Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 January 2008 at 22:41:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2008, Liverpool vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.27     4.81    54.27    58.22    91.22    98.86    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.58     4.86    48.23    37.24    84.86    97.23    99.39    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.37     5.18    32.97     4.31    20.51    73.87    89.92    98.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.33     5.37    29.12     0.08     1.08    10.44    35.98    78.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +21      70.27     5.42    34.69     0.14     1.90    14.22    44.57    84.12     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   40  +12      67.21     5.09    23.88     0.01     0.34     3.65    18.54    66.09     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      63.04     5.48     9.96     0.00     0.06     0.89     5.58    29.99     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.29     5.45    18.67     0.00     0.03     0.70     4.72    28.28     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.25     5.37     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.57     6.25     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.06     5.72    10.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.95     7.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.52     5.53     7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.04R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.51     4.85   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.59     4.94   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.66R    0.02  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.03     5.27   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.71R    0.01  
Bolton          23   21  -10      34.99     5.09   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.29R    0.02  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.09     5.41   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.34R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.21     5.08   -25.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.97R    0.05  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.22     5.04   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.42R    0.06  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.41     5.17   -29.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.82R    0.80  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.86     3.76   -63.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   99.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.97     6.26    44.19    70.13    86.74    99.05    90.68P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.26     6.38    12.57     7.09    23.53    75.15    35.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.35     6.40     2.12     3.36    14.28    63.15    23.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.48     6.46    19.85    11.10    37.30    85.29    49.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      71.95     6.34    13.84     2.74    11.33    58.40    24.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.87     6.51    12.69     2.92    11.78    57.41    23.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.78     6.60    14.15     1.26     6.94    46.19    17.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      66.05     6.49     3.95     0.37     2.00    23.40     7.24P    0.37R    0.02  
Burnley          28   40   +0      64.85     6.37     0.03     0.21     1.21    17.56     4.80P    0.49R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.69     6.33    -0.70     0.13     0.80    13.32     3.79P    0.75R    0.07  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.32     6.47     8.89     0.39     2.24    26.02     8.93P    0.30R    0.01  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.91     6.74     2.24     0.26     1.50    19.68     5.82P    0.73R    0.05  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.94     6.30   -14.71     0.01     0.07     2.64     0.56P    7.03R    0.85  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.20     6.41    -2.76     0.01     0.10     4.25     1.06P    4.81R    0.56  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.40     6.32    -2.03     0.01     0.08     2.59     0.71P    6.87R    0.94  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.68     6.30   -11.78     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.25P   13.40R    2.20  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.33     6.44   -10.69     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.26P   14.52R    2.73  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.07     6.29   -12.96     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P   24.20R    5.01  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.42     6.48   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.08P   24.76R    5.98  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.32     6.27    -0.05     0.00     0.03     1.00     0.35P   12.61R    2.36  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.54     6.62    -5.93     0.00     0.03     1.43     0.37P   14.00R    2.63  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.72     6.11   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   61.57R   25.64  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.51     6.03   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   71.04R   36.26  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.67     6.63   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   42.46R   14.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Bournemouth vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          24   50  +25      94.52     6.87    48.48    77.27    91.35    99.81    93.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   45  +14      80.80     6.99    24.97     5.62    24.60    87.34    38.21P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     25   44  +22      82.89     6.89    36.85     9.33    37.29    93.26    55.56P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        26   44  +15      78.41     6.83    25.55     2.69    14.55    81.12    30.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.46     6.11    45.72     4.68    28.07    92.81    52.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   43   -2      66.43     6.44    -6.08     0.04     0.30    15.31     1.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      72.59     6.42    16.80     0.28     2.52    50.17    12.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         26   37   +2      66.13     6.90     4.62     0.03     0.38    16.35     2.76P    0.20R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      62.99     6.44     1.24     0.00     0.04     6.82     1.20P    0.35R    0.01  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.98     6.29    -5.36     0.00     0.02     3.14     0.56P    0.93R    0.00  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.76     7.07     6.16     0.02     0.33    16.45     2.99P    0.30R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.88     7.00     4.65     0.02     0.27    13.15     2.46P    0.36R    0.00  
