Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 January 2008 at 22:36:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Bolton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   51  +33      86.46     5.06    53.88    59.81    90.39    98.01    99.57    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   51  +26      84.23     5.17    45.57    34.64    80.78    94.95    98.71    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   47  +19      77.22     5.44    32.83     4.65    21.20    65.37    85.75    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.68     5.70    36.31     0.74     5.44    24.77    55.96    87.43     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.28     5.63    28.98     0.10     1.45     9.82    29.12    71.67     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.56     5.35    22.15     0.04     0.52     4.11    16.70    59.81     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.54     5.77    10.20     0.01     0.15     1.69     7.14    34.60     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   36   +1      58.80     5.67     2.44     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.36    11.11     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   34   +9      62.10     5.59    19.15     0.00     0.06     0.89     4.64    28.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      57.00     5.98    10.07     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.05     8.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   26  -12      41.33     5.20   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.32R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   24   +2      48.76     5.72     7.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.20R    0.00  
Reading         22   22  -17      38.59     5.40   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.65R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -17      36.01     5.16   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.27R    0.05  
Bolton          22   20  -10      35.07     5.42   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.66R    0.01  
Birmingham      22   20  -10      38.05     5.69   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.87R    0.01  
Wigan           22   20  -15      36.13     5.34   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.75R    0.04  
Sunderland      22   20  -18      34.93     5.28   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.85R    0.10  
Fulham          22   15  -16      30.42     5.39   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.46R    0.60  
Derby           22    7  -37      13.88     3.78   -64.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R   99.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        27   50  +27      87.61     6.44    46.20    75.23    89.90    99.38    93.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     27   48   +3      75.35     6.66     5.04     5.10    21.34    73.62    31.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          27   47   +9      76.02     6.73    13.15     7.25    26.96    77.16    38.35P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44   +9      75.87     6.77    17.84     6.26    26.77    78.54    40.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +8      71.83     6.76    12.06     2.45    11.89    57.16    23.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   41   +7      69.84     6.65    11.14     1.21     6.82    46.07    17.79P    0.06R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   40   +8      70.36     6.86    14.53     1.19     8.01    50.37    19.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Cardiff          27   39   +2      65.41     6.75     2.27     0.33     1.82    21.55     6.57P    0.65R    0.04  
Plymouth         27   38   +5      67.41     6.76     9.97     0.54     3.31    32.58    11.57P    0.30R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.71     6.76     1.96     0.19     1.33    19.00     5.61P    1.00R    0.08  
Burnley          27   37   -1      63.23     6.76    -0.98     0.12     0.83    13.71     3.79P    1.66R    0.22  
Wolverhampton    27   37   -2      61.18     6.42    -3.81     0.02     0.28     7.26     1.94P    2.66R    0.34  
Southampton      27   36   -8      57.69     6.48   -15.76     0.01     0.09     2.82     0.57P    8.73R    1.29  
Sheff_Utd        27   35   +0      61.24     6.72     0.21     0.03     0.38     8.55     2.48P    3.13R    0.42  
Barnsley         27   34   -5      57.69     6.75    -8.85     0.02     0.09     3.20     0.80P    9.69R    1.85  
Blackpool        27   33   +0      57.82     6.66    -1.97     0.02     0.10     3.70     1.02P    7.65R    1.19  
Coventry         26   32  -13      54.87     6.76   -20.11     0.00     0.02     1.32     0.26P   19.65R    5.04  
Norwich          27   31   -8      53.44     6.51   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.12P   23.81R    6.01  
Leicester        27   30   +0      55.63     6.64    -0.21     0.01     0.04     1.63     0.55P   13.68R    2.98  
QPR              27   30   -9      53.17     6.65   -13.54     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.19P   25.66R    7.14  
Sheff_Wed        26   28   -6      52.92     6.87    -9.28     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.22P   26.21R    7.53  
Preston          27   27   -7      47.87     6.39   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   54.73R   23.30  
Scunthorpe       27   27  -13      47.72     6.41   -20.83     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.42R   25.88  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.59     6.64   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   43.19R   16.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          23   47  +23      93.71     7.08    48.25    67.20    86.60    99.70    90.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     24   44  +23      85.36     7.12    39.40    16.64    46.51    96.19    63.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         24   42  +13      80.59     7.21    26.39     5.31    20.49    87.10    35.37P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        25   41  +14      75.05     7.02    21.93     1.06     5.83    65.92    19.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall          26   41  +10      73.30     6.61    17.33     0.39     2.63    55.61    14.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.51     6.55    50.01     9.28    36.56    95.22    59.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   40   -3      64.88     6.66    -6.95     0.01     0.19    11.67     1.46P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil           26   36   -3      61.25     6.49    -5.63     0.00     0.02     4.17     0.66P    0.86R    0.01  
Brighton         24   34   +3      67.30     7.27     7.82     0.07     0.55    23.36     4.55P    0.18R    0.00  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      60.85     6.70    -0.52     0.00     0.02     4.55     0.77P    1.14R    0.03  
Southend         25   34   -1      63.05     7.25    -0.71     0.01     0.10     9.43     1.41P    0.92R    0.01  
Swindon          24   32   +2      63.17     7.28     3.81     0.01     0.15    10.34     1.88P    0.83R    0.01  
