Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 11 January 2008 at 22:36:08 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 21 50 +26 86.65 5.27 49.30 57.78 89.32 97.20 99.27 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 48 +27 84.40 5.46 46.94 36.47 80.89 93.97 98.26 99.83 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 44 +17 75.94 5.83 31.63 3.66 16.89 52.59 76.33 95.01 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 39 +7 64.77 6.05 11.01 0.04 0.51 3.22 10.48 39.85 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 38 +21 73.59 5.83 38.59 1.90 10.47 37.56 65.99 91.13 0.00 0.00 Everton 21 36 +15 66.84 5.97 28.24 0.09 0.98 7.11 20.35 58.37 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 21 36 +10 66.16 5.57 22.73 0.03 0.50 4.17 14.24 52.59 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 21 34 +11 65.67 5.77 24.76 0.02 0.43 3.92 13.60 50.36 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 21 33 +0 56.71 5.96 0.55 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.60 5.81 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 20 29 +6 56.08 6.27 10.14 0.00 0.01 0.15 0.85 6.45 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 21 26 -6 43.04 5.47 -18.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.72R 0.00 Tottenham 21 24 +4 49.67 5.98 8.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.64 0.10R 0.00 Reading 21 22 -15 38.83 5.64 -30.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.66R 0.02 Bolton 21 20 -9 36.68 5.72 -20.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.43R 0.03 Middlesbrough 21 20 -17 34.90 5.29 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.50R 0.15 Birmingham 21 19 -10 36.29 5.75 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.57R 0.08 Wigan 21 17 -16 35.07 5.64 -25.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.70R 0.30 Sunderland 21 17 -20 31.43 5.35 -36.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.39R 0.92 Fulham 21 15 -15 31.10 5.65 -26.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.14R 1.21 Derby 21 7 -36 15.19 4.20 -63.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.79R 97.30Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Brom 26 47 +25 85.94 6.75 44.05 61.93 82.05 98.43 87.63P 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 47 +10 78.26 7.01 15.58 14.26 36.29 84.15 47.34P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 26 47 +3 76.68 7.03 6.46 8.63 25.72 77.87 36.04P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 26 43 +9 76.33 7.06 18.01 8.50 27.04 78.55 40.43P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 26 40 +5 69.04 7.06 7.34 1.51 5.70 39.90 14.22P 0.15R 0.00 Ipswich 26 39 +8 70.76 7.09 14.57 2.01 8.72 51.20 20.16P 0.07R 0.00 Plymouth 26 38 +6 69.00 6.99 11.35 1.26 5.18 40.99 15.06P 0.16R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 26 38 +4 66.42 6.91 5.74 0.50 2.62 26.77 8.98P 0.34R 0.03 Hull 26 38 +3 66.74 7.06 4.88 0.72 2.84 28.19 9.22P 0.40R 0.03 Wolverhampton 26 37 +1 64.47 6.91 1.83 0.24 1.28 17.86 5.65P 0.82R 0.05 Cardiff 26 36 +1 63.55 6.99 0.87 0.20 0.98 15.01 4.34P 1.49R 0.12 Burnley 26 34 -2 61.10 7.01 -2.81 0.07 0.38 8.97 2.38P 3.31R 0.42 Blackpool 26 33 +3 60.11 7.00 2.52 0.05 0.37 7.96 2.34P 3.83R 0.48 Barnsley 25 33 -3 60.94 7.26 -4.37 0.07 0.41 8.89 2.30P 4.34R 0.68 Southampton 26 33 -9 56.19 6.79 -16.68 0.01 0.05 2.11 0.44P 12.73R 2.30 Sheff_Utd 26 32 -1 59.74 7.00 -0.58 0.03 0.22 6.32 1.78P 5.01R 0.80 Coventry 25 32 -11 56.76 7.16 -17.26 0.01 0.10 2.74 0.61P 12.96R 2.57 QPR 26 30 -8 54.04 6.86 -13.18 0.00 0.02 1.02 0.23P 20.10R 4.58 Sheff_Wed 25 28 -5 54.15 7.19 -8.54 0.00 0.03 1.38 0.36P 19.88R 