Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 January 2008 at 22:36:20 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Birmingham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      87.07     4.84    54.04    57.01    90.48    98.47    99.75    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   54  +29      85.61     4.84    48.31    38.33    84.92    97.13    99.47    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   50  +20      78.20     5.15    32.75     4.18    19.69    70.15    89.47    98.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.65     5.64    36.12     0.39     3.56    20.86    55.04    88.03     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.25     5.65    28.92     0.06     0.87     7.96    27.68    72.06     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.57     5.35    21.96     0.03     0.36     3.21    15.88    60.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.42     5.79    10.01     0.00     0.10     1.33     6.89    34.06     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      62.37     5.42    18.83     0.00     0.03     0.68     4.23    29.85     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +1      57.24     5.36     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.53     6.58     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      57.08     6.03    10.18     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.04     9.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   27   +4      49.60     5.54     7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44     0.05R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   27  -12      40.58     4.84   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   22  -17      36.72     5.01   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.71R    0.01  
Reading         23   22  -19      38.22     5.28   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.58R    0.01  
Bolton          23   21  -10      34.94     5.05   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.19R    0.03  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      37.01     5.40   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.03R    0.03  
Wigan           22   20  -15      36.01     5.32   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.99R    0.05  
Sunderland      23   20  -20      34.32     5.06   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.31R    0.06  
Fulham          23   15  -19      29.35     5.16   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.08R    1.00  
Derby           23    7  -39      13.97     3.83   -63.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   98.81  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Blackpool vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        28   51  +27      85.97     6.29    44.17    69.83    86.66    98.93    90.64P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   48   +9      75.40     6.40    12.86     7.31    23.88    75.63    35.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     28   48   +1      73.38     6.36     2.13     3.26    13.85    63.44    23.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            28   47  +11      77.48     6.49    19.89    11.26    37.48    85.10    50.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   44   +9      71.98     6.44    13.90     2.83    11.80    58.41    25.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         28   44   +8      71.93     6.50    12.81     3.00    11.70    57.67    23.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          28   41   +8      69.68     6.53    14.01     1.13     6.55    45.32    17.20P    0.08R    0.01  
Cardiff          28   40   +2      66.01     6.46     3.89     0.35     1.93    22.98     7.09P    0.35R    0.03  
Burnley          28   40   +0      64.86     6.44     0.03     0.21     1.25    17.82     5.06P    0.54R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    28   40   +0      64.00     6.35    -0.26     0.13     0.90    14.43     4.13P    0.63R    0.04  
Plymouth         28   39   +5      66.29     6.41     8.81     0.38     2.12    25.66     8.33P    0.24R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.85     6.73     2.15     0.28     1.49    19.02     5.69P    0.80R    0.05  
Southampton      28   37   -8      57.95     6.24   -14.70     0.01     0.07     2.65     0.55P    6.82R    0.76  
Sheff_Utd        28   35   -2      59.30     6.44    -2.63     0.01     0.13     4.32     1.15P    4.61R    0.63  
Blackpool        28   34   +0      57.39     6.32    -2.05     0.01     0.05     2.50     0.70P    6.93R    0.86  
Barnsley         28   34   -7      55.54     6.37   -12.05     0.00     0.03     1.17     0.27P   13.84R    2.37  
QPR              28   33   -7      55.28     6.45   -10.74     0.00     0.04     1.14     0.28P   14.69R    2.77  
Norwich          28   32   -8      53.09     6.30   -12.98     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.10P   23.98R    5.08  
Coventry         27   32  -14      53.13     6.46   -21.65     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.12P   25.96R    6.28  
Leicester        28   31   +0      55.45     6.30     0.11     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.37P   12.16R    2.10  
Sheff_Wed        27   31   -4      55.47     6.68    -5.93     0.00     0.03     1.55     0.39P   14.26R    2.80  
Preston          28   27   -9      46.71     6.17   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.27R   25.59  
Scunthorpe       28   27  -15      45.52     6.04   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.56R   36.03  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.67     6.65   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.06P   42.26R   14.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Bournemouth vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          24   50  +25      94.29     6.87    48.05    75.94    90.55    99.82    93.10P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         25   45  +14      80.91     6.98    25.14     5.80    24.64    87.53    38.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     25   44  +22      82.86     6.91    36.82     9.65    36.45    93.00    54.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        26   44  +15      78.74     6.76    25.95     2.96    15.20    82.47    31.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   43  +26      81.66     6.08    46.03     5.20    28.87    92.89    53.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   43   -2      66.51     6.43    -6.00     0.03     0.32    14.94     1.87P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall          27   42  +10      72.93     6.44    17.33     0.29     2.62    51.95    13.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southend         26   37   +2      65.94     6.94     4.31     0.05     0.35    15.53     2.54P    0.22R    0.00  
Tranmere         27   37   +1      63.11     6.45     1.43     0.00     0.04     6.71     1.12P    0.34R    0.00  
Yeovil           27   37   -3      60.93     6.30    -5.48     0.00     0.02     3.18     0.49P    0.93R    0.01  
Swindon          25   35   +3      65.77     7.09     6.20     0.02     0.38    16.27     3.02P    0.28R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   +3      64.83     7.02     4.58     0.03     0.26    12.73     2.39P    0.36R    0.00  