Oldham           24   32   +2      66.10     7.30     8.00     0.01     0.22    18.56     3.89P    0.30R    0.00  
Hartlepool       25   30   +0      62.49     7.06     5.91     0.00     0.03     8.29     1.49P    1.05R    0.02  
Gillingham       24   30  -10      56.08     7.08   -17.14     0.00     0.01     1.31     0.18P    8.33R    0.38  
Huddersfield     25   30  -16      48.96     6.50   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   34.78R    3.07  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.45     7.59     0.68     0.01     0.09     7.62     1.42P    2.06R    0.04  
Northampton      26   29   -8      51.49     6.57   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   19.28R    1.11  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.34     6.60   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.97R    5.63  
Millwall         24   26  -10      49.13     6.93   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   32.19R    3.59  
Cheltenham       24   24  -16      42.84     6.52   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.62R   17.57  
Luton            24   23   -1      52.86     7.39    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P   16.48R    1.16  
Port_Vale        26   20  -16      38.87     6.17   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.32R   38.20  
Bournemouth      25   20  -18      40.60     6.47   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.45R   29.14  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2008, Hereford vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   26   57  +27      99.15     6.28    49.61    66.08    95.94    99.97    97.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             25   49  +19      87.71     6.91    34.59     7.00    52.12    96.99    65.22P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   49  +17      86.27     7.11    29.89     4.58    42.15    94.57    57.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           23   43  +24      92.57     6.96    51.05    21.06    80.48    99.19    88.42P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         25   43  +14      76.17     7.24    20.82     0.24     6.50    62.05    20.32P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   43  +13      80.18     6.96    26.23     0.82    14.69    81.95    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43   +7      72.18     6.81     9.72     0.03     1.56    37.43     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            25   42   +6      74.47     7.08    11.55     0.10     3.24    50.62    12.47P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.43     6.95     4.00     0.00     0.29    16.12     3.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             23   38   +5      72.72     7.93     9.63     0.09     2.87    41.69    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              25   36   +2      64.57     7.04     1.14     0.00     0.12     8.82     1.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      58.92     6.76   -14.68     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.19P    0.07R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           26   34   +0      61.70     6.83     0.29     0.00     0.02     3.89     0.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   33   -7      56.82     6.56   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.13P    0.19R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33  -11      54.90     6.57   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.47R    0.04  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.15     7.16   -12.84     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.18P    0.24R    0.02  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.36     7.39    -2.29     0.00     0.02     2.88     0.65P    0.11R    0.01  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      50.33     6.82   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.31R    0.43  
Bury                 24   24   -7      49.11     7.27   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.45R    0.71  
Notts_County         25   23  -13      45.56     6.86   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.97R    1.99  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.47     6.48   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.53R    5.07  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -20      37.57     6.20   -40.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.97R   18.79  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.49     7.13   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.41R    2.96  
Wrexham              24   15  -24      30.77     6.05   -45.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.24R   69.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Salisbury vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.91     6.84    39.26    43.13    98.36    55.06P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.32     6.67    49.06    35.40    97.97    50.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.80     6.93    45.65    14.48    92.21    37.64P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.76     6.96    34.21     3.67    77.44    23.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.63     7.20    29.29     3.05    71.00    21.43P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.39     6.64    13.13     0.02     8.92     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.83     7.19    13.22     0.07    12.34     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.48     6.88    10.16     0.01     6.00     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.82     7.13    17.94     0.04    12.42     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.02     7.34    20.04     0.12    19.94     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           27   38   +1      64.66     6.64     1.78     0.00     0.68     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.61     6.73    -4.01     0.00     0.53     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      64.98     6.68     1.50     0.00     0.72     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.27     7.05     2.27     0.00     1.16     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.16     6.40    -4.62     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.28     6.83     7.14     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.21     6.35    -6.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.79     7.14    -5.27     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.95     6.96   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.22     5.97   -46.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.05R    0.98  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.79     6.42   -41.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.21R    0.79  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.61     5.45   -55.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.47R   29.26  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.17     5.90   -46.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.09R   31.32  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.74     5.93   -58.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.88R   37.65