Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 January 2008 at 22:35:58 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.80     5.23    49.57    58.50    89.76    97.51    99.44    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.37     5.52    46.81    35.96    80.80    93.94    98.16    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.94     5.75    31.63     3.55    16.64    52.83    77.14    95.25     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.86     6.03    11.13     0.04     0.52     3.37    10.98    40.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.52     5.91    38.43     1.83    10.41    37.59    65.77    90.83     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.53     5.94    27.72     0.07     0.88     6.41    19.28    56.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      65.99     5.58    22.38     0.03     0.48     4.00    14.02    51.82     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.66     5.78    24.75     0.02     0.49     4.05    13.61    50.67     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.70     5.95     0.52     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.63     6.03     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.28     6.28    10.46     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.92     7.10     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.12     5.45   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.57R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.64     5.99     8.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.60     0.12R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      39.04     5.62   -29.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.24R    0.03  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.56     5.76   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.20R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      34.95     5.26   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.28R    0.19  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.30     5.72   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.53R    0.13  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.03     5.63   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.69R    0.35  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.54     5.39   -35.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.61R    0.89  
Fulham          21   15  -15      31.01     5.58   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.00R    1.12  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.14     4.22   -63.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.76R   97.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.94     6.78    44.06    62.17    81.90    98.45    87.43P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.13     7.01    15.34    13.77    35.39    83.96    46.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.67     7.03     6.43     8.53    26.04    78.26    36.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.30     7.05    18.01     8.72    27.15    78.70    40.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.19     7.08     7.57     1.54     5.99    40.86    14.64P    0.11R    0.00  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.55     7.16    14.27     1.90     8.43    50.06    19.81P    0.08R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      68.95     7.07    11.28     1.20     5.20    40.79    15.06P    0.18R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.49     6.93     5.82     0.64     2.84    27.04     9.09P    0.36R    0.02  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.64     7.08     4.80     0.74     2.95    27.75     9.07P    0.45R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.44     6.93     1.79     0.31     1.40    17.89     5.58P    0.86R    0.07  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.51     6.96     0.88     0.22     1.02    14.89     4.41P    1.48R    0.15  
Burnley          26   34   -2      60.77     6.98    -3.28     0.06     0.37     8.19     2.17P    3.68R    0.52  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.39     6.98     2.97     0.06     0.38     8.27     2.55P    3.49R    0.45  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.07     7.27    -4.19     0.09     0.46     9.28     2.45P    4.14R    0.59  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.19     6.80   -16.77     0.01     0.04     2.17     0.43P   12.90R    2.28  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.98     6.95    -0.24     0.05     0.25     6.60     1.92P    4.46R    0.65  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.91     7.13   -17.05     0.01     0.09     2.81     0.55P   12.35R    2.44  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.01     6.90   -13.25     0.00     0.03     1.02     0.24P   20.25R    4.73  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.13     7.19    -8.58     0.00     0.04     1.46     0.41P   19.90R    4.62  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.05     6.76   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P   40.74R   13.47  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.57     6.83    -2.77     0.00     0.02     0.83     0.25P   20.14R    4.88  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.26     7.04   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P   45.87R   16.33  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.36     6.82   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P   42.57R   15.24  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.41     6.68   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   65.99R   33.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Leyton_Orient vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.67     7.40    45.08    60.27    80.63    99.15    85.87P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         23   42  +14      82.36     7.48    28.26    11.60    32.01    89.28    44.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.63     7.49    33.77    12.57    34.21    90.46    51.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.54     6.51    50.20    12.79    40.23    94.69    61.31P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          25   40  +10      74.61     6.85    18.67     1.09     5.15    60.52    18.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    25   40   +1      66.94     6.92    -1.75     0.09     0.53    18.06     2.96P    0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.28     7.33    20.79     1.18     5.06    53.79    16.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           25   35   -3      61.33     6.81    -6.06     0.00     0.05     4.55     0.71P    1.24R    0.01  
Tranmere         25   34   +2      63.63     6.98     3.55     0.02     0.13     9.52     1.85P    0.56R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.23     7.48     7.22     0.18     0.80    22.34     4.62P    0.27R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.60     7.46    -0.54     0.03     0.18    10.15     1.59P    0.99R    0.01  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.63     7.57     2.52     0.02     0.17     9.42     1.82P    1.39R    0.02  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.45     7.62     9.45     0.13     0.69    23.33     5.45P    0.26R    0.01  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.41     6.90   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P   23.92R    1.04  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      62.79     7.38     5.83     0.01     0.11     8.91     1.63P    1.26R    0.02  
