Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 January 2008 at 22:36:04 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Arsenal vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         22   51  +33      86.32     5.08    53.64    59.21    89.98    97.70    99.46    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   51  +26      84.27     5.15    45.64    35.18    81.02    94.78    98.47    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   47  +19      77.07     5.44    32.61     4.66    20.97    63.08    83.18    97.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   39  +21      71.75     5.64    36.45     0.80     5.57    24.73    53.79    86.20     0.00     0.00  
Everton         22   39  +16      68.32     5.65    29.06     0.08     1.36     9.76    27.43    68.49     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     22   39  +12      66.56     5.36    22.13     0.02     0.53     4.22    15.77    54.93     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        22   39   +6      63.53     5.79    10.15     0.02     0.18     1.78     6.84    30.91     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.55     5.76    24.68     0.03     0.37     3.70    13.43    49.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.64     5.94     0.43     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.61     5.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        21   32   +7      56.95     5.97    10.01     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.00     7.33     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   26  -12      41.38     5.19   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.70R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   24   +2      48.76     5.70     7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.15R    0.00  
Reading         22   22  -17      38.64     5.42   -29.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.92R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   21  -17      35.91     5.16   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.20R    0.05  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.82     5.73   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.71R    0.02  
Birmingham      22   20  -10      38.04     5.66   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.71R    0.01  
Wigan           22   20  -15      36.04     5.35   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.46R    0.04  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.70     5.37   -35.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.93R    0.41  
Fulham          22   15  -16      30.46     5.39   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.26R    0.62  
Derby           22    7  -37      13.93     3.82   -63.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   98.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Barnsley vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        27   50  +27      87.60     6.52    46.13    74.75    89.61    99.31    92.72P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     27   48   +3      75.26     6.64     4.92     4.99    20.62    73.00    31.08P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   47   +9      75.98     6.74    13.06     7.19    26.36    77.11    37.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            27   44   +9      76.15     6.78    18.25     6.51    28.42    79.48    41.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         27   43   +8      71.89     6.86    12.15     2.78    12.24    57.55    23.94P    0.03R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   41   +7      69.95     6.65    11.29     1.29     6.91    46.41    17.91P    0.07R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   40   +8      70.38     6.85    14.54     1.21     7.75    50.37    19.25P    0.09R    0.01  
Cardiff          27   39   +2      65.29     6.71     2.11     0.32     1.68    20.67     6.19P    0.64R    0.06  
Plymouth         27   38   +5      67.52     6.76    10.11     0.52     3.27    33.24    11.58P    0.25R    0.02  
Hull             27   38   +1      64.64     6.69     1.82     0.18     1.30    18.44     5.51P    0.86R    0.07  
Burnley          27   37   -1      62.97     6.73    -1.37     0.10     0.71    12.74     3.46P    1.66R    0.18  
Wolverhampton    27   37   -2      61.31     6.60    -3.66     0.06     0.39     8.24     2.35P    2.74R    0.34  
Southampton      27   36   -8      57.65     6.49   -15.91     0.01     0.08     2.68     0.53P    8.75R    1.27  
Sheff_Utd        27   35   +0      61.33     6.69     0.43     0.04     0.34     8.54     2.42P    2.95R    0.37  
Barnsley         27   34   -5      57.50     6.63    -9.11     0.01     0.08     2.88     0.66P    9.35R    1.61  
Blackpool        27   33   +0      58.03     6.68    -1.69     0.01     0.16     3.95     1.20P    7.18R    1.08  
Coventry         26   32  -13      55.13     6.81   -19.69     0.00     0.03     1.41     0.30P   19.01R    4.70  
Norwich          27   31   -8      53.59     6.60   -12.82     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.19P   23.28R    6.01  
Leicester        27   30   +0      55.63     6.58    -0.19     0.00     0.02     1.56     0.53P   13.24R    2.83  
QPR              27   30   -9      53.08     6.69   -13.68     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.12P   25.81R    7.33  
Sheff_Wed        26   28   -6      52.77     6.87    -9.51     0.00     0.02     0.75     0.20P   26.93R    7.72  
Preston          27   27   -7      47.66     6.38   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   55.94R   24.06  
Scunthorpe       27   27  -13      47.58     6.36   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   58.16R   26.17  
Colchester       27   26   -7      49.63     6.63   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   43.05R   16.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Cheltenham vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          23   47  +23      93.77     7.07    48.39    67.65    86.80    99.68    90.38P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     24   44  +23      85.29     7.09    39.33    15.94    46.24    96.08    63.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         24   42  +13      80.69     7.22    26.63     5.44    20.76    87.09    35.87P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        25   41  +14      75.10     7.10    21.97     1.12     5.91    66.03    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          26   41  +10      73.09     6.66    17.07     0.40     2.40    54.34    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.56     6.58    50.04     9.31    36.53    95.28    59.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   40   -3      65.05     6.72    -6.71     0.02     0.19    12.27     1.55P    0.23R    0.00  
Yeovil           26   36   -3      61.19     6.53    -5.73     0.00     0.03     4.40     0.69P    0.94R    0.01  
Brighton         24   34   +3      67.20     7.24     7.67     0.07     0.53    22.69     4.38P    0.20R    0.00  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      60.99     6.72    -0.37     0.00     0.02     4.85     0.76P    1.04R    0.02  
Southend         25   34   -1      63.10     7.19    -0.68     0.01     0.08     9.37     1.43P    0.82R    0.02  
Swindon          24   32   +2      63.32     7.28     3.97     0.01     0.15    10.61     1.99P    0.86R    0.01  
