Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 January 2008 at 22:36:06 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   51  +33      86.42     5.08    53.84    59.70    90.28    97.94    99.56    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   51  +26      84.26     5.15    45.63    34.80    80.97    95.10    98.78    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   47  +19      77.12     5.44    32.68     4.67    21.21    64.74    85.42    97.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.68     5.72    36.28     0.69     5.35    25.20    56.44    87.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.17     5.63    28.79     0.08     1.37     9.68    28.27    71.12     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.62     5.36    22.19     0.04     0.55     4.32    17.31    60.35     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.51     5.74    10.08     0.01     0.20     1.73     7.18    34.12     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   36   +1      58.80     5.65     2.41     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.31    11.32     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   34   +9      62.07     5.58    19.12     0.01     0.05     0.90     4.61    28.60     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      56.98     6.00    10.03     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.12     8.78     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   26  -12      41.40     5.24   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.42R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   24   +2      48.83     5.76     7.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.19R    0.00  
Reading         22   22  -17      38.63     5.47   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.91R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -17      35.96     5.12   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.25R    0.05  
Bolton          22   20  -10      35.05     5.40   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.69R    0.04  
Birmingham      22   20  -10      38.03     5.64   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    0.02  
Wigan           22   20  -15      35.93     5.31   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.86R    0.07  
Sunderland      22   20  -18      35.06     5.27   -30.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.98R    0.08  
Fulham          22   15  -16      30.47     5.44   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.87R    0.71  
Derby           22    7  -37      14.02     3.84   -63.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   99.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        27   50  +27      87.69     6.41    46.28    75.66    90.10    99.33    93.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     27   48   +3      75.24     6.66     4.85     4.84    20.77    73.20    30.99P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   47   +9      75.92     6.76    12.96     6.96    26.20    76.85    37.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44   +9      76.17     6.80    18.30     6.57    28.45    79.57    42.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +8      71.78     6.80    11.97     2.37    11.52    56.85    23.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   41   +7      69.89     6.69    11.25     1.32     6.95    46.07    18.07P    0.06R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   40   +8      70.25     6.90    14.32     1.09     7.81    49.62    19.05P    0.10R    0.00  
Cardiff          27   39   +2      65.44     6.73     2.33     0.35     1.85    21.49     6.46P    0.60R    0.05  
Plymouth         27   38   +5      67.21     6.79     9.65     0.43     3.02    31.87    10.91P    0.30R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.87     6.75     2.20     0.22     1.44    19.84     5.99P    0.78R    0.07  
Burnley          27   37   -1      63.10     6.75    -1.19     0.09     0.74    13.17     3.54P    1.66R    0.19  
Wolverhampton    27   37   -2      61.39     6.54    -3.57     0.05     0.42     8.05     2.20P    2.58R    0.28  
Southampton      27   36   -8      57.63     6.50   -15.92     0.01     0.07     2.91     0.61P    8.58R    1.36  
Sheff_Utd        27   35   +0      61.44     6.75     0.53     0.03     0.34     9.08     2.63P    2.96R    0.47  
Barnsley         27   34   -5      57.62     6.69    -8.95     0.00     0.08     3.07     0.73P    9.37R    1.71  
Blackpool        27   33   +0      57.84     6.69    -1.94     0.01     0.14     3.87     1.05P    7.73R    1.29  
Coventry         26   32  -13      55.07     6.81   -19.80     0.00     0.04     1.42     0.29P   18.99R    4.78  
Norwich          27   31   -8      53.47     6.53   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P   23.62R    6.00  
Leicester        27   30   +0      55.67     6.52    -0.13     0.01     0.02     1.53     0.42P   12.91R    2.80  
QPR              27   30   -9      52.90     6.62   -13.92     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.13P   26.84R    7.63  
Sheff_Wed        26   28   -6      52.82     6.94    -9.46     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.21P   26.84R    7.91  
Preston          27   27   -7      47.85     6.37   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   54.91R   23.42  
Scunthorpe       27   27  -13      47.78     6.35   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.49R   25.22  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.52     6.60   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   43.66R   16.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 January 2008, Crewe vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          23   47  +23      93.64     7.06    48.08    66.47    85.99    99.71    89.89P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     24   44  +23      85.54     7.10    39.62    16.40    46.30    96.32    63.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            26   43  +27      84.17     6.29    49.08    10.22    38.77    96.43    61.22P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         24   42  +13      80.53     7.21    26.39     5.29    19.45    86.70    34.51P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        25   41  +14      74.88     7.07    21.74     1.07     5.60    64.52    18.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          26   41  +10      73.32     6.64    17.35     0.39     2.50    55.40    14.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   40   -3      65.15     6.70    -6.54     0.01     0.13    12.48     1.58P    0.17R    0.00  
Yeovil           26   36   -3      61.44     6.54    -5.35     0.00     0.03     4.57     0.70P    0.94R    0.00  
Brighton         24   34   +3      67.35     7.26     7.88     0.07     0.55    23.14     4.51P    0.18R    0.00  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      60.83     6.72    -0.59     0.00     0.02     4.45     0.77P    1.10R    0.01  
Southend         25   34   -1      62.89     7.20    -1.00     0.01     0.06     8.65     1.21P    0.95R    0.02  
Swindon          24   32   +2      63.19     7.31     3.82     0.01     0.11    10.37     1.82P    0.89R    0.02  