4.72 Norwich 26 28 -10 50.09 6.74 -17.48 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 40.32R 13.24 Leicester 26 27 -2 53.69 6.86 -2.60 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.30P 19.76R 4.74 Scunthorpe 25 26 -12 49.29 6.97 -20.16 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 45.43R 16.08 Colchester 26 25 -7 49.30 6.88 -12.95 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 42.66R 15.57 Preston 26 24 -8 45.40 6.70 -16.58 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 66.24R 33.58League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 January 2008, Tranmere vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swansea 22 44 +21 91.46 7.44 44.63 58.97 79.79 98.98 85.01P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 23 42 +14 82.48 7.54 28.52 12.31 32.58 89.60 45.25P 0.00 0.00 Nottm_Forest 23 41 +19 82.72 7.49 33.82 12.84 34.68 90.77 52.51P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 25 40 +26 83.50 6.58 50.06 13.17 40.01 94.46 61.07P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 25 40 +10 74.62 6.90 18.75 1.19 5.33 61.30 18.97P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 25 40 +1 67.00 6.94 -1.64 0.06 0.55 18.69 3.10P 0.12R 0.00 Doncaster 24 38 +13 72.92 7.41 20.21 1.08 4.74 52.51 15.33P 0.02R 0.00 Yeovil 25 35 -3 61.18 6.87 -6.31 0.00 0.05 4.81 0.82P 1.54R 0.02 Tranmere 26 34 +0 60.93 6.67 -0.39 0.00 0.03 4.28 0.75P 1.26R 0.02 Brighton 23 33 +3 66.98 7.57 6.85 0.15 0.84 21.76 4.57P 0.33R 0.00 Southend 24 33 -1 63.76 7.53 -0.25 0.05 0.26 11.31 1.89P 1.14R 0.01 Swindon 23 31 +2 62.47 7.53 2.24 0.02 0.18 9.18 1.84P 1.40R 0.01 Oldham 23 31 +2 67.29 7.62 9.23 0.12 0.71 22.99 5.34P 0.30R 0.00 Huddersfield 24 30 -14 51.58 6.85 -27.67 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.03P 23.47R 0.96 Hartlepool 24 29 +0 62.90 7.43 5.98 0.02 0.15 9.46 1.65P 1.37R 0.02 Bristol_Rovers 23 29 -1 61.67 7.51 1.07 0.02 0.10 7.27 1.44P 2.01R 0.03 Northampton 25 28 -8 52.20 6.91 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.04P 18.93R 0.75 Crewe 24 28 -13 47.27 6.53 -32.18 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 47.51R 4.20 Gillingham 23 27 -12 52.91 7.27 -21.55 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.07P 19.37R 0.98 Millwall 23 26 -8 51.51 7.31 -17.18 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 23.53R 1.73 Luton 23 23 +1 54.39 7.69 1.03 0.00 0.01 1.22 0.26P 13.65R 0.60 Cheltenham 23 21 -17 40.87 6.92 -34.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 79.17R 22.44 Bournemouth 24 20 -17 42.42 6.86 -31.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.09R 17.05 Port_Vale 25 17 -18 36.09 6.45 -33.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.79R 51.18 Adjustments: Leeds -15 Luton -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Mansfield vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Milton_Keynes_Dons 25 57 +28 102.44 6.37 54.15 82.41 98.36 99.98 98.89P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 24 46 +17 85.78 7.28 32.00 2.83 41.87 93.37 55.97P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 24 46 +15 85.00 7.42 28.34 2.53 36.41 91.31 51.71P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 24 43 +15 79.36 7.53 24.70 0.65 15.00 74.55 30.32P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 43 +14 83.20 7.26 30.25 1.46 28.23 88.82 43.86P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 25 43 +8 74.17 7.15 11.62 0.07 3.66 46.57 12.48P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 22 40 +21 90.61 7.41 47.45 9.93 70.66 97.90 81.39P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 24 39 +5 73.65 7.39 11.88 0.06 3.13 43.85 