Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 January 2008 at 22:37:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.82     5.26    49.69    58.31    89.95    97.47    99.32    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.50     5.46    47.04    36.35    81.38    94.19    98.45    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.85     5.74    31.51     3.31    16.06    51.74    76.66    95.23     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.76     6.07    10.99     0.04     0.46     3.41    10.69    40.08     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.63     5.92    38.71     1.86    10.32    38.13    66.25    90.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.79     5.91    28.11     0.08     0.88     6.86    19.96    58.55     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.11     5.54    22.61     0.04     0.47     4.03    14.00    52.40     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.58     5.78    24.61     0.02     0.46     3.86    13.06    49.77     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.59     5.95     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.62     5.72     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.17     6.32    10.25     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.95     6.79     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      42.98     5.41   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.69     5.98     8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.66     0.11R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.92     5.64   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.63R    0.04  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.76     5.78   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.22R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.97     5.28   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.87R    0.22  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.34     5.76   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.28R    0.11  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.04     5.69   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.10R    0.33  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.39     5.35   -36.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.29R    0.90  
Fulham          21   15  -15      30.99     5.60   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.05R    1.18  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.20     4.25   -63.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   97.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      86.04     6.73    44.23    62.34    82.53    98.47    87.96P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.10     7.00    15.26    13.70    35.25    83.80    46.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.73     7.04     6.55     8.53    26.05    78.04    36.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.43     7.06    18.19     8.70    27.40    78.96    40.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.11     7.10     7.41     1.51     5.85    40.55    14.52P    0.18R    0.01  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.69     7.21    14.45     2.01     8.61    50.91    20.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      68.98     7.08    11.28     1.27     5.11    41.15    15.18P    0.15R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.45     6.90     5.77     0.51     2.50    26.78     8.80P    0.37R    0.03  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.57     7.08     4.63     0.70     2.85    27.30     8.94P    0.50R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.52     6.92     1.88     0.24     1.22    18.01     5.71P    0.79R    0.05  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.42     7.00     0.68     0.22     0.99    14.82     4.15P    1.50R    0.13  
Burnley          26   34   -2      61.08     7.00    -2.80     0.07     0.43     8.76     2.26P    3.43R    0.44  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.18     7.02     2.61     0.04     0.38     8.07     2.55P    3.64R    0.44  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      60.96     7.23    -4.37     0.08     0.39     8.79     2.23P    4.38R    0.69  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.22     6.74   -16.76     0.01     0.05     2.08     0.38P   12.59R    2.11  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.74     7.00    -0.53     0.04     0.23     6.38     1.82P    4.94R    0.81  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.78     7.15   -17.24     0.01     0.08     2.73     0.60P   12.73R    2.61  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.03     6.92   -13.20     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.21P   20.39R    4.67  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.46     7.28    -8.08     0.00     0.04     1.68     0.45P   18.88R    4.49  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.07     6.70   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   40.27R   12.97  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.71     6.81    -2.58     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.25P   19.67R    4.53  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.20     7.00   -20.30     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   45.88R   16.79  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.33     6.88   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   42.50R   14.99  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.25     6.65   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   67.11R   34.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Leyton_Orient vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.64     7.42    45.03    59.65    80.57    99.09    85.63P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         23   42  +14      82.32     7.49    28.26    11.49    31.40    88.99    44.49P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.71     7.50    33.84    13.06    34.37    90.53    52.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.60     6.53    50.28    13.06    40.20    94.62    61.28P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          25   40  +10      74.65     6.93    18.75     1.12     5.37    61.03    18.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    25   40   +1      67.00     7.01    -1.63     0.11     0.63    18.32     3.08P    0.13R    0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.20     7.33    20.61     1.13     5.02    53.13    15.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           25   35   -3      61.28     6.83    -6.15     0.01     0.06     4.54     0.67P    1.25R    0.02  
Tranmere         25   34   +2      63.69     6.99     3.60     0.02     0.14     9.56     1.93P    0.61R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.30     7.61     7.35     0.19     0.94    22.93     5.02P    0.25R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.58     7.46    -0.57     0.02     0.22    10.39     1.70P    0.95R    0.01  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.65     7.56     2.49     0.02     0.17     9.37     1.82P    1.39R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.03     7.76     8.91     0.10     0.72    22.01     5.10P    0.41R    0.01  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.32     6.92   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P   24.57R    1.10  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.97     7.43     6.11     0.01     0.11     9.48     1.82P    1.37R    0.03  
