Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 January 2008 at 22:36:15 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   51  +33      86.53     5.07    54.04    60.46    90.68    97.99    99.56    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   51  +26      84.23     5.17    45.57    34.24    80.87    94.89    98.57    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   47  +19      77.10     5.43    32.64     4.43    20.71    64.58    85.44    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.81     5.70    36.50     0.75     5.63    25.66    56.73    87.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.18     5.62    28.86     0.07     1.40     9.52    28.30    70.94     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.64     5.31    22.22     0.04     0.45     4.22    16.89    60.32     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.65     5.84    10.33     0.01     0.17     1.96     7.83    35.40     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   36   +1      58.69     5.63     2.24     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.23    10.63     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   34   +9      62.09     5.56    19.13     0.00     0.08     0.87     4.41    28.36     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      56.90     5.94     9.93     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.01     8.24     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   26  -12      41.35     5.20   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.48R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   24   +2      48.82     5.74     7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.40     0.17R    0.00  
Reading         22   22  -17      38.53     5.42   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.12R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -17      35.97     5.12   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.30R    0.04  
Bolton          22   20  -10      35.00     5.36   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.03R    0.03  
Birmingham      22   20  -10      37.99     5.66   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.38R    0.03  
Wigan           22   20  -15      36.11     5.33   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.95R    0.03  
Sunderland      22   20  -18      35.04     5.27   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.88R    0.08  
Fulham          22   15  -16      30.50     5.39   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.71R    0.59  
Derby           22    7  -37      13.88     3.81   -63.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   99.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        27   50  +27      87.94     6.42    46.73    76.71    90.67    99.43    93.74P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     27   48   +3      75.36     6.69     5.06     4.74    21.54    73.53    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   47   +9      75.71     6.66    12.68     6.24    24.73    76.46    36.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            27   44   +9      76.09     6.75    18.18     6.25    27.90    79.56    41.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +8      71.86     6.81    12.11     2.33    11.82    57.38    23.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   41   +7      69.94     6.72    11.29     1.28     7.08    46.72    18.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   40   +8      70.41     6.88    14.60     1.24     8.14    50.56    19.53P    0.09R    0.01  
Cardiff          27   39   +2      65.22     6.66     1.97     0.26     1.52    20.39     5.97P    0.67R    0.06  
Plymouth         27   38   +5      67.37     6.74     9.91     0.53     3.32    32.45    11.39P    0.29R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.82     6.72     2.08     0.20     1.43    19.19     5.77P    0.79R    0.06  
Burnley          27   37   -1      62.94     6.76    -1.40     0.09     0.75    12.87     3.46P    1.79R    0.19  
Wolverhampton    27   37   -2      61.22     6.56    -3.75     0.05     0.37     7.93     2.19P    2.63R    0.34  
Southampton      27   36   -8      57.71     6.44   -15.79     0.01     0.07     2.84     0.54P    8.38R    1.32  
Sheff_Utd        27   35   +0      61.24     6.70     0.24     0.03     0.34     8.59     2.50P    3.08R    0.41  
Barnsley         27   34   -5      57.71     6.75    -8.79     0.01     0.10     3.34     0.77P    9.33R    1.73  
Blackpool        27   33   +0      57.80     6.64    -2.05     0.01     0.11     3.57     1.01P    7.53R    1.15  
Coventry         26   32  -13      54.97     6.83   -19.92     0.00     0.02     1.36     0.24P   19.98R    4.85  
Norwich          27   31   -8      53.60     6.52   -12.82     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.13P   22.88R    5.68  
Leicester        27   30   +0      55.68     6.55    -0.13     0.00     0.04     1.60     0.52P   12.92R    2.78  
QPR              27   30   -9      53.02     6.61   -13.79     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.14P   26.20R    7.34  
Sheff_Wed        26   28   -6      52.88     6.86    -9.33     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.15P   26.57R    7.61  
Preston          27   27   -7      47.78     6.42   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   55.33R   23.81  
Scunthorpe       27   27  -13      47.71     6.37   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.70R   25.91  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.51     6.55   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   43.74R   16.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 January 2008, Crewe vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          23   47  +23      93.85     6.99    48.38    67.47    86.75    99.74    90.47P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     24   44  +23      85.55     7.09    39.74    16.02    46.33    96.44    63.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            26   43  +27      84.17     6.32    49.12     9.85    38.50    96.38    61.18P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         24   42  +13      80.57     7.20    26.45     5.26    19.60    86.98    34.65P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        25   41  +14      75.06     7.04    22.01     0.97     5.36    65.89    18.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          26   41  +10      73.10     6.60    17.05     0.31     2.26    54.24    13.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   40   -3      64.98     6.68    -6.84     0.01     0.14    11.99     1.42P    0.22R    0.00  
Yeovil           26   36   -3      61.28     6.51    -5.58     0.00     0.02     4.36     0.67P    0.85R    0.01  
Brighton         24   34   +3      67.16     7.32     7.59     0.04     0.47    22.78     4.47P    0.21R    0.00  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      61.03     6.67    -0.26     0.00     0.02     4.52     0.84P    1.08R    0.01  
Southend         25   34   -1      63.00     7.23    -0.78     0.01     0.09     9.13     1.50P    0.96R    0.02  
Swindon          24   32   +2      63.30     7.28     3.97     0.01     0.13    10.72     1.94P    0.85R    0.01  