Oldham           25   33   +2      65.79     7.07     8.05     0.01     0.22    15.75     3.32P    0.30R    0.00  
Northampton      27   32   -7      53.79     6.38   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   10.67R    0.25  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      49.85     6.31   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   30.03R    1.75  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.79     7.30     0.19     0.01     0.05     5.29     0.97P    2.21R    0.05  
Hartlepool       26   30   -2      58.47     6.79    -0.38     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.34P    3.54R    0.09  
Gillingham       25   30  -11      53.75     6.73   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P   13.71R    0.57  
Crewe            26   28  -15      46.49     6.21   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.29R    5.35  
Cheltenham       25   27  -14      47.26     6.53   -26.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.77R    4.32  
Millwall         25   26  -11      47.32     6.63   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.55R    4.81  
Luton            25   23   -2      51.55     7.10    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   20.66R    1.48  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.37     6.02   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.99R   38.36  
Bournemouth      26   20  -21      38.20     6.11   -38.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.07R   42.96  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2008, Chesterfield vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.83     6.23    45.37    45.04    91.72    99.88    94.55P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.73     6.86    29.63     4.81    42.27    94.66    56.94P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           25   49  +28      95.27     6.25    54.27    44.15    91.46    99.88    95.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             26   49  +15      84.02     6.76    26.85     3.25    31.36    92.11    47.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.43     6.67    33.59     2.04    25.49    89.51    44.19P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         27   46  +17      77.74     6.61    26.12     0.38     8.47    71.64    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.70     6.54    10.97     0.04     1.72    39.27    10.09P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.20     6.56     4.10     0.01     0.59    24.53     4.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.84     7.62    12.98     0.28     6.44    57.59    16.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.30     6.96     3.76     0.01     0.36    15.04     2.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.23     6.58     3.71     0.00     0.04     6.57     1.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      61.95     6.68    -1.92     0.00     0.04     3.68     0.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.12     6.75   -14.55     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.20P    0.12R    0.02  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.80     6.24   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.27R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.87     6.27   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.31R    0.17  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.08     7.18   -13.00     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.18P    0.41R    0.06  
Bradford             24   30   -1      58.95     7.37    -2.88     0.00     0.01     2.57     0.56P    0.18R    0.03  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      47.73     6.59   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.29R    1.57  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.05     6.79   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.62R    1.05  
Bury                 24   24   -7      49.11     7.23   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P    5.76R    1.35  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.40     6.52   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.61R    9.86  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.84     5.94   -38.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.82R   28.16  
Mansfield            25   19  -11      44.92     7.02   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.41R    5.59  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.80     6.06   -40.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.17R   52.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2008, Exeter vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.38     6.51    36.01    32.69    96.72    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           26   55  +32      92.91     6.78    49.15    23.25    93.39    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.59     6.42    47.90    36.32    97.43    51.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.51     6.74    35.88     5.37    78.76    24.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       25   45  +12      83.49     6.97    27.26     1.83    56.57    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.65     6.90    16.42     0.12    18.81     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      75.96     6.86    21.88     0.13    17.25     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.52     6.54    13.44     0.02     7.78     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              25   43  +12      77.83     6.95    22.48     0.26    24.72     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.54     6.81    10.24     0.02     5.46     1.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      65.88     6.45     1.36     0.00     0.62     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      67.85     6.78     4.48     0.00     1.75     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.89     6.35     3.04     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.25     6.41    -5.76     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          28   36   -4      58.64     6.06    -6.67     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.22     6.09    -5.31     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      58.02     6.57     2.76     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.79     7.07    -5.27     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      49.86     6.64   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.42     5.70   -45.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.54R    0.49  
Farsley_Celtic      26   20  -24      38.20     6.20   -40.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.18R    0.71  
Northwich           27   13  -34      26.14     5.30   -56.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.25R   29.64  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.43     5.90   -46.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.73R   27.13  
Droylsden           26   10  -37      24.83     5.68   -62.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   42.03