Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 January 2008 at 22:36:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.65     5.27    49.30    57.78    89.32    97.20    99.27    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.40     5.46    46.94    36.47    80.89    93.97    98.26    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.94     5.83    31.63     3.66    16.89    52.59    76.33    95.01     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.77     6.05    11.01     0.04     0.51     3.22    10.48    39.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.59     5.83    38.59     1.90    10.47    37.56    65.99    91.13     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.84     5.97    28.24     0.09     0.98     7.11    20.35    58.37     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.16     5.57    22.73     0.03     0.50     4.17    14.24    52.59     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.67     5.77    24.76     0.02     0.43     3.92    13.60    50.36     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.71     5.96     0.55     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.60     5.81     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.08     6.27    10.14     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.85     6.45     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.04     5.47   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.72R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.67     5.98     8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.64     0.10R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.83     5.64   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.66R    0.02  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.68     5.72   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.43R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.90     5.29   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.50R    0.15  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.29     5.75   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.57R    0.08  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.07     5.64   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.70R    0.30  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.43     5.35   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.39R    0.92  
Fulham          21   15  -15      31.10     5.65   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.14R    1.21  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.19     4.20   -63.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   97.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.94     6.75    44.05    61.93    82.05    98.43    87.63P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.26     7.01    15.58    14.26    36.29    84.15    47.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.68     7.03     6.46     8.63    25.72    77.87    36.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.33     7.06    18.01     8.50    27.04    78.55    40.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.04     7.06     7.34     1.51     5.70    39.90    14.22P    0.15R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.76     7.09    14.57     2.01     8.72    51.20    20.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.00     6.99    11.35     1.26     5.18    40.99    15.06P    0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.42     6.91     5.74     0.50     2.62    26.77     8.98P    0.34R    0.03  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.74     7.06     4.88     0.72     2.84    28.19     9.22P    0.40R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.47     6.91     1.83     0.24     1.28    17.86     5.65P    0.82R    0.05  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.55     6.99     0.87     0.20     0.98    15.01     4.34P    1.49R    0.12  
Burnley          26   34   -2      61.10     7.01    -2.81     0.07     0.38     8.97     2.38P    3.31R    0.42  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.11     7.00     2.52     0.05     0.37     7.96     2.34P    3.83R    0.48  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      60.94     7.26    -4.37     0.07     0.41     8.89     2.30P    4.34R    0.68  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.19     6.79   -16.68     0.01     0.05     2.11     0.44P   12.73R    2.30  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.74     7.00    -0.58     0.03     0.22     6.32     1.78P    5.01R    0.80  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.76     7.16   -17.26     0.01     0.10     2.74     0.61P   12.96R    2.57  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.04     6.86   -13.18     0.00     0.02     1.02     0.23P   20.10R    4.58  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.15     7.19    -8.54     0.00     0.03     1.38     0.36P   19.88R    4.72  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.09     6.74   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   40.32R   13.24  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.69     6.86    -2.60     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.30P   19.76R    4.74  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.29     6.97   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   45.43R   16.08  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.30     6.88   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   42.66R   15.57  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.40     6.70   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   66.24R   33.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 January 2008, Tranmere vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.46     7.44    44.63    58.97    79.79    98.98    85.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         23   42  +14      82.48     7.54    28.52    12.31    32.58    89.60    45.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.72     7.49    33.82    12.84    34.68    90.77    52.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.50     6.58    50.06    13.17    40.01    94.46    61.07P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          25   40  +10      74.62     6.90    18.75     1.19     5.33    61.30    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    25   40   +1      67.00     6.94    -1.64     0.06     0.55    18.69     3.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      72.92     7.41    20.21     1.08     4.74    52.51    15.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil           25   35   -3      61.18     6.87    -6.31     0.00     0.05     4.81     0.82P    1.54R    0.02  
Tranmere         26   34   +0      60.93     6.67    -0.39     0.00     0.03     4.28     0.75P    1.26R    0.02  