Northampton      25   28   -8      52.07     6.95   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   19.16R    0.90  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.33     6.57   -32.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   46.36R    4.15  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      53.03     7.34   -21.41     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.07P   18.82R    0.97  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.16     7.78    -3.60     0.01     0.05     3.53     0.69P    5.68R    0.18  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.42     7.27   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   23.37R    1.68  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.46     7.64     1.06     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.29P   12.86R    0.58  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.08     6.85   -34.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   78.34R   21.11  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.48     6.82   -31.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.33R   16.50  
Port_Vale        25   17  -18      35.95     6.37   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.17R   52.76  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Mansfield vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   25   57  +28     102.56     6.32    54.28    82.81    98.49    99.99    98.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.59     7.21    31.67     2.78    40.43    93.32    55.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   46  +15      84.94     7.49    28.23     2.34    36.40    91.18    51.46P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         24   43  +15      79.14     7.61    24.33     0.54    14.62    73.31    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.36     7.21    30.49     1.51    29.19    89.34    44.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   43   +8      74.24     7.13    11.81     0.06     3.69    47.03    12.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   40  +21      90.66     7.33    47.61     9.88    71.36    97.94    82.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            24   39   +5      73.73     7.37    12.00     0.05     3.04    44.60    11.45P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              24   36   +3      67.04     7.36     3.88     0.00     0.51    14.98     3.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport            25   36   +1      65.49     7.24     1.39     0.00     0.22    10.17     1.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +4      70.06     8.28     7.05     0.03     1.92    28.47     7.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.34     7.09     2.82     0.00     0.10     6.10     1.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   33   -9      56.69     6.89   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.09P    0.30R    0.03  
Brentford            25   32  -10      56.01     6.97   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.42R    0.04  
Grimsby              25   30   -8      55.91     6.81   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.51R    0.07  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.42     7.28   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P    1.29R    0.18  
Bradford             23   27   -4      56.29     7.58    -7.42     0.00     0.01     1.16     0.22P    0.62R    0.08  
Bury                 23   24   -4      50.88     7.50   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    3.11R    0.48  
Notts_County         24   23  -10      48.18     7.30   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.48R    1.22  
Macclesfield         25   23  -14      46.78     6.99   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     9.66R    1.99  
Lincoln_City         25   22  -15      43.35     6.79   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.52R    5.42  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.44     6.36   -40.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.07R   18.12  
Mansfield            23   16  -11      43.18     7.50   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.84R    7.23  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.81     6.31   -45.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.15R   65.14  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.81     6.77    39.18    42.94    98.37    54.80P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.25     6.68    48.96    35.04    97.78    49.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.85     6.92    45.74    15.18    92.21    38.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.85     6.89    34.35     3.56    78.04    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.69     7.18    29.42     3.03    71.30    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.36     6.52    13.09     0.01     8.48     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.85     7.22    13.24     0.05    12.23     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.64     6.87    10.38     0.01     6.44     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.83     7.17    17.93     0.05    12.31     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      76.08     7.25    20.13     0.12    19.67     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.65     6.74    -3.90     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.06     6.72     1.68     0.00     0.76     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.36     7.05     2.43     0.00     1.11     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          26   36   +0      62.36     6.71    -1.27     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           26   35   -1      62.26     6.82    -1.52     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.19     6.79     6.98     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.20     6.41    -6.79     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.56     7.09    -5.66     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.90     6.95   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.10     5.95   -46.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.56R    1.06  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.73     6.44   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.17R    0.83  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.51     5.48   -55.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.44R   29.81  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.25     5.89   -46.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.55R   30.40  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.65     5.90   -58.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.98R   37.90