   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   16.33R    5.69  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.62     5.99   -40.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.22R   53.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Droylsden; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.18     6.58    35.71    32.51    96.14    45.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           26   55  +32      92.74     6.77    48.95    23.03    92.57    45.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.25     6.37    47.40    35.39    96.88    49.94P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.48     6.66    35.96     5.48    77.26    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       26   48  +17      85.32     6.62    32.38     2.98    66.55    20.57P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.62     6.89    16.36     0.13    16.82     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      75.97     6.87    21.88     0.12    16.12     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.69     6.53    13.75     0.03     7.19     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              25   43  +12      77.76     7.02    22.58     0.32    22.63     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.69     6.88    10.47     0.02     5.17     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      66.00     6.42     1.54     0.00     0.59     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      67.84     6.80     4.49     0.00     1.50     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.65     6.28     2.67     0.00     0.35     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.37     6.45    -5.52     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          28   36   -4      58.86     6.10    -6.41     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.12     6.09    -5.39     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      57.97     6.50     2.67     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.69     7.09    -5.46     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      50.32     6.68   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.45     5.70   -45.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.45R    0.44  
Farsley_Celtic      26   20  -24      38.15     6.16   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.15R    0.49  
Northwich           27   13  -34      25.93     5.23   -57.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.55R   26.90  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.42     5.93   -46.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.07R   24.07  
Droylsden           27   10  -42      23.67     5.45   -67.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.49R   48.10