Northampton      25   28   -8      52.26     6.97   -15.42     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   18.29R    0.89  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.26     6.55   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   46.49R    4.09  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      53.00     7.36   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.04P   18.87R    0.97  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      58.09     7.79    -3.68     0.00     0.04     3.33     0.64P    5.95R    0.22  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.41     7.35   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   23.58R    1.76  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.44     7.72     0.99     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.27P   13.24R    0.56  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      40.83     6.78   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.09R   22.05  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.49     6.83   -31.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.40R   16.38  
Port_Vale        25   17  -18      36.02     6.37   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.10R   51.98  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Mansfield vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   25   57  +28     102.60     6.31    54.43    82.90    98.43   100.00    98.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.94     7.31    32.31     3.14    42.25    93.67    56.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   46  +15      85.07     7.39    28.44     2.41    36.40    91.54    51.40P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         24   43  +15      79.17     7.56    24.38     0.53    14.58    73.36    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.17     7.22    30.18     1.32    28.00    88.80    43.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   43   +8      74.21     7.11    11.72     0.06     3.51    46.58    12.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   40  +21      90.65     7.38    47.51     9.56    70.89    97.92    81.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            24   39   +5      73.91     7.32    12.25     0.06     3.30    45.61    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              24   36   +3      67.13     7.38     3.96     0.00     0.58    15.11     3.32P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport            25   36   +1      65.46     7.24     1.37     0.00     0.19    10.13     2.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +4      69.94     8.26     6.80     0.02     1.78    27.69     6.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.18     7.06     2.54     0.00     0.10     5.87     1.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   33   -9      56.67     6.94   -18.10     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.10P    0.32R    0.02  
Brentford            25   32  -10      55.98     6.99   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P    0.40R    0.04  
Grimsby              25   30   -8      55.87     6.90   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    0.49R    0.06  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.14     7.29   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    1.44R    0.18  
Bradford             23   27   -4      56.32     7.64    -7.28     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.25P    0.63R    0.08  
Bury                 23   24   -4      51.16     7.57   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    2.97R    0.51  
Notts_County         24   23  -10      48.23     7.26   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.33R    1.27  
Macclesfield         25   23  -14      46.68     6.92   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.70R    2.15  
Lincoln_City         25   22  -15      43.40     6.74   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.89R    5.21  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.33     6.37   -40.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.67R   18.48  
Mansfield            23   16  -11      43.07     7.53   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.18R    7.39  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.82     6.31   -45.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.96R   64.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.76     6.80    39.03    43.28    98.42    55.04P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.14     6.71    48.60    35.02    97.95    49.78P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      91.84     6.90    45.72    15.11    92.41    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.58     6.95    33.87     3.48    76.64    22.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.52     7.18    29.12     2.88    70.71    21.29P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.42     6.56    13.15     0.00     8.89     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.94     7.15    13.46     0.05    12.44     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.70     6.93    10.49     0.01     6.75     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.91     7.19    18.09     0.05    13.08     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.87     7.25    19.73     0.11    19.30     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.73     6.74    -3.78     0.00     0.54     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.24     6.73     1.95     0.00     0.93     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.35     7.06     2.44     0.00     1.17     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          26   36   +0      62.38     6.69    -1.21     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           26   35   -1      62.50     6.83    -1.11     0.00     0.34     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.05     6.82     6.78     0.00     0.13     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.19     6.39    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.53     7.12    -5.70     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      51.90     7.03   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.31     6.00   -46.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.54R    0.92  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.85     6.43   -41.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.02R    0.80  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.42     5.38   -55.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.23R   29.99  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.04     5.88   -46.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.27R   31.49  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.81     5.93   -58.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.61R   36.80