Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 January 2008 at 22:36:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2008, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Arsenal         21   50  +26      86.73     5.26    49.50    57.98    89.46    97.23    99.34    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +27      84.43     5.47    46.93    36.51    80.97    93.97    98.26    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   44  +17      75.99     5.79    31.76     3.65    17.07    52.82    76.82    95.22     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        21   39   +7      64.89     6.06    11.19     0.03     0.46     3.52    11.13    40.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   38  +21      73.44     5.91    38.29     1.71    10.12    37.02    65.08    90.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   36  +15      66.71     5.98    28.01     0.08     0.96     7.02    20.08    57.84     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   36  +10      66.09     5.59    22.48     0.03     0.50     4.20    14.22    52.67     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   34  +11      65.56     5.83    24.66     0.02     0.45     3.91    13.38    49.84     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       21   33   +0      56.70     5.96     0.53     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.73     5.93     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        20   29   +6      56.18     6.26    10.30     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.90     6.74     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -6      43.04     5.47   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.68R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   24   +4      49.75     5.97     8.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.63     0.12R    0.00  
Reading         21   22  -15      38.89     5.62   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.63R    0.04  
Bolton          21   20   -9      36.65     5.72   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.50R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   21   20  -17      35.03     5.35   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.85R    0.17  
Birmingham      21   19  -10      36.34     5.73   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.18R    0.13  
Wigan           21   17  -16      35.14     5.68   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.52R    0.33  
Sunderland      21   17  -20      31.36     5.34   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.52R    0.94  
Fulham          21   15  -15      30.98     5.57   -26.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.17R    0.98  
Derby           21    7  -36      15.12     4.22   -63.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   97.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2008, Blackpool vs Burnley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Brom        26   47  +25      85.99     6.77    44.14    61.60    81.79    98.41    87.38P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   47  +10      78.23     7.05    15.50    13.97    35.51    84.06    46.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     26   47   +3      76.88     7.04     6.69     8.98    26.58    78.63    37.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43   +9      76.52     7.01    18.32     8.86    27.38    79.29    40.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         26   40   +5      69.07     7.17     7.38     1.40     5.69    40.26    14.40P    0.17R    0.01  
Ipswich          26   39   +8      70.75     7.17    14.57     2.04     8.65    51.12    20.14P    0.11R    0.01  
Plymouth         26   38   +6      69.10     7.05    11.46     1.25     5.19    41.52    15.35P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   38   +4      66.35     6.87     5.60     0.46     2.41    26.10     8.48P    0.33R    0.02  
Hull             26   38   +3      66.65     7.08     4.80     0.74     2.94    27.20     8.81P    0.39R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    26   37   +1      64.34     6.95     1.63     0.24     1.23    17.37     5.58P    0.90R    0.10  
Cardiff          26   36   +1      63.51     6.97     0.87     0.22     0.98    14.83     4.30P    1.32R    0.14  
Burnley          26   34   -2      60.98     7.05    -2.94     0.05     0.37     8.69     2.27P    3.61R    0.47  
Blackpool        26   33   +3      60.16     7.02     2.57     0.07     0.36     7.98     2.27P    3.77R    0.53  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      61.05     7.34    -4.20     0.07     0.45     9.28     2.42P    4.34R    0.66  
Southampton      26   33   -9      56.14     6.76   -16.86     0.01     0.06     2.01     0.43P   12.66R    2.14  
Sheff_Utd        26   32   -1      59.76     7.05    -0.52     0.04     0.26     6.27     1.78P    5.18R    0.82  
Coventry         25   32  -11      56.87     7.11   -17.15     0.01     0.08     2.80     0.58P   12.36R    2.44  
QPR              26   30   -8      54.08     6.89   -13.14     0.00     0.03     1.07     0.22P   19.98R    4.38  
Sheff_Wed        25   28   -5      54.31     7.19    -8.35     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.42P   19.11R    4.43  
Norwich          26   28  -10      50.11     6.69   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   39.99R   12.68  
Leicester        26   27   -2      53.57     6.83    -2.80     0.00     0.02     0.87     0.24P   19.94R    4.71  
Scunthorpe       25   26  -12      49.14     6.93   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   46.18R   16.57  
Colchester       26   25   -7      49.20     6.89   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   43.18R   15.66  
Preston          26   24   -8      45.31     6.68   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   66.35R   34.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Leyton_Orient vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea          22   44  +21      91.67     7.41    45.02    60.45    81.01    99.10    86.16P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         23   42  +14      82.31     7.45    28.15    11.78    31.95    89.39    44.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nottm_Forest     23   41  +19      82.38     7.53    33.38    12.39    33.26    89.78    50.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            25   40  +26      83.53     6.46    50.17    12.56    40.18    94.79    61.22P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall          25   40  +10      74.61     6.87    18.73     1.13     5.44    60.73    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    25   40   +1      67.00     6.96    -1.64     0.10     0.64    18.16     3.08P    0.13R    0.00  
Doncaster        24   38  +13      73.33     7.32    20.84     1.23     5.21    53.89    16.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           25   35   -3      61.40     6.79    -5.97     0.01     0.04     4.69     0.78P    1.20R    0.00  
Tranmere         25   34   +2      63.73     6.98     3.69     0.02     0.12     9.62     1.84P    0.48R    0.00  
Brighton         23   33   +3      67.06     7.52     6.97     0.17     0.85    21.60     4.58P    0.24R    0.00  
Southend         24   33   -1      63.64     7.51    -0.45     0.02     0.22    10.66     1.86P    1.06R    0.02  
Swindon          23   31   +2      62.81     7.49     2.80     0.01     0.19     9.59     1.93P    1.19R    0.01  
Oldham           23   31   +2      67.16     7.72     9.07     0.13     0.75    22.60     5.29P    0.33R    0.01  
Huddersfield     24   30  -14      51.26     6.84   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   24.63R    1.11  
