Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 January 2008 at 22:36:14 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   51  +33      86.47     5.06    53.90    60.08    90.54    98.02    99.57    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   51  +26      84.35     5.09    45.76    34.83    81.78    95.39    98.86    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   47  +19      76.96     5.45    32.47     4.25    20.02    63.70    84.71    97.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.75     5.69    36.41     0.71     5.48    25.58    56.90    87.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.16     5.63    28.83     0.09     1.41     9.55    28.41    71.14     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.57     5.31    22.10     0.03     0.48     4.44    16.66    60.24     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.56     5.78    10.15     0.01     0.21     2.00     7.67    34.54     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   36   +1      58.71     5.68     2.22     0.00     0.02     0.19     1.35    11.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   34   +9      62.11     5.54    19.16     0.00     0.04     0.92     4.65    28.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      57.09     5.97    10.21     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.22     8.92     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   26  -12      41.45     5.20   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.24R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   24   +2      48.86     5.69     7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.13R    0.00  
Reading         22   22  -17      38.50     5.44   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.08R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -17      35.96     5.16   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.39R    0.06  
Bolton          22   20  -10      35.02     5.39   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.00R    0.04  
Birmingham      22   20  -10      37.98     5.69   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.25R    0.03  
Wigan           22   20  -15      36.15     5.37   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.72R    0.06  
Sunderland      22   20  -18      35.03     5.30   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.06R    0.07  
Fulham          22   15  -16      30.43     5.39   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.14R    0.69  
Derby           22    7  -37      13.95     3.83   -63.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   99.03  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        27   50  +27      87.74     6.46    46.38    75.58    90.10    99.36    93.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     27   48   +3      75.34     6.69     5.02     4.88    21.37    73.52    31.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   47   +9      75.97     6.75    13.10     7.04    26.38    77.30    38.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            27   44   +9      76.11     6.74    18.23     6.27    27.69    79.42    41.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +8      71.68     6.82    11.82     2.46    11.22    56.05    22.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   41   +7      70.07     6.72    11.49     1.36     7.48    47.63    18.99P    0.06R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   40   +8      70.38     6.85    14.52     1.18     7.72    50.57    19.24P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          27   39   +2      65.26     6.73     2.07     0.29     1.70    20.93     6.35P    0.65R    0.06  
Plymouth         27   38   +5      67.35     6.77     9.86     0.54     3.37    32.25    11.42P    0.27R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.55     6.67     1.72     0.17     1.19    18.02     5.17P    0.83R    0.08  
Burnley          27   37   -1      63.08     6.76    -1.19     0.10     0.75    13.09     3.63P    1.66R    0.19  
Wolverhampton    27   37   -2      61.21     6.57    -3.82     0.05     0.34     8.05     2.17P    2.75R    0.35  
Southampton      27   36   -8      57.57     6.49   -15.99     0.01     0.07     2.84     0.52P    8.86R    1.31  
Sheff_Utd        27   35   +0      61.31     6.68     0.31     0.03     0.31     8.48     2.42P    3.06R    0.43  
Barnsley         27   34   -5      57.74     6.70    -8.74     0.01     0.07     3.30     0.73P    9.18R    1.62  
Blackpool        27   33   +0      57.86     6.69    -1.92     0.01     0.15     3.86     1.05P    7.60R    1.33  
Coventry         26   32  -13      55.03     6.81   -19.87     0.00     0.03     1.40     0.27P   19.45R    4.91  
Norwich          27   31   -8      53.56     6.52   -12.85     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.17P   23.39R    5.80  
Leicester        27   30   +0      55.73     6.56    -0.05     0.00     0.04     1.62     0.52P   12.85R    2.72  
QPR              27   30   -9      53.16     6.60   -13.59     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.11P   25.27R    6.97  
Sheff_Wed        26   28   -6      52.96     6.86    -9.24     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.18P   25.93R    7.44  
Preston          27   27   -7      47.66     6.42   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   55.98R   24.37  
Scunthorpe       27   27  -13      47.57     6.38   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   58.60R   26.24  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.58     6.56   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   43.48R   16.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 January 2008, Crewe vs Leeds; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          23   47  +23      93.60     7.11    47.99    66.21    85.81    99.65    89.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     24   44  +23      85.46     7.13    39.54    16.41    46.11    96.13    63.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            26   43  +27      84.13     6.31    49.05    10.34    38.74    96.24    61.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         24   42  +13      80.61     7.14    26.46     5.43    19.85    87.08    34.81P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        25   41  +14      75.16     7.04    22.15     1.12     5.68    66.30    19.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          26   41  +10      73.15     6.65    17.16     0.34     2.44    54.60    13.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   40   -3      65.01     6.71    -6.80     0.03     0.17    12.01     1.57P    0.23R    0.00  
Yeovil           26   36   -3      61.44     6.57    -5.33     0.00     0.02     4.58     0.70P    0.85R    0.02  
Brighton         24   34   +3      67.18     7.28     7.65     0.07     0.55    22.65     4.42P    0.19R    0.00  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      60.92     6.66    -0.43     0.00     0.01     4.45     0.80P    1.02R    0.01  
Southend         25   34   -1      63.16     7.23    -0.57     0.01     0.09     9.29     1.45P    0.87R    0.01  
Swindon          24   32   +2      63.26     7.26     3.90     0.02     0.13    10.55     1.91P    0.78R    0.01  