Brighton         23   33   +3      66.98     7.57     6.85     0.15     0.84    21.76     4.57P    0.33R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.76     7.53    -0.25     0.05     0.26    11.31     1.89P    1.14R    0.01  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.47     7.53     2.24     0.02     0.18     9.18     1.84P    1.40R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.29     7.62     9.23     0.12     0.71    22.99     5.34P    0.30R    0.00  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.58     6.85   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   23.47R    0.96  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.90     7.43     5.98     0.02     0.15     9.46     1.65P    1.37R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   23   29   -1      61.67     7.51     1.07     0.02     0.10     7.27     1.44P    2.01R    0.03  
Northampton      25   28   -8      52.20     6.91   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P   18.93R    0.75  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.27     6.53   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   47.51R    4.20  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.91     7.27   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P   19.37R    0.98  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.51     7.31   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   23.53R    1.73  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.39     7.69     1.03     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.26P   13.65R    0.60  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      40.87     6.92   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.17R   22.44  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.42     6.86   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.09R   17.05  
Port_Vale        25   17  -18      36.09     6.45   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.79R   51.18  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Mansfield vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   25   57  +28     102.44     6.37    54.15    82.41    98.36    99.98    98.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.78     7.28    32.00     2.83    41.87    93.37    55.97P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   46  +15      85.00     7.42    28.34     2.53    36.41    91.31    51.71P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         24   43  +15      79.36     7.53    24.70     0.65    15.00    74.55    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.20     7.26    30.25     1.46    28.23    88.82    43.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   43   +8      74.17     7.15    11.62     0.07     3.66    46.57    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   40  +21      90.61     7.41    47.45     9.93    70.66    97.90    81.39P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            24   39   +5      73.65     7.39    11.88     0.06     3.13    43.85    11.23P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              24   36   +3      67.17     7.40     4.12     0.01     0.56    15.49     3.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport            25   36   +1      65.31     7.22     1.14     0.00     0.19     9.76     1.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +4      70.00     8.24     6.93     0.03     1.81    28.37     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.22     7.09     2.63     0.00     0.09     6.15     1.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   33   -9      56.72     6.97   -17.97     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.11P    0.31R    0.02  
Brentford            25   32  -10      56.22     7.01   -17.33     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.10P    0.33R    0.02  
Grimsby              25   30   -8      55.91     6.88   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.51R    0.06  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.32     7.32   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    1.31R    0.16  
Bradford             23   27   -4      56.15     7.61    -7.53     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.20P    0.68R    0.10  
Bury                 23   24   -4      51.26     7.53   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P    2.81R    0.48  
Notts_County         24   23  -10      48.12     7.33   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    6.43R    1.31  
Macclesfield         25   23  -14      46.81     7.00   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     9.84R    2.09  
Lincoln_City         25   22  -15      43.25     6.79   -27.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.77R    5.53  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.47     6.39   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.48R   17.73  
Mansfield            23   16  -11      43.09     7.52   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   22.34R    7.44  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.78     6.30   -45.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.16R   65.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.75     6.80    39.06    42.35    98.29    54.24P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.20     6.69    48.82    35.05    97.89    49.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      92.06     6.91    46.15    15.86    92.65    39.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.78     6.93    34.21     3.50    77.44    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.76     7.17    29.51     2.97    71.74    21.76P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.57     6.56    13.42     0.01     8.96     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.79     7.23    13.10     0.06    12.10     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.46     6.86    10.15     0.01     6.18     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.86     7.15    18.08     0.04    12.40     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.91     7.30    19.82     0.14    19.31     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.65     6.71    -3.91     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.14     6.68     1.77     0.00     0.80     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.13     6.98     2.14     0.00     0.99     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          26   36   +0      62.18     6.64    -1.48     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           26   35   -1      62.46     6.83    -1.16     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.16     6.88     6.94     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.16     6.38    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.57     7.11    -5.66     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.97     6.99   -15.31     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.24     6.03   -46.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.92R    0.97  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.78     6.43   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.28R    0.85  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.56     5.45   -55.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.62R   29.68  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.31     5.93   -46.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.31R   30.07  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.53     5.86   -59.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.56R   38.43