Oldham           24   32   +2      66.22     7.40     8.18     0.04     0.33    19.03     3.95P    0.29R    0.00  
Hartlepool       25   30   +0      62.35     7.08     5.70     0.00     0.03     7.94     1.35P    1.09R    0.05  
Gillingham       24   30  -10      56.28     7.08   -16.75     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.15P    7.60R    0.29  
Huddersfield     25   30  -16      48.92     6.45   -32.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   34.43R    2.85  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.64     7.60     0.96     0.02     0.11     8.01     1.54P    1.83R    0.06  
Northampton      26   29   -8      51.26     6.58   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   19.49R    1.11  
Crewe            25   28  -14      46.77     6.39   -31.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   47.06R    6.14  
Millwall         24   26  -10      49.06     6.98   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   32.90R    3.61  
Cheltenham       24   24  -16      42.85     6.53   -32.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.85R   17.03  
Luton            24   23   -1      52.82     7.30    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.13P   15.63R    1.16  
Port_Vale        26   20  -16      38.86     6.27   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.79R   37.83  
Bournemouth      25   20  -18      40.40     6.49   -33.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.80R   29.81  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2008, Chesterfield vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   26   57  +27      99.28     6.26    49.82    61.19    95.41    99.98    97.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.76     6.94    34.70     5.94    48.41    96.93    63.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   49  +17      86.43     7.09    30.10     3.93    39.43    95.10    55.70P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           24   46  +27      94.60     6.50    54.90    27.49    86.26    99.72    92.36P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.60     6.60    34.01     1.20    20.57    90.27    40.69P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         26   43  +13      73.81     6.91    18.31     0.06     2.44    49.13    12.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43   +7      72.39     6.76    10.07     0.03     1.33    38.63     9.26P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            26   42   +3      72.70     6.86     7.81     0.02     1.14    39.62     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.70     7.60    12.80     0.15     4.62    56.94    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.34     6.94     3.78     0.00     0.25    15.61     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              25   36   +2      64.15     7.05     0.35     0.00     0.11     7.94     1.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.03     6.81   -14.64     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.21P    0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   34   +0      61.74     6.85     0.38     0.00     0.02     4.05     0.82P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   33   -7      56.84     6.59   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.10P    0.21R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.97     6.25   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.92R    0.06  
Barnet               24   32   -5      56.76     7.10   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.15P    0.28R    0.02  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.10     7.38    -2.71     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.54P    0.15R    0.01  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.29     6.76   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.47R    0.43  
Bury                 24   24   -7      48.93     7.18   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    4.64R    0.70  
Notts_County         25   23  -13      45.85     6.87   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.26R    1.90  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.36     6.49   -29.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.56R    5.67  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -20      37.76     6.21   -40.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.93R   18.32  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.47     7.13   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.64R    3.13  
Wrexham              24   15  -24      30.97     5.99   -45.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.83R   69.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Salisbury vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.85     6.80    39.14    42.66    98.36    54.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.33     6.67    49.04    35.41    97.92    50.25P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.92     6.93    45.86    15.22    92.35    38.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.87     6.94    34.31     3.59    77.92    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.59     7.20    29.14     2.90    70.81    21.43P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.47     6.51    13.23     0.01     8.59     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.96     7.14    13.41     0.05    12.40     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.59     6.93    10.34     0.01     6.55     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.80     7.23    17.95     0.05    12.67     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.94     7.21    19.91     0.10    19.10     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           27   38   +1      64.69     6.60     1.82     0.00     0.69     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.56     6.72    -4.07     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.02     6.68     1.59     0.00     0.76     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.29     7.06     2.33     0.00     1.12     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.15     6.37    -4.59     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.27     6.88     7.10     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.18     6.36    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.52     7.08    -5.66     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.97     6.92   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.26     5.98   -46.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.96R    0.94  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.77     6.42   -41.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.11R    0.78  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.46     5.42   -55.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.13R   29.91  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.27     5.94   -46.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.24R   30.87  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.70     5.86   -58.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.27R   37.50