Oldham           24   32   +2      66.19     7.33     8.16     0.01     0.24    19.14     3.88P    0.31R    0.00  
Hartlepool       25   30   +0      62.45     7.03     5.90     0.02     0.06     7.99     1.34P    1.03R    0.02  
Gillingham       24   30  -10      56.13     7.13   -17.03     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.15P    8.10R    0.39  
Huddersfield     25   30  -16      48.75     6.48   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    35.73R    3.21  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.68     7.53     1.00     0.01     0.07     7.82     1.48P    1.85R    0.05  
Northampton      26   29   -8      51.43     6.58   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   18.94R    1.08  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.17     6.52   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   45.44R    5.76  
Millwall         24   26  -10      49.09     6.92   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P   32.50R    3.64  
Cheltenham       24   24  -16      42.80     6.51   -32.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   70.54R   17.45  
Luton            24   23   -1      52.80     7.30    -1.50     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P   16.02R    1.26  
Port_Vale        26   20  -16      38.74     6.19   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.51R   38.61  
Bournemouth      25   20  -18      40.65     6.48   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.94R   28.48  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Bradford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   26   57  +27      99.32     6.24    49.90    68.68    96.71    99.98    97.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   49  +17      86.30     7.11    29.95     4.84    45.30    94.77    59.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.82     7.32    32.07     4.76    43.73    94.00    58.39P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           23   43  +24      92.25     6.96    50.54    20.30    81.07    99.14    88.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         25   43  +14      76.45     7.23    21.28     0.30     7.97    63.20    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         25   43  +13      80.10     7.01    26.11     0.85    15.81    81.33    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              26   43   +7      72.32     6.81     9.95     0.03     2.02    38.06     9.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            25   42   +6      74.32     7.04    11.33     0.12     3.36    49.66    12.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport            26   39   +3      67.45     6.92     4.05     0.00     0.37    15.93     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             23   38   +5      72.75     7.89     9.74     0.13     3.37    42.17    11.15P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              25   36   +2      64.41     7.02     0.84     0.00     0.14     8.43     1.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford            26   35   -9      59.05     6.72   -14.49     0.00     0.01     1.50     0.23P    0.08R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.24     7.19     2.61     0.00     0.13     6.90     1.63P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby              26   33   -7      56.81     6.56   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.11P    0.19R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33  -11      55.02     6.59   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.45R    0.04  
Barnet               24   32   -5      57.13     7.13   -12.82     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.19P    0.24R    0.03  
Bradford             24   30   -1      59.13     7.39    -2.65     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.57P    0.13R    0.01  
Macclesfield         26   26  -13      49.97     6.79   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.79R    0.47  
Bury                 24   24   -7      49.00     7.21   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.46R    0.70  
Notts_County         25   23  -13      45.85     6.95   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.28R    2.05  
Lincoln_City         26   22  -17      42.32     6.49   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.54R    5.40  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -20      37.69     6.14   -40.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.32R   18.03  
Mansfield            24   19  -10      45.71     7.19   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    11.83R    2.96  
Wrexham              24   15  -24      30.74     5.91   -45.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.66R   70.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2008, Salisbury vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.91     6.82    39.32    43.51    98.47    55.60P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.33     6.67    48.94    34.91    98.01    49.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.89     6.91    45.81    14.90    92.42    38.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.76     6.92    34.13     3.48    77.76    22.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.42     7.25    28.99     2.96    70.10    21.02P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.26     6.55    12.97     0.02     8.45     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.83     7.17    13.15     0.06    12.23     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.63     6.90    10.40     0.02     6.51     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.90     7.14    18.11     0.05    12.67     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.06     7.23    20.10     0.10    19.97     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           27   38   +1      64.65     6.59     1.75     0.00     0.70     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.52     6.69    -4.13     0.00     0.54     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.06     6.70     1.60     0.00     0.78     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.23     7.05     2.28     0.00     1.11     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          27   36   -2      60.23     6.36    -4.49     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.30     6.84     7.14     0.00     0.16     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.24     6.40    -6.74     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.69     7.06    -5.43     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.84     6.94   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.27     6.00   -46.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.81R    1.00  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.72     6.43   -41.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.63R    0.87  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.55     5.45   -55.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.62R   30.05  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.33     5.96   -46.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.36R   30.45  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.70     5.88   -58.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.24R   37.63