Oldham           24   32   +2      66.30     7.37     8.29     0.03     0.32    19.20     3.93P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool       25   30   +0      62.31     7.12     5.60     0.00     0.03     7.96     1.29P    1.13R    0.04  
Gillingham       24   30  -10      56.15     7.06   -17.02     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.15P    8.00R    0.33  
Huddersfield     25   30  -16      48.87     6.43   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P   34.87R    2.93  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.22     7.55     0.34     0.01     0.05     7.10     1.41P    1.89R    0.05  
Northampton      26   29   -8      51.43     6.63   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   19.24R    1.13  
Crewe            25   28  -14      46.77     6.35   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   47.38R    6.13  
Millwall         24   26  -10      49.04     6.90   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   32.72R    3.57  
Cheltenham       24   24  -16      43.01     6.57   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.99R   16.78  
Luton            24   23   -1      52.92     7.32    -1.39     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.13P   15.71R    1.15  
Port_Vale        26   20  -16      38.73     6.21   -30.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.29R   38.82  
Bournemouth      25   20  -18      40.53     6.43   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.55R   29.03  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Hereford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   26   57  +27      99.24     6.25    49.80    67.49    96.19    99.97    97.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.76     6.90    34.66     7.01    53.05    96.95    66.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   49  +17      86.19     7.12    29.66     4.55    42.06    94.50    57.19P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           23   43  +24      92.20     6.97    50.44    19.69    79.13    99.05    87.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         25   43  +14      76.16     7.17    20.80     0.26     6.59    61.76    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   43  +13      80.07     7.00    26.06     0.77    14.38    81.20    31.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43   +7      72.39     6.86    10.06     0.03     1.75    38.69     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            25   42   +6      74.49     7.09    11.59     0.09     3.31    50.71    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.26     6.91     3.72     0.00     0.31    15.40     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             23   38   +5      72.88     7.86     9.92     0.10     3.03    42.33    10.83P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              25   36   +2      64.46     7.06     0.91     0.00     0.15     8.66     1.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.08     6.80   -14.41     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.26P    0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   34   +0      61.61     6.85     0.15     0.00     0.01     3.84     0.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   33   -7      56.92     6.63   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    0.19R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33  -11      54.98     6.54   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    0.50R    0.03  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.22     7.19   -12.70     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.20P    0.26R    0.02  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.29     7.43    -2.38     0.00     0.02     2.92     0.60P    0.12R    0.01  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.10     6.78   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.70R    0.48  
Bury                 24   24   -7      48.95     7.23   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.65R    0.74  
Notts_County         25   23  -13      45.46     6.89   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   11.51R    2.25  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.33     6.46   -29.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.57R    5.73  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -20      37.69     6.16   -40.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.32R   19.01  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.71     7.18   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   11.95R    2.95  
Wrexham              24   15  -24      31.04     6.06   -45.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.14R   68.76  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Salisbury vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.72     6.83    38.93    42.71    98.25    54.47P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.20     6.67    48.74    35.02    97.90    49.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.89     6.92    45.83    15.31    92.47    38.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.79     6.90    34.19     3.59    77.43    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.69     7.18    29.34     3.11    71.28    21.78P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.59     6.60    13.45     0.02     9.27     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.79     7.17    13.12     0.05    11.94     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.63     6.88    10.41     0.01     6.28     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.79     7.10    17.90     0.05    12.04     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.08     7.28    20.05     0.12    19.74     4.09P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           27   38   +1      64.65     6.61     1.76     0.00     0.67     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.63     6.73    -3.95     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.07     6.70     1.63     0.00     0.78     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.16     7.11     2.17     0.00     1.14     0.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.19     6.38    -4.54     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.34     6.83     7.20     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.16     6.42    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.69     7.16    -5.47     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.96     6.98   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.23     5.98   -46.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.97R    0.85  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.82     6.42   -41.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.06R    0.83  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.48     5.43   -55.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.84R   29.82  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.18     5.90   -46.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.88R   30.87  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.68     5.94   -58.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.92R   37.63