Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 January 2008 at 22:36:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   51  +33      86.27     5.13    53.64    58.76    89.80    97.77    99.49    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   51  +26      84.31     5.15    45.62    35.58    81.01    95.06    98.68    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   47  +19      77.15     5.44    32.70     4.75    21.50    64.79    85.58    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.65     5.70    36.17     0.74     5.57    25.05    56.08    87.58     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.16     5.65    28.83     0.10     1.35     9.71    28.34    70.92     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.58     5.36    22.08     0.04     0.52     4.50    17.25    59.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.58     5.78    10.24     0.02     0.21     1.89     7.50    34.69     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   36   +1      58.77     5.67     2.36     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.37    11.17     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   34   +9      62.11     5.54    19.20     0.00     0.04     0.83     4.45    28.58     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      57.02     6.00    10.12     0.00     0.00     0.19     1.24     8.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   26  -12      41.46     5.21   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.19R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   24   +2      48.84     5.74     7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.18R    0.00  
Reading         22   22  -17      38.68     5.44   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.57R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -17      36.01     5.12   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.13R    0.03  
Bolton          22   20  -10      35.00     5.38   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.04R    0.03  
Birmingham      22   20  -10      38.01     5.64   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.82R    0.02  
Wigan           22   20  -15      36.16     5.35   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.93R    0.05  
Sunderland      22   20  -18      35.05     5.29   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.28R    0.05  
Fulham          22   15  -16      30.34     5.38   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.89R    0.65  
Derby           22    7  -37      13.87     3.80   -64.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R   99.16  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        27   50  +27      87.76     6.48    46.44    75.85    89.99    99.35    93.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     27   48   +3      75.22     6.67     4.85     4.74    20.74    72.74    30.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          27   47   +9      75.88     6.68    12.95     6.86    25.70    76.95    37.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44   +9      76.07     6.72    18.13     6.14    27.96    79.25    41.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +8      71.94     6.84    12.22     2.55    11.83    57.29    23.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   41   +7      70.09     6.72    11.49     1.37     7.35    47.28    18.66P    0.05R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   40   +8      70.41     6.87    14.59     1.16     8.14    50.28    19.59P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          27   39   +2      65.31     6.71     2.13     0.34     1.66    20.91     6.27P    0.70R    0.06  
Plymouth         27   38   +5      67.48     6.79    10.03     0.54     3.34    32.97    11.53P    0.28R    0.03  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.66     6.77     1.86     0.22     1.38    18.65     5.62P    0.89R    0.10  
Burnley          27   37   -1      62.98     6.70    -1.40     0.10     0.71    12.60     3.32P    1.65R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    27   37   -2      61.26     6.55    -3.71     0.06     0.45     7.82     2.19P    2.71R    0.31  
Southampton      27   36   -8      57.55     6.44   -16.01     0.01     0.08     2.75     0.53P    8.56R    1.31  
Sheff_Utd        27   35   +0      61.52     6.70     0.60     0.03     0.37     9.11     2.53P    2.82R    0.37  
Barnsley         27   34   -5      57.53     6.73    -9.08     0.00     0.09     3.11     0.72P    9.71R    1.76  
Blackpool        27   33   +0      57.88     6.67    -1.91     0.02     0.12     3.76     1.08P    7.39R    1.25  
Coventry         26   32  -13      54.99     6.79   -19.89     0.00     0.03     1.28     0.24P   19.46R    4.91  
Norwich          27   31   -8      53.51     6.53   -12.91     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.14P   23.53R    5.95  
Leicester        27   30   +0      55.75     6.56    -0.04     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.49P   12.88R    2.80  
QPR              27   30   -9      52.89     6.64   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.14P   26.83R    7.59  
Sheff_Wed        26   28   -6      52.82     6.87    -9.47     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.22P   26.46R    7.76  
Preston          27   27   -7      47.63     6.30   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   56.15R   23.93  
Scunthorpe       27   27  -13      47.80     6.39   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   56.96R   25.36  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.62     6.59   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   42.85R   16.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 January 2008, Crewe vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          23   47  +23      93.67     7.11    48.08    66.34    85.89    99.66    89.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     24   44  +23      85.49     7.11    39.58    16.53    46.10    96.35    63.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            26   43  +27      84.21     6.35    49.19    10.50    39.45    96.32    61.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         24   42  +13      80.49     7.20    26.33     5.18    19.34    86.60    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        25   41  +14      74.86     7.04    21.71     0.94     5.19    64.72    18.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          26   41  +10      73.29     6.64    17.31     0.36     2.55    55.57    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   40   -3      64.87     6.65    -6.95     0.01     0.17    11.80     1.44P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil           26   36   -3      61.33     6.52    -5.52     0.00     0.03     4.49     0.66P    0.85R    0.00  
Brighton         24   34   +3      67.34     7.26     7.89     0.07     0.51    23.36     4.64P    0.19R    0.00  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      60.93     6.65    -0.42     0.00     0.02     4.37     0.68P    1.16R    0.01  
Southend         25   34   -1      63.17     7.23    -0.55     0.02     0.16     9.36     1.46P    0.96R    0.01  
Swindon          24   32   +2      63.35     7.24     4.03     0.01     0.12    10.56     1.88P    0.79R    0.00  