11.23P 0.00 0.00 Chester 24 36 +3 67.17 7.40 4.12 0.01 0.56 15.49 3.25P 0.00R 0.00 Stockport 25 36 +1 65.31 7.22 1.14 0.00 0.19 9.76 1.84P 0.01R 0.00 Rochdale 22 35 +4 70.00 8.24 6.93 0.03 1.81 28.37 7.11P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 34 +2 63.22 7.09 2.63 0.00 0.09 6.15 1.34P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 25 33 -9 56.72 6.97 -17.97 0.00 0.01 0.89 0.11P 0.31R 0.02 Brentford 25 32 -10 56.22 7.01 -17.33 0.00 0.01 0.70 0.10P 0.33R 0.02 Grimsby 25 30 -8 55.91 6.88 -12.53 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.06P 0.51R 0.06 Barnet 23 29 -6 53.32 7.32 -17.64 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.08P 1.31R 0.16 Bradford 23 27 -4 56.15 7.61 -7.53 0.00 0.00 1.10 0.20P 0.68R 0.10 Bury 23 24 -4 51.26 7.53 -10.35 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.05P 2.81R 0.48 Notts_County 24 23 -10 48.12 7.33 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 6.43R 1.31 Macclesfield 25 23 -14 46.81 7.00 -23.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 9.84R 2.09 Lincoln_City 25 22 -15 43.25 6.79 -27.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.77R 5.53 Dag_&_Red 24 21 -19 38.47 6.39 -40.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.48R 17.73 Mansfield 23 16 -11 43.09 7.52 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 22.34R 7.44 Wrexham 23 15 -23 31.78 6.30 -45.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.16R 65.07Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Aldershot 26 61 +23 97.75 6.80 39.06 42.35 98.29 54.24P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 54 +23 96.20 6.69 48.82 35.05 97.89 49.54P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 25 52 +27 92.06 6.91 46.15 15.86 92.65 39.33P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 48 +18 86.78 6.93 34.21 3.50 77.44 22.81P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 45 +13 85.76 7.17 29.51 2.97 71.74 21.76P 0.00 0.00 Histon 27 44 +8 73.57 6.56 13.42 0.01 8.96 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 42 +9 73.79 7.23 13.10 0.06 12.10 1.91P 0.00 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 26 42 +7 71.46 6.86 10.15 0.01 6.18 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 41 +12 73.86 7.15 18.08 0.04 12.40 2.75P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 24 40 +10 75.91 7.30 19.82 0.14 19.31 4.01P 0.00 0.00 York 26 38 +0 63.65 6.71 -3.91 0.00 0.47 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 37 +1 65.14 6.68 1.77 0.00 0.80 0.15P 0.00 0.00 Grays_Athletic 25 36 +1 65.13 6.98 2.14 0.00 0.99 0.21P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 36 +0 62.18 6.64 -1.48 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 26 35 -1 62.46 6.83 -1.16 0.00 0.37 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'monds 26 31 +4 60.16 6.88 6.94 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 27 31 -5 55.16 6.38 -6.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Halifax 25 29 -2 55.57 7.11 -5.66 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Weymouth 25 26 -10 51.97 6.99 -15.31 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.26R 0.00 Altrincham 26 21 -24 37.24 6.03 -46.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.92R 0.97 Farsley_Celtic 25 20 -23 38.78 6.43 -41.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.28R 0.85 Northwich 26 13 -31 26.56 5.45 -55.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.62R 29.68 Stafford_Rangers 26 10 -28 26.31 5.93 -46.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.31R 30.07 Droylsden 25 10 -32 25.53 5.86 -59.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.56R 38.43