Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 January 2008 at 22:35:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2008, Man_City vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.16     4.81    54.08    57.26    90.73    98.44    99.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.63     4.86    48.42    38.09    84.58    96.81    99.37    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.21     5.17    32.76     4.11    19.57    69.21    89.01    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   42  +17      69.18     5.36    28.88     0.07     1.02     9.31    31.50    77.82     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        23   40   +6      62.81     5.49     9.65     0.00     0.06     0.85     4.66    29.01     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.81     5.63    36.38     0.44     3.70    21.30    54.75    88.84     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.60     5.34    22.03     0.02     0.32     3.31    15.50    60.92     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.44     5.43    18.94     0.00     0.01     0.66     4.22    30.11     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.23     5.35     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.47     6.30     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        22   33   +7      57.04     5.71    10.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.76     7.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.50     5.51     7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.56     4.85   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.72     4.92   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.58R    0.02  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.04     5.31   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.25R    0.02  
Bolton          23   21  -10      34.92     5.07   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.61R    0.04  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.11     5.46   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.36R    0.02  
Wigan           23   20  -16      35.19     5.06   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.13R    0.05  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.39     5.07   -30.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.58R    0.06  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.26     5.14   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.71R    0.92  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.97     3.78   -63.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   98.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.91     6.22    44.04    69.92    86.69    99.12    90.80P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.37     6.41    12.81     7.12    23.99    75.51    35.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.37     6.39     2.14     3.53    14.11    63.18    23.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.30     6.48    19.60    10.95    36.22    84.55    49.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      72.08     6.45    14.01     2.94    12.30    59.04    25.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.90     6.55    12.79     3.06    11.83    57.60    23.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.71     6.53    14.07     1.14     6.65    45.69    17.07P    0.05R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      65.88     6.50     3.71     0.27     1.83    22.55     6.82P    0.38R    0.03  
Burnley          28   40   +0      64.96     6.46     0.19     0.22     1.31    18.28     5.12P    0.56R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      63.97     6.35    -0.35     0.15     0.99    14.15     4.23P    0.61R    0.04  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.36     6.52     8.91     0.41     2.35    26.22     8.97P    0.29R    0.01  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.75     6.70     2.00     0.23     1.39    18.62     5.34P    0.75R    0.06  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.96     6.26   -14.69     0.01     0.07     2.61     0.52P    6.73R    0.76  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.25     6.39    -2.69     0.01     0.10     4.30     1.16P    4.57R    0.58  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.34     6.33    -2.10     0.01     0.07     2.47     0.65P    7.33R    0.89  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.75     6.38   -11.64     0.01     0.02     1.30     0.29P   13.57R    2.32  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.19     6.38   -10.87     0.00     0.02     1.04     0.25P   14.90R    2.93  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.28     6.30   -12.69     0.01     0.01     0.48     0.14P   23.20R    4.73  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.26     6.47   -21.47     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P   25.67R    6.37  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.28     6.27    -0.15     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.30P   12.66R    2.26  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.52     6.68    -5.90     0.00     0.04     1.59     0.42P   14.29R    2.69  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.75     6.20   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   61.27R   25.82  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.54     6.04   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.83R   35.82  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.63     6.60   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   42.30R   14.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Bournemouth vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          24   50  +25      94.48     6.83    48.37    77.22    91.21    99.83    93.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   45  +14      80.92     7.00    25.13     5.74    24.95    87.71    38.60P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     25   44  +22      82.76     6.86    36.66     9.12    36.50    93.05    54.36P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        26   44  +15      78.41     6.74    25.48     2.54    14.39    81.23    30.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.54     6.15    45.83     4.99    28.81    92.66    53.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   43   -2      66.48     6.45    -6.07     0.03     0.30    15.24     1.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      72.86     6.37    17.25     0.27     2.51    51.35    13.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend         26   37   +2      66.04     6.97     4.53     0.04     0.37    16.42     2.74P    0.18R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      63.01     6.42     1.30     0.00     0.05     6.61     1.14P    0.34R    0.00  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.94     6.25    -5.45     0.00     0.02     3.07     0.51P    0.93R    0.01  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.70     7.06     6.09     0.01     0.33    16.08     3.04P    0.27R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.74     6.99     4.43     0.03     0.27    12.43     2.32P    0.38R    0.00  
