Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 January 2008 at 22:43:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2008, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.17     4.86    54.14    57.99    91.03    98.79    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.54     4.84    48.09    37.52    84.88    97.34    99.40    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.32     5.11    32.89     4.19    20.63    73.82    90.21    98.99     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.46     5.36    29.35     0.09     1.21    10.72    37.10    79.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.13     5.43    34.47     0.18     1.87    13.73    43.04    83.76     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +12      67.16     5.10    23.77     0.03     0.30     3.71    18.55    66.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.95     5.54     9.85     0.00     0.06     1.06     5.81    29.77     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.24     5.40    18.60     0.00     0.02     0.69     4.66    28.09     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.19     5.33     0.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.54     6.06     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.19     5.68    10.76     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.91     7.91     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.54     5.53     7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.42     0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.53     4.86   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.98R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.59     4.99   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.07R    0.02  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.15     5.31   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.45R    0.01  
Bolton          23   21  -10      35.15     5.09   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.99R    0.01  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.06     5.45   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.44R    0.03  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.19     5.09   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.10R    0.04  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.25     5.05   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.39R    0.07  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.29     5.16   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.51R    0.82  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.94     3.78   -63.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.84     6.26    43.94    69.36    86.36    99.04    90.51P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.53     6.46    13.06     7.82    25.01    75.92    36.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.37     6.40     2.11     3.42    14.01    63.33    23.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.31     6.46    19.63    10.91    36.15    84.68    48.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      72.01     6.38    13.93     2.81    11.73    58.67    25.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.87     6.59    12.70     3.05    11.86    57.30    23.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.78     6.51    14.19     1.22     6.84    46.24    17.45P    0.06R    0.01  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      65.95     6.45     3.80     0.36     1.78    22.64     6.63P    0.37R    0.03  
Burnley          28   40   +0      64.93     6.41     0.12     0.24     1.36    17.89     5.09P    0.55R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.92     6.33    -0.39     0.11     0.89    14.04     4.12P    0.69R    0.04  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.25     6.46     8.77     0.34     2.08    25.67     8.52P    0.26R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.89     6.72     2.21     0.32     1.56    19.10     5.85P    0.80R    0.06  
Southampton      28   37   -8      58.02     6.22   -14.59     0.01     0.08     2.55     0.52P    6.48R    0.74  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.20     6.42    -2.78     0.02     0.13     4.00     1.03P    4.79R    0.59  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.36     6.34    -2.07     0.00     0.06     2.59     0.69P    7.30R    0.97  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.60     6.39   -11.90     0.01     0.02     1.24     0.27P   13.71R    2.28  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.32     6.41   -10.72     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.27P   14.57R    2.66  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.28     6.30   -12.69     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   22.77R    4.73  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.19     6.48   -21.56     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.13P   25.82R    6.31  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.43     6.27     0.05     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.37P   12.31R    2.13  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.50     6.67    -5.96     0.00     0.04     1.53     0.43P   14.23R    2.62  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.66     6.13   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.89R   25.96  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.42     6.02   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.53R   36.59  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.71     6.61   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   41.84R   14.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Bournemouth vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          25   53  +26      94.36     6.66    46.24    76.57    91.32    99.86    93.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   45  +14      80.94     6.98    25.25     5.51    24.55    88.41    37.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     25   44  +22      83.01     6.91    37.14     9.82    37.44    93.53    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        26   44  +15      78.55     6.75    25.74     2.70    14.35    82.47    30.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.56     6.12    45.87     5.02    28.20    93.13    52.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   43   -2      66.71     6.51    -5.66     0.03     0.37    16.45     2.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      72.90     6.43    17.32     0.29     2.74    53.39    13.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend         27   37   +1      64.64     6.62     3.44     0.01     0.14    11.17     1.68P    0.28R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      62.98     6.44     1.32     0.01     0.06     6.95     1.12P    0.33R    0.01  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.84     6.27    -5.51     0.01     0.02     3.27     0.51P    0.89R    0.01  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.59     7.09     5.92     0.01     0.34    15.97     2.94P    0.27R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      65.01     6.97     4.80     0.02     0.25    13.69     2.63P    0.30R    0.00  