Hartlepool       24   29   +0      63.08     7.39     6.34     0.02     0.12     9.81     1.84P    1.17R    0.02  
Northampton      25   28   -8      52.13     6.86   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   18.76R    0.81  
Crewe            24   28  -13      47.50     6.57   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   45.72R    3.92  
Gillingham       23   27  -12      52.87     7.34   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.04P   19.69R    1.07  
Bristol_Rovers   22   26   -3      57.91     7.83    -3.94     0.01     0.04     3.22     0.59P    6.34R    0.25  
Millwall         23   26   -8      51.59     7.28   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   22.81R    1.59  
Luton            23   23   +1      54.30     7.66     0.88     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.22P   13.71R    0.58  
Cheltenham       23   21  -17      41.17     6.83   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.93R   20.58  
Bournemouth      24   20  -17      42.49     6.88   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.31R   16.88  
Port_Vale        25   17  -18      35.86     6.39   -33.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.32R   53.15  

Adjustments:
Leeds            -15
Luton            -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Mansfield vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Milton_Keynes_Dons   25   57  +28     102.51     6.36    54.26    82.67    98.43    99.99    98.94P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford             24   46  +17      85.70     7.27    31.83     3.08    41.47    93.35    55.95P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   46  +15      84.95     7.40    28.26     2.35    36.20    91.21    50.96P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         24   43  +15      79.21     7.53    24.47     0.50    14.41    73.93    29.53P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough         24   43  +14      83.33     7.18    30.47     1.48    28.67    89.30    44.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              25   43   +8      74.30     7.09    11.88     0.06     3.74    47.08    12.95P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington           22   40  +21      90.62     7.33    47.51     9.76    71.47    98.00    81.95P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            24   39   +5      73.61     7.31    11.81     0.05     2.91    43.52    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Chester              24   36   +3      67.13     7.38     3.97     0.00     0.51    15.12     3.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Stockport            25   36   +1      65.42     7.26     1.30     0.00     0.24    10.18     1.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   35   +4      70.04     8.28     6.96     0.04     1.86    28.57     7.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   34   +2      63.35     7.10     2.78     0.00     0.06     6.12     1.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   33   -9      56.79     6.96   -17.86     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.11P    0.30R    0.02  
Brentford            25   32  -10      56.04     7.03   -17.60     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.10P    0.37R    0.04  
Grimsby              25   30   -8      55.82     6.92   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P    0.55R    0.06  
Barnet               23   29   -6      53.40     7.33   -17.56     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.09P    1.23R    0.14  
Bradford             23   27   -4      56.13     7.51    -7.56     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.20P    0.57R    0.08  
Bury                 23   24   -4      51.19     7.46   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    2.75R    0.46  
Notts_County         24   23  -10      48.11     7.27   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    6.42R    1.26  
Macclesfield         25   23  -14      46.78     6.96   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.69R    1.94  
Lincoln_City         25   22  -15      43.49     6.78   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.66R    4.90  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -19      38.33     6.43   -40.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.86R   18.69  
Mansfield            23   16  -11      43.02     7.56   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   22.46R    7.53  
Wrexham              23   15  -23      31.80     6.31   -45.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.11R   64.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2008, Altrincham vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Aldershot           26   61  +23      97.68     6.81    38.86    42.76    98.30    54.47P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay             25   54  +23      96.07     6.68    48.44    34.37    97.89    48.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage           25   52  +27      92.03     6.90    46.15    16.05    92.71    39.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion       25   48  +18      86.74     6.93    34.13     3.54    77.60    22.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd       24   45  +13      85.67     7.14    29.36     3.01    71.70    22.10P    0.00     0.00  
Histon              27   44   +8      73.32     6.59    13.01     0.02     8.41     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green        25   42   +9      73.84     7.15    13.20     0.06    12.03     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United    26   42   +7      71.57     6.83    10.35     0.01     6.17     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town        25   41  +12      73.85     7.16    18.01     0.05    12.62     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter              24   40  +10      75.94     7.28    19.88     0.14    19.36     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
York                26   38   +0      63.72     6.69    -3.76     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster       26   37   +1      65.19     6.73     1.87     0.00     0.85     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grays_Athletic      25   36   +1      65.21     7.02     2.24     0.00     1.11     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd          26   36   +0      62.31     6.66    -1.30     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury           26   35   -1      62.37     6.87    -1.36     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'monds   26   31   +4      60.15     6.81     6.94     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking              27   31   -5      55.04     6.37    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax             25   29   -2      55.40     7.11    -5.90     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth            25   26  -10      52.12     6.98   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Altrincham          26   21  -24      37.28     5.96   -46.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.86R    0.93  
Farsley_Celtic      25   20  -23      38.82     6.41   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.15R    0.84  
Northwich           26   13  -31      26.52     5.42   -55.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.89R   30.06  
Stafford_Rangers    26   10  -28      26.30     5.94   -46.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.60R   30.49  
Droylsden           25   10  -32      25.74     5.90   -58.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.22R   37.67