Oldham           24   32   +2      66.18     7.38     8.12     0.04     0.32    19.02     3.92P    0.32R    0.01  
Hartlepool       25   30   +0      62.35     7.02     5.72     0.00     0.06     7.81     1.35P    1.05R    0.02  
Gillingham       24   30  -10      56.04     7.11   -17.18     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.16P    8.15R    0.40  
Huddersfield     25   30  -16      48.86     6.49   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   35.01R    2.94  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.53     7.58     0.77     0.01     0.10     7.79     1.54P    1.78R    0.06  
Northampton      26   29   -8      51.45     6.63   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   19.22R    1.12  
Crewe            25   28  -14      46.83     6.35   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.83R    5.80  
Millwall         24   26  -10      49.31     6.99   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   31.38R    3.44  
Cheltenham       24   24  -16      42.84     6.54   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.19R   16.92  
Luton            24   23   -1      52.87     7.35    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P   15.84R    1.21  
Port_Vale        26   20  -16      38.77     6.19   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.32R   38.07  
Bournemouth      25   20  -18      40.42     6.54   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.75R   29.99  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2008, Morecambe vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   26   57  +27      99.20     6.33    49.78    60.92    95.22    99.96    96.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.63     6.94    34.53     5.91    47.62    96.74    61.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   49  +17      86.43     7.14    30.10     3.94    39.03    94.90    54.96P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           24   46  +27      94.57     6.51    54.94    27.63    86.06    99.74    92.06P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         26   46  +19      82.72     6.60    34.20     1.29    20.87    90.76    40.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         25   43  +14      76.26     7.19    20.93     0.19     5.46    62.90    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43   +7      72.40     6.85    10.08     0.03     1.42    38.50     9.31P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            26   42   +3      72.76     6.87     8.00     0.02     1.20    40.09     8.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.25     6.89     3.75     0.00     0.20    15.08     2.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             23   38   +5      72.94     7.91     9.99     0.07     2.76    42.74    10.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              25   36   +2      64.47     7.03     0.86     0.00     0.09     8.58     1.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.17     6.76   -14.35     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.21P    0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   34   +0      61.75     6.83     0.40     0.00     0.02     3.91     0.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   33   -7      56.69     6.61   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.10P    0.23R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   27   33  -17      52.80     6.24   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.89R    0.08  
Barnet               24   32   -5      56.86     7.11   -13.40     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.14P    0.27R    0.02  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.31     7.34    -2.31     0.00     0.02     2.73     0.58P    0.13R    0.01  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.13     6.72   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.43R    0.47  
Bury                 24   24   -7      49.04     7.18   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.34R    0.71  
Notts_County         25   23  -13      45.53     6.90   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   11.17R    2.07  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.45     6.47   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.16R    5.20  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -20      37.79     6.18   -40.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.41R   18.02  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.53     7.16   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.39R    2.83  
Wrexham              24   15  -24      30.78     5.91   -45.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.45R   70.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Salisbury vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.82     6.85    39.11    43.23    98.25    54.86P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.19     6.73    48.80    34.52    97.80    49.26P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.88     6.93    45.83    15.03    92.21    37.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.94     6.98    34.53     3.91    77.88    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.77     7.14    29.53     3.05    71.79    21.91P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.34     6.58    13.05     0.01     8.52     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.89     7.27    13.29     0.07    12.45     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.73     6.84    10.55     0.01     6.33     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.72     7.20    17.80     0.06    12.31     2.82P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.92     7.27    19.85     0.12    19.24     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           27   38   +1      64.75     6.61     1.94     0.00     0.68     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.72     6.72    -3.82     0.00     0.48     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.11     6.70     1.74     0.00     0.75     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.24     7.07     2.25     0.00     1.04     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.09     6.36    -4.70     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.23     6.81     7.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.17     6.37    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.70     7.08    -5.37     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.95     7.00   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.13     5.99   -46.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.15R    1.05  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.55     6.38   -41.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.95R    0.93  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.46     5.44   -55.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.66R   30.31  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.30     5.94   -46.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.22R   30.37  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.75     5.87   -58.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.77R   37.33