Oldham           24   32   +2      66.29     7.32     8.28     0.03     0.22    19.36     3.89P    0.27R    0.00  
Hartlepool       25   30   +0      62.24     7.04     5.53     0.00     0.04     7.72     1.26P    1.14R    0.02  
Gillingham       24   30  -10      56.10     7.04   -17.05     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.14P    7.93R    0.34  
Huddersfield     25   30  -16      48.88     6.49   -32.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P   34.67R    2.96  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.46     7.54     0.64     0.01     0.06     7.58     1.37P    1.81R    0.05  
Northampton      26   29   -8      51.56     6.54   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   18.15R    1.07  
Crewe            25   28  -14      46.51     6.31   -31.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   48.99R    6.41  
Millwall         24   26  -10      49.03     6.97   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   33.09R    3.72  
Cheltenham       24   24  -16      43.04     6.51   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.97R   16.58  
Luton            24   23   -1      52.86     7.38    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P   16.15R    1.28  
Port_Vale        26   20  -16      38.88     6.23   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.58R   38.01  
Bournemouth      25   20  -18      40.53     6.54   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.06R   29.52  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2008, Chesterfield vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   26   57  +27      99.44     6.21    50.08    62.28    95.50    99.97    97.13P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.81     6.92    34.73     5.82    48.45    96.99    63.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   49  +17      86.42     7.07    30.12     3.85    38.75    94.91    55.33P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           24   46  +27      94.59     6.48    54.88    26.74    86.25    99.72    92.16P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.73     6.62    34.19     1.06    21.06    90.48    41.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         26   43  +13      73.83     6.93    18.29     0.05     2.47    49.37    12.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43   +7      72.37     6.79     9.98     0.02     1.46    38.43     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            26   42   +3      72.72     6.81     7.85     0.01     1.03    39.55     8.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             24   41   +6      75.63     7.65    12.63     0.17     4.65    56.86    14.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.25     6.88     3.66     0.00     0.23    15.41     2.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              25   36   +2      64.26     7.07     0.53     0.00     0.10     8.29     1.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.21     6.76   -14.34     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.20P    0.05R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   34   +0      61.74     6.79     0.36     0.00     0.01     3.94     0.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   33   -7      56.68     6.52   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.22R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.82     6.24   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.98R    0.07  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.05     7.09   -13.13     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.18P    0.24R    0.01  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.30     7.39    -2.39     0.00     0.01     2.75     0.53P    0.16R    0.01  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.22     6.81   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.46R    0.46  
Bury                 24   24   -7      48.95     7.17   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.57R    0.81  
Notts_County         25   23  -13      45.51     6.92   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.28R    2.06  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.37     6.44   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.98R    5.34  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -20      37.71     6.10   -40.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.52R   18.21  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.40     7.20   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.56R    3.13  
Wrexham              24   15  -24      30.87     5.94   -45.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.95R   69.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Salisbury vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.83     6.83    39.14    43.07    98.31    54.59P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.24     6.69    48.84    35.06    97.93    49.77P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.91     6.91    45.80    15.17    92.49    38.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.75     6.95    34.16     3.57    77.54    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.63     7.17    29.24     2.88    71.21    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.42     6.60    13.16     0.02     8.64     1.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.88     7.14    13.27     0.04    12.24     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.73     6.83    10.50     0.01     6.41     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.61     7.16    17.62     0.05    11.84     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.14     7.31    20.19     0.14    20.03     4.11P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           27   38   +1      64.69     6.60     1.80     0.00     0.65     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.60     6.74    -4.01     0.00     0.53     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.11     6.72     1.75     0.00     0.78     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.34     7.05     2.39     0.00     1.14     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.13     6.35    -4.62     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.38     6.86     7.29     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.14     6.39    -6.87     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.54     7.10    -5.65     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.97     6.97   -15.31     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.20     5.98   -46.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.37R    1.03  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.69     6.38   -41.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.21R    0.91  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.56     5.45   -55.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.58R   29.67  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.28     5.92   -46.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.64R   30.38  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.67     5.87   -59.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.94R   38.00