Oldham           25   33   +2      65.68     7.13     7.89     0.02     0.22    15.31     3.34P    0.27R    0.00  
Northampton      27   32   -7      53.92     6.35   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   10.26R    0.24  
Huddersfield     26   31  -16      49.74     6.29   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   30.63R    1.87  
Bristol_Rovers   24   30   -1      60.58     7.22    -0.11     0.00     0.07     4.62     0.83P    2.18R    0.04  
Hartlepool       26   30   -2      58.41     6.81    -0.51     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.31P    3.47R    0.09  
Gillingham       25   30  -11      53.72     6.76   -19.36     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.04P   13.42R    0.58  
Crewe            26   28  -15      46.61     6.15   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.32R    5.31  
Cheltenham       25   27  -14      46.93     6.45   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.73R    4.88  
Millwall         25   26  -11      47.44     6.60   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   42.61R    4.61  
Luton            25   23   -2      51.26     7.03    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   21.78R    1.63  
Port_Vale        27   20  -18      38.39     6.06   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.48R   38.83  
Bournemouth      26   20  -21      38.38     6.13   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.68R   41.92  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Dag_&_Red vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   27   57  +26      95.79     6.21    45.33    44.31    90.28    99.92    93.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   50  +17      85.65     6.74    29.47     4.36    37.37    95.33    54.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.63     6.99    34.44     8.92    50.71    97.03    64.38P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           24   46  +27      94.70     6.53    55.11    39.87    88.23    99.78    93.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.50     6.66    33.71     2.00    22.65    90.82    42.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              27   44   +7      72.60     6.51    10.78     0.04     1.34    41.55     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         26   43  +13      74.06     6.90    18.66     0.10     3.17    52.55    14.38P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            27   42   +1      70.31     6.54     4.28     0.01     0.44    27.37     5.13P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.87     7.65    13.05     0.39     5.44    60.36    15.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.33     6.90     3.78     0.00     0.27    16.83     3.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   37   +2      64.31     6.53     3.83     0.00     0.04     7.57     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              26   36   +1      61.86     6.70    -2.12     0.00     0.02     4.13     0.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.03     6.84   -14.67     0.00     0.00     1.77     0.29P    0.11R    0.01  
Grimsby              27   34   -7      55.75     6.30   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.06P    0.28R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      53.03     6.28   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    1.17R    0.18  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.00     7.07   -13.21     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.20P    0.33R    0.04  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.13     7.37    -2.61     0.00     0.01     3.11     0.61P    0.18R    0.03  
Notts_County         26   26  -12      47.92     6.61   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     6.68R    1.57  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.28     6.76   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.02R    0.88  
Bury                 24   24   -7      49.17     7.26   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    5.55R    1.38  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.24     6.46   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.87R    9.66  
Dag_&_Red            26   22  -20      37.69     5.83   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.64R   28.00  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.09     7.17   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   16.37R    5.67  
Wrexham              25   18  -23      34.64     6.00   -40.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.77R   52.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2008, Aldershot vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           27   61  +22      95.41     6.57    36.03    33.40    96.99    46.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           26   55  +32      93.05     6.74    49.46    24.00    94.24    46.70P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             26   55  +23      95.23     6.40    47.25    34.52    97.23    49.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       26   51  +21      87.60     6.73    36.03     5.76    79.99    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       25   45  +12      83.42     6.98    27.14     1.78    57.61    16.22P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        26   45  +10      76.76     6.96    16.62     0.17    20.06     3.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        26   44  +15      76.06     6.87    22.05     0.16    18.23     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.48     6.53    13.31     0.03     8.07     1.72P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.51     6.89    10.17     0.01     5.83     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.97     7.15    19.99     0.16    18.34     3.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       27   40   +2      65.97     6.49     1.48     0.00     0.80     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      26   39   +2      67.81     6.82     4.43     0.00     1.85     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           28   39   +1      64.78     6.32     2.78     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
York                27   39   +0      62.24     6.45    -5.75     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.33     6.32    -4.27     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              28   34   -4      57.26     6.11    -5.26     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   27   31   +1      58.04     6.60     2.77     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.62     7.08    -5.54     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            26   26  -11      50.07     6.68   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Altrincham          27   22  -24      37.55     5.75   -45.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.22R    0.55  
Farsley_Celtic      26   20  -24      38.13     6.17   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.35R    0.72  
Northwich           27   13  -34      26.06     5.31   -56.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.14R   30.03  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.33     5.89   -46.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.09R   27.40  
Droylsden           26   10  -37      24.89     5.69   -62.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.81R   41.30