Oldham           26   34   +2      64.79     6.79     7.21     0.01     0.15    12.32     2.73P    0.27R    0.00  
Hartlepool       27   33   -1      60.30     6.55     0.92     0.00     0.02     3.31     0.54P    1.64R    0.03  
Northampton      27   32   -7      53.92     6.36   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P   10.13R    0.33  
Gillingham       26   31  -11      53.49     6.49   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.03P   13.62R    0.68  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      50.00     6.35   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   29.14R    2.19  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.70     7.32     0.10     0.00     0.05     5.25     1.06P    2.23R    0.07  
Crewe            27   28  -16      46.61     6.09   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    48.76R    6.13  
Cheltenham       25   27  -14      46.89     6.55   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   47.43R    6.31  
Millwall         25   26  -11      47.34     6.72   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.82R    6.12  
Luton            26   23   -3      49.11     6.68    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   30.70R    2.92  
Bournemouth      27   23  -20      40.92     5.93   -35.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.93R   28.73  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.20     6.02   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.21R   46.45  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Bury vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.89     6.18    45.42    44.71    91.81    99.87    94.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.56     6.85    29.43     4.43    41.36    94.58    56.19P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   49  +28      95.52     6.20    54.69    45.24    92.04    99.86    95.48P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.08     6.69    26.90     3.02    31.65    92.39    47.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.49     6.64    33.72     1.89    25.59    89.98    43.93P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   46  +17      77.58     6.65    25.85     0.35     8.28    71.13    24.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.53     6.53    10.72     0.03     1.55    38.50     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.15     6.53     4.01     0.01     0.53    24.42     4.67P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.87     7.71    13.04     0.31     6.79    57.90    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.38     6.96     3.91     0.01     0.33    15.78     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.30     6.55     3.82     0.00     0.02     6.79     1.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      61.94     6.70    -1.95     0.00     0.03     3.91     0.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.18     6.78   -14.48     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.23P    0.12R    0.01  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.81     6.28   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.24R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.95     6.28   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.16R    0.14  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.18     7.12   -12.84     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.19P    0.31R    0.05  
Bradford             25   31   -1      58.50     7.10    -3.15     0.00     0.00     1.79     0.38P    0.22R    0.03  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      47.67     6.63   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.22R    1.62  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.14     6.70   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.26R    0.98  
Bury                 25   25   -7      49.10     6.93   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    5.10R    1.20  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.32     6.52   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R    9.50  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.81     5.88   -38.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.83R   27.22  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.87     7.03   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.52R    5.68  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.51     5.95   -40.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.24R   53.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2008, Cambridge_Utd vs Droylsden; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.38     6.50    36.09    32.82    96.44    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           26   55  +32      92.72     6.72    48.91    22.23    92.58    43.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.44     6.39    47.71    35.88    96.96    49.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.61     6.70    36.15     5.47    77.67    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       26   48  +17      85.53     6.63    32.76     3.02    67.48    21.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.64     6.88    16.41     0.12    16.78     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      75.75     6.89    21.52     0.11    15.02     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.47     6.54    13.40     0.02     6.85     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              25   43  +12      77.81     7.01    22.64     0.30    22.81     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.67     6.86    10.48     0.02     4.95     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      65.83     6.35     1.26     0.00     0.51     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      68.06     6.80     4.81     0.00     1.48     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.70     6.25     2.72     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.16     6.32    -5.93     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          28   36   -4      58.63     6.08    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.37     6.13    -5.10     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      58.03     6.57     2.80     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.67     7.07    -5.48     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      50.25     6.66   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.44     5.68   -45.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.97R    0.46  
Farsley_Celtic      26   20  -24      37.99     6.13   -41.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.74R    0.57  
Northwich           27   13  -34      26.04     5.26   -56.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.04R   26.40  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.35     5.89   -46.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.52R   24.16  
Droylsden           27   10  -42      23.64     5.42   -67.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R   48.42