Oldham           25   33   +2      65.81     7.08     8.12     0.02     0.24    16.00     3.48P    0.28R    0.00  
Northampton      27   32   -7      53.88     6.35   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   10.36R    0.24  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      49.87     6.30   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.90R    1.94  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.83     7.29     0.27     0.00     0.05     5.30     0.92P    2.10R    0.05  
Hartlepool       26   30   -2      58.51     6.78    -0.32     0.00     0.01     1.99     0.33P    3.32R    0.06  
Gillingham       25   30  -11      53.56     6.71   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P   14.12R    0.58  
Crewe            26   28  -15      46.45     6.18   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.56R    5.54  
Cheltenham       25   27  -14      47.17     6.45   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.32R    4.35  
Millwall         25   26  -11      47.25     6.61   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   43.95R    4.83  
Luton            25   23   -2      51.60     7.07    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P   20.43R    1.52  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.33     6.05   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.91R   38.82  
Bournemouth      26   20  -21      38.37     6.12   -37.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.60R   42.04  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Dag_&_Red vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.87     6.19    45.42    45.40    90.48    99.91    93.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.60     6.91    29.45     4.53    37.28    94.92    54.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.70     6.93    34.50     9.07    51.63    97.12    65.25P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           24   46  +27      94.47     6.55    54.69    38.50    87.38    99.78    92.73P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.53     6.64    33.84     2.06    22.71    91.25    42.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.62     6.56    10.87     0.02     1.34    41.99    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         26   43  +13      73.99     6.93    18.56     0.11     2.93    52.69    14.40P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.25     6.53     4.23     0.01     0.44    27.38     5.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.76     7.63    12.86     0.28     5.52    59.72    15.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.21     6.88     3.53     0.01     0.21    16.41     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.21     6.55     3.67     0.00     0.02     7.58     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      62.06     6.72    -1.73     0.00     0.03     4.60     0.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.05     6.79   -14.59     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.24P    0.12R    0.01  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.78     6.33   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    0.30R    0.04  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      53.08     6.28   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    1.16R    0.16  
Barnet               24   32   -5      56.90     7.14   -13.38     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.16P    0.35R    0.06  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.16     7.37    -2.60     0.00     0.01     3.08     0.61P    0.19R    0.03  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      48.00     6.66   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.70R    1.43  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.20     6.72   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.29R    0.94  
Bury                 24   24   -7      49.17     7.26   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.69R    1.36  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.37     6.52   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.56R    9.48  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.68     5.86   -39.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.90R   28.12  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.28     7.15   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.83R    5.36  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.59     6.06   -40.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R   53.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2008, Exeter vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.25     6.59    35.78    32.68    96.45    45.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           26   55  +32      92.79     6.76    49.03    23.10    93.52    45.53P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.43     6.41    47.65    35.89    97.19    50.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.61     6.74    36.01     5.88    78.88    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       25   45  +12      83.52     6.95    27.32     1.83    56.69    16.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.74     6.93    16.61     0.12    19.22     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      75.94     6.92    21.84     0.14    17.25     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.50     6.54    13.36     0.04     7.73     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              25   43  +12      77.81     6.94    22.48     0.29    24.63     5.40P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.50     6.86    10.16     0.02     5.41     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      66.04     6.45     1.63     0.00     0.72     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      67.86     6.81     4.52     0.00     1.67     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.78     6.30     2.81     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.36     6.40    -5.54     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          28   36   -4      58.82     6.05    -6.49     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.16     6.11    -5.42     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      58.05     6.55     2.82     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.63     7.11    -5.55     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      50.07     6.64   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.44     5.70   -45.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.63R    0.59  
Farsley_Celtic      26   20  -24      38.27     6.19   -40.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.79R    0.77  
Northwich           27   13  -34      26.03     5.28   -56.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.65R   30.11  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.33     5.88   -46.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.04R   27.37  
Droylsden           26   10  -37      24.91     5.72   -62.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.52R   41.16